damn, 2 lefties and both teams hit lefties good, and Sowers is garbage IMO (even though i would like to see a louisville boy do good, Ballard HS), and we all know that the Tribes BP is suspect. and Buehrle is like 9-13 career vs. the tribe.
I'm not saying don't play it, i'm not touching the game, but i would lean over IMO, but hey what do i know.
Tuesday GC run line comp play
On Tuesday I first would like to thank everyone for all the positive feedback on Monday nights radio show.For the comp play lets see if we can get to 5 straight with Boston on the run line -1.5 a -115.Game 922 at 7:10 eastern.The Redsox are coming off an embarrassing 6-0 home shut out loss to Oakalnd.Tonight they will avenge that loss with their ace on the mound Josh Beckett.Boston is 6-1 in his home starts this year and he has a solid 2.87 home era this year and has been lights out in his last 3 starts with a 1.96 era.He is 6-2 at home vs Oakland and should have no problems with an Oakland team that is just 12-28 vs better than 500 opponents.Oakland has journey man lefty D.Eveland going tonight and he has been a dissaster on the road this year with an elevated 8.59 era.In his last 3 starts he has a 7.90 era.Things dont get much easier tonight as he takes on a vaunted Boston lineup that is very likely to catch fire tonight off Mondays poor performance.To make things worse Eveland has history with Boston,all forgettable though, as he has a 18.89 era vs the Bosox.In his last start at Fenway he lasted 2 innings and allowed 9 earned runs.On Tuesday I have another solid overall card, led by a 100% totals but.Take the Redsox on the run line tonight bol GC-
On Tuesday I first would like to thank everyone for all the positive feedback on Monday nights radio show.For the comp play lets see if we can get to 5 straight with Boston on the run line -1.5 a -115.Game 922 at 7:10 eastern.The Redsox are coming off an embarrassing 6-0 home shut out loss to Oakalnd.Tonight they will avenge that loss with their ace on the mound Josh Beckett.Boston is 6-1 in his home starts this year and he has a solid 2.87 home era this year and has been lights out in his last 3 starts with a 1.96 era.He is 6-2 at home vs Oakland and should have no problems with an Oakland team that is just 12-28 vs better than 500 opponents.Oakland has journey man lefty D.Eveland going tonight and he has been a dissaster on the road this year with an elevated 8.59 era.In his last 3 starts he has a 7.90 era.Things dont get much easier tonight as he takes on a vaunted Boston lineup that is very likely to catch fire tonight off Mondays poor performance.To make things worse Eveland has history with Boston,all forgettable though, as he has a 18.89 era vs the Bosox.In his last start at Fenway he lasted 2 innings and allowed 9 earned runs.On Tuesday I have another solid overall card, led by a 100% totals but.Take the Redsox on the run line tonight bol GC-
yeah sure at -220
Computer Baseball System
COMP.
Our systems say to go for:
Padres (+140), Blue Jays (+181), Phillies (-144),
Red Sox (-240), Royals (+204), Rangers (+158),
Nationals (+138), Indians (+150),Mariners (-116).
If u guys do a little homework may find some of these picks interesting to bet with RL +1.5
COMP.
Our systems say to go for:
Padres (+140), Blue Jays (+181), Phillies (-144),
Red Sox (-240), Royals (+204), Rangers (+158),
Nationals (+138), Indians (+150),Mariners (-116).
If u guys do a little homework may find some of these picks interesting to bet with RL +1.5
Larry Ness
Today’s Free Pick
Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs Jul 7, 2009 8:05PM
PICK: Chicago Cubs
REASON FOR PICK: Derrek Lee hit a two-run HR in the first inning last night, as the Cubs beat the Braves 4-2. He's batting .333 with five HRs and 14 RBI to help the Cubs open the month of July 5-1. More good news came Chicago's way with 3B Aramis Ramirez returning from the DL. Ramirez was batting .364 with four HRs and 16 RBI before separating his left shoulder. He played for the first time since May 9 last night but went hitless in four at-bats. However, the Cubs expect he'll "round into form" and in the meantime, they'll hope that Lee will continue his outstanding play (.333 with 11 home HRs and 34 RBI over his last 33 games). Tonight's pitching matchup features Javier Vazquez and Ryan Dempster. Vazquez, who fell out of favor "big time" last year with Ozzie Guillen, has pitched very well for the Braves in 2009, but has little to show for it. He's allowed 97 hits in 112 innings (130-23 K/W ratio) and owns a 3.05 ERA but enters just 5-7 with the Braves going 7-10. Vazquez is 1-4 over his last eight starts (team is 2-6), despite a 2.68 ERA. The problem has been run support, as the Braves have averaged a miniscule 1.84 runs over his last eight outings. Getting the call for Chicago will be Ryan Dempster. After three years as Chicago's closer (85 saves from 2005-07), the Cubs put Dempster back in the rotation and he delivered by going 17-6 with a 2.96 ERA last year in 33 starts. While his ERA was pretty similar home and away, the Cubs went a dominating 16-4 in Dempster's home starts but just 6-7 in his road starts. His 2009 season has been disappointment, as he'll enter this game with a 5-5 mark and a 4.09 ERA in 17 starts (team is 6-11). He's been a "road disaster" this year, despite a lower ERA away from Wrigley (4.06) than at home (4.12). He's 1-4 in 10 road starts, with the Cubs losing NINE of those 10 starts. Here at Wrigley, he's 4-1 in seven starts (team is 5-2), which means since the beginning of last year, the Cubs are 21-6 in his home starts. My problem is that Dempster's just 2-11 with a 5.14 ERA in 15 career starts vs the Braves (teams are 6-9).
I like the Cubs here but that lifetime mark "curbs my enthusiasm."
Today’s Free Pick
Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs Jul 7, 2009 8:05PM
PICK: Chicago Cubs
REASON FOR PICK: Derrek Lee hit a two-run HR in the first inning last night, as the Cubs beat the Braves 4-2. He's batting .333 with five HRs and 14 RBI to help the Cubs open the month of July 5-1. More good news came Chicago's way with 3B Aramis Ramirez returning from the DL. Ramirez was batting .364 with four HRs and 16 RBI before separating his left shoulder. He played for the first time since May 9 last night but went hitless in four at-bats. However, the Cubs expect he'll "round into form" and in the meantime, they'll hope that Lee will continue his outstanding play (.333 with 11 home HRs and 34 RBI over his last 33 games). Tonight's pitching matchup features Javier Vazquez and Ryan Dempster. Vazquez, who fell out of favor "big time" last year with Ozzie Guillen, has pitched very well for the Braves in 2009, but has little to show for it. He's allowed 97 hits in 112 innings (130-23 K/W ratio) and owns a 3.05 ERA but enters just 5-7 with the Braves going 7-10. Vazquez is 1-4 over his last eight starts (team is 2-6), despite a 2.68 ERA. The problem has been run support, as the Braves have averaged a miniscule 1.84 runs over his last eight outings. Getting the call for Chicago will be Ryan Dempster. After three years as Chicago's closer (85 saves from 2005-07), the Cubs put Dempster back in the rotation and he delivered by going 17-6 with a 2.96 ERA last year in 33 starts. While his ERA was pretty similar home and away, the Cubs went a dominating 16-4 in Dempster's home starts but just 6-7 in his road starts. His 2009 season has been disappointment, as he'll enter this game with a 5-5 mark and a 4.09 ERA in 17 starts (team is 6-11). He's been a "road disaster" this year, despite a lower ERA away from Wrigley (4.06) than at home (4.12). He's 1-4 in 10 road starts, with the Cubs losing NINE of those 10 starts. Here at Wrigley, he's 4-1 in seven starts (team is 5-2), which means since the beginning of last year, the Cubs are 21-6 in his home starts. My problem is that Dempster's just 2-11 with a 5.14 ERA in 15 career starts vs the Braves (teams are 6-9).
I like the Cubs here but that lifetime mark "curbs my enthusiasm."
Ben Burns
Today’s Free Pick
San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks Jul 7, 2009 9:40PM
PICK: over
REASON FOR PICK: With this evening's over/under line having fallen from 9.5 to nine, I feel we're getting some value with the 'over.'
The Diamondbacks have seen the 'over' go a lucrative 28-15-1 at home this season. That includes a 19-7-1 mark when playing a home game with a total of nine or 9.5 and a 9-1 record when favored at home in the -125 to -150 range.
The Padres have been a profitable 'under' team at home over the years. However, the opposite has been true when they've played away from pitcher-friendly Petco Park. Looking back more than a decade, we find the OVER at a profitable 539-432-52. That includes a 22-16-1 record this season, including a 9-3-1 mark when the total has been either nine or 9.5.
Davis has admittedly been tough of late and is having a strong season. This is the third time the Padres have seen him this season though and his lone home start against them this season produced 16 combined runs.
Correia has seen four of his six starts against Arizona finish above the number, including both this season. They each finished with double-digits in combined runs. Last time out, Correia was rocked for six runs in five innings.
The Padres bullpen has a poor 5.38 ERA and an ugly 1.705 WHIP on the road. Arizona's bullpen hasn't been much better here in the desert, as the Diamondback relievers have a combined 5.05 ERA at home.
Consider the Over.
Today’s Free Pick
San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks Jul 7, 2009 9:40PM
PICK: over
REASON FOR PICK: With this evening's over/under line having fallen from 9.5 to nine, I feel we're getting some value with the 'over.'
The Diamondbacks have seen the 'over' go a lucrative 28-15-1 at home this season. That includes a 19-7-1 mark when playing a home game with a total of nine or 9.5 and a 9-1 record when favored at home in the -125 to -150 range.
The Padres have been a profitable 'under' team at home over the years. However, the opposite has been true when they've played away from pitcher-friendly Petco Park. Looking back more than a decade, we find the OVER at a profitable 539-432-52. That includes a 22-16-1 record this season, including a 9-3-1 mark when the total has been either nine or 9.5.
Davis has admittedly been tough of late and is having a strong season. This is the third time the Padres have seen him this season though and his lone home start against them this season produced 16 combined runs.
Correia has seen four of his six starts against Arizona finish above the number, including both this season. They each finished with double-digits in combined runs. Last time out, Correia was rocked for six runs in five innings.
The Padres bullpen has a poor 5.38 ERA and an ugly 1.705 WHIP on the road. Arizona's bullpen hasn't been much better here in the desert, as the Diamondback relievers have a combined 5.05 ERA at home.
Consider the Over.
Dave Price
Bonus Play for 7/7/09
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies -139
Washington is just 9-30 on the road this season and 9-46 in its last 55 road games vs. a right-handed starter. I don't see the Nats beating the righty that Colorado is putting on the hill tonight as the Rockies are 7-1 in Hammel's last 8 starts and 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Nationals are 0-4 in Zimmermann's last 4 road starts and 0-4 in their last 4 meetings with the Rockies.
Cash in with Colorado.
1 Unit on Colorado Rockies -138
Bonus Play for 7/7/09
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies -139
Washington is just 9-30 on the road this season and 9-46 in its last 55 road games vs. a right-handed starter. I don't see the Nats beating the righty that Colorado is putting on the hill tonight as the Rockies are 7-1 in Hammel's last 8 starts and 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Nationals are 0-4 in Zimmermann's last 4 road starts and 0-4 in their last 4 meetings with the Rockies.
Cash in with Colorado.
1 Unit on Colorado Rockies -138
Vernon Croy
Bonus Play
Cleveland Indians vs. Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox -150
Take the Chicago White Sox on the Moneyline, This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and the White Sox have the superior pitcher on the mound tonight. Mark Buehrle (8-2, 3.09 ERA) has pitched solid at home this season with an ERA of just 2.88 over 59.3 innings and the White Sox are a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 games when Buehrle has started in game 1 of a series. The White Sox are a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 games against a lefty starter and Jeremy Sowers (2-6, 5.68) has struggled on the road this season with an ERA of 8.81 over 3 starts. The Indians are just 1-10 in Sowers last 11 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150 and they are just 0-9 in his last 9 road starts against a team with a winning record. Sowers is 0-5 in 6 career starts against the White Sox with an ERA of 7.72 and the White Sox are hitting .311 as a team over their last 7 games.
Take the Chicago White Sox as my MLB Bonus Play for Tuesday night.
Bonus Play
Cleveland Indians vs. Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox -150
Take the Chicago White Sox on the Moneyline, This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and the White Sox have the superior pitcher on the mound tonight. Mark Buehrle (8-2, 3.09 ERA) has pitched solid at home this season with an ERA of just 2.88 over 59.3 innings and the White Sox are a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 games when Buehrle has started in game 1 of a series. The White Sox are a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 games against a lefty starter and Jeremy Sowers (2-6, 5.68) has struggled on the road this season with an ERA of 8.81 over 3 starts. The Indians are just 1-10 in Sowers last 11 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150 and they are just 0-9 in his last 9 road starts against a team with a winning record. Sowers is 0-5 in 6 career starts against the White Sox with an ERA of 7.72 and the White Sox are hitting .311 as a team over their last 7 games.
Take the Chicago White Sox as my MLB Bonus Play for Tuesday night.
