WEEK 10 COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Bonus Play special to Who2beton from Alex Smart (currently on a 17-2 Football run with an 8-0 College rampage)
Despite only having a 4-3 record, the Rockets did put up offensive numbers against Ohio State and Syracuse - two of their three losses -- when they started the season 0-3 (Ohio State, Syracuse and Boise State) Their loss to Boise State was better than the final score (15-40), too. They are, unlike Northern Illinois, carrying more positive momentum into this Tuesday night College affair with four straight conference wins (at Temple, vs. E Michigan, at Bowling Green, vs. Miami of Ohio) and they get an additional advantage of playing on their own turf.
NIU's offense has been a model of inconsistency. Toledo's player personnel have gained an enormous amount of confidence operating in Tim Beckman's system for the third year.
Toledo's offense has been consistent all season long while NIU's offense has some skewed number - e.g. in a contest against the worst defense in Div 1 - Kansas - a game they were favored by 4 and lost with a second half meltdown.
On the stop side of the ball Toledo has the advantage as well. The Rockets are anchored by a solid run defense ranking 30th in the nation and 2nd in the conference to Temple, who they defeated 36-13 in a game where the Owls turned the ball over four times. The Rockets have been suspect against the pass - but these numbers are somewhat off center, too, ranking them 87th in the nation in efficiency.
Tuesday night's game has a more consistent Toledo team favored by 7 plus-the-hook over a visiting NIU squad that hasn't been nearly as consistent, especially on the road.
Defense Road Games The Huskies have allowed 43 points per game (19 in the first half), 30 first down per game, 216 (4.9) yards rushing and 357 (9.8) yards through the air.
Historically it has been very profitable to fade conference road underdogs in College Football when the oddsmakers set the home team as 3.5 to 10 point chalk -this when both teams are averaging more than 34 points per game. The trend is an amazing 23-3 over the last 10 college campaigns. The straight up record in this situation is even better, eliminating any pushes, a 90 percent proposition at 24-2. The average opening pointspread in these gameday situations has the home team favored by 6 and the average final score differential is 17 points.
Take Toledo - by the half point to -7 - and feel comfortable with your Tuesday night College investment.
For more daily free picks visit https://experts.who2beton.com/freepicks
Bonus Play special to Who2beton from Alex Smart (currently on a 17-2 Football run with an 8-0 College rampage)
Despite only having a 4-3 record, the Rockets did put up offensive numbers against Ohio State and Syracuse - two of their three losses -- when they started the season 0-3 (Ohio State, Syracuse and Boise State) Their loss to Boise State was better than the final score (15-40), too. They are, unlike Northern Illinois, carrying more positive momentum into this Tuesday night College affair with four straight conference wins (at Temple, vs. E Michigan, at Bowling Green, vs. Miami of Ohio) and they get an additional advantage of playing on their own turf.
NIU's offense has been a model of inconsistency. Toledo's player personnel have gained an enormous amount of confidence operating in Tim Beckman's system for the third year.
Toledo's offense has been consistent all season long while NIU's offense has some skewed number - e.g. in a contest against the worst defense in Div 1 - Kansas - a game they were favored by 4 and lost with a second half meltdown.
On the stop side of the ball Toledo has the advantage as well. The Rockets are anchored by a solid run defense ranking 30th in the nation and 2nd in the conference to Temple, who they defeated 36-13 in a game where the Owls turned the ball over four times. The Rockets have been suspect against the pass - but these numbers are somewhat off center, too, ranking them 87th in the nation in efficiency.
Tuesday night's game has a more consistent Toledo team favored by 7 plus-the-hook over a visiting NIU squad that hasn't been nearly as consistent, especially on the road.
Defense Road Games The Huskies have allowed 43 points per game (19 in the first half), 30 first down per game, 216 (4.9) yards rushing and 357 (9.8) yards through the air.
Historically it has been very profitable to fade conference road underdogs in College Football when the oddsmakers set the home team as 3.5 to 10 point chalk -this when both teams are averaging more than 34 points per game. The trend is an amazing 23-3 over the last 10 college campaigns. The straight up record in this situation is even better, eliminating any pushes, a 90 percent proposition at 24-2. The average opening pointspread in these gameday situations has the home team favored by 6 and the average final score differential is 17 points.
Take Toledo - by the half point to -7 - and feel comfortable with your Tuesday night College investment.
For more daily free picks visit https://experts.who2beton.com/freepicks
