Thursday 8/10/17 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff ...

[NewYorkKnight]

Trends - LA Dodgers at Arizona



W/L Trends


LA Dodgers
•Dodgers are 10-1 in their last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
• Dodgers are 24-3 in their last 27 games vs. a left-handed starter.
• Dodgers are 45-8 in their last 53 overall.
• Dodgers are 45-8 in their last 53 games on grass.
• Dodgers are 43-9 in their last 52 games following a win.
• Dodgers are 13-3 in their last 16 vs. National League West.
• Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 Thursday games.
• Dodgers are 23-6 in their last 29 vs. a team with a winning record.
• Dodgers are 21-6 in their last 27 road games.
• Dodgers are 59-24 in their last 83 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Dodgers are 41-17 in their last 58 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Dodgers are 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
• Dodgers are 36-17 in their last 53 during game 3 of a series.



Arizona
•Diamondbacks are 8-2 in their last 10 Thursday games.
• Diamondbacks are 5-2 in their last 7 games following a loss.
• Diamondbacks are 41-19 in their last 60 home games.
• Diamondbacks are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• Diamondbacks are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. National League West.


OU Trends


LA Dodgers
•Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 vs. National League West.
• Under is 7-1 in Dodgers last 8 games following a win.
• Under is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 overall.
• Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games.
• Under is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 on grass.
• Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Under is 4-1-1 in Dodgers last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
• Over is 6-2 in Dodgers last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Over is 18-6-3 in Dodgers last 27 Thursday games.
• Under is 5-2 in Dodgers last 7 during game 3 of a series.
• Under is 7-3 in Dodgers last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.



Arizona
•Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
• Over is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Over is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 during game 3 of a series.
• Over is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 Thursday games.
• Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
• Under is 10-4 in Diamondbacks last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• Under is 5-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Under is 7-3-1 in Diamondbacks last 11 vs. National League West.


Head to Head


•Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
• Dodgers are 48-22 in the last 70 meetings.



Umpire Trends - Hunter Wendelstedt


•Under is 4-0 in Wendelstedts last 4 Thursday games behind home plate.
• Over is 4-1-1 in Wendelstedts last 6 games behind home plate.
• Road team is 12-4 in Wendelstedts last 16 Thursday games behind home plate.
• Under is 6-2 in Wendelstedts last 8 games behind home plate vs. Arizona.
• Road team is 6-2 in Wendelstedts last 8 games behind home plate vs. Los Angeles.
• Road team is 10-4 in Wendelstedts last 14 games behind home plate vs. Arizona.
• Dodgers are 7-3 in their last 10 games with Wendelstedt behind home plate.
• Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 Thursday games with Wendelstedt behind home plate.
• Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 games with Wendelstedt behind home plate.

 

[NewYorkKnight]

GAME: Baltimore Orioles (56-58) at Oakland Athletics (50-64)
DATE/TIME: Thursday, August 10 - 10:05 PM EST
WHERE: Oakland Coliseum, Oakland, California
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A





Preview: Orioles at Athletics

Gracenote

Aug 9, 2017


The Baltimore Orioles have been showing signs of a solid burst but consecutive losses dimmed those prospects. Baltimore will look to get back on track and further its American League wild-card aspirations when it opens a four-game road series against the Oakland Athletics on Thursday.

The Orioles were motoring with eight victories in 10 contests before dropping the final two of a three-game set against the Los Angeles Angels. The setbacks leave Baltimore 2 1/2 games out in the tightly bunched competition for the AL's second wild card. The Athletics dropped both parts of a two-game series against the Seattle Mariners to begin a nine-game homestand. Oakland slugger Khris Davis launched his 31st homer in Wednesday's 6-3 setback and has gone deep in each of the past three games.

TV: 10:05 p.m. ET, MASN2 (Baltimore), NBCSN California (Oakland)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Orioles LH Wade Miley (5-9, 5.51 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Chris Smith (0-1, 4.82)

Miley allowed two runs and four hits over five innings in each of his last two starts after experiencing a tough stretch. The 30-year-old allowed five or more runs in four of his previous five outings and had a horrific 9.78 ERA during the span. Miley is 2-1 with a 1.80 in three career starts against Oakland but has struggled with Marcus Semien (4-for-11).

Smith is making his fifth major league start - all this season - and is looking for his first win as a starter. The 36-year-old journeyman joined the team last month and became the oldest player in franchise history to make his first big-league start. Smith's most-recent appearance was in relief against the San Francisco Giants and he gave up four runs on five hits in four innings.

WALK-OFFS

1. Orioles DH/RF Mark Trumbo (ribcage) was activated prior to Wednesday's game and went 0-for-3 with two strikeouts.

2. Oakland 3B Matt Chapman went 1-for-8 with five strikeouts in the series versus Seattle.

3. Baltimore OF Joey Rickard (bruised left eye) departed Wednesday's contest after being hit in the helmet by a pitch and will be re-evaluated on Thursday.

PREDICTION: Orioles 7, Athletics 5

 

[NewYorkKnight]

Trends - Baltimore at Oakland




W/L Trends


Baltimore
•Orioles are 5-11 in their last 16 games following a loss.
• Orioles are 5-11 in their last 16 during game 1 of a series.
• Orioles are 12-28 in their last 40 road games.
• Orioles are 9-21 in their last 30 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Orioles are 2-5 in their last 7 Thursday games.
• Orioles are 7-22 in their last 29 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Orioles are 4-1 in Mileys last 5 starts on grass.
• Orioles are 5-2 in Mileys last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Orioles are 2-5 in Mileys last 7 road starts.
• Orioles are 3-10 in Mileys last 13 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.



Oakland
•Athletics are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
• Athletics are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
• Athletics are 7-15 in their last 22 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Athletics are 17-40 in their last 57 during game 1 of a series.
• Athletics are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter.
• Athletics are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
• Athletics are 1-4 in their last 5 Thursday games.
• Athletics are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League East.


OU Trends


Baltimore
•Under is 6-0 in Orioles last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Under is 6-0 in Orioles last 6 games following a loss.
• Under is 7-0 in Orioles last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Under is 11-1-1 in Orioles last 13 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Under is 9-1 in Orioles last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Under is 9-1 in Orioles last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
• Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 road games.
• Under is 12-2 in Orioles last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 overall.
• Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
• Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 on grass.
• Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 vs. American League West.
• Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 during game 1 of a series.
• Under is 4-1 in Mileys last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Over is 4-1 in Mileys last 5 starts overall.
• Over is 6-2 in Mileys last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
• Over is 11-5 in Mileys last 16 road starts.



Oakland
•Over is 4-0 in Athletics last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Over is 6-0 in Athletics last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
• Over is 6-0-2 in Athletics last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
• Over is 3-0-1 in Athletics last 4 during game 1 of a series.
• Over is 7-1-2 in Athletics last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
• Over is 5-1 in Athletics last 6 Thursday games.
• Over is 5-1-2 in Athletics last 8 home games.
• Under is 7-2 in Athletics last 9 vs. American League East.
• Under is 6-2-2 in Athletics last 10 games following a loss.
• Over is 8-3-2 in Athletics last 13 overall.
• Over is 5-2-1 in Athletics last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Over is 10-4-2 in Athletics last 16 on grass.
• Over is 31-15-5 in Athletics last 51 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
• Under is 3-0-1 in Smiths last 4 starts overall.


Head to Head


•Orioles are 18-38 in the last 56 meetings in Oakland.

 

[NewYorkKnight]

GAME: Los Angeles Angels (57-58) at Seattle Mariners (59-56)
DATE/TIME: Thursday, August 10 - 10:10 PM EST
WHERE: Safeco Field, Seattle, Washington
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A





Preview: Angels at Mariners

Gracenote

Aug 9, 2017


Red-hot Seattle ace James Paxton seeks to win his eighth consecutive start when the Mariners open a four-game series against the visiting Los Angeles Angels on Thursday. Paxton has compiled a 1.59 ERA during the seven-start winning streak while solidifying himself as one of the top pitchers in the American League.

Paxton has been especially good over his last five turns as he has struck out 41 and issued just two walks. He looks to provide another boost for the Mariners, who have won eight of their past 11 contests to lead Kansas City and Tampa Bay by one game for the American League's second wild-card spot. The Angels are two games off the pace in the wild card after winning the final two of a three-game set against the Baltimore Orioles. Los Angeles star center fielder Mike Trout regularly endures difficulties against Paxton and is a meager 3-for-22 with 11 strikeouts versus the left-hander.

TV: 10:10 p.m. ET, FSN West (Los Angeles), ROOT Sports Northwest (Seattle)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Angels LH Tyler Skaggs (1-2, 4.32 ERA) vs. Mariners LH James Paxton (12-3, 2.70)

Skaggs is making his second start since returning from an oblique injury that sidelined him more than three months. The 26-year-old lasted just four innings in a loss to the Oakland Athletics last Saturday and gave up three runs on six hits. Skaggs is 1-2 with a 5.72 ERA in five career starts against the Mariners and has struggled with Robinson Cano (6-for-12) and Kyle Seager (6-for-13, one homer).

Paxton hasn't lost since allowing three runs and four hits over seven innings against the Philadelphia Phillies on June 27. The 28-year-old has been strong at home, going 7-2 with a 2.15 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 11 outings. Paxton is 1-0 with a 1.54 ERA in two starts against the Angels this season and is 4-2 with a 2.04 ERA in nine career turns.

WALK-OFFS

1. Mariners DH Nelson Cruz, who is 1-for-12 against Skaggs, homered twice in Wednesday's 6-3 victory over the Oakland Athletics and has gone deep six times in the past nine games.

2. Los Angeles 1B C.J. Cron homered among three hits on Wednesday and is 7-for-15 with five RBIs over the past four games.

3. Seattle RHP Edwin Diaz has notched 12 of his 25 saves since the All-Star break.

PREDICTION: Mariners 4, Angels 2

 

[NewYorkKnight]

Trends - LA Angels at Seattle



W/L Trends


LA Angels
•Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win.
• Angels are 23-47 in their last 70 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
• Angels are 4-9 in their last 13 road games.
• Angels are 3-7 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Angels are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. American League West.
• Angels are 4-10 in their last 14 Thursday games.
• Angels are 3-8 in their last 11 during game 1 of a series.
• Angels are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
• Angels are 4-1 in Skaggs' last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Angels are 2-7 in Skaggs' last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.



Seattle
•Mariners are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
• Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League West.
• Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
• Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
• Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
• Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
• Mariners are 5-2 in their last 7 games following a win.
• Mariners are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Mariners are 5-2 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Mariners are 13-6 in their last 19 during game 1 of a series.
• Mariners are 7-18 in their last 25 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Mariners are 1-6 in their last 7 Thursday games.
• Mariners are 7-0 in Paxtons last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
• Mariners are 4-0 in Paxtons last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Mariners are 7-0 in Paxtons last 7 starts.
• Mariners are 7-0 in Paxtons last 7 starts on grass.
• Mariners are 4-1 in Paxtons last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
• Mariners are 4-1 in Paxtons last 5 home starts.
• Mariners are 4-1 in Paxtons last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Mariners are 5-2 in Paxtons last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
• Mariners are 1-7 in Paxtons last 8 Thursday starts.


OU Trends


LA Angels
•Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 overall.
• Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 on grass.
• Over is 4-1-1 in Angels last 6 Thursday games.
• Over is 4-1 in Angels last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
• Under is 3-1-2 in Angels last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Under is 3-1-1 in Angels last 5 games following a win.
• Under is 3-1-1 in Angels last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Under is 8-3-1 in Angels last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Under is 50-20-3 in Angels last 73 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Under is 5-2-1 in Angels last 8 vs. American League West.
• Over is 7-3-1 in Angels last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
• Under is 7-3 in Angels last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
• Under is 13-6-1 in Angels last 20 vs. a team with a winning record.
• Under is 3-0-1 in Skaggs' last 4 starts on grass.
• Under is 5-0-1 in Skaggs' last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Under is 3-0-1 in Skaggs' last 4 starts overall.
• Under is 5-1 in Skaggs' last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
• Under is 5-1 in Skaggs' last 6 starts vs. American League West.
• Under is 4-1-1 in Skaggs' last 6 road starts.
• Under is 4-1-1 in Skaggs' last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Under is 3-1-1 in Skaggs' last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
• Under is 3-1-1 in Skaggs' last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Over is 3-1-1 in Skaggs' last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.



Seattle
•Under is 11-3-1 in Mariners last 15 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Over is 13-5-1 in Mariners last 19 games vs. a left-handed starter.
• Under is 5-2 in Mariners last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Under is 5-2 in Mariners last 7 vs. American League West.
• Over is 7-3-2 in Mariners last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
• Over is 7-3 in Mariners last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
• Over is 46-22-3 in Mariners last 71 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
• Over is 4-0 in Paxtons last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
• Over is 4-0 in Paxtons last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
• Over is 5-1 in Paxtons last 6 Thursday starts.
• Over is 5-1 in Paxtons last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
• Under is 4-1 in Paxtons last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
• Under is 4-1 in Paxtons last 5 starts on grass.
• Under is 4-1 in Paxtons last 5 starts overall.
• Over is 4-1 in Paxtons last 5 home starts.


Head to Head


•Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Seattle.
• Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
• Under is 5-2 in Paxtons last 7 starts vs. Angels.
• Angels are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.

 

[NewYorkKnight]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, August 10


Minnesota @ Milwaukee

Game 923-924
August 10, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Ennis) 15.575
Milwaukee
(Davies) 13.697
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
-160
9
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+140); Over

Kansas City @ St. Louis

Game 921-922
August 10, 2017 @ 7:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Hammel) 16.329
St. Louis
(Lynn) 15.408
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-140
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+120); Under

Pittsburgh @ Detroit

Game 919-920
August 10, 2017 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Cole) 13.633
Detroit
(VerHagen) 15.802
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-155
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+135); Under

LA Angels @ Seattle

Game 917-918
August 10, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Skaggs) 16.030
Seattle
(Paxton) 14.677
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
-210
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(+185); Under

Baltimore @ Oakland

Game 915-916
August 10, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Wiley) 16.225
Oakland
(Smith) 14.028
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-110
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-110); Under

Houston @ Chicago White Sox

Game 913-914
August 10, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Peacock) 15.449
Chicago White Sox
(Rodon) 12.951
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-200
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-200); Under

Cleveland @ Tampa Bay

Game 911-912
August 10, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Salazar) 15.862
Tampa Bay
(Snell) 14.248
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-145
8
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-145); Under

NY Yankees @ Toronto

Game 909-910
August 10, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Gray) 16.358
Toronto
(Estrada) 14.140
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-140
9
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-140); Under

LA Dodgers @ Arizona

Game 907-908
August 10, 2017 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Darvish) 14.738
Arizona
(Banda) 18.366
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 3 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-160
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+140); Under

NY Mets @ Philadelphia

Game 905-906
August 10, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(deGrom) 13.370
Philadelphia
(Velsquez) 15.623
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-155
8
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+135); Under

Miami @ Washington

Game 903-904
August 10, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Straily) 17.133
Washington
(Roark) 14.789
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-170
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+150); Over

San Diego @ Cincinnati

Game 901-902
August 10, 2017 @ 12:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Lamet) 14.977
Cincinnati
12.173
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-135
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+115); Over

 

[NewYorkKnight]

MLB

Thursday, August 10

National League
Marlins @ Nationals
Straily is 0-3, 7.20 in his last three starts; over is 5-1 in his last six. Miami is 5-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-9-1

Roark is 3-0, 3.26 in his last three starts; under is 4-1 in his last five. Washington is 4-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-8-2

Marlins lost four of last six games; five of their last seven games stayed under. Washington won four of its last six games; over is 4-1 in their last five games.

Padres @ Reds
Lamet is 2-0, 2.84 in his last two starts; over is 6-3 in his last nine. San Diego is 3-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-6

Castillo is 1-3, 3.96 in his last four starts (over 3-1). Reds are 1-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-4

San Diego lost five of last seven games; over is 4-1-1 in their last six. Cincinnati lost four of last seven games; over is 4-0 in their last four games.

Mets @ Phillies
deGrom is 0-2, 4.91 in his last two starts, 1-0, 2.07 in two starts vs Philly this year. Over is 8-3 in his road starts. Mets are 7-4 in those road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-7-1

Velasquez is 0-1, 3.43 in four starts since coming off the DL; under is 4-1-1 in his last six. Phillies are 2-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-9-1

Mets lost five of last six games (under 4-1-1). New York is 9-8 in road series openers. Phillies won their last three games; under is 8-3 in their last 11. Phils are 5-12 in home series openers.

Dodgers @ Diamondbacks
Darvish blanked the Mets for seven IP (99 PT) in his first start for the Dodgers, a 6-0 win. LA’s first 5-inning record with him: 1-0

Banda is 1-1, 3.86 in two starts for Arizona (under 2-0). D’backs’ first 5-inning record with him: 0-0-2

Dodgers are 45-8 in their last 53 games; under is 7-2-1 in their last ten. Arizona won three of last five home games; over is 4-3-1 in their last eight.

——————————–

American League
New York @ Toronto
Gray is 0-2, 6.00 in his last two starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven. New York lost his only start for them, 5-1 in Cleveland— their first 5-inning record with him: 0-1

Estrada is 0-5, 7.39 in his last 12 starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven. Toronto is 4-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-13-3

New York lost five of last eight games; under is 6-2 in those eight games. Blue Jays are 6-3 in last nine games; over is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Indians @ Rays
Salazar is 1-0, 1.35 in his last three starts; under is 3-1 in his last four starts. Cleveland is 4-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-5-2

Snell is 0-1, 5.31 in his last four starts; under is 6-1 in his last seven. Rays are 1-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-8-1

Indians lost three of last four games; under is 7-2 in their last nine games. Cleveland is 8-10 in road series openers. Tampa Bay lost four of last five games, scoring total of four runs; under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 home games. Rays are 6-12 in home series openers.

Astros @ White Sox
Peacock is 6-0, 3.26 in his last seven starts; over is 4-1 in his last five. Houston is 6-0 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-2

Rodon is 0-0, 1.88 in his last two starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five. White Sox are 1-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-5

Astros lost six of last eight games; over is 14-4 in their last 18 road games. Chicago is 5-20 in its last 25 games; over is 7-4 in their last 11 home games.

Orioles @ A’s
Miley is 2-2, 7.36 in his last five starts (over 3-1-1). Orioles are 6-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-12-2

Blackburn is 2-0, 2.25 in his last three starts (over 3-3-1). A’s are 2-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-1-2

Baltimore won eight of last 12 games; under is 8-2 in their last ten. Orioles are 6-12 in road series openers. Oakland lost eight of last 11 home games (under 8-2-1). A’s are 8-11 in home series openers.

Angels @ Mariners
Skaggs is 1-1, 2.35 in his last four starts (under 4-1-1). Angels are 1-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-3-2

Paxton is 7-0, 1.59 in his last seven starts (under 5-2). Seattle is 8-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-4-4

Angels are 7-3 in last ten games; under is 4-1 in their last five games. Halos are 8-10 in road series openers. Mariners won eight of last 11 games; over is 4-2 in their last six. Seattle is 1-5 in last six home series openers.

__________________________

Interleague
Pirates @ Tigers
Cole is 3-0, 2.25 in his last five starts (under 4-1). Pirates are 6-0 in his last six road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-11-5

VerHagen allowed two runs in five IP (74 PT) in his first ’17 start, a 5-2 loss in Baltimore. Detroit’s first 5-inning record with him: 0-0-1

Tigers lost four of their last five games; under is 5-3-1 in their last nine. Pittsburgh won five of last seven games; under is 4-1 in their last five road games.

Twins @ Brewers
Gibson is 1-3, 6.75 in his last four starts; under is 6-2 in his last eight starts. Minnesota is 5-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-11-1

Davies is 5-1, 3.13 in his last seven starts, last three of which stayed under. Milwaukee is 6-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-6-5

Brewers lost their last four games; under is 9-2-1 in their last 12 games. Minnesota won five of last six games; under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.

Royals @ Cardinals
Hammel is 1-1, 3.77 in his last five starts; his last six outings stayed under. Royals are 2-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-11-5

Lynn is 3-0, 1.15 in his last five starts; under is 6-0 in his last six. Cardinals are 5-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-9-2

St Louis is 11-5 in last 16 games; they scored 29 runs in last three games, all of which went over. Royals lost eight of last ten games; over is 6-1 in their last seven.

______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
Mia-Wsh: Straily 11-11; Roark 12-8
SD-Cin: Lamet 7-4; Castillo 3-5
NY-Phil: deGrom 14-8; Velasquez 5-9
LA-Az: Darvish 1-0 (9-13); Banda 1-1

American League
NY-Tor: Gray 0-1 (8-8); Estrada 10-13
Clev-TB: Salazar 6-7; Snell 4-9
Hst-Chi: Peacock 10-2; Rodon 2-5
Balt-A’s: Miley 12-11; Blackburn 4-3
LAA-Sea: Skaggs 3-3; Paxton 13-6

Interleague
Pitt-Det: Cole 15-8; VerHagen 0-1
Min-Mil: Gibson 9-10; Davies 14-8
KC-StL: Hammel 7-15; Lynn 11-11

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Mia-Wsh: Straily 6-22; Roark 8-20
SD-Cin: Lamet 5-11; Castillo 2-8
NY-Phil: deGrom 7-22; Velasquez 5-14
LA-Az: Darvish 7-23; Banda 1-2

American League
NY-Tor: Gray 3-17; Estrada 9-23
Clev-TB: Salazar 6-13; Snell 3-13
Hst-Chi: Peacock 1-12; Rodon 3-7
Balt-A’s: Miley 9-23; Blackburn 1-7
LAA-Sea: Skaggs 4-6; Paxton 1-19

Interleague
Pitt-Det: Cole 8-23; VerHagen 0-1
Min-Mil: Gibson 5-19; Davies 8-22
KC-StL: Hammel 3-22; Lynn 6-22

_________________________

Umpires
National League
Mia-Wsh: Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Bucknor games.
SD-Cin: Over is 7-3 in last ten Whitson games.
LA-Az: Over is 5-0-4 in last nine Wendelstedt games.

American League
NY-Tor: Five of last six Meals games went over total.
Hst-Chi: Last six Hernandez games stayed under total.

Interleague
Pitt-Det: Three of last four Diaz games went over.
Min-Mil: Over is 5-2-1 in last eight HGibson games.
KC-StL: Under is 9-5 in last fourteen Foster games.

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 62-47 AL, favorites -$219
AL @ NL– 60-55 NL, favorites -$477
Total: 117-107 AL, favorites -$696

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 56-52-3
AL @ NL: Over 62-48-6
Total: Over 118-100-9

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 8/9/17
Ariz 21-22-15……30-17–10……..51-39
Atl 21-26-8……19-30-7………..40-56
Cubs 26-27-5……25-21-9………..51-48
Reds 18-32-5……..22-32–5……….40-65
Colo 30-22-6…….31-21-3………..61-43
LA 27-18-8…….38-16-6……….65-34
Miami 24-27-6…….27-21-7………51-48
Milw 29-20-8…….29-22-8………57-42
Mets 24-26-3……..24-30-4……..48-56
Philly 15-33-12……20-24-7……….35-57
Pitt 26-26-4…….23-26-9………49-52
St. Louis 23-25-8……31-18-9…………54-43
SD 17-34-6……..27-23–6……….44-57
SF 12-37-8……..22-28-9……….37-65
Wash 35-18-5……25-22-7………….60-40

Orioles 20-30-5……..26-27-5………46-57
Boston 23-27-7………27-27-2……..50-54
White Sox 19-32-8………20-29–3……..39-60
Cleveland 27-20-6……..28-21-7……..54-41
Detroit 22-29-9…….26-22-5……..48-51
Astros 27-20-8……..36-19-4……..63-39
KC 19-26-8………23-24-12…….42-50
Angels 20-27-8………26-22-12……..46-49
Twins 30-16-8………25-29-6……..55-44
NYY 23-32-5……….29-20-3…..…52-52
A’s 21-28-7……..24-25-10……..45-53
Seattle 20-29-8……..30-19-9……..50-48
TB 28-20-10……..33-15-7……..61-35
Texas 28-21-10……..24-22-8………52-43
Toronto 23-32-3……..19-27-8……..42-59

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 8/9/17)
Ariz 17-56……..21-56………..37
Atl 12-55……..16-56………..28
Cubs 14-58……..20-55……….34
Reds 21-55……..24-58……….44
Colo 15-58……..20-56..…….35
LA 16-53……..22-59..……..38
Miami 24-57……..18-55………42
Milw 20-57……23-59…..…..43
Mets 23-53……..19-58……….42
Philly 16-60……..14-52……….30
Pitt 16-56……..18-58……….34
StL 12-56……..18-57………..30
SD 22-57……..17-56…………39
SF 14-57……..17-59…………31
Wash 24-58……..22-54……….46

Orioles 7-56……..19-59……….26
Boston 17-58……..13-56………30
White Sox 16-59……12-52……….28
Clev 10-53……..19-58………29
Detroit 14-60…….21-54………35
Astros 17-55……..24-58……….41
KC 12-54……..10-59………..21
Angels 21-56…….15-60………..35
Twins 12-52……..13-59……….25
NYY 13-60……..15-52………28
A’s 13-56……..21-59………34
Seattle 19-56…….20-59………39
TB 18-58……..20-57……..38
Texas 22-59……..25-53………47
Toronto 19-58……..13-56………32

 

[NewYorkKnight]

MLB

Thursday, August 10

Trend Report

12:35 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. CINCINNATI
San Diego is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing at home against San Diego

1:10 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

7:05 PM
MIAMI vs. WASHINGTON
Miami is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Washington is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami

7:05 PM
NY METS vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Mets's last 9 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
NY Mets are 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing NY Mets
Philadelphia is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing NY Mets

7:07 PM
NY YANKEES vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of NY Yankees's last 23 games when playing on the road against Toronto
NY Yankees are 4-11 SU in their last 15 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
Toronto is 11-4 SU in their last 15 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

7:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. TAMPA BAY
Cleveland is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:15 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. ST. LOUIS
Kansas City is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
St. Louis is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Kansas City

8:10 PM
HOUSTON vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Houston is 3-10 SU in their last 13 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Houston is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Chi White Sox are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games when playing at home against Houston
Chi White Sox are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Houston

8:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. MILWAUKEE
Minnesota is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 9 games at home
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

9:40 PM
LA DODGERS vs. ARIZONA
LA Dodgers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Arizona
LA Dodgers are 14-2 SU in their last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
Arizona is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers

10:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games on the road
Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oakland's last 10 games

10:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
LA Angels are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games
Seattle is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games at home

 

[NewYorkKnight]

Trends - Atlanta at Miami



ATS Trends


Atlanta
•Falcons are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.
• Falcons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.
• Falcons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
• Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.



Miami
•Dolphins are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 home games.


OU Trends


Atlanta
•Over is 16-4-1 in Falcons last 21 games overall.
• Over is 3-1-1 in Falcons last 5 road games.
• Under is 10-4-1 in Falcons last 15 games on grass.
• Over is 5-2-1 in Falcons last 8 Thursday games.



Miami
•Over is 5-0 in Dolphins last 5 home games.
• Under is 8-0-1 in Dolphins last 9 Thursday games.
• Over is 6-1 in Dolphins last 7 games overall.
• Over is 6-2 in Dolphins last 8 games on grass.


Head to Head


•Favorite is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
• Falcons are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
• Home team is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

 

[NewYorkKnight]

Trends - Minnesota at Buffalo




ATS Trends


Minnesota
•Vikings are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games on turf.
• Vikings are 38-17 ATS in their last 55 games overall.
• Vikings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.



Buffalo
•Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.
• Bills are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.


OU Trends


Minnesota
•Under is 7-2 in Vikings last 9 games on turf.
• Under is 14-6-1 in Vikings last 21 road games.
• Under is 7-3 in Vikings last 10 Thursday games.



Buffalo
•Over is 8-0 in Bills last 8 home games.
• Over is 8-0 in Bills last 8 games on turf.
• Over is 10-2 in Bills last 12 games overall.
• Under is 5-2 in Bills last 7 Thursday games.


Head to Head


No trends available.

 

[NewYorkKnight]

Trends - Washington at Baltimore



ATS Trends


Washington
•Redskins are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games.
• Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
• Redskins are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall.



Baltimore
•Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Ravens are 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 games on fieldturf.


OU Trends


Washington
•Over is 5-0 in Redskins last 5 road games.
• Over is 5-0 in Redskins last 5 Thursday games.
• Over is 21-7 in Redskins last 28 games overall.



Baltimore
•Over is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 games overall.
• Under is 5-2 in Ravens last 7 Thursday games.
• Under is 9-4 in Ravens last 13 home games.


Head to Head


•Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
• Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

 

[NewYorkKnight]

Trends - Jacksonville at New England



ATS Trends


Jacksonville
•Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
• Jaguars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.



New England
•Patriots are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
• Patriots are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 home games.
• Patriots are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 vs. AFC.
• Patriots are 34-16-2 ATS in their last 52 games overall.


OU Trends


Jacksonville
•Over is 7-3 in Jaguars last 10 vs. AFC.



New England
•Over is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games overall.
• Under is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 Thursday games.
• Over is 5-2 in Patriots last 7 home games.
• Over is 60-28 in Patriots last 88 games on fieldturf.


Head to Head


•Home team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
• Jaguars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
• Jaguars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in New England.

 

[NewYorkKnight]

Trends - New Orleans at Cleveland



ATS Trends


New Orleans
•Saints are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games.
• Saints are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
• Saints are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games overall.



Cleveland
•Browns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.
• Browns are 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
• Browns are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
• Browns are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games.


OU Trends


New Orleans
•Under is 4-0-1 in Saints last 5 Thursday games.



Cleveland
•Under is 5-0 in Browns last 5 home games.
• Under is 6-1 in Browns last 7 Thursday games.
• Under is 5-1 in Browns last 6 games on grass.
• Under is 6-2 in Browns last 8 games overall.


Head to Head


•Underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
• Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
• Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings

 

[NewYorkKnight]

Trends - Philadelphia at Green Bay



ATS Trends


Philadelphia
•Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
• Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.



Green Bay
•Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
• Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
• Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
• Packers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games.


OU Trends


Philadelphia
•Over is 11-1 in Eagles last 12 road games.
• Over is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 games overall.
• Over is 6-2 in Eagles last 8 Thursday games.
• Over is 13-5 in Eagles last 18 vs. NFC.



Green Bay
•Over is 7-0 in Packers last 7 games overall.
• Over is 4-0 in Packers last 4 games on grass.
• Over is 7-0 in Packers last 7 vs. NFC.
• Over is 4-1 in Packers last 5 home games.


Head to Head


•Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
• Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Green Bay.
• Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
• Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

 

[NewYorkKnight]

Trends - Denver at Chicago


ATS Trends


Denver
•Broncos are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games.
• Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.



Chicago
•Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games.


OU Trends


Denver
•Under is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games overall.
• Under is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games on grass.
• Under is 5-2 in Broncos last 7 road games.



Chicago
•Over is 4-1 in Bears last 5 games on grass.

Head to Head


•Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
• Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
• Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

 

[NewYorkKnight]

NFL preseason betting: Best quarterbacks to back in August

Many NFL fans were wondering what the Philadelphia Eagles were doing in the offseason leading up to the 2016 campaign. They still had quarterback Sam Bradford but elected to sign career backup Chase Daniel to a three-year contract worth $21 million.

Daniel’s resume did not include much regular season experience. In fact, it would be fair to say Daniel was signed entirely based on the positive reviews from former coaches and, of course, his reps in the silly season – the NFL preseason.

When you’re backing up Drew Brees in New Orleans – a future Hall of Famer who’s missed two games in 10 years – you’re going to have to make the most of your game snaps in August.

Daniel owns a 93.9 career preseason QB rating with 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. His teams are 16-9-1 against the spread and the over is 16-10 in preseason games Daniel’s played in.

The Saints reacquired Daniel this offseason and he’s listed as their No. 1 backup to Brees.

Knowing who else qualifies as a so-so starter but a sensational performer in the preseason can be valuable information for NFL bettors this August.

Here’s a quick look at three other backup QBs who shine brightest this time of year. One additional note here - quarterbacks who have been starters for the majority of their careers were dismissed from qualifying in our list. Starters only play significant time in Week 3 and even then coaches appear to be lightening the number of snaps their No. 1 guys get.

Colt McCoy

Current team: Washington Redskins

Preseason career stats: 92.8 QB rating, 68 percent completion percentage

The former Texas Longhorn and Heisman finalist has carved out a career for himself as a reliable backup and spot starter in the pros. McCoy is entering his fourth season in Washington and he’s well versed in head coach Jay Gruden’s offense. The Redskins are 7-3 ATS in preseason games McCoy has appeared in.

NFL teams are a collective 15-10 ATS and the over is 13-11-1 in preseason games McCoy has either started or played in.

McCoy is listed as Washington No. 2 quarterback meaning he should get significant playing time this week when the ‘Skins play the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday. Washington is a 1-point road underdog and the total is 37.5.

Luke McCown

Current team: Dallas Cowboys

Preseason career stats: 92.9 QB rating, 27 TD/7 INT*

The asterisk is to indicate McCown stats only go back as far as 2007. He put up some numbers in the preseason in 2005 and 2006 with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers but that was before NFL stat guys thought it was a good idea to record the game logs in August games. What a bunch of amateurs.

At any rate, McCown is the original gangsta when it comes to preseason excellence. He’s been compiling stats in pro exhibition contests since 2004 and his teams are 21-18-2 in games he’s made appearances in. The over is 24-17 in those 41 preseason games.

McCown was signed by the Cowboys at the end of July to either slot in as their QB3 or to compete for the No. 2 spot behind starter Dak Prescott.

McCown didn’t play for the ‘Boys in the Hall of Fame game but bettors should expect him to see some game action this week when Dallas visits Los Angeles to face the Rams on Saturday. Oddsmakers have the Cowboys as 2.5-point favorites with the total set at 37.5.

AJ McCarron

Current team: Cincinnati Bengals

Preseason career stats: 99.4 QB rating, 7.7 yards per attempt

McCarron, also known as Katherine Webb’s husband, is the new kid on the block with just two years of preseason action under his belt. He’s put up great numbers but the Bengals are 3-4 ATS and the over is 2-5 in McCarron’s seven preseason contests.

Cincinnati is a 2-point favorite Friday against the visiting Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The total is set at 37.

 

[NewYorkKnight]

Betting 101: Best ways to safely handicap the NFL preseason

So you want to bet NFL preseason football, do you?

Steering bettors away from the NFL’s unpredictable exhibition schedule is like trying to convince high school kids to wait until marriage, if you know what we mean. You aren’t going to convince them otherwise so you might as well preach about safe sex - or in this case safe betting habits.

We break down the best ways to handicap the NFL preseason slate and hope you don’t lose your shirt – and pants – by the time Week 1 rolls around:

Read everything

The great thing about the NFL preseason is that books and bettors are on the same level. Coaches don’t reveal their plans until usually the day before a game, and by that time odds have been up for a while. If you catch an online presser or read a quote from a coach spilling the beans on his starters’ playing time, you can quickly get down before the lines adjust.

Research is everything for preseason capping. Find out how many snaps the first teamers will get, what the focal point of the offseason is – offense or defense – and wager accordingly. Also, keep an eye on camp injuries or how veteran players are treating the tune-up games. Some star players go through the motions in August and ones limited by injuries won't risk going all out before the real games start.

A team that is trying to establish some momentum on the ground will likely run the ball a lot – therefore keeping the clock ticking and the final score Under the total. If a team is trying to fill roster spots in the secondary and is plugging in rookies and inexperienced player in its pass defense, than perhaps look at the other team to air it out and exploit those weaknesses.

QB depth

Much the way starting pitchers make up 90 percent of baseball handicapping, quarterbacks hold a similar value when betting on the preseason. It’s the most important position on the field and can single-handedly make or break your bets.

Finding a team with depth at quarterback is the key for success during the exhibition schedule. The No. 1 passer will likely only take a handful of snaps in the first two games of the preseason, turning the offense over to the backups.

Look for teams with an experienced backup under center. Many clubs have veterans and former starters on the roster, guys who won’t be freaked out by the NFL’s big stage like rookie QBs and wet-behind-the-ears free agents. These vets can keep the chains moving and often excel against an opponent’s second and third-tier defense.

New coaches and schemes

The preseason is summer school for many NFL teams transitioning their playbook, whether that be with a new head coach, coordinator or just an overall flip in the way they do things.

New head coaches aren’t necessarily a red flag. They can often feel a little pressured to win in the preseason in order to impress the front office and fan base, which can give some teams added betting value. New coordinators, on the other hand, are working in different plays and schemes, which usually come with a learning curve.

Read up on how teams are adjusting to new systems and offenses, especially if there is a dramatic shift in gears, like speeding up with no-huddle attacks or going from a 4-3 defense to a 3-4. When these teams take on established coaches, who have implemented their systems for a while, there can be value going against those new faces on the sideline.

Preseason lines

Come the regular season, the infamous 3-point spread is everywhere. And while a field-goal line is a key number in football betting, it loses some of its stature in the preseason.

Teams are more likely to go for a two-point conversion or try their luck on fourth-and-short in the preseason than play it safe. Not only do the games not matter, but a fourth down gamble or two-point attempt is an extra set for the offense as it works toward the regular season.

Depending on how those rolls of the dice play out, the final score can either be closer than three points or well over it. It’s rare to see a preseason spread of more than three points with most bouncing between 1-2.5 points.

Week to week

For those looking to bet the closest facsimile of Week 1 action during the preseason, you may want to pass on the first two weeks of exhibitions and save your marbles for Week 3. That’s when starting players tend to log the most time, working the majority of the first half and sometimes into the third quarter.

Week 1 and 2 often has first teams playing limited snaps – depending on the team’s situation – and Week 4 is pretty much a craps shoot. Coaches are making their final cuts, players are fighting to stay on the roster, and the coordinators are tightening the final nuts and bolts of their playbooks.

For those bettors who like a challenge, Week 4 of the preseason could be the trickiest week of the entire NFL schedule – preseason, regular season and playoffs – to wager on.

 

[NewYorkKnight]

Thursday's NFL preseason Week 1 betting primer and odds

The NFL preseason gets into full swing Thursday night with seven games on the schedule, including the defending Super Bowl champion New England Patriots who will host the visiting Jacksonville Jaguars.

Washington Redskins at Baltimore Ravens (-1, 37)

* The Redskins will be missing some key members of their offensive unit as TE Jordan Reed, WR Josh Doctson, WR Jamison Crowder, and WR Kendal Thompson will all sit out Thursday with injuries. Running back Rob Kelley is dealing with a minor neck strain and, although he has not officially been ruled out, is also unlikely to play. If quarterback Kirk Cousin does set foot on the field it will only be for a series or two. The Skins know what they have in backup Colt McCoy so the bulk of the action is expected to go to No. 3 quarterback Nate Sudfeld.

* Ravens' starting quarterback Joe Flacco is nursing a back injury and will not play Thursday night. The team is saying the ailment is relatively minor and he should be ready to play in Week 1 of the regular season, but he is unlikely to suit up at all during the preseason. Ryan Mallet will handle the starting quarterback responsibilities during the preseason and will likely play into the second quarter Thursday as the team works to get him as many starter reps as possible, just in case Flacco's injury lingers into the regular season.

Atlanta Falcons at Miami Dolphins (+1, 36)

* We get to see our first glimpse of the Steve Sarkisian edition of the Falcon’s offense Thursday night in Miami. Now don’t expect too many changes considering the Falcons led the NFL in scoring (by a large margin) with 540 total points. Teams usually play their cards pretty close to the chest in the preseason, but we should get some insight into some of the new wrinkles Sarkisian will bring to the Atlanta attack. Unfortunately Julio Jones won’t be a part of that attack. The star wideout had a bunion removed this offseason and the Falcons won’t be pushing him into game action until at least Week 3.

* There has been a lot of talk out of Dolphins camp this week about the arrival of quarterback Jay Cutler and how his arm has looked pretty good. However, it is unlikely that he will suit up for Thursday’s game. That means look for incumbent backup Matt Moore to do all he can to prove he should still get a chance for this Dolphins team. Running back Jay Ajayi and lineman Jeremy Tunsil are both expected to miss Thursday’s contest.

New Orleans Saints at Cleveland Browns (-3, 38)

* Starting quarterback Drew Brees and newly acquired superstar running back Adrian Peterson will both sit out Thursday's game in Cleveland. The New Orleans offense should not be an issue this season as they ranked second in the NFL in scoring offense last season and first in passing offense. They will, however, put an emphasis on the defensive side of the ball during the preseason.

* Browns head coach Hue Jackson named Brock Osweiler the starting quarterback for preseason Week 1, but made no guarantees moving forward. Jackson also publicly stated his desire to win this preseason. "I want to win them all if I can. We need to go out and play good in front of our fans and go win." Osweiler will play two or three series' and rookie DeShone Kizer is expected to play the entire second half. Rookie defensive end Myles Garrett and fellow rookie defender Jabrill Peppers are both looking to make a major impact in Thursday's contest.

Minnesota Vikings at Buffalo Bills (+2, 36.5)

* Rookie running back Dalvin Cook has already been named the Vikings starter, according to their first official depth chart and he will be the featured back on Thursday. Offseason acquisition and former Raider, Latavius Murray has been ruled out for this game. Expect to see Cook play for about a quarter in the Vikings first game.

* Bills fans will get a bit of a treat in their preseason opener, as head coach Sean McDermott told reporters that the team’s starters will play “about a quarter, give or take.” That is much more than the regular series or two most NFL starters play in a preseason opener. That includes wide receiver Sammy Watkins.

Jacksonville Jaguars at New England Patriots (-3.5, 40.5)

* The Branden Albert stuff in Jacksonville is just plain weird, but the Jaguars have questions to answer at offensive line, especially if they are truly changing their offensive philosophy in 2017. We should get a little bit of a glimpse of this Thursday night as first round pick Leonard Fournette is set to make his NFL debut. But it all comes down to Blake Bortles for the Jags, check to see if his footwork looks at all improved in their preseason opener. If not, it could be another long season in Jacksonville.

* Tell me if you guessed this, the Patriots do not care about the preseason. Reports heading into this game are that a number of key starters won’t play at all; including Tom Brady, Rob Gronkowski, Brandin Cooks, Julian Edelman and Mike Gillislee. That means Jimmy Garoppolo and Jacoby Brissett will split the majority of the snaps Thursday. Both have starting experience due to the Brady suspension, but both need a strong showing after a rough start to camp. Keep an eye out for how the Pats use new tight end Dwayne Allen in this game.

Denver Broncos at Chicago Bears (+1, 35.5)

* Denver travels to Chicago for their preseason opener to take on an Bears team led by former Broncos' head coach John Fox. The Broncos are strong at every position on the football field, except the most important one - quarterback. Denver has to figure out whether they are going to enter the season with Trevor Siemian or Paxton Lynch as their starter. Reports are that neither player has performed well at camp and both will see significant reps Thursday night.

* All three quarterbacks on the Bears' roster are newcomers to the team and they will all see some time on the field in order to get more familiar with Dowell Loggains' offensive system. Mike Glennon will likely play two or three series' followed by some combination of Mark Sanchez (listed as No. 2 on the team's depth chart) and first round draft pick Mitchell Trubisky for the remainder of the football game.

Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers (-1, 38.5)

* The Eagles' starting offense is expected to play one or two series' against the Packers in Green Bay on Thursday night. That "starting offense" will include quarterback Carson Wentz but will likely not include newly acquired wide receiver Alshon Jeffery who is nursing a sore shoulder. After Wentz is done the rest of the game will likely be shared by Matt McGloin and Dane Evans. The Eagles are looking for big things from rookie first round pick Derek Barnett at defensive end and expect him to get into the backfield several times in this game.

* Packers' starting quarterback Aaron Rodgers will not play Thursday night against the Eagles and the throwing duties will be shared by Brett Hundley, Joe Callahan, and undrafted rookie free agent Taysom Hill...in that order. Rodgers will be joined on the sidelines by wide receiver Jordy Nelson, who tore his ACL in a Packers' preseason game back in 2015 - no need to tempt fate there.