TRENCH INDEX - WEEK FIVE
By: VegasJack
Over the past week I have been back testing data based on a wide selection of statistics. After compiling two years of data, I have narrowed thirteen statistics down to just five. These are the five statistics I feel most precisely predict the strength of a teams offensive and defensive line. After in-putting point spread data, I discovered that these stats are accurate and beneficial. Rather then posting results from the previous two seasons, I will let you establish your own opinion of these statistics based on the results in upcoming weeks.
NOTE: Of the two years I back tested, Weeks One to Four were thrown out. I believe that after four games a true ranking is generated. After week four stats are no longer inflated or deadlocked among multiple teams. Week Five will begin the documentation despite the 12-4 record I posted in Week Four.
The O-Line Ranking is generated based on league rankings (1-32) on the following statistics.
- QB Sacks Allowed Per Game
- QB Hit Per Game
- Rush Yards Per Game
- Power Run Success Rate (3rd and 2/Goal To Go Or Less Success Rate)
- Stuffed Runs Per Game (Runs Of No Gain Or Negative Result)
The D-Line Ranking is generated based on league rankings (1-32) on the following statistics.
- QB Sacks Per Game
- Yards Per Rush Attempt Allowed
- Passes Deflected
- Forced Fumbles
- Rush Yards Per Game Allowed
Here are your up to date rankings going into Week Five.
OFFENSIVE LINE RATINGS WEEK FIVE:
1 Houston Texans 25
2 Oakland Raiders 29
3 Buffalo Bills 45
4 New England Patriots 46
5 Green Bay Packers 55
6 Baltimore Ravens 56
7 New Orleans Saints 57
8 Minnesota Vikings 59
9 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 67
10 San Diego Chargers 70
11 Kansas City Chiefs 72
12 Washington Redskins 72
13 Carolina Panthers 73
14 Jacksonville Jaguars 73
15 Cincinnati Bengals 78
16 Arizona Cardinals 79
17 Miami Dolphins 79
18 Philadelphia Eagles 80
19 Tennessee Titans 87
20 Indianapolis Colts 95
21 New York Giants 96
22 Dallas Cowboys 98
23 Denver Broncos 101
24 Detroit Lions 107
25 Chicago Bears 109
26 Cleveland Browns 109
27 San Francisco 49ers 111
28 Pittsburgh Steelers 119
29 Seattle Seahawks 120
30 St. Louis Rams 123
31 Atlanta Falcons 126
32 New York Jets 127
DEFENSIVE LINE RATINGS WEEK FIVE:
1 Baltimore Ravens 24
2 San Francisco 49ers 32
3 Green Bay Packers 40
4 Dallas Cowboys 43
5 Tennessee Titans 47
6 Arizona Cardinals 48
7 New York Giants 49
8 Cincinnati Bengals 55
9 New Orleans Saints 59
10 Washington Redskins 61
11 Minnesota Vikings 63
12 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 66
13 Cleveland Browns 69
14 Houston Texans 71
15 Jacksonville Jaguars 78
16 Detroit Lions 90
17 New England Patriots 91
18 Atlanta Falcons 93
19 Chicago Bears 93
20 Oakland Raiders 93
21 Seattle Seahawks 94
22 New York Jets 96
23 Indianapolis Colts 97
24 Buffalo Bills 98
25 San Diego Chargers 100
26 Denver Broncos 102
27 Kansas City Chiefs 105
28 Philadelphia Eagles 108
29 Miami Dolphins 109
30 Carolina Panthers 112
31 St. Louis Rams 116
32 Pittsburgh Steelers 128
TEAM (O LINE/D LINE):
New Orleans Saints(7/9)
Carolina Panthers (13/30)
*FAVORITE DOUBLE ADVANTAGE
New Orleans +27
Philadelphia Eagles (18/28)
Buffalo Bills (3/24)
*UNDERDOG DOUBLE ADVANTAGE
Buffalo +19
Seattle Seahawks (29/21)
New York Giants (21/7)
*FAVORITE DOUBLE ADVANTAGE
New York +22
Cincinnati Bengals (15/8)
Jacksonville Jaguars (14/15)
Cincinnati +6
Kansas City Chiefs (11/27)
Indianapolis Colts (20/23)
Kansas City +5
Tennessee Titans (19/5)
Pittsburgh Steelers (28/32)
*UNDERDOG DOUBLE ADVANTAGE
Teneesee +36
Arizona Cardinals (16/6)
Minnesota Vikings (8/11)
Arizona +3
Oakland Raiders (2/20)
Houston Texans (1/14)
*FAOVIRTE DOUBLE ADVANTAGE
Houston +7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9/12)
San Francisco 49ers (27/2)
Tampa Bay +8
New York Jets (32/22)
New England Patriots (4/17)
*FAVORITE DOUBLE ADVANTAGE
New England +33
San Diego Chargers (10/25)
Denver Broncos (23/26)
*FAVORITE DOUBLE ADVANTAGE
San Diego +14
Green Bay Packers (5/3)
Atlanta Falcons (31/18)
*FAVORITE DOUBLE ADVANTAGE
Green Bay +41
Chicago Bears (25/19)
Detroit Lions (24/16)
*FAVORITE DOUBLE ADVANTAGE
Detroit +4
WEEK FIVE TRENDS:
Favorite Double Advantage:
There are seven games this week where the favorite has the double advantage.
Green Bay +41
New England +33
New Orleans +27
New York +22
San Diego +14
Houston +7
Detroit +4
Underdog Double Advantage:
There are two games this week where the underdog has the double advantage.
Tennessee +36
Buffalo +19
Worst Offensive Lines:
There are three games this week with offensive line ratings over 45.
Seattle New York +50
Chicago Green Bay +49
Tennessee Pittsburgh +47
Worst Defensive Lines:
There are three games this week with defensive line ratings over 45.
Philadelphia Buffalo +52
San Diego Denver +51
Kansas City Indianapolis +50
Best Offensive Lines:
There are two games this week with offensive line ratings under 20.
New Orleans Carolina +20
Houston Oakland +3
Best Defensive Lines:
There are two games this week with defensive line ratings under 20.
Arizona Minnesota +17
Tampa Bay San Francisco +14
WEEK FIVE ANALYSIS:
The strongest favorite is Green Bay -5.5.
The strongest underdog is Tennessee +3.
The strongest over play is Houston Oakland Over 48.
The strongest under play is Tampa Bay San Francisco Under 42
BEST BET: Tennessee Titans +3
Good Luck in Week Five.
-VJ (<)<
By: VegasJack
Over the past week I have been back testing data based on a wide selection of statistics. After compiling two years of data, I have narrowed thirteen statistics down to just five. These are the five statistics I feel most precisely predict the strength of a teams offensive and defensive line. After in-putting point spread data, I discovered that these stats are accurate and beneficial. Rather then posting results from the previous two seasons, I will let you establish your own opinion of these statistics based on the results in upcoming weeks.
NOTE: Of the two years I back tested, Weeks One to Four were thrown out. I believe that after four games a true ranking is generated. After week four stats are no longer inflated or deadlocked among multiple teams. Week Five will begin the documentation despite the 12-4 record I posted in Week Four.
The O-Line Ranking is generated based on league rankings (1-32) on the following statistics.
- QB Sacks Allowed Per Game
- QB Hit Per Game
- Rush Yards Per Game
- Power Run Success Rate (3rd and 2/Goal To Go Or Less Success Rate)
- Stuffed Runs Per Game (Runs Of No Gain Or Negative Result)
The D-Line Ranking is generated based on league rankings (1-32) on the following statistics.
- QB Sacks Per Game
- Yards Per Rush Attempt Allowed
- Passes Deflected
- Forced Fumbles
- Rush Yards Per Game Allowed
Here are your up to date rankings going into Week Five.
OFFENSIVE LINE RATINGS WEEK FIVE:
1 Houston Texans 25
2 Oakland Raiders 29
3 Buffalo Bills 45
4 New England Patriots 46
5 Green Bay Packers 55
6 Baltimore Ravens 56
7 New Orleans Saints 57
8 Minnesota Vikings 59
9 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 67
10 San Diego Chargers 70
11 Kansas City Chiefs 72
12 Washington Redskins 72
13 Carolina Panthers 73
14 Jacksonville Jaguars 73
15 Cincinnati Bengals 78
16 Arizona Cardinals 79
17 Miami Dolphins 79
18 Philadelphia Eagles 80
19 Tennessee Titans 87
20 Indianapolis Colts 95
21 New York Giants 96
22 Dallas Cowboys 98
23 Denver Broncos 101
24 Detroit Lions 107
25 Chicago Bears 109
26 Cleveland Browns 109
27 San Francisco 49ers 111
28 Pittsburgh Steelers 119
29 Seattle Seahawks 120
30 St. Louis Rams 123
31 Atlanta Falcons 126
32 New York Jets 127
DEFENSIVE LINE RATINGS WEEK FIVE:
1 Baltimore Ravens 24
2 San Francisco 49ers 32
3 Green Bay Packers 40
4 Dallas Cowboys 43
5 Tennessee Titans 47
6 Arizona Cardinals 48
7 New York Giants 49
8 Cincinnati Bengals 55
9 New Orleans Saints 59
10 Washington Redskins 61
11 Minnesota Vikings 63
12 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 66
13 Cleveland Browns 69
14 Houston Texans 71
15 Jacksonville Jaguars 78
16 Detroit Lions 90
17 New England Patriots 91
18 Atlanta Falcons 93
19 Chicago Bears 93
20 Oakland Raiders 93
21 Seattle Seahawks 94
22 New York Jets 96
23 Indianapolis Colts 97
24 Buffalo Bills 98
25 San Diego Chargers 100
26 Denver Broncos 102
27 Kansas City Chiefs 105
28 Philadelphia Eagles 108
29 Miami Dolphins 109
30 Carolina Panthers 112
31 St. Louis Rams 116
32 Pittsburgh Steelers 128
TEAM (O LINE/D LINE):
New Orleans Saints(7/9)
Carolina Panthers (13/30)
*FAVORITE DOUBLE ADVANTAGE
New Orleans +27
Philadelphia Eagles (18/28)
Buffalo Bills (3/24)
*UNDERDOG DOUBLE ADVANTAGE
Buffalo +19
Seattle Seahawks (29/21)
New York Giants (21/7)
*FAVORITE DOUBLE ADVANTAGE
New York +22
Cincinnati Bengals (15/8)
Jacksonville Jaguars (14/15)
Cincinnati +6
Kansas City Chiefs (11/27)
Indianapolis Colts (20/23)
Kansas City +5
Tennessee Titans (19/5)
Pittsburgh Steelers (28/32)
*UNDERDOG DOUBLE ADVANTAGE
Teneesee +36
Arizona Cardinals (16/6)
Minnesota Vikings (8/11)
Arizona +3
Oakland Raiders (2/20)
Houston Texans (1/14)
*FAOVIRTE DOUBLE ADVANTAGE
Houston +7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9/12)
San Francisco 49ers (27/2)
Tampa Bay +8
New York Jets (32/22)
New England Patriots (4/17)
*FAVORITE DOUBLE ADVANTAGE
New England +33
San Diego Chargers (10/25)
Denver Broncos (23/26)
*FAVORITE DOUBLE ADVANTAGE
San Diego +14
Green Bay Packers (5/3)
Atlanta Falcons (31/18)
*FAVORITE DOUBLE ADVANTAGE
Green Bay +41
Chicago Bears (25/19)
Detroit Lions (24/16)
*FAVORITE DOUBLE ADVANTAGE
Detroit +4
WEEK FIVE TRENDS:
Favorite Double Advantage:
There are seven games this week where the favorite has the double advantage.
Green Bay +41
New England +33
New Orleans +27
New York +22
San Diego +14
Houston +7
Detroit +4
Underdog Double Advantage:
There are two games this week where the underdog has the double advantage.
Tennessee +36
Buffalo +19
Worst Offensive Lines:
There are three games this week with offensive line ratings over 45.
Seattle New York +50
Chicago Green Bay +49
Tennessee Pittsburgh +47
Worst Defensive Lines:
There are three games this week with defensive line ratings over 45.
Philadelphia Buffalo +52
San Diego Denver +51
Kansas City Indianapolis +50
Best Offensive Lines:
There are two games this week with offensive line ratings under 20.
New Orleans Carolina +20
Houston Oakland +3
Best Defensive Lines:
There are two games this week with defensive line ratings under 20.
Arizona Minnesota +17
Tampa Bay San Francisco +14
WEEK FIVE ANALYSIS:
The strongest favorite is Green Bay -5.5.
The strongest underdog is Tennessee +3.
The strongest over play is Houston Oakland Over 48.
The strongest under play is Tampa Bay San Francisco Under 42
BEST BET: Tennessee Titans +3
Good Luck in Week Five.
-VJ (<)<
