Utah State vs Ohio 12/17/2011

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Utah State winning 49% of simulations, and Ohio 51% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Utah State commits fewer turnovers in 30% of simulations and they go on to win 61% when they take care of the ball. Ohio wins 62% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Robert Turbin is averaging 130 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (42% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. Donte Harden is averaging 65 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is OH +2

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