Tom and Jerry picks of NFL 2016-2017 season thread. Let get that money!

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NFL WEEK 3
MIAMI -9.5 [2] L
TITANS +1 [2] L
DENVER +3 [2] W
COLTS -1.5 [2] W
CAR ML + BOYS ML [2] L
TAMPA -5.5 [1] L
PHILA +3.5 [1] W
adding
Ravens-1 [2] W
Green Bay -6.5 [1] W
Buffalo [1] W
Under [1] L

6-5 YTD: 10-12-0

onto week 4
 

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Week 4, unbeaten team [Bal, Den, NE, Viking] vs team with winning %, from 2006 until now.

week = 4 and p:W and pp:W and ppp:W and o:WP > 51 and season >= 2006
SU:
8-6-0 (1.64, 57.1%)
ATS:
7-7-0 (-0.25, 50.0%)
avg line: -1.9
+6: 11-3-0 (78.6%)
O/U:
9-4-1 (2.79, 69.2%)
avg total: 44.9
+6: 6-8-0 (42.9%)
Rushes
Rush Yds
Passes
Comp
Pass Yds
TOs
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Final
Team
24.0
116.7
34.0
21.0
220.7
1.8
3.6
7.1
5.9
7.9
24.6
Opp
27.6
121.4
36.1
23.6
244.2
2.1
3.8
11.4
3.9
3.9
23.0

Week 4, unbeaten team [Bal, Den, NE, Viking] vs team with losing % and total is less than 46.5 , from 2006 now.

week = 4 and p:W and pp:W and ppp:W and o:WP < 51 and total < 46.5 and season >= 2006
SU:
10-5-0 (7.73, 66.7%)
ATS:
10-5-0 (3.43, 66.7%)
avg line: -4.3
O/U:
10-5-0 (2.00, 66.7%)
avg total: 42.0
Rushes
Rush Yds
Passes
Comp
Pass Yds
TOs
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Final
Team
25.3
89.6
34.7
21.7
242.9
1.5
5.7
5.3
5.5
9.1
25.9
Opp
26.0
128.6
36.0
21.5
226.4
2.3
2.4
4.8
2.9
8.0
18.1

Week 4, unbeaten team, favor more than 3 points from 2007 to now

week = 4 and p:W and pp:W and ppp:W and F and line <= -3 and season >= 2007
SU:
21-5-0 (12.42, 80.8%)
ATS:
18-8-0 (4.90, 69.2%)
avg line: -7.5
O/U:
18-7-1 (4.21, 72.0%)
avg total: 45.3
Rushes
Rush Yds
Passes
Comp
Pass Yds
TOs
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Final
Team
27.5
114.7
34.8
22.7
263.5
1.2
6.3
8.7
8.7
7.2
31.0
Opp
25.5
122.7
34.5
20.7
223.7
2.2
2.5
6.5
2.5
7.1
18.5
 

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Unbeaten on week 4, when line is less than 6 from 2007

week = 4 and p:W and pp:W and ppp:W and F and line <= 6 and season >= 2007
SU:23-6-0 (11.38, 79.3%)
ATS:20-9-0 (4.45, 69.0%)
O/U:20-8-1 (3.74, 71.4%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team27.3113.534.322.3255.41.26.27.98.07.529.8
Opp25.7123.035.221.2228.22.22.27.02.36.918.4
DateWeekSeasonTeamOppQ3Q4FinalLineTotalATSrOUr
Sep 29, 201342013ChiefsGiants7-014-031-7-4.044.0WU
Sep 29, 201342013SeahawksTexans3-014-023-20-2.542.0WO
Sep 29, 201342013BroncosEagles21-010-752-20-10.558.0WO
Sep 30, 201342013SaintsDolphins14-03-738-17-7.048.5WO
Oct 04, 201542015BengalsChiefs15-37-636-21-4.045.0WO
Oct 04, 201542015BroncosVikings7-03-1023-20-6.543.0LP
Oct 04, 201542015PanthersBuccaneers14-76-637-23-3.040.5WO
Oct 04, 201542015CardinalsRams3-710-722-24-6.543.5LO
Oct 04, 201542015FalconsTexans14-06-2148-21-6.047.0WO
Oct 04, 201542015PackersFortyniners10-00-017-3-7.548.0WU
Oct 02, 201642016Broncos
Buccaneers-3.044.5
Oct 02, 201642016Patriots
Bills-4.0
Oct 02, 201642016Ravens
Raiders-3.546.5
Oct 03, 201642016Vikings
Giants-4.043.5
 

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NC and AD and p:AL and pp:L and total < 46 and line > 6 and op:AW and season >= 2007
SU:6-18-0 (-7.79, 25.0%)
ATS:17-7-0 (2.96, 70.8%) avg line: 10.8
O/U:11-13-0 (-0.98, 45.8%) avg total: 41.6
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team23.786.531.318.5193.41.93.55.02.95.016.4
Opp29.9123.834.721.5236.01.65.68.15.54.824.2
DateWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteFinalLineTotalSUrATSrOUr
Sep 28, 201442014BuccaneersSteelersaway27-247.045.0WWO
Nov 02, 201492014RaidersSeahawksaway24-3013.544.0LWO
Dec 14, 2014152014FortyninersSeahawksaway7-179.538.0LLU
Dec 13, 2015142015FalconsPanthersaway0-388.545.5LLU
Oct 02, 201642016Browns
Redskinsaway7.545.5



And for the O/U record:
ATLANTA, DENVER AND WASHINGTON ALL 3 WENT OVER LAST 3 GAMES.
HOUSTON WENT UNDER LAST 3 GAMES.

BUF, CLE, DAL, SF WENT OVER LAST 2 GAMES.
TEN, PIT, MIN, KC WENT UNDER LAST 2 GAMES.

Those are in my notes.
 

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Thanks for inviting me over Tom and Jerry. These stats you have posted clearly shows a big edge for all the unbeatens at least in week 4. It backs up my own opinion on the Denver pick for sure. But anything can happen in the NFL right?
Good luck with your plays!
 

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NFL week 4

First game that I like the most is the Sea chickens. Across the country? And different time zone? No, problem since you are in pro football. Logically, you can be better after you shit the bed badly just a week ago. You can limit your mistake but you can not turn 360 degree that fast. On the number, Seattle is number 2 on block passing ppg and Frizmagic just did the ugly job last week. Furthermore, Seattle win this game and goes to the BYE week and people will forget about them. What happen with the Jets? They will go to Pits and try to do something out of it. Eric Decker is out. This guy is an important piece on Jets O#, Fitzmagic most comfortable target for long shot and med shotgun throw. By the way, Jets is the most pick overall in the big contest and second in top 20 leaders; to me, it's not a good sign.With the low line, this is my first 5 units of the season. Seattle -1 [-120] for 480 to win 400. Good luck!
 

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Washington -7.5 Maybe I will learn something after this game about the Redskins or if I was right they should shutdown the Browns and have a comfortable field day. Norman will show his life and Cousins should have 4 tds pass to his athletic receiving corps. Both team defense ranking is about the same 300yrs passing and 125 yrs rushing allowed after 3 games, so this game is a test for the Skins defense to show the world or at least for me to see that I can bet on them as a favor role. The worst part is in last 8 occasions as a favorite sine 2014 season, they had covered just only once.One unit for a parlay Skins -7' [7.5] and U47 and Ravens ML and NE ML. Good luck.
 

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Chicago Bears game of the year for them. If this dog can't bark this time, they will get ugly after today. For this week, San Francisco will be in the same situation. The different is Bears play @ noon and the 49 play in the afternoon. Another show for the Lions as they repeat their week 2 performance on the road. This time may be they can limit their penalties to under 20 times to help the Bears moving the dan ball down field. This is just a spot bet in which you put your money in and hope for the win, hope the Bears can show some life, Detroit will shit the bed, but Chicago must limit mistake and find some ways to move the ball. On the tap, Detroit @ home vs Eagles next week, and a win from today will go to them next week at home, not now, on the road. Detroit should win around 8-9 games this season and that's enough for the playoff spot run, if not, they don't care, still 8-8, 9-7 type season. My 2 units on the Bears. Good luck.
 

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London game means over, over and over. With high percentage of over in the total , especially Indianapolis and Jacksonville fire offensive line they should score 70 in the total. Public money is on Indianapolis so I put my money on Jags. On the paper, Jags have better defensive which rank 8th and Indianapolis' rank 23rd. Allen Brothers and Ivory will get the job done for the first time of the year. Jags play many years in London and everyone there knows this team shit the bed every time; This is the right time for the Jaguars prove themselves, otherwise they have to wait for another year or longer [they may not play in London next year though] so the motivation is there with them. My second 2 unit play of the day is on the Jackass. Good luck.
 

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Seattle win 4u [first 4u play of the year]
Jackass win 2u
Chika win 2u
adding Baltimore lost, U48 and U44 loss [should stick to all week working; short time thinking cut my profit into 1/2]

I may have a play on SNF or MNF. BOL to all.
 

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Over all record 13 win - 15 loss; I don't post unit bx number of made plays on both are equaled.
So every 7 lost I will count as an extra lost for juice. Play of the year will be 4u to 6u [depend on the bankroll] and it is a rare play.
 

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