USC vs Arizona 11/13/2010

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Arizona is a solid favorite with a 62% chance to beat USC. Keola Antolin is projected for 69 rushing yards and a 49% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 38% of simulations where USC wins, Matt Barkley averages 2.33 TD passes vs 0.65 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.29 TDs to 0.86 interceptions. Marc Tyler averages 65 rushing yards and 0.93 rushing TDs when USC wins and 58 yards and 0.54 TDs in losses. Arizona has a 34% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 76% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ARI -5.5

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