UCF vs Akron 8/30/2012

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UCF is a heavy favorite winning 96% of simulations over Akron. Blake Bortles is averaging 231 passing yards and 1.99 TDs per simulation and Latavius Murray is projected for 70 rushing yards and a 66% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 4% of simulations where Akron wins, Clayton Moore averages 1.56 TD passes vs 0.74 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.55 TDs to 1.09 interceptions. Jawon Chisholm averages 92 rushing yards and 0.79 rushing TDs when Akron wins and 78 yards and 0.28 TDs in losses. UCF has a 50% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 99% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is AKR +24 --- Over/Under line is 47

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