Troy vs Florida Atlantic 12/4/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Troy winning 53% of simulations, and Florida Atlantic 47% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Troy commits fewer turnovers in 37% of simulations and they go on to win 66% when they take care of the ball. Florida Atlantic wins 59% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Corey Robinson is averaging 289 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (32% chance) then he helps his team win 71%. Alfred Morris is averaging 129 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (41% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is FLATL +4.5

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