Thursday 5/11/17 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dustin Hawkins
May 11 '17, 1:10 PM
MLB | Royals vs Rays
Play on: Royals +106 at 5Dimes

Bonus Play on Royals +106

Kansas City is 33-21 against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. The Ray's are 24-43 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons. Bonus Play on Royals.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Thursday's six-pack

— Celtics 123, Wizards 101—Home team is now 5-0 in this series.

— Penguins 2, Capitals 0—Pittsburgh-Ottawa is the Eastern Conference final.

— There will be 40 bowl games this fall; national title game is in Atlanta’s new stadium. Looks like the first bowls are slated for December 16.

— Dodgers’ OF Andrew Toles tore his ACL Tuesday, is out for the year.

— adidas sold its golf business for $425M; in 2016, their revenue was 30% of what it was five years ago.

— Rams, Browns aren’t favored right now in any of their games this coming season. New England is favored in all of its games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, May 11


San Diego @ Texas

Game 971-972
May 11, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Richard) 14.568
Texas
(Perez) 13.012
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
-140
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+120); Under

Baltimore @ Washington

Game 969-970
May 11, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Bundy) 15.835
Washington
(Cole) 17.711
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-110
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-110); Over

Boston @ Milwaukee

Game 967-968
May 11, 2017 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Rdriguez) 14.848
Milwaukee
(Nelson) 16.498
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1 1/2
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-140
9
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+120); Over

Detroit @ LA Angels

Game 965-966
May 11, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Fulmer) 12.973
LA Angels
(Ramirez) 16.556
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 3 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-115
7
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(-105); Over

Minnesota @ Chicago White Sox

Game 963-964
May 11, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Hughes) 13.387
Chicago White Sox
(Holland) 14.390
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago White Sox
-130
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(-130); Over

Kansas City @ Tampa Bay

Game 961-962
May 11, 2017 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Vargas) 15.476
Tampa Bay
(Odorizzi) 13.929
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-130
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+110); Over

Seattle @ Toronto

Game 959-960
May 11, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(De Jong) 16.603
Toronto
(Estrada) 13.960
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 2 1/2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-140
9
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+120); Over

Houston @ NY Yankees

Game 957-958
May 11, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Keuchel) 15.252
NY Yankees
(Pineda) 17.117
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-120
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-120); Over

Cincinnati @ San Francisco

Game 955-956
May 11, 2017 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Arroyo) 13.487
San Francisco
(Blach) 14.666
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-130
8
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-130); Over

Pittsburgh @ Arizona

Game 953-954
May 11, 2017 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Cole) 15.731
Arizona
(Greinke) 13.562
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-140
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+120); Under

LA Dodgers @ Colorado

Game 951-952
May 11, 2017 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Ryu) 16.580
Colorado
(Andrson) 15.152
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-115
11
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-105); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

Thursday, May 11

National League
Dodgers @ Rockies
Ryu is 1-1, 1.59 in his last two starts (under 4-0-1).

Anderson is 1-3, 6.97 in his last six starts (over 5-2).

Dodgers won their last five games; they’re 1-4 in road series openers. Over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Colorado won six of its last eight games; they’re 8-3 in series openers, 4-2 at home. Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.

Pirates @ Diamondbacks
Cole is 1-2, 2.53 in his last five starts (under 6-1).

Greinke is 2-1, 2.33 in his last four starts (over 5-2).

Pirates lost their last four games, are 2-5 in road series openers. Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Arizona lost three of last four games; they’re 7-4 in series openers, 4-2 at home. Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.

Reds @ Giants
Arroyo is 3-0, 5.31 in his last four starts (over 5-1). Reds scored 34 runs in those four games.

Blach allowed 10 runs in three IP in Cincinnati five days ago; he is 0-2, 7.20 in three starts (under 2-1).

Reds won six of its last seven games; they’re 5-6 in series openers, 2-2 on road. Cincy’s last six road games all went over. San Francisco lost five of last six games; they’re 3-1 in home series openers. Under is 10-2-2 in their home games.

——————————–

American League
Houston @ New York
Keuchel is 5-0, 2.22 in his last seven starts (over 4-2 in his last six).

Pineda is 3-0, 2.91 in his last five starts (over 4-1 in his last five).

Astros won eight of last ten games, are 4-1 in road series openers. Over is 9-5 in their road games. New York won six of last seven games; they’re 4-1 in home series openers. New York’s last seven home games went over total.

Mariners @ Blue Jays
DeJong is 0-1, 8.31 in two starts this year (over 2-0).

Estrada is 1-1, 2.25 in his last five starts (under 4-3).

Mariners won its last four games, scoring 33 runs; they’re 2-4 in road series openers. Over is 7-2 in their last nine games. Toronto won four of last five home games (under 4-1); they’re 1-4 in home series openers.

Royals @ Rays
Vargas is 4-1, 1.43 in six starts this year (under 5-1).

Odorizzi is 2-0, 2.37 in his last four starts (under 4-1).

Royals are 2-9 in their last 11 road games; over is 5-1 in their last six road games. Tampa Bay is 4-7 in its last 11 home games. Over is 10-3 in Rays’ last 13 home games.

Twins @ White Sox
Hughes is 2-0, 3.44 in his last three starts (over 3-3).

Holland is 2-0, 2.37 in his last three starts (over 3-1 in last four).

Minnesota lost three of last five games; over is 9-1 in their last ten games. White Sox lost seven of last nine games; under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

Tigers @ Angels
Fulmer is 2-0, 3.00 in his last three starts, all of which went over.

Ramirez is 1-3, 4.55 in his last five starts (over 3-3).

Detroit lost four of last six games; they’re 4-2 in road series openers. Over is 12-3-1 in their road games. Angels lost six of last eight games; Trout didn’t play in the Oakland series. Halos are 3-2 in home series openers. Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

__________________________

Interleague
Orioles @ Nationals
Bundy is 4-0, 1.95 in his last five starts (under 4-3).

Cole allowed one run in six IP (102 PT) in his only ’17 start, a 6-2 win in Philly.

Nationals lost three of their last four games, all of which went over total. Baltimore won six of its last seven games; over is 4-1 in their last five games.

Padres @ Rangers
Chacin is 2-1, 4.07 in his last four starts; his last three starts went over.

Perez is 0-4, 5.91 in his last four starts (under 5-2). -1

Rangers are 8-4 in last 12 home games; under is 10-2 in their last 13 home games. San Diego lost six of its last seven games; under is 4-1 in their last five road games.

Red Sox @ Brewers
Rodriguez is 1-0, 2.00 in his last three starts (under 5-0).

Nelson is 0-2, 7.71 in his last four starts (over 3-1 in his last four).

Red Sox are 6-9 on the road. Over is 5-1 in their last six games. Milwaukee won six of its last eight home games; over is 13-2 in last fifteen games at Miller Park.

______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
LA-Colo: Ryu 1-4; Anderson 4-3
Pitt-Az: Cole 3-4; Greinke 4-3
Cin-SF: Arroyo 4-2; Blach 0-3

American League
Hst-NY: Keuchel 6-1; Pineda 5-1
Sea-Tor: DeJong 1-1; Estrada 3-4
KC-TB: Vargas 4-2; Odorizzi 3-2
Min-CWS: Hughes 5-1; Holland 4-2
Det-LA: Fulmer 4-2; Ramirez 3-2

Interleague
Blt-Wsh: Bundy 6-1; Cole 1-0
Bos-Mil: Rodriguez Nelson 2-4
SD-Tex: Chacin 3-4; Perez 1-6

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
LA-Colo: Ryu 4-5; Anderson 1-7
Pitt-Az: Cole 1-7; Greinke 0-7
Cin-SF: Arroyo 2-6; Blach 1-3

American League
Hst-NY: Keuchel 1-7; Pineda 3-6
Sea-Tor: DeJong 1-2; Estrada 1-7
KC-TB: Vargas 0-6; Odorizzi 3-5
Min-CWS: Hughes 3-6; Holland 1-6
Det-LA: Fulmer 3-3; Ramirez 4-5

Interleague
Blt-Wsh: Bundy 0-7; Cole 0-1
Bos-Mil: Rodriguez Nelson 1-6
SD-Tex: Chacin 2-7; Perez 3-7

_________________________

Umpires
National League

American League

Interleague

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 5/10/17

Ariz 5-8-3……….10-5-4……15-13-7
Atl 5-10-3………..5-7-1…..10-17-4
Cubs 8-10………….6-7-3……14-17-3
Reds 5-6-1……….10-8-2……15-14-3
Colo 10-5-1………10-7-2……20-12-3
LA 7-7-2………11-5-2…….18-12-4
Miami 6-11-3………7-4-3……13-15-6
Milw 9-2-4……….9-8-2……..18-10-6
Mets 6-6…………7-12-3…….13-18-3
Philly 7-5-3………..8-7-2…….15-12-5
Pitt 5-12-2……….7-7-1……12-19-3
St. Louis 7-7-2……….9-4-4……..16-11-6
SD 3-12-4………7-7-2……..10-19-6
SF 5-13-4………..5-6-2……10-19-6
Wash 13-5………….7-8-1……20-13-1

Orioles 9-6-2……….10-6………19-12-2
Boston 4-9-2………8-8-2………12-17-4
White Sox 6-9-4………6-5-1………12-14-5
Cleveland 8-11-2……4-7-1………12-18-3
Detroit 8-7-1………9-5-2………17-12-3
Astros 3-6-5………11-8-1……..14-14-6
KC 3-11-2………9-6-2……..13-16-4
Angels 5-10-5……….8-5-3……..13-16-7
Twins 6-4-2………8-6-4………14-10-6
NYY 7-8-1……….10-5……….17-13-1
A’s 4-9-2……….7-7-5………11-16-7
Seattle 5-10-4……..8-3-4……….13-13-8
TB 7-5-3……….16-3-2…….23-8-5
Texas 10-4-4……..8-5-4………18-9-8
Toronto 4-14-1……..4-7-4………8-21-5

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total-5/10/17)

Ariz 4-16……..7-19……….11
Atl 3-18……..4-14…………7
Cubs 4-18……..7-16………..11
Reds 2-11……10-21………..12
Colo 5-15……..6-19……….11
LA 5-15……..7-19..……..12
Miami 6-19……..6-15……….12
Milw 5-14……..9-19………..14
Mets 7-14……..10-20……….17
Philly 8-16……..4-16…………12
Pitt 4-19……..5-15…………9
StL 6-16……..7-19…………13
SD 7-18…….6-15………..13
SF 4-21……..3-14………..7
Wash 7-18……..6-16……….13

Orioles 1-17……..5-15………..6
Boston 3-15……..4-17………..7
White Sox 4-18…….5-12………..9
Clev 6-21……..6-11………..12
Detroit 3-15……..8-16………..11
Astros 3-14……..10-20………13
KC 2-16……..3-15………..5
Angels 6-19……..5-16………..11
Twins 1-12……..5-17……….6
NYY 4-15……..8-15……….12
A’s 2-15……..4-19……….6
Seattle 8-19……..6-14………14
TB 2-13……..10-22…..…12
Texas 8-17…….5-17………13
Toronto 5-19…….4-13………..9

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 15-6 AL, favorites -$131
AL @ NL– 14-14, favorites -$505
Total: 29-20 AL, favorites -$636
Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL– Over 7-14
AL @ NL– Over 18-10
Total– Over 25-24

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

Thursday, May 11

Trend Report

1:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. TAMPA BAY
Kansas City is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City

1:10 PM
BOSTON vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Boston's last 14 games when playing Milwaukee
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Milwaukee's last 21 games

7:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
Houston is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of NY Yankees's last 23 games when playing Houston

7:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Baltimore

7:07 PM
SEATTLE vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Seattle
Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle

8:05 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. TEXAS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games

8:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Chi White Sox
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games when playing Minnesota

8:40 PM
LA DODGERS vs. COLORADO
LA Dodgers are 5-11 SU in their last 16 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games at home
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

9:40 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. ARIZONA
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

10:07 PM
DETROIT vs. LA ANGELS
Detroit is 1-9 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against Detroit
LA Angels are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games

10:15 PM
CINCINNATI vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Cincinnati is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Cincinnati's last 15 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 12 of San Francisco's last 15 games when playing Cincinnati
San Francisco is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati

 

[ballZZZ]

Where did the horse racing handicapping section go? It used to be here....

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, May 11

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA DODGERS (20 - 14) at COLORADO (22 - 13) - 8:40 PM
HYUN-JIN RYU (L) vs. TYLER ANDERSON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 116-91 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 9-22 (-13.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 48-54 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 22-28 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 81-70 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 29-34 (-14.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 60-54 (-12.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 4-15 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 36-47 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 22-13 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 16-8 (+9.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
COLORADO is 50-53 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 3-2 (+2.7 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

HYUN-JIN RYU vs. COLORADO since 1997
RYU is 3-4 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.30 and a WHIP of 1.380.
His team's record is 3-4 (-3.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.7 units)

TYLER ANDERSON vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
ANDERSON is 2-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.34 and a WHIP of 1.483.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (14 - 20) at ARIZONA (19 - 16) - 9:40 PM
GERRIT COLE (R) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 67-86 (-29.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 43-59 (-21.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
COLE is 11-17 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 93-67 (+21.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
GREINKE is 50-21 (+17.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 120-67 (+38.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 90-47 (+30.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 62-25 (+30.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 19-39 (-20.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 826-748 (-102.3 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 9-21 (-15.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 582-539 (-78.3 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters since 1997.
ARIZONA is 32-48 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

GERRIT COLE vs. ARIZONA since 1997
COLE is 2-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.49 and a WHIP of 1.421.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.5 units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
GREINKE is 6-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 5.04 and a WHIP of 1.137.
His team's record is 7-3 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-2. (+5.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (18 - 15) at SAN FRANCISCO (12 - 23) - 10:15 PM
BRONSON ARROYO (R) vs. TY BLACH (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 45-23 (+21.5 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 415-379 (+54.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 12-23 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 27-36 (-18.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 65-71 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-14 (-13.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-10 (-10.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

BRONSON ARROYO vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
ARROYO is 8-5 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.60 and a WHIP of 1.230.
His team's record is 9-8 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-9. (-2.3 units)

TY BLACH vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
BLACH is 0-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 24.00 and a WHIP of 4.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (23 - 11) at NY YANKEES (21 - 10) - 7:05 PM
DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) vs. MICHAEL PINEDA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 4-16 (-15.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 105-88 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 44-26 (+16.2 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 60-36 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 40-19 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 14-3 (+12.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
KEUCHEL is 9-2 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in road games in May games since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 140-124 (-65.9 Units) against the money line in home games in May games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
KEUCHEL is 4-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 1.41 and a WHIP of 0.761.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.3 units)

MICHAEL PINEDA vs. HOUSTON since 1997
PINEDA is 2-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.75 and a WHIP of 1.121.
His team's record is 2-3 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

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SEATTLE (17 - 17) at TORONTO (13 - 21) - 7:05 PM
CHASE DE JONG (R) vs. MARCO ESTRADA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 159-196 (-51.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday since 1997.
SEATTLE is 82-95 (-27.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 12-3 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games in May games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 48-31 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 107-98 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 63-64 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CHASE DE JONG vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

MARCO ESTRADA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
ESTRADA is 1-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.13 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)

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KANSAS CITY (12 - 21) at TAMPA BAY (17 - 19) - 1:10 PM
JASON VARGAS (L) vs. JAKE ODORIZZI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 0-8 (-8.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
KANSAS CITY is 1-11 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 26-48 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 18-36 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 199-174 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
VARGAS is 24-13 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 85-113 (-33.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 6-13 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in home games in May games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 37-45 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-1 (+1.9 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

JASON VARGAS vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
VARGAS is 4-5 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.14 and a WHIP of 1.238.
His team's record is 4-6 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-7. (-5.2 units)

JAKE ODORIZZI vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
ODORIZZI is 1-3 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.477.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (16 - 14) at CHI WHITE SOX (15 - 16) - 8:10 PM
PHIL HUGHES (R) vs. DEREK HOLLAND (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 75-117 (-28.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 35-62 (-19.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HOLLAND is 31-11 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
HOLLAND is 6-0 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-3 (+0.3 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
6 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+6.2 Units)

PHIL HUGHES vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
HUGHES is 6-5 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.94 and a WHIP of 1.049.
His team's record is 9-7 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-9. (-3.8 units)

DEREK HOLLAND vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
HOLLAND is 2-4 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.23 and a WHIP of 1.266.
His team's record is 4-5 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-1.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (16 - 16) at LA ANGELS (17 - 19) - 10:05 PM
MICHAEL FULMER (R) vs. JC RAMIREZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 319-403 (-88.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 208-159 (+41.4 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
DETROIT is 102-91 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FULMER is 23-9 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FULMER is 13-6 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MICHAEL FULMER vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
FULMER is 1-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.13 and a WHIP of 0.789.
His team's record is 1-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

JC RAMIREZ vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (17 - 16) at MILWAUKEE (18 - 16) - 1:10 PM
EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. JIMMY NELSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 659-595 (-82.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
MILWAUKEE is 91-105 (+5.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 15-9 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 34-23 (+20.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-0 (+2.2 Units) against BOSTON this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.

JIMMY NELSON vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (22 - 11) at WASHINGTON (22 - 12) - 7:05 PM
DYLAN BUNDY (R) vs. A.J. COLE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 22-11 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 14-3 (+11.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
BALTIMORE is 17-7 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 14-5 (+9.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 59-51 (+13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 30-29 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-1 (+1.4 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

DYLAN BUNDY vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
BUNDY is 1-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

A.J. COLE vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
COLE is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 5.14 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO (13 - 22) at TEXAS (15 - 20) - 8:05 PM
CLAYTON RICHARD (L) vs. MARTIN PEREZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 12-34 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 110-90 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 52-31 (+22.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 62-38 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 37-20 (+14.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 40-28 (+23.2 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 81-61 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 63-46 (+16.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 63-74 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

CLAYTON RICHARD vs. TEXAS since 1997
RICHARD is 0-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

MARTIN PEREZ vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Thursday’s NBA Playoffs Conference Semifinals betting preview: Spurs at Rockets

Kawhi Leonard departed Game 5 due to an ankle injury but quickly answered "Yeah, I'm going to be able to play" when quizzed during Wednesday's media availability.

San Antonio Spurs at Houston Rockets (-7, 214)

Spurs lead series 3-2

All-Star small forward Kawhi Leonard vows to be the in the starting lineup on Thursday when the San Antonio Spurs attempt to close out their playoff series with the host Houston Rockets. Leonard departed Tuesday's Game 5 due to a left ankle injury but quickly answered "Yeah, I'm going to be able to play" when quizzed during Wednesday's off-day media availability.

The second-seeded Spurs took a 3-2 series lead by pulling out a 110-107 overtime win in Houston with Leonard (22 points, 15 rebounds) seated on the bench and know finishing off the Western Conference semifinal series will be an arduous task. "It's going to be tough. They're a great offensive team," Leonard told reporters. "They're a bunch of competitive guys. They play great at home. It's going to be tough. It's going to be about taking care of the ball, playing confident and trying to minimize our mistakes." Rockets guard James Harden had 33 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists in Game 5 but had his last-second 3-point attempt was blocked by San Antonio guard Manu Ginobili. "We couldn't get in a rhythm at the end of the game or in the overtime," Harden told reporters. "We had an opportunity to win this game and take a lead back home and we let it slip away. But we will be ready on Thursday."

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE HISTORY: The Rockets opened as 6.5-point home favorites for Game 6 and that number was bumped up slightly to -7 on Wednesday. The total opened at 215 and came down to 214 with Leonard's status uncertain.

INJURY REPORT:

Spurs - SF K. Leonard (Questionable, ankle), PG T. Parker (Out For Season, quadricep).

Rockets - C Nene (Out For Season, groin).

ABOUT THE ROCKETS (68-25 SU, 47-44-2 ATS, 52-39-2 O/U): Harden is averaging 27.4 points and 10.2 assists for third-seeded Houston but was just 4-of-15 from 3-point range in Game 5 and is shooting just 32.1 percent from behind the arc in the series. "I'm all right. Just missed shots," Harden told reporters while asserting fatigue isn't an issue. "Missed shots and just didn't make enough plays to win. Obviously, other players stepped up and made big shots, and that was the game." With veteran center Nene (groin) done for the postseason, the Rockets only used seven players with 3-point bomber Ryan Anderson seeing action in the interior to help compensate for the loss.

ABOUT THE SPURS (61-31 SU, 48-44 ATS, 47-44-1 O/U): Ginobili had his best game of the series with 12 points, seven rebounds and five assists in addition to the game-saving rejection of Harden. "I don't feel like I had a huge game," Ginobili told reporters. "I felt better than the previous ones, for sure, but I guess the standards are a little lower." Patty Mills figures to draw the start at point guard for the second straight game after scoring 20 points and knocking down five 3-pointers during Game 5.

TRENDS:

* Spurs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Conference Semifinals games.
* Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Over is 8-1 in Spurs last 9 overall.
* Over is 10-2 in Rockets last 12 Conference Semifinals games.
* Road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, May 11


San Antonio @ Houston

Game 523-524
May 11, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
117.243
Houston
126.759
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 9 1/2
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 7
213
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-7); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, May 11

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (68 - 25) at HOUSTON (61 - 31) - 5/11/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1002-876 ATS (+38.4 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 38-51 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 9-8 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 12-5 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA

Thursday, May 11

Health of Kawhi Leonard is big variable here; if he isn’t healthy, bad news for Spurs. San Antonio won four of its last five games in this arena- four of those five games stayed under total. Four of last five games in this series went over total. Spurs are 2-3 on road in playoffs; eight of their last nine games went over. Houston is 4-1 at home in playoffs (2-3 vs spread). Houston went 41-93 (44.1%) on arc in its two series wins, 36-111 (32.4%) in its losses; they used only seven guys in Game 5 loss- four starters 40:00+, with only three of them scoring more than 11 points.

Second round playoff series:
Boston-Washington
Bos 123-111, -4.5, O216
Bos 129-119 O, -5, O218.5
Wash 116-89, -5.5, U218
Wash 121-102, -5, O214.5
Bos 123-101, -4, O218

Cleveland-Toronto
Clev 116-105, -7, O211
Clev 125-103, -7, O214.5
Clev 115-94, -3, U215
Clev 109-102, -7, O210.5
Cavaliers win series, 4-0

San Antonio-Houston
Hst 126-99, +6, O215.5
SA 121-96, -5.5, O215
SA 103-92, +5.5, U215
Hst 125-104, -5, O213.5
SA 110-107 OT, -5.5, O216

Golden State-Utah
GState 106-94, -13, U206.5
GState 115-104, -13.5, O206
GState 102-91, -7, U209
GState 121-95, -9, O207
Warriors win series 4-0

Favorites 12-5-1 (32-27-2)
Over 12-6 (34-27)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA

Thursday, May 11

Trend Report

8:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. HOUSTON
San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
San Antonio is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Houston is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games at home

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Easy Money Sports

Lee's Free Thursday Selection

Colorado w/Anderson -109

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jeff Allen Sports

Thursday's Free Selection is on the Tampa Bay Rays

 

[birdmang30]

If anyone is interested in splitting the whales straight picks please let me know.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Nevada Sharpshooter

Your free winner for Thursday: Take ARIZONA (Greinke) -130 over Pittsburgh

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Teyas Sports

FREE PICK 5/11 MLB BREWERS +122

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Alex Smart
MLB | May 11, 2017
Astros vs. Yankees
Total 7½ -112 at 5DIMES

Astros LHP Dallas Keuchel (5-0) vs Yankees RH Micheal Pineda ( 3-1,3.12 ERA)

Today at Yankee Stadium, we have what sets up to be a pitching duel. The Astros southpaw starter today Keuchel the AL Pitcher of the Month for April has owned the Yankees in his career, as is evident a stingy 1.41 ERA in six starts, including the postseason. He threw six scoreless innings in the 2015 AL Wild Card Game . He owns a 1.88 ERA on the season. According to Statcast, Keuchel has thrown a MLB-high 12.4 percent of his pitches on the corners of the strike zone this season the highest rate in the Majors for those with at least 250 total pitches. When and if he falters he is backed by a solid bullpen with a 2.70 road ERA this season. I know the Yanks bats have been hot early on this campaign, but overall Houston has allowed 3 runs or less in 8 of their L/11 overall, and have the ability to slow the Yankees offense. Meanwhile, The Yankees have won Pineda's , last five starts. In his last trip to the hill, he went six innings and allowed two runs on three hits in a 3-2 win over the defending World Series Champion Cubs, taking a no-decision. Overall, he's struck out 43 and walked five and continues to look strong as was the case in his last two, as he allowed just two earned runs and eight hits over 11 1/3 innings, striking out 14. In three home starts this season, Pineda has registered a miniscule 1.35 ERA. The Yankees starter is backed by a bullpen with a solid 2.64 ERA on the season. Everything points to a low scoring affair.

Astros are 17-6 UNDER L/23 vs. an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 2.70 or better with a combined average of just 7.3 rpg going on the scoreboard. Astros have gone under in 14 to 19 game 1 of a series. Yankees, are UNDER is 6-1 vs the AL West. The Yankees have gone under in 5 o the less 7 vs a pitcher of 1.15 ERA.

Play on the UNDER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

John Martin
MLB | May 11, 2017
Reds vs. Giants
Giants -116 at BMAKER

1 Unit Bonus Play on San Francisco Giants -116

The San Francisco Giants have been one of the worst teams in baseball up to this point. But now we are starting to get some good prices on them, especially tonight as small favorites over the Cincinnati Reds. Bronson Arroyo is washed up with a 6.53 ERA in six starts this season and an 11.25 ERA in two road starts. Ty Blach has a 1.50 ERA in his two home starts this season for the Giants. Cincinnati is 3-16 in its last 19 road games following six or more consecutive home games. The Reds are 15-36 in their last 51 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Brandon Lee
MLB | May 11, 2017
Dodgers vs. Rockies
Rockies -115 at BMAKER

10* Free MLB Pick (Rockies -115)

Colorado is worth a look here at this price at home. The Dodgers get a lot of respect because they were suppose to be the team to beat in the NL West. So even while the Rockies have the better record at 22-13, the line here is shaded in favor of LA, creating value with Colorado. Dodgers are only 7-8 on the road. Rockies just took 2 of 3 at home against the Cubs and have won 4 straight series overall. Dodgers starter Hyun-Jin Ryu is 0-3 with a 4.11 ERA in 3 road starts and Colorado starter Tyler Anderson is coming his best start of the season, allowing just 1 run on 6 hits with 10 strikeouts in 6 innings of a 9-1 win over the Diamondbacks at home. Give me the Rockies -115!