Toterion's Tennis Bets 2011

[Toterion]

I've been making a nice profit so far this year betting on tennis and thought: why not share my picks publicly? So here goes with today's bets.

Bets are placed on Bwin and Fonbet.

2* Berdych tb. Almagro 1.57
0.5* Berdych tb. Almagro 2-0 2.5
1* Kuznetsova tb. Sharapova 3.2
1* Petkovic tb. Kvitova 2.0
1* Simon tb. Ferrer 2.3
1* Monfils tb. Kohlschreiber 1.8
1* Peer tb. Peng 2.25
1* Djokovic - Stepanek Under 19.5 games 1.8

 

[Toterion]

Nice first day to get things rolling here. 6-2 on the day, making for a nice 3.79 unit profit. Today's picks will follow.

 

[Toterion]

Today's list:

2* Berdych tb. Federer 4.7
2* Berdych +4.5 tb. Federer 1.69
1* Fish tb. Nadal 2.35

 

[Toterion]

ADD:

1* Petrova tb. Petkovic 2.35

 

[Toterion]

Would have swept had I not added the Petrova bet. Oh well, still a huge day winning almost 9 units.

YTD 9W-3L +12.23 units

Today's picks:

1* Berdych tb. Djokovic 4.8
1* Berdych +4.5 tb. Djokovic 1.86
1* Murray -1.5 tb. Fish 2.0

 

[Toterion]

Unfortunately Berdych couldn't close out a 5-3 lead in the first set and subsequently retired with an arm injury. Bets were voided so with the Murray win that makes for another 1 unit profit on the day.

Probably no bets today, but here's (some of) tomorrow's list:

YTD 10W-3L +13.23 units

1.5* Petrova tb. Hercog 1.45
1* Vinci tb. Hradecka 1.5
1* Tomic tb. Andreev 1.53
1* Niculescu tb. Pironkova 2.35

 

[Toterion]

Adds:

3* Cibulkova tb. Lucic 1.3
2* K. Bondarenko tb. Amanmuradova 1.4
1* Jovanovski tb. Dulko 1.65
1* Cetkovska 2-0 tb. Carla Suarez Navarro 1.95
1* Gajdosova 2-0 tb. Cirstea 1.9

 

[Toterion]

Adds:

1* Harrison 2-0 tb. Hanescu 2.08
1* Harrison tb. Hanescu 1.45

 

[Toterion]

3-3 last night, grinding out another 0.1 unit in profit.

Current list with open and freshly added bets:

YTD 13W-6L +13.33 units

3* Cibulkova tb. Lucic 1.3
1.5* Petrova tb. Hercog 1.45
1* Vinci tb. Hradecka 1.5
1* Harrison 2-0 tb. Hanescu 2.08
1* Harrison tb. Hanescu 1.45
1* Peng 2-0 tb. Oudin 1.667
1* Pervak tb. Medina Garrigues 2.3
1* Cetkovska tb. Morita 1.5
1* Jankovic 2-0 tb. Vesnina 1.615
1* Haase tb. Blake 2.4
1* Kavcic tb. Hewitt 3.2
1* Scheepers tb. Kerber 2.15

 

[Toterion]

Another day of marginal profit, but profit nonetheless: 5-4, gaining 0.05 unit.

YTD 18W-10L +13.38 units

Today's bets:

2* Roger-Vasselin +5.5 tb. Roddick 1.7
2* Golubev tb. Stakhovsky 2.425
1* Jankovic 2-0 tb. Vesnina 1.615
1* Haase tb. Blake 2.4
1* Kamke tb. Monaco 2.24
1* Tursunov 2-0 tb. Darcis 2.05
1* Harrison tb. Anderson 2.4

 

[Toterion]

Add:

1* Istomin tb. Nieminen 2.1

 

[Toterion]

Wow, rough day. Istomin and Golubev just came up short in tough 3-setters but that doesn't help us: 1-6, losing 6.6 units. Ouch. Well, can't be winning every day.

YTD 19W-16L +6.78 units

Today's bets:

2* Cibulkova tb. Bondarenko 1.533
1* Vesnina tb. Medina Garrigues 2.3
1* Cirstea tb. Rezai 2.05

 

[Toterion]

Late add due to line movement:

1* Vinci tb. Pavlyuchenkova 2.4

 

[Toterion]

After the hot start here we're cold as ice at the moment... 0-4 dropping another 5 units. Just the one pick for today...

YTD 19W-21L +1.78 units

1* K. Bondarenko +4.5 tb. Lisicki 1.85

 

[Toterion]

ADD:

1* Czink tb. Krajicek 1.85
1* Robson tb. Zhang 1.72

 

[Toterion]

Too bad Czink blew a one set lead against Krajicek or we would have had a very welcome sweep. Still we took home well over a unit on the day.

YTD 21W-23L +2.10 units

Today's bets:

1* Wozniacki 2-0 tb. Cetkovska 1.75
1* Rezai +5.5 tb. Lisicki 1.85
1* Rezai tb. Lisicki 5.25

Although Lisicki has been in great form recently and clearly the favorite in the final, I feel she's being overrated here. Rezai is working her way back into form and if she plays well she does have all the weapons to take home the W. Plus, she likes to play big hitters. The moneyline is definitely worth a shot here.

Also, I have been placing some early US Open bets already:

1* Verdasco tb. Nieminen 1.5
1* Nishikori tb. Cipolla 1.45
1* Youzhny tb. Gulbis 1.9
1* Rezai tb. Pennetta 2.8
1* Kavcic tb. Ljubicic 2.5

And two US Open specials:

1* McHale best American woman (without Serena Williams) 9.00
1* Youzhny best Russian 2.75

I also placed a bet on Serena to win the Open just after Wimbledon when the odds were 6.00 but I won't count that one in my record because it was placed so long ago.

 

[Toterion]

Oh wow, I actually forgot to post the Isner - Roddick match on here, but for the record, I did post it here http://forum.punterslounge.com/f19/...11-ytd-21w-23l-2-10-units-120337/#post1997492, so I'll count it in my YTD record:

 

[Toterion]

YTD 22W-25L +0.85 units

Current chart:

1* Dulgheru +6.5 tb. Kvitova 1.9
1* K. Bondarenko tb. Hradecka 1.5
1* Verdasco tb. Nieminen 1.5
1* Nishikori tb. Cipolla 1.45
1* Youzhny tb. Gulbis 1.9
1* Rezai tb. Pennetta 2.8
1* Kavcic tb. Ljubicic 2.5

And two US Open specials:

1* McHale best American woman (without Serena Williams) 9.00
1* Youzhny best Russian 2.75

 

[Webby]

I went with you on Dulgheru match, great cappin!!! Really appreciate the play.

 

[Toterion]

Thanks.

ADDS:

1* Hercog tb. Mattek Sands 1.952
1* Giraldo +9.5 tb. Federer 1.833
0.5* Dolonts tb. Venus Williams 6.25