Troy vs North Texas 11/6/2010

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Troy is a solid favorite with a 72% chance to beat North Texas. Shawn Southward is projected for 47 rushing yards and a 44% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 28% of simulations where North Texas wins, Chase Baine averages 1.48 TD passes vs 0.87 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.81 TDs to 0.98 interceptions. Lance Dunbar averages 136 rushing yards and 1.77 rushing TDs when North Texas wins and 120 yards and 1 TDs in losses. Troy has a 47% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 79% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NTEX +11.5

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