hno:
Friends..be careful here:shocked:
IndianCowboy
Texas Longhorns @ Baylor Bears
4 units Baylor Bears -1 (POD)
I actually had Wyoming written down, the analysis written, but just couldn't submit it. For a couple reasons including the fact, I just don't like the odd line movement as th line opened up offshore at -10.5 and has gone down to -8 when I was writing the analysis. Rather, let's take the Big 12 action today as Baylor hosts Texas in a big showdown. If you remember, Texas swept Baylor last year but much has changed since then. The Bears are far more experienced for starters and sit at #23 in the country. The Longhorns, not to be slighted, sit at 15th in the country. But, I ask you, what has Texas proven on the road this year? Sure, beat UCLA - but that was at home. On the road, this team lost to Arkansas by 6 - who is a team outside the top 100 in power rankings. This team lost to Oklahoma by 15 on the road. And yes, they did defeat Wisconsin on the road, but we have quickly come to learn that Wisconsin has lost 3 straight conference games and is struggling right now. Yes, Texas did defeat Texas Tech on the road, but that team is outside the top 100 so it's not overly impressive and yes, they did defeat Texas A&M at home - but once again, that was a top 90 team that defeated at home. Now, this team has to go on the road to play a top 30 power ranking team on the road - which they have not accomplished all year. Plus, Baylor is not in a good mood. They come off a tough 19 point loss to Oklahoma on the road. Prior to that game, they defeated Kansas State 18 on the road and beat Oklahoma State at home in OT. Both those teams were top 40 teams and the reason why they got hit hard at Oklahoma was in part b/c it was a let down after the big Kansas State road win. Well, now this team comes back home, with revenge, fired up, off a loss, and faces a Texas team who has not defeated a top 40 power ranking team on the road while Baylor has defeated top 40 power ranking teams on the road. Let's ride the Bears today as they are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 contests following a SU loss and the Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 contests against the Big12. Besides, 63% of the public is likely to get burned here as they are riding the higher "ranked" road team.
Charlotte Bobcats @ Los Angeles Lakers
4 units Charlotte Bobcats +11 (POD)
I'm a fan of the Bobcats. And, you should be too if you have been riding my picks. The B's are are 26-18 ATS and that is an important point to note considering they were extremely dismal ATS prior to going on their very impressive stretch of ATS covers. Our Bobcats come off a loss at Indiana where they lose by 5 in a game they were getting 4.5. Prior to that game, this team had covered 6 in a row including beating Phoenix by 22 (Outright as 4 point dogs), beating Memphis by 15, losing to the Spurs by just a bucket at home (but covering the spread), beating Portland Outright at home in OT, and defeating the Pistons as well as the Wizards outright on the road. Not bad eh? Well, this team has been solid in bounce-backs and these two teams have not met this year. Jordan has made a lot of mistakes concerning this team, but big Mike did make one great choice in getting rid of Richardson and his contract and obtaining Diaw and Bell. Great move. This has allowed this team have better depth, far better defense, better team chemistry and frankly, better team leadership behind Bell. He is a far better complement than Richardson was to Gerald Wallace. This team has solid scoring and I believe will go toe to toe with the Lakers here. Sure, they are not going to win this game likely, but they will get inside single digits is my belief and I like the fact they are coming off a loss even more. Besides, the Lakers come off a very public win over the Spurs so this is even more reason why this line and ATS bar has been raised. The Bobcats have covered their last 4 against the West and the Lakers are just 2-10 ATS against teams with a SU losing record - meaning such teams get up to play the Lakers and the bar is raised to an extremely high level for an ATS cover when the Lakers play teams without a SU winning record. Bobcats lose by 4-7 according to my numbers.
Texas Longhorns @ Baylor Bears
4 units Baylor Bears -1 (POD)
I actually had Wyoming written down, the analysis written, but just couldn't submit it. For a couple reasons including the fact, I just don't like the odd line movement as th line opened up offshore at -10.5 and has gone down to -8 when I was writing the analysis. Rather, let's take the Big 12 action today as Baylor hosts Texas in a big showdown. If you remember, Texas swept Baylor last year but much has changed since then. The Bears are far more experienced for starters and sit at #23 in the country. The Longhorns, not to be slighted, sit at 15th in the country. But, I ask you, what has Texas proven on the road this year? Sure, beat UCLA - but that was at home. On the road, this team lost to Arkansas by 6 - who is a team outside the top 100 in power rankings. This team lost to Oklahoma by 15 on the road. And yes, they did defeat Wisconsin on the road, but we have quickly come to learn that Wisconsin has lost 3 straight conference games and is struggling right now. Yes, Texas did defeat Texas Tech on the road, but that team is outside the top 100 so it's not overly impressive and yes, they did defeat Texas A&M at home - but once again, that was a top 90 team that defeated at home. Now, this team has to go on the road to play a top 30 power ranking team on the road - which they have not accomplished all year. Plus, Baylor is not in a good mood. They come off a tough 19 point loss to Oklahoma on the road. Prior to that game, they defeated Kansas State 18 on the road and beat Oklahoma State at home in OT. Both those teams were top 40 teams and the reason why they got hit hard at Oklahoma was in part b/c it was a let down after the big Kansas State road win. Well, now this team comes back home, with revenge, fired up, off a loss, and faces a Texas team who has not defeated a top 40 power ranking team on the road while Baylor has defeated top 40 power ranking teams on the road. Let's ride the Bears today as they are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 contests following a SU loss and the Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 contests against the Big12. Besides, 63% of the public is likely to get burned here as they are riding the higher "ranked" road team.
Charlotte Bobcats @ Los Angeles Lakers
4 units Charlotte Bobcats +11 (POD)
I'm a fan of the Bobcats. And, you should be too if you have been riding my picks. The B's are are 26-18 ATS and that is an important point to note considering they were extremely dismal ATS prior to going on their very impressive stretch of ATS covers. Our Bobcats come off a loss at Indiana where they lose by 5 in a game they were getting 4.5. Prior to that game, this team had covered 6 in a row including beating Phoenix by 22 (Outright as 4 point dogs), beating Memphis by 15, losing to the Spurs by just a bucket at home (but covering the spread), beating Portland Outright at home in OT, and defeating the Pistons as well as the Wizards outright on the road. Not bad eh? Well, this team has been solid in bounce-backs and these two teams have not met this year. Jordan has made a lot of mistakes concerning this team, but big Mike did make one great choice in getting rid of Richardson and his contract and obtaining Diaw and Bell. Great move. This has allowed this team have better depth, far better defense, better team chemistry and frankly, better team leadership behind Bell. He is a far better complement than Richardson was to Gerald Wallace. This team has solid scoring and I believe will go toe to toe with the Lakers here. Sure, they are not going to win this game likely, but they will get inside single digits is my belief and I like the fact they are coming off a loss even more. Besides, the Lakers come off a very public win over the Spurs so this is even more reason why this line and ATS bar has been raised. The Bobcats have covered their last 4 against the West and the Lakers are just 2-10 ATS against teams with a SU losing record - meaning such teams get up to play the Lakers and the bar is raised to an extremely high level for an ATS cover when the Lakers play teams without a SU winning record. Bobcats lose by 4-7 according to my numbers.
