Tuesday Service Play Thread 12/21/2021

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Let's go Brandon!
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Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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pep-firsthalf

Spanish LaLiga
Sevilla – Barcelona
First Half : X
Odds : 2.10
 

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VSIN​

Tuesday, Dec. 21

Potato Bowl: Wyoming (-3, 59) vs. Kent State

3:30 p.m. ET

Burke: It will be cool and crisp in Boise for the Potato Bowl between a Wyoming team that plays on the blue turf every other season and a Kent State team that would rather be in a warmer locale. Skies are supposed to be clear and winds are supposed to be tame, so we haven’t seen this total move a lot in the lead-up to the game.

The high total of 59 seems to be pretty telling, even though Wyoming is the 3-point favorite. The Cowboys run the football a lot, which keeps the clock moving. This is Wyoming’s highest total of the season by five points. The previous high was a 45-12 win over Ball State back in Week 3. The Cowboys also played a 50-43 shootout against MAC champion Northern Illinois in Week 2 that sailed over the total of 44.

The Cowboys got off to a 4-0 start, but limped to a 6-6 finish when all was said and done. Kent State lost to NIU in that MAC title game, but this is a program that should be highly motivated with only four bowl appearances in program history and just one win. Wyoming, however, is 3-0 ATS in bowl games under Craig Bohl.

Perhaps the most interesting angle to this game is the tempo difference between the two teams. Wyoming was 111th in total number of offensive plays, while Kent State was fourth. Even though Wyoming runs on a high percentage of plays, Kent State still had 107 more rushing attempts.

This could be a tale of two games. Wyoming’s physicality may wear Kent State down in the second half, but I think Kent State’s tempo, which is very hard to replicate, is something that hurts Wyoming early. The elevation could also take its toll with an up-tempo team. The Golden Flashes are + 110 on the first-half moneyline.
Pick: Kent State 1H ML (+ 110)

Frisco Bowl: San Diego State vs. UTSA (-2.5, 49.5)

7:30 p.m. ET
Burke: Hopefully this one plays out to my expectation because UTSA is one of my favorite bets of the bowl season. The Roadrunners draw a San Diego State team that I’ve been looking to fade a lot throughout the year because of an inept offense and a defense that seemed to be overperforming a bit.
But, before I look at the UTSA offense, how about this defense? The Roadrunners ranked 71st in yards per play with 5.58 YPP allowed. However, UTSA also had to play Western Kentucky twice. The Hilltoppers throw the ball all over creation and had 1,100 passing yards in the two games. In UTSA’s other 11 games, the defense only surrendered 2,179 passing yards. While you can’t just cross off games, WKU and SDSU are absolutely nothing alike. For the season, the Aztecs threw for just 2,018 yards.
Remove those two outliers from the equation and UTSA’s yards per play ranking improves to a rank around the top 30 in the nation. If SDSU had any kind of offensive potency, this hypothetical wouldn’t really matter, but because the Aztecs barely averaged 5.0 YPP, it seems relevant.
The UTSA offense will get a stiff test from the Aztecs defense, but this is a unit that managed over 6.1 YPP. San Diego State did shut down Nevada and Carson Strong, but struggled with Fresno State and Utah State.
UTSA is close to home here in Frisco, so there will be a crowd edge in favor of the Roadrunners, who are looking for their first bowl victory in program history. Jeff Traylor seems to be an outstanding head coach and Brady Hoke, who has been mediocre in bowls, hasn’t coached in a bowl game since 2013.
Pick: UTSA -2.5
Marshall:
Are we missing something here? Our suspicions about the Aztecs’ 11-1 regular-season SU mark as a mirage were confirmed in the Mountain West title game by a rampant Utah State, which ran roughshod over the host by a 46-13 margin in Carson. Flying close to the flame all season, the Aztecs were finally burned by a woefully inadequate passing attack that somehow didn’t cost SDSU more than one regular-season game after winning six often-harrowing tilts by single-digit margins.
Brady Hoke went back to early-season starter Jordon Brookshire late in the reg-season finale versus Boise State and stuck with him against Utah State, but Brookshire regressed to a predictable 11-for-23 performance through the air, consistent with his sub-47 percent completion accuracy and the nation’s 121st-ranked passing attack. This from the school that introduced Don Coryell to the college football world in the 1960s!
UTSA will be glad to dare SDSU to throw because only a revived North Texas was able to move on the ground with any consistency vs. the Roadrunners, who ranked 14th nationally vs. the rush. UTSA also has legit offensive balance, (187 YPG rushing; 254 YPG passing), a sneaky-good big-play QB in dual-threat southpaw Frank Harris plus one of the nation’s top runners in all-name Sincere McCormick. After the loss at Denton that wrecked the unbeaten campaign, the ‘Runners displayed some stern stuff when outlasting potent WKU (for the second time this season) in the C-USA title game, and we can hardly think of a program on more of an upward trajectory, with in-demand HC Jeff Traylor recently inked to a 10-year extension and the program ready to move up to the American in the near future. A first-ever bowl win will serve as the next rung up the ladder for UTSA.
Pick: UTSA -2.5
 

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I wouldn't expect any other response from you
Shows how immature you are and calling people names
I'm not mad your the guy mad
 
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Nothing wrong with asking for a service, even if it's every day.
Yes, it would be nice if all can post something, but there are some that never post.
But no reason to attack each other.

As long as they are not asking multiple times each day, it is fine.
and let's keep these threads clean, I would hate to ban somebody from the service Plays forum, for something as juvenile as this.
 

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Nothing wrong with asking for a service, even if it's every day.
Yes, it would be nice if all can post something, but there are some that never post.
But no reason to attack each other.

As long as they are not asking multiple times each day, it is fine.
and let's keep these threads clean, I would hate to ban somebody from the service Plays forum, for something as juvenile as this.
Thank you
 

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Any North Coast & Greg Peterson? Thanks


Northcoast Late Phone:
C San Diego St (-3) UTSA (Frisco Bowl) 7:30pm
Top Opinions:
Philadelphia (-6.5) Washington (Tuesday Night NFL Marquee) 7pm
Marquee Double: Over 59.5 Potato Bowl (Wyoming/Kent St) 3:30pm
Wyoming (-3.5) Kent St (Potato Bowl) 3:30pm
Regular Opinions:
Marquee Single: Under 49 Frisco Bowl (San Diego St/UTSA) 7:30pm
 

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