UCF vs Tulsa 12/1/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with UCF winning 56% of simulations, and Tulsa 44% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. UCF commits fewer turnovers in 41% of simulations and they go on to win 66% when they take care of the ball. Tulsa wins 56% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Latavius Murray is averaging 69 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (36% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. Trey Watts is averaging 69 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 56%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TULSA -1 --- Over/Under line is 57
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