Tulsa vs Southern Methodist 11/24/2012

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Tulsa is a solid favorite with a 70% chance to beat Southern Methodist. Trey Watts is projected for 75 rushing yards and a 48% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 30% of simulations where Southern Methodist wins, Garrett Gilbert averages 1.98 TD passes vs 1.01 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.04 TDs to 1.26 interceptions. Zach Line averages 95 rushing yards and 1 rushing TDs when Southern Methodist wins and 87 yards and 0.62 TDs in losses. Tulsa has a 45% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 80% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SMETH +5
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