Toyota/Save Mart 350 Picks

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Sep 3, 2005
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Match-Ups

5.00 units Boris Said (-115@bodog)over Ron Fellows
I make this same play every time there is a road-course event(except for Watkins Glen)and its hit the majority of the time. Both are very good on this type of track, Said just finishes it off a lot more than Fellows. Said has three Top 10's the last four races at Infineon.

4.00 units Elliott Sadler(-130@bodog)over Kasey Kahne
Many people do not realize how good of a road-course driver Sadler has become. Only one finish outside the Top 15 in the last eight starts and five of those were Top 10's. On the flip side Kahne has only one Top 15 finish on a road course in his short career(14th at the Glen in '04).

3.00 units Jeff Gordon(+150@sportsbook)over Tony Stewart
At this price I've got to bite. I think Gordon comes from the back to take a shot at winning this thing. Stewart is the favorite to win but I can't see him being favored by that much over Gordon. Both are excellent on the roadies but the 24 has been good and lucky this year, hard to go against that.

3.00 units Juan Montoya(+135@sportsbook)over Robby Gordon
I think Montoya is out to win at all costs today my only concern is that he may be over-aggressive and screw up along the way. He has the skills to put a tricycle up front on a road course and if he can stay cool he is definite Top 3-5 at the end with a chance to win. Gordon may be there too but his luck is soooooo bad I wouldn't want to bet on it.

3.00 units Denny Hamlin(+150@sportsbook)over Kevin Harvick
Like the value here too. Hamlin has been pretty good on road-courses with a 12th and a 10th in '06 as well as a win in Mexico in The Busch Series. Harvick has had some success as well but I'm thinking he may be getting a little too much love with this line.

Props

2.00 units Ryan Newman(+335@thegreek)to win group
over Harvick/Ku. Busch/Fellows/Earnhardt jr

2.00 units Juan Montoya(-130@sportsbook)to finish better than 11.5

2.00 units Kevin Harvick(-130@sportsbook)to finish worse than 6.5

Parlay

1.00 unit

Said (+110)over R. Gordon
Newman(-125)over Fellows
Hamlin(-110)over Johnson
Rudd(-150)over T.Labonte

Pays 11 to 1 @wsex

Outrights

1.00 unit Jeff Gordon to win (6 to 1@sportsbook)

0.50 unit Elliot Sadler to win (75 to 1@sportsbook)


YTD Totals

+66.30 units (Match-Ups)
+02.95 units (Props)**
-00.50 units (Parlays)
-13.25units(Outrights)

Total: +55.50 units

**Adjusted total (made future prop bets for Michigan instead of race prop bets, had them scored and figured into my total mistakenly)

Good luck and enjoy the race!
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Joined
Dec 30, 2006
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Good stuff.Thanks for posting it.:103631605

Love the Harvick over 6.5. That's my best bet on the race.Glad to see others like it as well.
 

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