UTEP vs Marshall 10/30/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with UTEP winning 52% of simulations, and Marshall 48% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. UTEP commits fewer turnovers in 29% of simulations and they go on to win 69% when they take care of the ball. Marshall wins 64% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Donald Buckram is averaging 72 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (32% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. Brian Anderson is averaging 255 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (34% chance) then he helps his team win 70%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MAR -3.5

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