Tuesday 07/07/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

[Yanks]

Craig Davis

Today's Complimentary Selection

Well here it is... I've been talking about it for at least a week and I can't tell you how excited about my biggest baseball play of the entire season. This game won't even be close. I'm honestly not sure I will see another play this season I like as well as I like this one tonight. If ever you've played one of my selections in the last 9 months, this is the one you should play. You know I've dominated on several big plays in the past, so you know what I'm capable of. Tonight, it's time to prove myself again. Don't hesitate --- jump aboard as we get back on the winning track with the biggest play of my baseball career thus far.

Tonight's Bonus Play is on the Boston Red Sox, on the run line, over the Oakland A's.

Did anyone happen to catch those imposters playing in Red Sox uniforms last night, because it sure wasn't Boston. How does the team with the best record in the American League get shut out at the hands of Brett Anderson? Not only were they shut out for nine innings, they were nearly held hitless (2 hits all game). That's simply not going to happen tonight as the Boston bats cannot be kept quiet back-to-back nights; it's just not possible.

Let's also remember that John Smoltz was on the hill last night and he's still trying to figure out what type of pitcher he is. Oakland got to him early and often, but tonight it's going to be a different story with Josh Beckett toeing the rubber. Beckett enters tonight's contest with a 2.87 ERA at home, a 1.11 WHIP and opponents hitting just .204 against him at Fenway.

Oakland's Eveland has faced the Red Sox just twice in his career and his numbers are about as bad as they can get: 6.2 innings pitched, 16 hits, 14 earned runs and just four strikeouts. To put it lightly, Boston has punished Eveland and there's no reason to think that after being shut out last night the Sox won't come out firing on all cylinders tonight.

Play the Red Sox on the run line as your complimentary play.

5? BOSTON (With Beckett) -1 1/2 RUN LINE over OAKLAND (With Eveland) on a 1? to 5 Scale

 

[Yanks]

Chris Jordan

Bonus Play

San Diego at ARIZONA

We scored two straight totals right here with the complimentary selections, but we'll give the over/unders a rest and look at the Diamondbacks on the Run Line tonight.

Off that comeback win last night, I expect Arizona to roll to its fourth straight win tonight in blowout fashion.

San Diego has now lost five of six and sends Kevin Correia to the hill. The right-hander gave up a season-high six runs in a loss May 26 at Chase Field, and comes in after giving up six runs in Thursday night’s 7-2 loss in Houston. Correia is 0-3 with a 4.94 ERA in nine career appearances in Arizona, so I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Snakes send him to the showers early.

On the flip side, we’ll be able to count on Arizona starter Doug Davis, who is 9-3 with a 2.82 ERA in 16 appearances versus San Diego, while his teams are 11-4 when he starts against the Friars.
All Diamondbacks in this one.

1? DIAMONDBACKS RUN LINE

 

[Yanks]

Drew Gordon

Bonus Play

Pittsburgh at HOUSTON -120

Now on a 22-12 roll with the plays I'm giving away! For today's complimentary play, we're looking at the Pittsburgh/Houston match-up.

Brian Moehler can be incredibly inconsistent, there's no denying that, but fact of the matter is he's "on" right now. The Astros righty is 3-0 with a 3.13 ERA over his last 4 starts (all Astros wins), and let's not forget his complete game winner in Pittsburgh back on May 29th! While I can understand some bettors being hesitant to buy into Moehler's success, let me be the one to tell you... He will deliver tonight.

Opposing Moehler is the Pirates southpaw Paul Maholm, who albeit is better than his record indicates, has been in a downward spiral since mid-June. He's 1-2 while allowing 21 runs on 38 hits over his last 21 1/3 innings (4 starts)... Ugly to say the least! Although he has some decent numbers against the Astros, his 7.76 career ERA at Minute Maid Park (5 outings) should have his backers worried.

Finally, while the Astros offense is no juggernaut, the one thing they do well is hit lefties at home. Houston averages a solid 4.8 runs per game against lefties at Minute Maid Park, batting .261 in the process (not great, but good all things considered for this Houston club). In the end, Pittsburgh is a disaster on the road, and Maholm has been a disaster for the last 3 weeks... Astros and the red-hot Moehler take care of business Tuesday night.
Take Houston behind Moehler over Pittsburgh and Maholm in this MLB match up.

2? HOUSTON

 

[Yanks]

Michael Cannon

Bonus Play

Pittsburgh at HOUSTON -120

Take the Astros for the home win over the Pirates.

I had Houston on the run line last night as my 30 dime GOY for my paying clients and they delivered. I see no reason to step away from them as they are looking to get back to .500 for the first time since the second game of the season.

Plus the Pirates are in their annual nosedive and they won’t put up much of a fight here tonight.

Houston is 7-3 versus Pittsburgh this year and the Bucs are just 11-24 against NL Central foes.

Brian Moehler will start tonight and the Astros have won his last four starts. The right-hander is 3-0 with a 3.13 ERA in that span.

The Bucs will counter with Paul Maholm, who is 2-3 with a 7.76 ERA in five career outings at Minute Maid Park.

Take the Astros as they grab the home win.

3? HOUSTON

 

[Yanks]

WHO2BETON

Bonus Play

Yankees vs Twins

While C.C. Sabathia has had some nice moments in his first year with the New York Yankees, he has generally been a disappointment overall, and we look for the Minnesota Twins to score enough runs off of him tonight for this game to sneak Over this total.

Sabathia is just 7-5 despite a potent Yankees offense supporting him, and while his 3.85 ERA is acceptable, the Yanks were expecting better when they shelled out millions to sign him in the off season. Speaking of shelled, that is exactly what happened to C.C. in his last start when he surrendered six earned runs on 10 hits while lasting only 5.2 innings vs. the light-hitting Seattle Mariners at Yankee Stadium.

He now must contend with a Minnesota offense that has surprisingly hit better vs. left-handed pitching (.281) than vs. right-handed pitching (.266) this season. This difference has been even more pronounced at home (.299 vs. LHP, .276 vs. RHP), where the Twins are averaging a very good 5.45 runs per game.

Granted, Scott Baker has been hot for Minnesota, but he is still a modest 6-6 with a less than mediocre 4.99 ERA for the season, with the Over going 9-6, 60.0 percent in his starts. It certainly does not help that he is facing a hot Bronx Bombers offense that is averaging 6.00 runs per game over the last 10 games, with a nice team batting average of .284 over this time.

Look for the scoreboard operator to be kept busy tonight as these teams combine to reach double-digits in the Metrodome.

Yankees/Twins Over 9

 

[Yanks]

GoodFella

Bonus Play

NY Yankees @ Minnesota

Play: UNDER 9

I look for a CC bounce back start tonight
Baker has been LIGHTS out his last few starts vs New York....Baker is 2-0 when starting against NY Yankees with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.750

Both Bullpens are more than capable of holding down the opponent tonight, as I am expecting the starters to pitch well tonight & both Nathan & Mariano are rested

Several KEY Twins players have struggled big time vs CC in their career

Having this UNDER at a VERY KEY # of 9 here, makes me like this play & I see value with going UNDER that KEY # tonight

 

[Yanks]

GREG SHAKER

Bonus Play

Florida Marlins at San Francisco Giants

Play: Under 8

The GIANT Pitcher is damn good. No, not Zito, the 6 foot 7 inch Guy named Josh Johnson. He has been one of the most consistant throwers in the Bigs this year but he is coming off his worst performance in a long time. That does two things for us here. He only threw 89 pitches in the last game verses Washington in only 3.1 innings, somehow only game up one run and he is not happy about it. The effort wasn't indicative of the big right-hander's season. Johnson, 7-1, 2.76 ERA has turned in 14 quality starts in 17 outings, holding opponents to a .228 average. He has not allowed more than 3 runs over the last 10 games. He has a lifetime ERA verses these Giants of 2.70. He is a GIANT! The Term "Focus" comes to mind for this one as he will more than likely bounceback quick and he will be well rested to do so. While Zito has not been the toast of the town he has been pretty good at this park and he has been damn good verses these Marlins. His Home pitched games are 5-2-1 UNDER and his last 3 verses the Marlins have resulted in a 3-0 Record and ERA of 0.98. Florida has played more than their share of Overs this year but low and behold, the last 22 times they have faced a lefty away from home they are 16-5-1 UNDER. BINGO!! They do not hit Southpaws well, and they especially do not when they eat strange food. There is some strange food in San Fran, I can attest to that. I don't know if the Bullpens will be needed very much tonight, but if they are used, both come in performing very well lately and the likelihood of that continuing is good.

Let's play this Nice-A-Roni San Francisco Treat tonight.

 

[Yanks]

Rob Homyak

Free Pick COL (-145) vs WAS

Analysis: Rob Homyak MLB Freebie + American League Game of the Week. 4-1 L5

Rob has won 4 of his last 5 and today it's American League Game of the Week, backed up with a handful of supportive angles. Don't miss out on another easy winner tonight.
Tuesday, July 7th (All times eastern)

Washington Nationals (24-56) at Colorado Rockies (43-39), 8:40 p.m.


Probable Starting Pitchers: Washington - Jordan Zimmermann (3-3, 4.52) Colorado - Jason Hammel (5-4, 3.90)


5 Units on Colorado Rockies


Play AGAINST WASHINGTON using the money line in All games as a road underdog of +125 to +150

The record is 8 Wins and 30 Losses for the last two seasons (-19.40 units)


Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (WASHINGTON) - allowing 4.8 or more runs/game on the season (NL) against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 5 starts. This is a 103-33 ML System hitting 75.7% over the last 5 seasons.


Jason Marquis pitched eight scoreless innings to earn the win, as the Rockies blanked the Nationals 1-0 on Monday night.


Colorado won as -215 home favorites as the game played UNDER the 10-run total listed by sportsbooks.


Todd Helton drove in the only run of the game for the Rockies, while Clint Barmes went 2-for-4 for Colorado.


Craig Stammen gave up one run over seven innings for Washington, as Josh Bard was 2-for-4 for the Nationals.


Colorado is 23-7 in their last 30 games overall. The Nationals are 9-46 in their last 55 road games against a right-handed starter and 10-43 in their last 53 road games against a team with a winning record. The Nationals are 2-7 in Zimmerman?s last 9 road starts and 0-4 in his last 4 starts overall. The Rockies are 7-1 in Hammel?s last 8 starts overall.


Head to Head

Nationals are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings in Colorado.

Nationals are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.


Umpire Trends - Randy Marsh

Home team is 5-2 in Marshs last 7 Tuesday games behind home plate vs. Washington.

Nationals are 2-8 in their last 10 games with Marsh behind home plate.

 

[Bollie]

Tony Salinas Baseball

Tuesday, July 07, 2009

25*
Chicago Cubs {R.Dempster} (-105) over Braves {J.Vazquez}
8:05 PM -- Wrigley Field
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing in from center field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game Time temperature: Around 70.

26*
Astros {B.Moehler} (-120) over Pirates {P.Maholm}
8:05 PM -- Minute Maid Park
Partly cloudy with a 40-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing out to right field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game Time temperature: Around 90.

24*
Mariners {E.Bedard} (-140) over Orioles {J.Guthrie}
10:10 PM -- SAFECO Field
Mostly cloudy. Winds blowing out to center field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game Time temperature: Around 65.
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[Frankie Boy]

I'm thinking of buying a service play report for the football season. Got a promo email from bettorsworld .. is this a good one? do you know of a better one at a reasonable price?

http://therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=692715

 

[sixers76]

Sharp Money

MLB Wiseguys just hit #911 Washington

MLB Wiseguys just hit #925 Yankees UNDER

Yanks are these from gjupdate

 

[Yanks]

Yanks are these from gjupdate

Not where I get them, but could be.

 

[XYNNIS]

Anyone have Malinsky?

 

[Frank23]

I'm thinking of buying a service play report for the football season. Got a promo email from bettorsworld .. is this a good one? do you know of a better one at a reasonable price?

I tried out theservicekings.com for a free trial.. i joined for a month..they have some good cappers..

 

[GOFOR2]

I'm thinking of buying a service play report for the football season. Got a promo email from bettorsworld .. is this a good one? do you know of a better one at a reasonable price?

Turn your PM on and PM me!

 

[Born2Booze]

sorry for the clutter guys

but i noticed that too chip hilton

any1 have malinsky????????

whtta joke XYNNIS

at least reguest a guy that doesnt suk

:drink:

 

[bigboi808]

Chip u dummy ur taking half the page too ass

 

[nikeairx]

rainbowwinners??

 

[Ryangene]

rainbowwinners??

Thought we established a month ago these people were frauds and that you try help them sell there picks? Remember you claimed to have purchased their picks and then lost? They have ZERO clients so they can make up a fake record and wins every day... I bet if i told them i'd give them $50 to send me their picks AFTER the games 1st pitch started so i could track them they'd decline...

 

[Acasol]

I'm thinking of buying a service play report for the football season. Got a promo email from bettorsworld .. is this a good one? do you know of a better one at a reasonable price?

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~`
Bill,
Why would you buy a sevice play report when they
are posted everywhere during footballseason?
Good luck .