Toronto vs Detroit on 01/12 by horseracingfans

Since 1995, NHL favorites off a win as home favorites in which they allowed 1 or 2 goals are 1289-736 (63.7%; +3.6% ROI), including 167-78 (68.2%; +6.1% ROI) since 2020 and 44-9 (83%; +25.1% ROI) since 2022, winning by an average margin of +1.51 goals per game. Since 2016, NHL road favorites of -140 or greater are 309-143 (68.4%; +7% ROI) versus opponents off a win, winning by an average of +0.87 goals per game. Since 2016, NHL home underdogs looking to avenge a loss by three or more goals are just 10-42 (19.2%) following a home win in which they scored four-plus goals, losing by an average of 1.3 goals per game.
This situation is 4-20 (16.7%) over the last three seasons. Finally, NHL road favorites from Game 24 out coming off a game as favorites are 555-297 (65.1%; +12.3% ROI) since 2010 versus .400 or greater opposition, winning by an average of +0.73 goals per game. NHL Pick BET ON Toronto Maple Leafs .