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A rough night losing 4.5 units, but it seems the majority of cappers had a rough one as well. Wierd big Monday?? Onto today's plays:

Plays rated 1*-3* units(3* being Best Bet)


1.5* ILLINOIS -2.5
1* EAST CAROLINA +1
1.5* SW MISSOURI ST. +10
1* HOUSTON -1
2* DAVIDSON -12.5
1* EAST KENTUCKY +5.5


Good Luck!! RSS
 

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Adding two "Opinion" plays(1/2 unit only!!)

OKLAHOMA ST. -7
KENTUCKY +4


Good Luck! RSS
 

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those look good RSS, definitely on ILLinois and SW Miss, good call on UNLV last night, AF got caught with their pants down and played like Sh**. Turnovers, Rebounds (which we knew about ahead of time) and the fact that they couldn't make a basket to save their life. GL today, did you see that joker who tried to convince me that I was wrong about something all day, did the math, was wrong, and then back into my thread and said he didn't have enough time to explain himself?
 

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Thanks Cap! Good luck to you today as well. Had a losing day overall for me which was very disappointing, but did ok in the NBA. Hopefully get in roll'n tonight. I missed that joker you're talking about..there are so many of those in here it's hard to keep track. It seems everyday someone is bashing someone. It's entertaining to read, but just as long as we all know we're on the same side in here. It seems today EVERYONE is on Cincinnati just like A.Force yesterday. It's a pass game for me, but I would lean towards Xavier. I don't think they could play any worse than they have been and should play better tonight at home.


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All the numbers I have complied in my model have Indiana as a fairly decent favorite and Xavier with a slight edge over cincy. It's hard for me to bet on games like that when my head says those are two damn good teams playing against two not so good teams (especially Illinois.)

The thing that makes Cincy dangerous is their loss to marquette. Xavier has been losing to everyone though so this is the game for them, if they don't win this game they have no hopes of making it in march.
 

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I thought you said you were on Illinois today? I just don't like Indiana's defense at all and Illinois needs this game way more. As far as Xavier, you're right about what you say. They are a so-so team, but need this game very bad, but I just don't see anything that stands out at me to go either way. I'll pass...Good luck!
 

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I do like Illinois. I think they are a much better team all together. What I am saying is from all data, the program I developed has Indiana as a semi strong favorite. It actually has indiana winning SU by 4. I know Illinois is a much better team than Indiana but this system is pretty reliable too and at a (-6) power rating it's almost 65%.

But like I said Illinois is definitely a better team and they are far more explosive, without looking at the data I would say Illinois would blow Indiana out.
 

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Oh one other thing, Illinois is a little underrated in this system so that might be why Indiana is rated so high. Even that doesn't make this match very strong.

I can't play a game like this, the big ten is too volatile right now, look at who beats who, it's crazy. Northwestern has beaten Illinios, Indiana has won at Michigan, Purdue lost to Ohio St., it seems like Wisconsin in the only consistent player in the league.
 

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One more "Opinion" add. This should be it:
(Opinions are 1/2 unit only!)


Cincinnati/Xavier OVER 140


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Free throws absolutley KILLED two of my plays tonight...FRUSTRATING!!!! Illinois & OVER in Cincy. The end of that Cincy game was a joke!! Atleast it pushed....just thought I'd vent a little. Hope everyone is having luck tonight...


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