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Tom and Jerry picks of NFL 2016-2017 season thread. Let get that money!
- Thread starter TomandJerry
- Start date
New York Giants +4.5 ....[2u]
on the paper they are top 5 defense, Minnesota show up the new stadium tonight? Could be a win, but how many team open new stadium with a win? I dont' know but I don't like the situation brought up to take a team. on the schedule, YY will play another prime time game SNF next week at Green Bay that make me like the YY tonight game with a comfortable 4.5 point dog. Better QB, better Wrs, could be a ugly low scoring game but I don't like that as mush as the points. Final 22-25 Giants win.
on the paper they are top 5 defense, Minnesota show up the new stadium tonight? Could be a win, but how many team open new stadium with a win? I dont' know but I don't like the situation brought up to take a team. on the schedule, YY will play another prime time game SNF next week at Green Bay that make me like the YY tonight game with a comfortable 4.5 point dog. Better QB, better Wrs, could be a ugly low scoring game but I don't like that as mush as the points. Final 22-25 Giants win.
Thoughts on some games NFL week 5
Viking - Texans: Viking continues success and seem like there is no trap or any connection that can pull them down the road of covering against the spread and whatever line in the total, this defense is refused to slow down and maintain their form as number two seed in total defense behind Denver. Houston first three games went UNDER while last game went OVER with a great effort from the Titans. On the other side, Viking first game and only game went OVER, followed 3 consecutive games went UNDER the total. The total was set at 40 and I think this purple defense will do the same or even better the Pats defense to shut down Houston offense once again in two week. Brock O. is so so quarter back, he got strong support from Denver defense but Houston defense is not anywhere near at level. Leaning strong on the Viking to cover the spread again and the under on the total. Viking offense seemed slow down a bit last MNF to let the Giants catch up with them in points but Elia lost one of his high heel and couldn't get the job done. Defense keep playing strong and keep this team unbeaten until week 11 vs Arizona.
Viking - Texans: Viking continues success and seem like there is no trap or any connection that can pull them down the road of covering against the spread and whatever line in the total, this defense is refused to slow down and maintain their form as number two seed in total defense behind Denver. Houston first three games went UNDER while last game went OVER with a great effort from the Titans. On the other side, Viking first game and only game went OVER, followed 3 consecutive games went UNDER the total. The total was set at 40 and I think this purple defense will do the same or even better the Pats defense to shut down Houston offense once again in two week. Brock O. is so so quarter back, he got strong support from Denver defense but Houston defense is not anywhere near at level. Leaning strong on the Viking to cover the spread again and the under on the total. Viking offense seemed slow down a bit last MNF to let the Giants catch up with them in points but Elia lost one of his high heel and couldn't get the job done. Defense keep playing strong and keep this team unbeaten until week 11 vs Arizona.
Arizona - San Francisco: losing Bowman is a big loss to the forty nine, even without the starting quarter back and I somehow from last week to the next two weeks, the favor have a big chance to cover the spread. Arizona lost to NE, BUF and LA all 3 have strong defense, only the LA defense just slowly pick up the speed as I assume they were still sleeping in week 1 vs SF and their offense was actually asleep that week too. Arizona will run the ball with David Johnson, he is better than C. Hyde in my opinion; not even mention 3 athletic receivers from the red birds. Talking about the total, Arizona had 3 games went Under and the forty nine split even at 50% OU in the last 4 weeks. Strong lean on Arizona and the Under 43 since two teams will run the ball most of the time in game.
Tennessee - Miami : The Titans relied heavy on their running game with Henry and Murray in the back field while Miami is still finding their -sync in offense and the strong defense on the paper but not reality. Both teams defenses are non-exit since both allowed over 125 running and over 250 passing. When the Titans played the Raiders, their defense seem lost bx the Raiders possessed too many talent on the receiver corps but Miami only has one, Landry. Double up this guy and the Titans will have the second win of the season. Talking of that, but if I have to pick, I like Miami. Somehow the Titans did terrible job on play calling and had made many stupid plays in the last 4 weeks and I did not see them know how to get a win in their winnable game so far. Again, Miami have their second home game of the season and moreover, this week Jag is off, Tampa Bay play Carolina on MNF, a win for Miami at home is an motivation for the state of Florida. Strong lean on Miami -3.5 and the Under 43.5.
Chicago - Indianapolis: the Colts happy offense keep scoring while their defense is totally sleep walking help pushing their team went total OVER thee times in the last four. Chicago showed some life on the offense scoring 17 points in two consecutive weeks vs Dallas and Detroit; so expecting the Bears will do the same. The Colts traveled to London then back to their home without the bye week like any other team and is due for a big win in a rare situation. The important thing is Chicago do not have the talent receivers like the Jackass and therefore they will lay flat on the road again and Hoyer needs more weapons to throw to and Bears running back still haven't find himself just yet. Colts 23-17.
Seattle win 4u [first 4u play of the year]
Jackass win 2u
Chika win 2u
adding Baltimore lost, U48 and U44 loss [should stick to all week working; short time thinking cut my profit into 1/2]
I may have a play on SNF or MNF. BOL to all.
Hey man - new user on this forum, really liking it a lot. Have been capping for a couple years, and this seems like it'll be a great resource going forward with a lot of like-minded people.
Question for you. Short-time thinking and impulse bets typically do me in as well. What day/time do you typically place your bets? Does it vary? I find that I'm always chomping at the bit to get some plays in where I see some early value - just wanted another perspective, always learning. Cheers!
Hey man - new user on this forum, really liking it a lot. Have been capping for a couple years, and this seems like it'll be a great resource going forward with a lot of like-minded people.
Question for you. Short-time thinking and impulse bets typically do me in as well. What day/time do you typically place your bets? Does it vary? I find that I'm always chomping at the bit to get some plays in where I see some early value - just wanted another perspective, always learning. Cheers!
Impulse bets are actually one of my lean play during the week but it was weak and feel like "I am not really make a bargain playing it". Then Sunday morning, things happen and as a habit I log in and besides, reading some good rep poster here in Rx, they play same as my lean so I add in 1 unit play here and there. So, again, money management and personally I think don't play more than 7 plays a week.
With around 10 years of betting, in and out, win this and loss another, typically I don't make early bet if the number was not in my favor; for instance liking the Denver -3 [just sample, not this week play] I would place it before it hit 3.5. So the question is what if things happen or for unknown reason, line went low to -2.5? Well that's the future, nobody know and the -3 line seem like good enough to place a bet on the favor I like the most. It is all about the number you like, and is it in your favor or against your favor? [either favor or dog]
Talking about this week line, I see some people like the Eagles very much and line -2.5 so they should jump on it now; if others like Detroit they have to wait until 3 or 3.5 or it may never happen, but it is ok for them.
MONEY MANAGEMENT
1 account under over 1k: just play total every week with team like Colts, Saints, Chargers, Atlanta PLAY the OVER every week 1 unit at the closing line. and on these team Bills, Vikings, Denver, Houston .......PLAY the UNDER every week 1 unit at the closing line. I believe book can recognize that, so I switch with another book so they don't pay attention on me. [think book can adjust line on specific account]
On the other book, play the same but just 1/4 the amount of 1 unit. Also all other plays are plays that followed rep poster here in the Rx and one parlay include 4 teams that they plays [each of them at least sweep the board 1 out of 10 week; some of them do sweep the board 2,3 times in 10 weeks for a 4 team parlay] again, profit is profit.
MONEY MANAGEMENT play for $ or for fun? Play for what you like [fun] Play with thinking [$] I believe no one like to spend time study the sport and just play for fun [going out with family or straight to the casino, more fun on the live action]
Most of my big bet I will place with my local unless line is against my favor. So, with 3 books in hand, they don't bother me even with little profit that make.
Good luck.
1 account under over 1k: just play total every week with team like Colts, Saints, Chargers, Atlanta PLAY the OVER every week 1 unit at the closing line. and on these team Bills, Vikings, Denver, Houston .......PLAY the UNDER every week 1 unit at the closing line. I believe book can recognize that, so I switch with another book so they don't pay attention on me. [think book can adjust line on specific account]
On the other book, play the same but just 1/4 the amount of 1 unit. Also all other plays are plays that followed rep poster here in the Rx and one parlay include 4 teams that they plays [each of them at least sweep the board 1 out of 10 week; some of them do sweep the board 2,3 times in 10 weeks for a 4 team parlay] again, profit is profit.
MONEY MANAGEMENT play for $ or for fun? Play for what you like [fun] Play with thinking [$] I believe no one like to spend time study the sport and just play for fun [going out with family or straight to the casino, more fun on the live action]
Most of my big bet I will place with my local unless line is against my favor. So, with 3 books in hand, they don't bother me even with little profit that make.
Good luck.
