Tulsa vs Brigham Young 12/30/2011

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Tulsa winning 41% of simulations, and Brigham Young 59% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Tulsa commits fewer turnovers in 49% of simulations and they go on to win 52% when they take care of the ball. Brigham Young wins 75% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Trey Watts is averaging 59 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 53%. Riley Nelson is averaging 277 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (31% chance) then he helps his team win 80%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BYU -1.5

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