Thursday Service Play Thread 03/30/2023

[BuzzKill]

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[dough]

It's Opening Day and here is a list of some teams that have streaks going on opening day games

SF 10-4 last 14
NYY 5-1 last 6
ATL 11-3 last 14
Wash 2-7 last 9
Det 14-2 last 16
Tex 2-7 last 9
KC 7-2 last 9
Tor 1-10 last 11
STL 6-3 last 9
SD 7-3 last 10
Mets 9-2 last 11
HOUST 10-0 LAST 10 (MLB RECORD)
Angels 3-7 last 10
Sea 9-1 last 10
Ariz 11-5 last 16
LAD 12-3 last 15

 

[BuzzKill]

Please don't post any Bigal.com handicappers, much appreciated!

------

Spartan-Pregame

9-arizona+155

 

[dough]

Opening day starting pitchers vs their opponents

Fried 6-4 with 4.52 era vs Wash
Corbin 6-7 with 3.48 era vs ATL

Gibson 3-4 with 3.38 era vs Bost
Kluber 3-1 with 2.92 era vs Balt (0-4 on opening day)

Nola 1st career start vs Texas
Degrom 9-1 with 2.17 era vs Phil (3-0 on opening day)

Keller 1-4 with 6.80 era vs Cin
Greene 0-1 with 0.68 era vs Pitt (one of his starts was no-hitter lost 1-0)

Manoah 1st career start vs STL
Mikolas 0-0 with 4.56 era vs Tor

Marquez 9-3 with 4.47 era vs SD
Snell 1-1 with 5.26 era vs Colo

Scherzer 15-5 with 2.94 era vs Mia
Alcantara 3-5 with 2.97 era vs Mets

Ohtani 2-2 with 5.21 era vs Oak
Muller 1st career start vs LAA

Gallen 1-2 with 2.30 era vs LAD
Urias 6-1 with 1.77 era vs Ariz

Back later with rest

 

[dough]

Tokyo Brandon MLB

5% Det/TB under 6.5
5% Mets/MIA Under 6.5

 

[dough]

Rest of opening day pitching match ups

Webb 1st start vs NYY
Cole 5-1 with 3.15 era vs SF

Burnes 0-1 with 2.37 era vs Cubs
Stroman 2-1 with 2.36 era vs Brewers

Rodriguez 2-5 with 5.59 era vs TB
McClanahan 1-2 with 2.95 era vs DET

Lopez 1st start vs KC
Greinke 5-13 with 4.55 era vs MINN

Cease 0-3 with 6.30 era vs Astros
Valdez 3-1 with 3.41 era vs WSOX

Bieber 1-2 with 3.19 era vs SEA
Castillo 1-3 with 5.04 era vs CLE

 

[dough]

Burns MLB

4% Cin

 

[dough]

Cokin MLB

5% Brewers Under 85.5 Wins

 

[pickmaster2000]

IntPicks

Free Pick of the day

MLB
#986
Take Yankees ML (-178)

They were +3,646 at 110/unit last season in MLB.

Recent record for NBA & NCAAB:
78-37 (68%) last 115 picks

 

[bribux]

asianhandicap1x2
EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE WOMEN – PLAY OFFS
Wolfsburg W – Paris SG W
Wolfsburg W -0.75 @ 1.95

 

[bribux]

under2goals uk
ROMANIA: LIGA 2 – CHAMPIONSHIP GROUP
Otelul – Steaua
Under 2.5

 

[bribux]

totalgoalsvip com
GERMANY: JUNIOREN BUNDESLIGA PLAY OFFS
Walldorf U19 – Freiburg U19
Over 3.5

 

[bribux]

bet-my-ticket
Sakaryaspor – Eyupspor : Over 2 @ 1.50
Jaguares de Cordoba – Llaneros : Over 1.5 @ 1.45
Total Odds : 2.17

 

[BuzzKill]

Ashley's army members

angels -1.5

angels / as over 7

ashley's champagne room

dbacks +1.5 | dbacks/dodgers under 7.5

 

[BuzzKill]

Drew Martin

5% [MLB] Kansas City Royals under 69.5 Season Wins
Time: 4:10 PM EDT Kansas City Royals under 69.5 Season Wins
Analysis: Right off the top we are looking to take advantage of the MLB "rules" changes for this upcoming season. In our opinion change is the best way to win in sports betting and using change in the landscape of 2023 should be profitable on the bases. Schedule change is at the top of the list and the Central division teams, particularly those that are not projected to have solid 2023 campaigns is what we are hammering.
The Royals have a dismal pitching staff for both the starting and relief sides of the equation and a low strikeout rate. The no shifting new rule will hurt Kansis City as well due to the lack of swing and miss arms. KC had 65 wins last season and this year projects worse by our numbers. Highly doubt this team gets to 70 wins on the season. bet under- Let's cash!
Betting Line Provider: MGM

Mar 30 3% [MLB] Cincinnati Reds under 66 season wins
Time: 7:10 PM EDT Cincinnati Reds under 66 season wins
Analysis: Same theme as the KC under, we are looking to take advantage of the MLB "rules" changes for this upcoming season. In our opinion change is the best way to win in sports betting and using change in the landscape of 2023 should be profitable on the bases. Schedule change is at the top of the list and the central division teams, particularly those that are not projected to have solid 2023 campaigns is what we are hammering.
Cincinnati has a top heavy rotation of Greene, Lodolo and Ashcraft. After that it is a big drop-off and a bullpen that might compete for the worst in baseball by the end of summer. Great American Ball Park is one of the most hitter friendly park's in MLB and with likely a short leash with the young arms at the top of the rotation and a lack of depth after, possible recipe for disaster. The Reds offensively did not do enough over the offseason to improve from last year. Long season in the Queen City, flirt with 100 losses. Bet under- Let's cash!
Betting Line Provider: Caesars

Mar 30 3% [MLB] San Diego Padres Over 93.5 Season Wins
Time: 10:10 PM EDT San Diego Padres Over 93.5 Season Wins
Analysis: Padres owner and private equity tycoon Peter Seidler did not hold back spending big dollars, signing Xander Boggerts to an 11 year $280 million dollar contract. Also, remember the Padres pulled off one of the biggest trades of the decade by acquiring Juan Soto last year, setting up the heart of the lineup: Tatis, Soto, Machado and Bogaerts. The most feared quartet of hitters in MLB for 2023. The South Korean, Ha-Seong Kim, who had over an .830 OPS for six straight years in the KBO, who enters his age 27 season (young for Asian League prospect) is projected to bat leadoff.
Last season the Friars finished a game short of 90 wins, at (89-73) and went on an impressive postseason run all the way to the National League Championship series. This year the season win total sits at 93.5 and the World Series futures market is priced in the (+1000) range.
Dominant pitching staff with the top three of the rotation, Darvish, Musgrove, Snell. Bullpen dynamics are always a tough spring training handicap, although Josh Hader in the closer role, following Suarez and Garcia makes for a sizzling 7, 8, 9 inning shut the door pen setup. To “bet on” the sexy offseason squad does come with a downside. Usually the public intrigue brings a tax in the betting markets, however the Padres have triple digit win possibilities in 2023. We recommend a wager on the over 93 wins for the Padres.
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line

Mar 30 3% [MLB] (989) Toronto Blue Jays at (990) St. Louis Cardinals
Time: 4:10 PM EDT Toronto Blue Jays -108 A Manoah (RHP) Must Start

 

[dough]

Griffen Warner

CBB 3* UAB
MLB 3* Sea

 

[dough]

Goodfella

2* UAB ML

 

[kimbelt]

TAMPA SPORTS OPENING DAY WINNER

SAN FRAN +1.5 & M.LINE

 

[dough]

Essler

3* NBA GOY - NO +6.5

 

[BuzzKill]

Matt Severance

NHL | FLORIDA @ MONTREAL | 03/30 | 7:00 PM EDT
MONTREAL +1.5 -130
ANALYSIS: Florida is playing a potential playoff preview in Toronto tonight (Wednesday) and really nothing good can happen for the Cats there in terms of playing 24 hours later. The Habs have won three of five overall and at home have been beating teams above their paygrade much of the season at Bell Centre. We'll take the +1.5, though. Florida is 2-12 in its past 14 in the second of a B2B. It's also a third game in four nights in fourth in six. I am tempted to take Montreal to win outright ...

MLB | MINNESOTA @ KANSAS CITY | 03/30 | 4:10 PM EDT
KANSAS CITY +1.5 -135
ANALYSIS: You are going to see me taking home teams on the runline often -- especially when it's cheaper than the visiting team winning on the moneyline as is the case here. It's new Twins right-hander Pablo Lopez on the bump, and he was meh this spring. He cost Minnesota AL batting champion Luis Arraez via trade with the Marlins. Zack Greinke goes for KC. He had a 1.91 ERA last year at home. This will mark his 7th career Opening Day start. At 39 years, 160 days old, Greinke will be the oldest Opening Day starter in Royals history, For what it's worth, the Royals have been raking this spring.

CBB | UAB @ NORTH TEXAS | 03/30 | 9:40 PM EDT
UAB -127
ANALYSIS: NIT title game from Las Vegas on Thursday and the fourth meeting this season between the C-USA foes. North Texas won the first two and UAB the most recent in the C-USA Tournament. This will be the last game as members of that league with both (and others) headed to the AAC next season. The Mean Green haven't had big man Abou Ousmane in this tournament other than the opener for personal reasons, and he's not expected here. He was huge in the two UNT wins over UAB during the season. His absence is the difference for me.

MLB | COLORADO @ SAN DIEGO | 03/30 | 9:40 PM EDT
SAN DIEGO -215
ANALYSIS: This is nearly as high as I will go -- like hockey, I don't much like -1.5 runlines. It's German Marquez on the mound for the Rox, who should be one of the worst teams in the majors. He had a 5.00 ERA last season. No Fernando Tatis Jr. for the Friars yet but Xander Bogaerts makes his debut. It's lefty Blake Snell for San Diego. He finished strong last season with a 2.23 FIP and 2.19 ERA in his final 14 starts.