Randall the Handle
Baltimore +1.36 over SEATTLE
Once again the M’s offer up very little as a favorite and that’s because of a lack of offense. Case in point was last night in which they allowed just a single run and lost 1-0. Now they’ll face a pitcher they’ve never seen in highly touted David Hernandez. Hernandez made his season debut last week against a much more dangerous Tigers club, allowing just a single run in 5.2 innings. That start came at Camden Yards, which is also tough on pitchers and now he’ll take his terrific start to one of the friendliest pitcher’s park in the business. Erik Bedard can definitely be tough but again, he pitches for a challenged offense and that’s why he has just three wins in nine starts. The Orioles love playing at this park and they love playing against this host, as their nine wins in the last 11 contests against the Mariners will attest to. Price is good and so are our chances of visiting the cashier. Play: Baltimore +1.36 (Risking 2 units).
Oakland +1.31 over CHICAGO (1st 5 innings)
Wagering on anything is all about finding some value, betting it and letting the chips fall where they may. The A’s are similar to the M’s in that both are very risky chalk bets but that isn’t the case here. The A’s have called up rookie Vin Mazzaro and this guy has completely dominated in the minors at every level. Mazzaro started ’08 at Double-A Midland, where he led the Texas League with 12 wins and a 1.90 ERA. Subsequently he was named Texas League Pitcher of the Year and a Texas League midseason and postseason All-Star. This year at the Triple-A level, pitching for the Sacramento River Cats, Mazzaro has thrown 56 innings and has allowed 42 hits and 15 earned runs for a 2.38 ERA and .205 BAA. He’s struck out 44 while walking just 17. The kid is ready for prime time. The South Side is warm at the moment but trusting Bartolo Colon could be a big mistake. Colon was scratched from yesterday’s start and the White Sox aren’t saying why. He has a high WHIP, a very average BAA of .272 and his 3.80 ERA is a little misleading as well. Colon has worked out of a number of jams, he’s been scorched in two of his last four starts and the fact that he was pushed back a day for this start should be concerning for anyone thinking of laying the lumber. The White Sox know nothing about Mazzaro and with his good stuff he has a great chance of taking this one to the sixth inning with a lead. Play: Oakland +1.31 in the first 5 innings (Risking 2 units).
Philadelphia +1.60 over SAN DIEGO
If I can take a gamble on the A’s at +1.40 I can absolutely take a shot on the Phillies at +1.60. Yeah, Jake Peavy is going but so what. The Phillies can bash, the Padres cannot and we’re taking back a giant tag on the much better offense. Antonio Bastardo will make his major league debut and this Dominican looks like the real deal. Bastardo is a southpaw that’s appeared in nine games for the Triple-A Lehigh Valley Iron Pigs. All he’s done is strikeout 39 batters in 34 innings while walking just seven. He posted a 1.82 ERA and a .178 BAA and in those 34 International League innings he allowed just one jack. The Phillies have now won four straight and teams always get a little extra juiced up when a top prospect arrives. The Padres have lost three of four and they already had their big run of the year. This is a bad Padres team that is beatable no matter who is pitching and the price here on the Phillies is a bit insane. Play: Philadelphia +1.60 (Risking 2 units).