Mr. Vegas
NBA Bonus Play for Tuesday, Jan 20, 2015: 9:05 PM ET
(503) SAN ANTONIO SPURS VS (504) DENVER NUGGETS
Take: (503) SAN ANTONIO SPURS
The Spurs catch a few breaks here on Tuesday. First, they play a Denver team that had to play on Monday at Golden State. Second, the Spurs are healthy as they have been all year. And, when the Spurs are healthy, they are arguably the best team in the NBA. The healthy Spurs have won and covered three straight, including a 89-69 drubbing of Utah on Sunday. The club's defensive efficiency is among the best in the NBA and at 102.3 on the road, well below the league average of 107.1. After Tuesday's loss at Golden State, the Nuggets have now dropped three straight. It was the club's second straight double-digit loss. The Spurs have already visited Denver once this season and came away with a 99-91 win as a five point road favorite. The Spurs are 6 1/2 here on Tuesday, but they get a tired out Denver club and that's enough for me to be on the way better team. Take San Antonio.
NBA Bonus Play for Tuesday, Jan 20, 2015: 9:05 PM ET
(503) SAN ANTONIO SPURS VS (504) DENVER NUGGETS
Take: (503) SAN ANTONIO SPURS
The Spurs catch a few breaks here on Tuesday. First, they play a Denver team that had to play on Monday at Golden State. Second, the Spurs are healthy as they have been all year. And, when the Spurs are healthy, they are arguably the best team in the NBA. The healthy Spurs have won and covered three straight, including a 89-69 drubbing of Utah on Sunday. The club's defensive efficiency is among the best in the NBA and at 102.3 on the road, well below the league average of 107.1. After Tuesday's loss at Golden State, the Nuggets have now dropped three straight. It was the club's second straight double-digit loss. The Spurs have already visited Denver once this season and came away with a 99-91 win as a five point road favorite. The Spurs are 6 1/2 here on Tuesday, but they get a tired out Denver club and that's enough for me to be on the way better team. Take San Antonio.
Dave Cokin
Bonus Play Tuesday 8:30PM NCAAB
(525) MINNESOTA at (526) NEBRASKA
Take: (526) NEBRASKA -3
Early conference struggles for both Minnesota and Nebraska. But it certainly appears the Cornhuskers have found some reasonably solid footing of late while the Golden Gophers have yet to relocate their pre-conference mojo.
Minnesota did finally get that elusive first conference win last time out as they outlasted Rutgers. But it wasn’t easy as the Gophers had to withstand a couple of Rutgers charges and the defense was substandard yet again.
It’s not as though Minnesota has been perfection on offense. They have been turning it over too often and the foul shooting has been very erratic. But the real issues have been on the defensive end. The Gophers are getting chewed up on the inside and they’re also surrendering far too many offensive rebounds.
Nebraska is not going to win any awards for offensive proficiency. They really don’t seem to have a good flow and the Cornhuskers can really struggle to cash in even the open looks. But Tim Miles has his guys playing intense defense and it’s pretty clear that’s how they’re going to have to win their games this season.
My eyes tell me that Nebraska is farther along than Minnesota right now. The Huskers ended up getting their doors blown in at Wisconsin last outing, but the prior two games were good wins over Illinois and Rutgers. Neither of those teams is top tier by any stretch but they were still what I thought were solid performances in that Nebraska accomplished their game plan in terms of pace and style and got the wins.
I expect more of the same tonight. Minnesota doesn’t seem to flourish when things get physical and that’s what they’re very likely to receive in Lincoln tonight. Nebraska has complied an admirable record vs. the spread at home, while the Gophers have burned money on a regular basis when putting on the road uniforms. I don’t see the number as a big obstacle tonight, so I’ll be looking at Nebraska minus the points.
Bonus Play Tuesday 8:30PM NCAAB
(525) MINNESOTA at (526) NEBRASKA
Take: (526) NEBRASKA -3
Early conference struggles for both Minnesota and Nebraska. But it certainly appears the Cornhuskers have found some reasonably solid footing of late while the Golden Gophers have yet to relocate their pre-conference mojo.
Minnesota did finally get that elusive first conference win last time out as they outlasted Rutgers. But it wasn’t easy as the Gophers had to withstand a couple of Rutgers charges and the defense was substandard yet again.
It’s not as though Minnesota has been perfection on offense. They have been turning it over too often and the foul shooting has been very erratic. But the real issues have been on the defensive end. The Gophers are getting chewed up on the inside and they’re also surrendering far too many offensive rebounds.
Nebraska is not going to win any awards for offensive proficiency. They really don’t seem to have a good flow and the Cornhuskers can really struggle to cash in even the open looks. But Tim Miles has his guys playing intense defense and it’s pretty clear that’s how they’re going to have to win their games this season.
My eyes tell me that Nebraska is farther along than Minnesota right now. The Huskers ended up getting their doors blown in at Wisconsin last outing, but the prior two games were good wins over Illinois and Rutgers. Neither of those teams is top tier by any stretch but they were still what I thought were solid performances in that Nebraska accomplished their game plan in terms of pace and style and got the wins.
I expect more of the same tonight. Minnesota doesn’t seem to flourish when things get physical and that’s what they’re very likely to receive in Lincoln tonight. Nebraska has complied an admirable record vs. the spread at home, while the Gophers have burned money on a regular basis when putting on the road uniforms. I don’t see the number as a big obstacle tonight, so I’ll be looking at Nebraska minus the points.
Brandon Shively
San Diego State vs. Air Force
Bonus Play Game #534 Air Force +9.5
I like Air Force as a homedog for your complimentary selection on Tuesday night. Air Force comes into this game 7-2 SU at home. The 2 losses have been by 5 and 6 points. Historically, Air Force is 6-0 ATS the last meetings vs. San Diego State which included a 53-49 loss earlier this season. Last year, they were getting 10.5 points at home and covered easily only losing by 7.
San Diego State is having a down year, most because of their inability to score points. They are only 1-3 SU on the road. San Diego State lost as an 8.5 point road favorite @ Fresno 59-57 already. San Diego State has not scored over 60 points now in their last 5 games. On the season, they are only averaging 61 ppg and on the road they are only averaging 54 ppg.
I think San Diego State's lack of scoring threats make this homedog very valuable tonight as Air Force is shooting 50% from the floor at home. Air Force best player, Max Yon has been upgraded to questionable also and if Yon plays then Air Force is a much stronger play. I would check a current injury report to see his status. San Diego State's Dwayne Polee has been injured and this hurt the team. He was a senior that has been a solid contributor over the last few seasons.
I think given the fact that San Diego State only shoots 39.9% on the season is a good enough factor alone to fade them in this game. The other factor is they have a negative assist: turnover ratio and really just don't have any quality guards that are reliable. San Diego State also only shoots 27% as a team from 3 point range and Air Force shoots 35% from the 3 point line and I think they can make enough to keep the crowd going and to keep this one close as the underdog is 6-0 ATS the last 6 meetings. Let's take the points at home on Tuesday night as I expect Air Force to put up a good fight
San Diego State vs. Air Force
Bonus Play Game #534 Air Force +9.5
I like Air Force as a homedog for your complimentary selection on Tuesday night. Air Force comes into this game 7-2 SU at home. The 2 losses have been by 5 and 6 points. Historically, Air Force is 6-0 ATS the last meetings vs. San Diego State which included a 53-49 loss earlier this season. Last year, they were getting 10.5 points at home and covered easily only losing by 7.
San Diego State is having a down year, most because of their inability to score points. They are only 1-3 SU on the road. San Diego State lost as an 8.5 point road favorite @ Fresno 59-57 already. San Diego State has not scored over 60 points now in their last 5 games. On the season, they are only averaging 61 ppg and on the road they are only averaging 54 ppg.
I think San Diego State's lack of scoring threats make this homedog very valuable tonight as Air Force is shooting 50% from the floor at home. Air Force best player, Max Yon has been upgraded to questionable also and if Yon plays then Air Force is a much stronger play. I would check a current injury report to see his status. San Diego State's Dwayne Polee has been injured and this hurt the team. He was a senior that has been a solid contributor over the last few seasons.
I think given the fact that San Diego State only shoots 39.9% on the season is a good enough factor alone to fade them in this game. The other factor is they have a negative assist: turnover ratio and really just don't have any quality guards that are reliable. San Diego State also only shoots 27% as a team from 3 point range and Air Force shoots 35% from the 3 point line and I think they can make enough to keep the crowd going and to keep this one close as the underdog is 6-0 ATS the last 6 meetings. Let's take the points at home on Tuesday night as I expect Air Force to put up a good fight
Art Aronson
Boston Bruins vs. Dallas Stars
1* Bonus Play Dallas Stars
The Stars come in with plenty of momentum and confidence after destroying the Blackhawks 6-3 on Sunday. Dallas though is still nine points back of Chicago and Winnipeg in the Central Division race, so I am not expecting a drop off in concentration or determination today: “We're coming together here halfway through the year," Stars forward Jamie Benn assessed last night. "It's just coming together as a team, playing good team defense and getting contributions from everyone." Boston comes in off a 3-1 loss to Columbus on Saturday, leading scorer Brad Marchand sat that one out for a penalty to Rangers center Derick Brassard in his team’s 3-0 win over New York last Thursday; note that Marchand will have to serve the final game of his suspension tonight. Both teams are expected to start their backup goaltenders, that department is a “wash.” So where’s the value/edges you ask in this one? From a scheduling stand-point, this is a great play I think as this is Dallas’ final contest before the break, while Boston is in Colorado tomorrow night, there’s no question that this contest becomes a “look ahead spot” for the visitors. In my opinion this is the very definition of “great line value.” Consider a second look at the STARS in this one.
AAA Sports
Boston Bruins vs. Dallas Stars
1* Bonus Play Dallas Stars
The Stars come in with plenty of momentum and confidence after destroying the Blackhawks 6-3 on Sunday. Dallas though is still nine points back of Chicago and Winnipeg in the Central Division race, so I am not expecting a drop off in concentration or determination today: “We're coming together here halfway through the year," Stars forward Jamie Benn assessed last night. "It's just coming together as a team, playing good team defense and getting contributions from everyone." Boston comes in off a 3-1 loss to Columbus on Saturday, leading scorer Brad Marchand sat that one out for a penalty to Rangers center Derick Brassard in his team’s 3-0 win over New York last Thursday; note that Marchand will have to serve the final game of his suspension tonight. Both teams are expected to start their backup goaltenders, that department is a “wash.” So where’s the value/edges you ask in this one? From a scheduling stand-point, this is a great play I think as this is Dallas’ final contest before the break, while Boston is in Colorado tomorrow night, there’s no question that this contest becomes a “look ahead spot” for the visitors. In my opinion this is the very definition of “great line value.” Consider a second look at the STARS in this one.
AAA Sports
Ari Atari
Boston Bruins vs. Dallas Stars
Bonus Play Boston Bruins
The Bruins have been playing signficantly better the last two weeks and are really looking to solidify their hold on their wild card spot before the all star break. Offensive dynamo Tyler Seguin returns to Boston motivated but i think this Bruins team has heard a lot of chatter the last couple weeks and are looking to prove to themselves and everyone else that they can contend in the East.
Boston rookie David Pastrnak has 4 goals in his last two games and has looked like an explosive and dynamic player that Krejic and Lucic have needed in that 2nd line right wing spot. Look for Selke winner Patrice Bergeron to draw the assignment of Benn and Seguin. the loss of Marchand to suspension (for a total scumbag move) just means the defensively sound and speedy Daniel Paille will probably see most of his minutes on the top unit with Bergeron and Smith. I see Claude Julien doing what he does best and matching up well with opposing teams offenses and the 2nd and 3rd line of Boston shouldering the load offensively. B's push hard into the break with a solid win.
Boston Bruins vs. Dallas Stars
Bonus Play Boston Bruins
The Bruins have been playing signficantly better the last two weeks and are really looking to solidify their hold on their wild card spot before the all star break. Offensive dynamo Tyler Seguin returns to Boston motivated but i think this Bruins team has heard a lot of chatter the last couple weeks and are looking to prove to themselves and everyone else that they can contend in the East.
Boston rookie David Pastrnak has 4 goals in his last two games and has looked like an explosive and dynamic player that Krejic and Lucic have needed in that 2nd line right wing spot. Look for Selke winner Patrice Bergeron to draw the assignment of Benn and Seguin. the loss of Marchand to suspension (for a total scumbag move) just means the defensively sound and speedy Daniel Paille will probably see most of his minutes on the top unit with Bergeron and Smith. I see Claude Julien doing what he does best and matching up well with opposing teams offenses and the 2nd and 3rd line of Boston shouldering the load offensively. B's push hard into the break with a solid win.
