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NHL

Thursday, April 20

Thursday's NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs Betting Preview and Odds

New York Rangers at Montreal Canadiens (-150, 5)

Series tied 2-2

ABOUT THE RANGERS (50-29-3-4, 41-39 O/U): Forward Rick Nash closed the regular season by scoring five times in his last eight games to finish with 23 goals and is carrying it over to the playoffs. Nash scored in Game 2 -- which New York lost in overtime -- and delivered the game-winning tally in Game 4, boosting his totals to seven goals and six assists in his last 13 playoff games. "I was trying to go to the net all night and trying to cause some chaos," Nash said after Tuesday's victory. "We let it all go and put it behind us. We had to. We couldn’t be going back to Montreal down 3-1.”

ABOUT THE CANADIENS (49-28-7-2, 30-41 O/U): Captain Max Pacioretty has scored at least 30 goals in four straight seasons and is still searching for his first of the series, managing only one assist through the four games. but Julien is not concerned. “This is a sport that has ups and downs,” Julien said. "At the end of the day, we look at the big picture and that’s what’s important. And Max Pacioretty, I think we’re pretty happy to have him here in Montreal.” On Tuesday, Julien shifted Alex Galchenyuk to a line with Artturi Lehkonen and Alexander Radulov, who has six points in the last three games.

LINE HISTORY: The Canadiens opened as -150 home favorites. The total opened at 4.5 and bumped up to 5 at most books overnight Wednesday/Thursday.

INJURY REPORT:

Rangers - No injuries to report.

Canadiens - D A. Emelin (Out Indefinitely, lower body).

TRENDS:

* Rangers are 1-6 in their last 7 games following a win.
* Canadiens are 12-3 in their last 15 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
* Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 overall.
* Under is 10-2-3 in Canadiens last 15 vs. Metropolitan.
* Rangers are 5-14 in the last 19 meetings in Montreal.




Columbus Blue Jackets at Pittsburgh Penguins (-200, 5.5)

Pens lead series 3-1

ABOUT THE BLUE JACKETS (51-26-7-2, 34-46 O/U): The Columbus Blue Jackets have endured plenty of twists and turns during their franchise-best season, and Cam Atkinson isn't interested in seeing the wild ride come to an end. "We have nothing to lose," the 27-year-old Atkinson told the Columbus Dispatch on the heels of Tuesday's 5-4 victory at Nationwide Arena that closed the Blue Jackets' deficit to 3-1 in the series. Rookie Markus Nutivaara stepped up in place of injured defenseman Zach Werenski on Tuesday, scoring a goal in the second period and setting up Boone Jenner for another in the third during his NHL postseason debut. "Of course I had butterflies, but I just wanted to enjoy ... enjoy every moment I could get out there," the 22-year-old Finn told the Columbus Dispatch. Coach John Tortorella was quick to praise Nutivaara by saying he "played to his strengths," a nice compliment considering the coach had passed up the youngster in the series in favor of Scott Harrington and the inexperienced Gabriel Carlsson.

ABOUT THE PENGUINS (53-22-6-5, 49-32 O/U): Pittsburgh rookie Jake Guentzel continued his successful run by scoring on Wednesday to increase his point total to six (five goals, one assist) in the last three games while his goal total is the most in the first four career postseason contests since Montreal's Maurice "Rocket" Richard in 1944. While gladly accepting how his team finishes, Pittsburgh coach Mike Sullivan repeatedly has taken issue with its sluggish starts in the series. The Penguins were outshot 16-3 in the first period of the opener, 12-7 in Game 2 and fell behind 3-1 and 2-0 on the scoreboard in the next two contests, much to the dismay of Sullivan. "It's about being ready from the drop of the puck. It's a mindset. It's not a wait-and-see approach," Sullivan said following Wednesday's practice. "We've got to be ready to dictate the terms from the very first puck drop."

LINE HISTORY: The Penguins opened as -200 favorites on home ice and the total opened at 5.5.

INJURY REPORT:

Blue Jackets - D Z. Werenski (Out For Season, face), D R. Murray (Late April, hand), RW D. Clarkson (Out Indefinitely, back).

Penguins - D C. Ruhwedel (Questionable, upper body), G M. Murray (Questionable, lower body), LW C. Kunitz (Out Indefinitely, lower body), D K. Letang (Out For Season, neck), LW C. Hagelin (Late April, lower body).

TRENDS:

* Blue Jackets are 1-8 in their last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
* Penguins are 6-1 in their last 7 Conference Quarterfinals games.
* Under is 8-1-1 in Blue Jackets last 10 road games.
* Under is 3-0-1 in Penguins last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Home team is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.




Chicago Blackhawks at Nashville Predators (-125, 5)

Preds lead series 3-0

ABOUT THE BLACKHAWKS (50-25-9-1, 37-33 O/U): The Chicago Blackhawks have faced some unenviable positions en route to winning three Stanley Cup titles in a six-year span (2010-15). None of them matches the current predicament for the top-seeded Blackhawks, who will try to stave off elimination Thursday when they visit the Nashville Predators in Game 4. Chicago has managed two goals in the series, both coming in Game 3, extending a lengthy drought for captain Jonathan Toews, who has not scored in 12 consecutive postseason games dating to the 2015 Cup Final. “That’s something I’m obviously well aware of, and no better moment than a game like tomorrow,” Toews said after Wednesday's practice. "I’m just trying to stay patient and smart and do the right things. Obviously, no more waiting." Patrick Kane, who scored on the power play in Game 3, raised eyebrows when he told reporters that "All the pressure's on (Nashville) to win the next game."

ABOUT THE PREDATORS (44-29-8-4, 41-36 O/U): Predators coach Peter Laviolette certainly will not allow his team to become complacement with the commanding lead -- he was coach of the Philadelphia Flyers in 2010 when they overcame a 3-0 deficit versus Boston before advancing to the Stanley Cup Finals and losing to, coincidentally, Chicago. Nashville's Filip Forsberg knows what it's like to struggle in the postseason, scoring once in his last 13 playoff games a year ago, but he made his first two this season count with a pair of third-period goals to force overtime in Game 3. "He's a guy who wants to be on the ice when the game is on the line and he wants the puck when the game is on the line," goaltender Pekka Rinne said. "You want that kind of guy on the ice when the game is on the line. He is really elevating his game." Top-line center Ryan Johansen is having a huge series with one goal and four assists.

LINE HISTORY: The Predators opened as -135 moneyline favorites at home and that number came down slightly to -125. The total hit the board at 5.

INJURY REPORT:

Blackhawks - LW A. Desjardins (Questionable, lower body), D M. Rozsival (Out Indefinitely, face).

Predators - LW C. Wilson (Questionable, lower body), LW V. Fiddler (Questionable, upper body).

TRENDS:

* Blackhawks are 0-7 in their last 7 overall.
* Predators are 14-3 in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Under is 4-0-1 in Blackhawks last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
* Under is 7-1-3 in Predators last 11 overall.
* Over is 5-0-4 in the last 9 meetings in Nashville.




San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers (-130, 5)

Series tied 2-2

ABOUT THE SHARKS (48-31-6-1, 23-39 O/U): After being blanked in back-to-back games to fall behind in their Western Conference first-round playoff series, the San Jose Sharks turned the tables on the Edmonton Oilers to draw even. San Jose hopes to carry over the momentum when it visits Edmonton on Thursday for a pivotal Game 5. San Jose also received a big effort from its captain in Game 4 as Joe Pavelski scored his first two goals of the series, including one just 15 seconds into the contest, and added an assist. "We were just ready," Pavelski told reporters. "Everyone was ready. ... There weren't really any lapses in our game." Defenseman Brent Burns, who led the team in scoring during the regular season with a career-high 76 points, was another member of the team to break out, registering three assists for his first points of the series.

ABOUT THE OILERS (49-27-5-5, 33-44 O/U): Edmonton continued its steady march to the penalty box as it technically was short-handed eight times, including a five-minute major during which San Jose cashed in once, to increase its series total to 22. The Oilers dodged a huge bullet, however, as Leon Draisaitl escaped with only a fine from the league for spearing San Jose's Chris Tierney in Game 4 - an infraction that resulted in the major penalty and a game misconduct. Captain Connor McDavid has gone two games without a point, his longest drought since being kept off the scoresheet in back-to-back contests on Jan. 31 and Feb. 2. The reigning Art Ross Trophy winner ended the regular season with a 14-game point streak and extended it over the first two games of the series. Defenseman Kris Russell, who topped the NHL during the regular season with 213 blocked shots, increased his playoff-leading total to 22 with a game-high six in Game 4.

LINE HISTORY: The Oilers opened as -120 home favorites for Game 5 and that number was up to -130 by Wednesday night. The total hit the board at 5.

INJURY REPORT:

Sharks - No injuries to report.

Oilers - D A. Ference (Out For Season, hip), RW T. Pitlick (Out For Season, knee).

TRENDS:

* Sharks are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.
* Oilers are 10-1 in their last 11 home games.
* Under is 1-0-7 in Sharks last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
* Over is 4-0-1 in Oilers last 5 Thursday games.
* Sharks are 15-7 in the last 22 meetings in Edmonton.
 
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NBA

Thursday, April 20


Updated NBA Playoffs 2017 Betting Stats: Favorites 12-4 straight up
Favorites 6-10 ATS O/U 9-7


Updated 2016-17 Durant-less Warriors betting stats:
17-4 SU
12-8-1 ATS (11-1-1 ATS in last 12)
5-16 O/U
 
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Wunderdog

Toronto @ Milwaukee
Pick: Under 196

The Milwaukee Bucks needed to come away with a split in the first two games in Toronto, and accomplished that goal. Toronto knows they have to come into Game 3 with the home crowd now behind the Bucks, and match the intensity early in the game. They need to not let the crowd dictate and provide energy for the home team. Toronto has a long history of playoff problems, and a lot of that rests on their guards DeMar DeRozen, and Kyle Lowry. They both have shot less than 40% from the field in their career playoff games, and well below their averages from deep. As a result, the defense is going to have to carry the mail for them in this one. Milwaukee has defended very well in this series, and should get a boost by finally playing in front of the home crowd. These teams have a long history of low-scoring games in Milwaukee, as 9 of the last 12 here have played UNDER the total, and coming up short by an average of 7.25 points per game.
 
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Dave Essler

Cardinals / Brewers Over 8

I feel compelled to explain here - first of all Martinez threw 118 pitches in five (or so) innings against teh Yankees the other night and that's almost fade material right there (which is why I like the Brewers here, actually), especially against a team that's seen him a fair amount. And of course there is that vaunted (pun intended) St. Louis bullpen. We're getting the # because St. Louis hasn't been hitting or giving up runs, three straight 2-1 games. Well, the faced the Pirates who aren't hitting and had the Marte thing, so keeping them down is one thing, slowing down Milwaukee on the road might be totally another. That's especially true in what's typically an "over" venue. So, there's that. Then there is Zach Davies, who in three games has a WHIP of 2.02 and has been giving up a ton of fly ball outs that this park might not hold. And there's the Brewers pen which in the last week has been getting crucified and blown three saves. So, as square/uncool/obvious as this might be, I can't help but not try to out-think the room here. Either team is capable of putting up most of these runs by themselves.
 
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Jack Brayman

Tonight I'm in baseball, and I'm playing the Under in the Washington Nationals-Atlanta Braves contest.

Since every MLB wager on a run line or total auto-lists pitchers, I want you to be sure the two pitchers on your ticket, when making this play, are Stephen Strasburg and R.A. Dickey. If they are not the pitchers of record when making your play, disregard this play.

Let's start with Washington's fire-throwing Strasburg, who is off to a hot start this season. The hard-throwing right-hander has completed seven innings and allowed three runs or fewer in all three of his starts in 2017. And this shouldn't come as a shocker, as he is 12-8 with a 3.04 ERA in 30 starts in March or April over his near 7-year career. He'll be at his best once again tonight.

Then there's Dickey, who is in after inundating the San Diego Padres with his notorious knuckleball. The right-handed junkballer fired knucklers on 92.1 percent of the pitches he threw during Saturday's win over the Friars. It marked his second-highest knuckleball percentage since the start of 2016. Dickey will occasionally mix in a curveball, but it the knuckle is what keeps hitters guessing.

I'll count on both hurlers to steal the show and keep the runs to a minimum.

4* Nationals-Braves Under
 
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Paul Bovi

Cavaliers at Pacers
Play: Pacers +2.5

Belief here is that the Pacers have a Game in them vs a team that has not played solid defense during these playoffs. Pacers won a game by 10 over the Cavs in the regular season at home while in the other contest played at Conseco they were victimized by Kyle Korver's 8 of 9 from beyond the arc in giving up 132. Expect a better defensive effort from Indy
 
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Oskeim Sports

Baltimore Orioles at Cincinnati Reds
Play: Baltimore Orioles -

Baltimore southpaw Wade Miley is off to a strong start to the 2017 campaign, posting a 2.45 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in his first two starts, a span covering 11 innings. Miley has garnered a surprising 28.3% strikeout rate after finishing with a 19.3% strikeout rate last season.

However, the 30-year-old has struggled mightily with his control in his first two outings, issuing seven walks (5.73 BB/9). Miley owns a career 2.79 BB/9 rate so I expect his command and control to improve as the season progresses.

Cincinnati's offense is averaging just 3.9 runs per game at home (.297 OBP; 706 OPS) and 4.0 runs per game versus left-handed starters (.250 OBP; .650 OPS). Let's also note that the Reds are batting .236 with a .294 on base percentage at night and .203 with a .311 on base percentage versus American League opponents.

Miley is supported by a solid Baltimore bullpen that owns a 3.65 ERA this season, including a 2.10 ERA at night, a 1.35 ERA in interleague play and a 2.86 ERA in its last seven games. My concern focuses on the fact that Baltimore relievers have issued 21 walks and allowed 51 hits in 44 1/3 innings of work in 2017.

Cincinnati sends veteran right-hander Scott Feldman to the mound, who is coming off a brilliant outing against the Cardinals where he threw six shutout innings. While Feldman's 2.87 ERA looks appealing, his underlying peripherals aren't nearly as promising: 4.20 FIP, 4.26 xFIP, 4.32 SIERA and a 4.60 BB/9 rate.

The 34-year-old has also benefitted from an unsustainable 89.1% strand rate, and his ground ball rate has dropped from 49.8% in 2016 to 33.3% this season. Feldman's line drive rate is also up from previous seasons and his career 4.38 ERA and 5.6 K/9 rate more accurately project his future results.

From a technical standpoint, Baltimore is a profitable 22-8 in its last thirty interleague games, 8-2 in its last ten interleague road games versus right-handed starters, 12-4 in its last 16 games versus .501 or greater National League foes and 5-1 in its last six meetings with the Reds.

The Orioles are 7-0 in umpire Mike Estabrook's last seven games behind home plate, whereas Cincinnati is 1-5 in Estabrook's last six games calling balls and strikes. With the Reds standing at 16-38 in interleague play, including 5-12 at home and 3-11 versus teams with a winning record.
 
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Vernon Croy

Boston (-175) over Toronto

This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and the Jays have hit just .186 lifetime as a team against Sale with and OBP of just .250. Opponents have hit just .149 against Sale this season, and he has allowed just 11 hits over 21.2 innings of work while striking out 29 batters and walking just 5. Sale is 4-0 against the Jays the last 3 seasons with an ERA of just 1.97 and the Jays hitting just .176 against him, and I expect another solid start from him Thursday. Estrada is just 9-12 at Rogers Centre the last 3 season and although he is coming off a gem against the Orioles, I do expect him to struggle in this game after throwing 109 pitches in that start. Play Boston ML with confidence.
 
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Jason Sharpe

Detroit (+105) over Tampa Bay

Detroit Tigers starter Daniel Norris is one of the more underrated starting pitchers in all of MLB. Norris leads the league in consecutive starts, allowing 3 earned runs or less as he comes into this one with 21 straight starts and counting. Tampa Bay is scheduled to start Erasmo Ramirez in this one. Ramirez has been in the bullpen of late and makes just his 2nd start in his last 70 appearances here in this game. Going with Ramirez means the Rays will likely have to turn to their bullpen early and often in this contest and that's been bad news for Tampa Bay as they come in ranked 13th in the 15 team American League in FIP and 14th in Siera. This was a huge issue last year for the Rays also as they were dead last in the A.L. in bullpen FIP. Take Detroit in this game.
 
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Allen East man

Cleveland at Indiana
Play: Over 210.5

Each of the first two games went 'over' the total. I think this one will as well. Cleveland is not a very good defensive team. They were No. 20 in the regular season in scoring defense and Indiana hasn't had many problems scoring in games 1 and 2. I think if the Pacers are going to be able to get over the hump and get a win in this series it will be in this game. And to do that they will have to outscore the Cavs. Cleveland is 8-2 against the total in its last 10 games and Indiana is 7-3 against the total in its last 10. I see another high-scoring game and this one will go 'over'.
 
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JOHN MARTIN

Spurs/Grizzlies Under 187

Points always seem hard to come by when the Spurs and Grizzlies get together because they are so familiar with one another with all of their playoff battles through the years. Seven of the last 10 meetings have seen 187 or fewer combined points. The UNDER is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings. The UNDER is 9-2 in Spurs last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
 
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Mike Rose

St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers
Play: St. Louis Cardinals -113

Though the Brew Crew spit the bit late in a pair of losses to the Cubs, they return home with their heads held high after putting forth a 6-3 record on their nine-game road trip. Their swinging some incredibly potent sticks right now, while the Cardinals most definitely are not having scored 3 runs or less in each of their L/6 games. However, I’m just not buying what linemakers are trying to sell here. Regardless of Carlos Martinez walking a career-high 8 batters in his last turn, he’s far and away the better starting pitching option in this matchup. Davies is yet to rekindle his magic from last season in serving up 21 hits ( 2 HR ) and 18 ER through his first three starts, while failing to reach the 6th inning in each. That puts loads of pressure on an overworked Milwaukee bullpen should it be called upon early once again. Look for Milwaukee’s pitching to be the elixir that gets St. Louis’s offense humming.
 
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SPORTS WAGERS

SAN DIEGO +102 over Arizona

This one is not about backing Clayton Richard. Richard (LHP) will attempt to get back on track after allowing eight earned runs over 12 innings in his last two starts. Richard was respectable against Arizona last season, allowing six earned runs in 16.2 innings over two starts. Whether Richard has a decent start here or not remains to be seen but Patrick Corbin is not good enough to be road chalk and neither are the D-Backs. The Diamondbacks have been awful on the road, producing only a .590 OPS in their first nine road games to go along with a BA of .207.

Patrick Corbin (LHP) has produced two disasters in his first three starts, although he's allowed only five earned runs in 16 innings. His low K-rate and command with only 7 strikeouts to 7 walks, reveals the risk when he takes the mound. He struggled at Petco last season, as he allowed six earned runs in 11 innings over three relief appearances and one start. Corbin does nothing well. He gets hit hard, he’s constantly behind in the count and he’s simply a weak option when asked to spot a price on the road. San Diego is 3-2 at home and have defeated and scored runs on much better starters than the one they’ll face here.
 
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SPORTS WAGERS

NASHVILLE -½ +144 over Chicago

Regulation only. It’s hard to imagine the Blackhawks getting swept at any time, let alone in the first round by Nashville but that’s what they’re facing here. The Blackhawks downfall has been sharper and more surprising than any other result thus far, including Toronto making life difficult for Washington. A 3-0 series deficit says it all, but the fact that Patrick Kane, Jonathan Toews and the rest of Chicago's seasoned postseason heroes are being completely outworked to the puck is even more concerning. Nashville's five-man units are just getting more done than the Blackhawks and there isn’t any indications that will change in Game 4. The great Blackhawks’ teams over the past seven years have been on the verge of elimination before but not down 3-0 and not after being so thoroughly outplayed. This is a group that has played a ton of hockey over that time and may simply be getting beat by a hungrier and more talented squad. We suggested that Chicago was flawed before the series began and the Preds are exposing all of them. The Western Conference's No. 1 team isn't playing with a lot of life

Nashville has been better in every area in this series. The Blackhawks have been chasing the Preds around for three games now and that takes a toll. Nashville is hitting harder, they’re skating quicker, they’re hungrier, they’re creating more scoring chances by a wide margin and they have outscored the Blackhawks 9-2. The Preds now have Chicago by the throat for the first time ever so this now becomes a defining moment for them where they’ll either bring the hammer down and finish this team off or they’ll give the Blackhawks hope. We’re counting on the former because Chicago is playing like they NEED a long summer break after playing their hearts out for seven years.

Most importantly is the value. Chicago is priced here like they have been competitive when in fact, they have not been other than in Game 1. When you bet Chicago today, you are betting a repuation and not the product. It may work out but if Chicago was doing to Nashville what Nashville is doing to Chicago, the Blackhawks would be a massive price. Nashville is a GREAT price and therefore must be played.
 
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Preview: Red Sox at Blue Jays
GAME: Boston Red Sox (9-6) at Toronto Blue Jays (3-11)
DATE/TIME: Thursday, April 20 - 12:37 PM EST
WHERE: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario

Four of the five starters in the rotation for the Boston Red Sox are carrying ERAs over 5.00 through their first few turns of the young season with the lone exception being their prized acquisition in the offseason. Left-hander Chris Sale will make his fourth start when the Red Sox wrap up a three-game series at the Toronto Blue Jays on Thursday afternoon.

Sale was acquired from the Chicago White Sox in a blockbuster trade in December and has lived up to the hype with Boston, which was blanked by Toronto 3-0 on Wednesday to snap its four-game winning streak. The 6-6 Sale easily could have won all three of his outings, but the Red Sox have provided him with a paltry six runs of offensive support. The Blue Jays own the worst record in the majors at 3-11 but have a chance to post back-to-back victories for the first time and earn their first series win of the season. Center fielder Kevin Pillar is riding a seven-game hitting streak after recording his second consecutive three-hit performance.

TV: 12:37 p.m. ET, MLB Network, NESN (Boston), Sportsnet (Toronto)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Red Sox LH Chris Sale (1-1, 1.25 ERA) vs. Blue Jays RH Marco Estrada (0-1, 3.50)

Sale is coming off another overpowering performance, striking out 12 while allowing one run on three hits over seven innings against Tampa Bay to earn his first win with Boston. A 17-game winner with Chicago in 2016, Sale has fanned 29 while yielding only three runs and 11 hits over 21 2/3 innings. The 28-year-old has made eight appearances (five starts) against Toronto, logging a 4-2 record and 2.25 ERA, but Steve Pearce is 4-for-12 against him.

Estrada bounced back from a rocky outing at Tampa Bay with a stellar effort last time out against Baltimore, permitting four hits over seven scoreless innings while striking out eight in a no-decision. The 33-year-old Mexican coughed up three homers over five innings in his previous turn and pitched six innings of two-run ball in his season debut. Estrada made five starts against Boston in 2016, going 2-2 with a 3.18 ERA.

WALK-OFFS

1. Red Sox RF Mookie Betts' streak of 129 plate appearances without a strikeout ended in the fourth inning Wednesday.

2. Blue Jays LF Ezequiel Carrera has a homer and three RBIs in the series to extend his hitting streak to four games.

3. Red Sox rookie OF Andrew Benintendi has hit safely in four straight, going 9-for-17.

PREDICTION: Red Sox 3, Blue Jays 2
 

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