Tony Sanchez - new UNLV coach (former LV HS coach)

[CoachCB]

UNLV Getting no Love from Sports Books:


Things aren’t expected to go well for new UNLV football coach Tony Sanchez when he leads the Rebels out on the field at Sam Boyd Stadium for the first time, at least according to the bookmakers.


UNLV has been installed as a 32-point underdog for its home opener against UCLA on Sept. 12 at the Golden Nugget sports book, which posted lines on many key college football games throughout the season on Friday.


It doesn’t get a whole lot easier for Sanchez’s team from there. They are significant underdogs in each of the six games posted.


UNLV is a 33-point underdog at MIchigan on Sept. 19 and a 14-point underdog to UNR in Reno on Oct. 3.


The Rebels are getting 12 points at Fresno State on Oct. 16.


Boise State is a 28.5-point favorite at Sam Boyd Stadium on Halloween. The Rebels are catching 16 points at home against San Diego State three weeks later.
UNLV opens the season at Northern Illinois on Sept. 5. No line for that game was posted at the Golden Nugget.

 

[cloverleaf]

My take is UNLV is in for a disastrous season and this guy is way over his head. Unless they play New Mexico every game, not sure were the Rebs pick up a win. This team has Division II talent at best........

Not pulling against them, just think its a pitiful situation right now.

 

[CoachCB]

UNLV O/U 2.5 wins?

http://www.reviewjournal.com/column...ough-find-three-wins-unlv-sanchezs-first-year


Sanchez is not going to tell his players to expect to get massacred this season and wait until next year, even if that's what everyone else is thinking. The Rebels play 12 regular-season games, and every sports book has posted their win total at 2 ½.


"My take is the Rebels are going to have their worst team in Sanchez's history and struggle through it," Miller said. "But I honestly think, looking at the schedule, they could stumble into three wins. If I was to bet, I would bet it over."


The Golden Nugget made "Over" 2 ½ the favorite at minus-130. At the Westgate, "Under" 2 ½ is the favorite at minus-150.
"Money just trickles in on both sides, so the line has not moved," Westgate sports book director Jay Kornegay said, adding a laugh as he looked at UNLV's first three games.

UNLV is an underdog by a total of 86 points in the first three weeks — plus-21 at Northern Illinois on Sept. 5, plus-32 at home against UCLA and plus-33 at Michigan. So, starting 0-3 is a safe assumption.


"What is troubling for the Rebels is that schedule, especially early," said The Gold Sheet handicapper Bruce Marshall. "I wonder if that team is going to get really beaten up and won't be able to recover. It's going to be tough to get over 2 ½. I think the max might be three wins. If they do better than 3-9, I would be really surprised. Who can they beat?"

 

[cloverleaf]

Bet $100 against UNLV every lined game this season and you will win spending money.

I could give you reasons but if you are interested...do some homework.

 

[CoachCB]

Bet $100 against UNLV every lined game this season and you will win spending money.

I could give you reasons but if you are interested...do some homework.

Probably not a bad strategy. They have a serious lack of talent. Some of those lines are pretty big though...

 

[GoSooners]

Bet the overs when UNLV plays at home. Over the last decade UNLV is 14 points better at home than they are on the road. It doesn't mean they'll cover, it just means your more likely to get a higher scoring game...

 

[rolltide]

Bet the overs when UNLV plays at home. Over the last decade UNLV is 14 points better at home than they are on the road. It doesn't mean they'll cover, it just means your more likely to get a higher scoring game...

here's the #'s...

games	ATS W - L- P (marg, %win)	Avg Line	OU W - L- P (marg, %over)	Avg Total	SU W - L- P (marg, %win)	SDQL
1	0-1-0 (-15.50, 0.0%)	6.5	0-1-0 (-4.00, 0.0%)	54.0	0-1-0 (-22.00, 0.0%)	site = neutral
57	29-24-3 (0.67, 54.7%)	5.3	28-25-1 (3.10, 52.8%)	54.6	23-34-0 (-3.75, 40.4%)	site = home
54	16-35-3 (-6.32, 31.4%)	14.7	30-24-0 (1.19, 55.6%)	54.5	6-48-0 (-21.06, 11.1%)	site = away

2006 and 2007 they were heavy unders so if you drop those years....

45	23-20-2 (1.02, 53.5%)	4.3	23-19-1 (2.55, 54.8%)	56.4	20-25-0 (-3.31, 44.4%)	site = home
42	14-26-2 (-6.79, 35.0%)	15.4	26-16-0 (2.55, 61.9%)	56.4	5-37-0 (-22.21, 11.9%)	site = away

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[rivercitybirdie]

great start for mr sanchez!!!! ...... had an inkling to play this but my non-insane side said don't do it. ditto eastern michigan.

 

[rivercitybirdie]

simple question,

on a system type basis, are you better off to TAIL or FADE UNLV's home/road differential? ... seems tons of people play these types of angles. was surprised in a recent thread how many people know about UNLV's differential..... these things could reverse big time esp. with new coach

and as per a recent discussion, it seems like UNLV is terrible on the road as opposed to visiting teams getting lost in the vegas nightlife. it is hard to figure home vs. road and which factors more as there are very few neutral site games for UNLV.

 

[rivercitybirdie]

LOL, i jinxed then... NIllinois with a TD

 

[CoachCB]

Not a bad debut. What was the line? I think he turns it around there...but it's going to take a couple of years. They just can't recruit well there.

 

[CoachCB]

Sanchez is 3-1 ATS so far.

Game this week has been bet down from -12 to -7 vs. UNR....expecting a sellout:

http://www.reviewjournal.com/sports/unlv-rebels/football/unlv-unr-game-might-be-sellout