Trentmoney 2008 CFB

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a little late bc i still haven't finished my full amount but it has moved but i use this for my own record-keeping anyway

2* illini u52/51.5/51

usually don't recommend buying pts on total but 51 is strong number... should be around 47 imo

good luck
 

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Iowa game now at 7, buy the 1/2 point if you can!

I like your reasoning trent. I too think a touchdown or more is too much for a physical running game. I am just struggling to bet against my team on homecoming when I'll be there!
 

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3* va tech -28 (got half amount at -27.5)
yes, i feel dirty playing this... but would you rather take oklahoma or uf almost same number on road in conference?

2* nc st +8
1* nc st u42
now with wilson starting, nc st actually has the more settled qb situation... bc hasn't been on road since august, and that was more neutral vs kent @ cleveland... still only scored 21 pts, don't see why they're favored by more than a td on road in conference

2* alabama u45.5
i was on a plane all day so just posting now-i know this has moved but it was at 46 for most of the week... tide could pitch a shutout, uk solid on defense, alabama 65% run/pass ratio, if they're up 20-3 in 3rd qtr you could see 80% run

2* fsu u41.5
of 3 qbs to play , two are fresh and one soph first time starter against lots of speed on defense...

good luck
 

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3* oregon +15
see illinois @ penn st last week... just don't think there is over 2 tds difference btw these teams... 2 yrs ago w/ inconsistent qb play for oregon they were +8.5 @ usc... now we cross 10, 11, and 14

2* colorado
i forgot to post this as i got some @ 14, 13.5 and 13... would still take it at current number.
strictly my opinoin, but here's what i see:

missouri > texas
colorado > nebraska

if miss is -10 @ neb, then texas should be less @ colorado

good luck
 

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3* oregon +15
see illinois @ penn st last week... just don't think there is over 2 tds difference btw these teams... 2 yrs ago w/ inconsistent qb play for oregon they were +8.5 @ usc... now we cross 10, 11, and 14

2* colorado
i forgot to post this as i got some @ 14, 13.5 and 13... would still take it at current number.
strictly my opinoin, but here's what i see:

missouri > texas
colorado > nebraska

if miss is -10 @ neb, then texas should be less @ colorado

good luck
Trent...I've been waiting the Texas-Colorado line out. I'm hoping some more Texas money will come in and drive the line up to 13 to 13.5 again. This is the key number for me in that game to take Colorado. Much of what I put on this game will depend on what i do today if you know what I mean. Iowa is once again finding a way to blow a game...Ferenz is just awful.
 

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Trent...I've been waiting the Texas-Colorado line out. I'm hoping some more Texas money will come in and drive the line up to 13 to 13.5 again. This is the key number for me in that game to take Colorado. Much of what I put on this game will depend on what i do today if you know what I mean. Iowa is once again finding a way to blow a game...Ferenz is just awful.

gotta have faith GS, gotta have faith...

:toast:
 

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Nice call on Iowa today. Ferenz made some bad calls today, otherwise they might have won that game.

I ended up taking Hawkeyes after looking at their stats. I also liked the under and hit that hard.

Tex Tech and Illinois are looking good so far, hopefully Juice can keep the drives going in the 2nd half. Then it's on to the late games!

I like your Col call, think they can keep it close. Oregon scares me though. I'm staying away from that one, unless maybe it hits 17 (doubt it though)
 
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Nice call on Iowa today. Ferenz made some bad calls today, otherwise they might have won that game.

I ended up taking Hawkeyes after looking at their stats. I also liked the under and hit that hard.

Tex Tech and Illinois are looking good so far, hopefully Juice can keep the drives going in the 2nd half. Then it's on to the late games!

I like your Col call, think they can keep it close. Oregon scares me though. I'm staying away from that one, unless maybe it hits 17 (doubt it though)

i think i'm going to spend a little more time on b10 considering i hit both plays this week as well as my one b10 play last week

:toast:
 

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i've searched everywhere for my future plays and they must have disappeared the weekend the site went down so re-posting...

az st u8.5 -130
-have to win out for me to lose

miami u8 -130
-again, have to win out for me to lose

purdue u7 -140
-have to go 6-1 for me to lose

kinda funny that all 3 teams have the same 2-3 record!!

nc title:
(in order from largest to smallest wager)

uf +650
-still possible
ohio st +1200
-highly unlikely
missouri +2000
-right where i thought they would be
usf +6500
-took a shot...

conference titles:
oh st +140
-should come down to penn st game in 3 weeks
clemson +250
-in the wacky world of the acc this play is still alive, though obviously not as attractive as before the season
oklahoma +210
-right where i thought they would be
 

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i think i'm going to spend a little more time on b10 considering i hit both plays this week as well as my one b10 play last week

:toast:

Funny that you mention that because I look to your advice for B10 eevry week.

You seem to consistently win on your B10 plays.
 

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posting this now before dr bob or steam pushes it higher

8* missouri -14

i don't need to rehash all the superlatives about the mizz offense...i will just say this:

Missouri does NOT have a GREAT offense.

Missouri is on the verge of having a HISTORIC offense.

it's the perfect confluence of system, continuity, and talent...and heisman voters will be forced to give the award to chase daniel after he finishes the seaon w/ over 40 tds and less than 5 ints

rather than spend time analyzing mizz offense, just check out ok st defense.
on the road.
in conference.

TRAP ALERT:
i know everyone loves the total, but i think this one might go under...i know that sounds blasphemous, but it would not surprise me at all to see 52-27, 55-24, 59-21 as scores in this game, none of which would go over the total

good luck
 

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posting this now before dr bob or steam pushes it higher

8* missouri -14

i don't need to rehash all the superlatives about the mizz offense...i will just say this:

Missouri does NOT have a GREAT offense.

Missouri is on the verge of having a HISTORIC offense.

it's the perfect confluence of system, continuity, and talent...and heisman voters will be forced to give the award to chase daniel after he finishes the seaon w/ over 40 tds and less than 5 ints

rather than spend time analyzing mizz offense, just check out ok st defense.
on the road.
in conference.

TRAP ALERT:
i know everyone loves the total, but i think this one might go under...i know that sounds blasphemous, but it would not surprise me at all to see 52-27, 55-24, 59-21 as scores in this game, none of which would go over the total

good luck
Trent...I agree with you here...But I haven't decided how strong I want to make the play..I was thinking at first that it might be a sandwich spot for Mizzou...But games that are on Primetime TV with another top 20 team are NEVER sandwich games. Like I stated here during the summer, I thought that Mizzou had the best chance of any team to win the Big 12 this season. I'm still kicking myself for not picking them over Nebraska last week...But I have a long standing policy with myself to never give double digits on the road in the Big 12. In the long run you come out in the red when you do this. I think the 80 number is a good betable number for both sides on the total. But my feeling is in these kinds of games, one side takes over the momentum, and the other side struggles to score..So the over total may have to depend on Mizzou to get all of the points..And I'm not sure that 60 minutes is enough time in a game for one team to get it done..It will be close if Brandon Pettigrew can play..If he can't, then I fear this could be a runaway and OSU will be held below 28 points..Either way you look at it, Pettigrew has been out for 2 games now, and won't be 100% for this game..And he is Robinson's go to man and second leading receiver on the team....Good luck
 

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Trent...I agree with you here...But I haven't decided how strong I want to make the play..I was thinking at first that it might be a sandwich spot for Mizzou...But games that are on Primetime TV with another top 20 team are NEVER sandwich games. Like I stated here during the summer, I thought that Mizzou had the best chance of any team to win the Big 12 this season. I'm still kicking myself for not picking them over Nebraska last week...But I have a long standing policy with myself to never give double digits on the road in the Big 12. In the long run you come out in the red when you do this. I think the 80 number is a good betable number for both sides on the total. But my feeling is in these kinds of games, one side takes over the momentum, and the other side struggles to score..So the over total may have to depend on Mizzou to get all of the points..And I'm not sure that 60 minutes is enough time in a game for one team to get it done..It will be close if Brandon Pettigrew can play..If he can't, then I fear this could be a runaway and OSU will be held below 28 points..Either way you look at it, Pettigrew has been out for 2 games now, and won't be 100% for this game..And he is Robinson's go to man and second leading receiver on the team....Good luck

i have the same policy regarding DD conference favs but i think when it comes to elite teams i might have to reconsider... kansas as DD conf fav did not cover, as i don't consider them elite. but mizz, ok, and tex all covered easily as DD favs

ok st hasn't been on the road since since august... now they get to go to the best offense in the country at night

as far as sandwich game goes, which i see a lot of people talking about, i don't think it matters... this team is a veteran team and they just had a bye week... i'm sure all they were focused on during that bye was this 3-game stretch @ neb, home ok st, @ texas knowing if they get through it they have a path to b12 title game as well as NC game... most coaches don't let up the week before a big game as they want their team clicking on all cylinders... just look at oklahoma and texas last week. i think mizz comes in focused and doesn't take the foot off the pedal

:toast:
 

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6* illinois -11/12.5

can't see young gopher squad coming in and slowing down illinois offense which has put up over 500 yds vs missouri and @ michigan and almost 400 @ penn st

last yr illinois was laying more pts @ minnesota, and while the gophers have improved i think this line should be closer to 17 than 14

good luck
 

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Northwestern +3 is another team I like in your conference this week...They are the running dogs..Illinois appears to be hitting their stride as long as Zook don't screw the pooch.
 

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Northwestern +3 is another team I like in your conference this week...They are the running dogs..Illinois appears to be hitting their stride as long as Zook don't screw the pooch.

i got them as soon as it opened @ +3.5 but it kinda doesn't make sense to post it now that it's down to +1 but i got it for 5*... would still take it at current line but for only 2*. northwestern defensive strength is the run, which is mich st offensive gameplan... you saw last week what happens to spartan offense when ringer is contained (only 16 pts)... NW should be able to pass on mich st as well-mich st defense has given up 67 pts and almost 1000 yds offense in their 2 road games this season

:toast:
 

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i got them as soon as it opened @ +3.5 but it kinda doesn't make sense to post it now that it's down to +1 but i got it for 5*... would still take it at current line but for only 2*. northwestern defensive strength is the run, which is mich st offensive gameplan... you saw last week what happens to spartan offense when ringer is contained (only 16 pts)... NW should be able to pass on mich st as well-mich st defense has given up 67 pts and almost 1000 yds offense in their 2 road games this season

:toast:
Something else I like about NW is after the bye week QB Bacher should be 100% for this game..I believe that his injury (injury to throwing hand) has been the main reason for Northwestern not scoring as much as they should against Ohio.. After the rest he and this team should be primed for a good game. After watching MSU the last few weeks, it just looks to me like they are getting too one deminisional and conservative and depending on Ringer too much..At this rate this kid is going to get worn down. If he isn't already is. Plus I haven't been impressed with Hoyer. I can see NW stacking the line and making him beat them, which in my opnion he can't.
 

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3* indiana over
2* indiana +5

kellen lewis has feasted on iowa secondary last 2 years, putting up over 30 pts each game... i got over 42/43/44 and expect this to fly over as it should have been no lower than 47.5... indiana lowest posted total so far is 53, iowa highest posted total 48 last week @ mich st... line should probably be somewhere between imo

iowa weakness on defense is their secondary and this will be the most dynamic qb they've faced so far... iowa on 3 game losing streak yet favored on the road... games decided by 1, 5, and 3 so getting 5 is fine with me

good luck
 

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