Thursday 2/18/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Woodbine

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 2 - Post: 7:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 67 - Purse:$14000 - FILLIES & MARES, 4 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 1 RACE OR $7,600 LIFETIME. NO ALLOWANCES.


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 4 BLUEBERRY WILL 4/1


# 5 INEXPLICABLE RUBY 9/2


# 2 RADAR TRAP 10/1


We've got a feeling BLUEBERRY WILL is going to get the victory. The consortium saw this horse's name in a newspaper. Call it our coffee house play, worth a small wager. May provide us a ultimate prize based on nice recent TrackMaster SRs - earning an average of 71. The 69 avg class rating may give this filly a distinct edge in the field of horses. INEXPLICABLE RUBY - Starters win from this slot at Woodbine with better than average regularity, suggesting this magnificent wager. RADAR TRAP - She looks really good in this contest and should find a way to take advantage of favorable pace figures.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 7 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6020 Class Rating: 66

FOR NATIVE FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 3 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE JANUARY 18 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 18, 2015 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 4 ADRI C 5/2


# 5 CROWN LADY 5/1


# 3 PROVOCADORA 2/1


I think ADRI C is a quite good choice. Her 62 average has this mare with among the top speed figures for this race. Should come out solid - I have liked the way this mare has moved swiftly to the front end recently. Had one of the best speed figures of this field in her last outing. CROWN LADY - If you gander closely, this one has some longshot possibilities. Always good to invest in a trainer with this kind of solid win percentage - 15 percent - at this distance & surface. PROVOCADORA - Players should take a good look at this one as this filly has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this group of horses. Looks solid versus this group and should be one of the leaders.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Penn National

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 3 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $14300 Class Rating: 80

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JANUARY 18 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 18 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 7 EASY TEN 5/1


# 8 KNUTSFORD PARK 5/2


# 6 AISLE RING 6/1


EASY TEN is the most favorable bet in this race. Boasts solid speed figs on average overall when put alongside the rest of this group of animals. This pony has a very good win percentage in dirt routes. Has been travelling in the most competitive company of the group recently. KNUTSFORD PARK - This gelding has to be given a chance just off the earnings per start in dirt route events alone. Has been consistently racing well recently. AISLE RING - Had one of the strongest Speed Figures of this group in his last outing. I can't pass on this colt given one of the strongest jock and conditioner combos on the grounds.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Oaklawn Park - Race #1 - Post: 1:30pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 70

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 IVY JO (ML=7/2)


IVY JO - This race horse should be motoring down the lane.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 SERENDIPITY SEA (ML=2/1), #4 IMPETUOUS BAY (ML=5/2), #7 HOT SHOES (ML=5/1),

SERENDIPITY SEA - This mare hasn't had any recent success in sprint contests. Difficult to bet on her in this race. Hasn't been close to winning at all of late. IMPETUOUS BAY - Should have at least hit the board in the last 60 days in a short distance race to be worth a shot at minimal odds in a sprint. HOT SHOES - In any affair of 6 furlongs, I like to support a contender that has been looking good in short distance races recently.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #6 IVY JO on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
6 with 8

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #4 - Post: 2:17pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,800 Class Rating: 78

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#5 PEG'S OLYMPIC ZOIE (ML=4/1)


PEG'S OLYMPIC ZOIE - When this rider and trainer work together you have to take a look. Allen and O'Connell have been wonderful together. I think that a sprinter coming off a layoff will usually run her best in the 3rd or 4th start back.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 CONNECT THE DOTS (ML=2/1), #10 CATSKILL FLYER (ML=9/2), #1 TERRY BLOSSOM (ML=5/1),

CONNECT THE DOTS - The rating last race out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class rating of today's contest. Mark this horse as a likely underpriced equine. CATSKILL FLYER - The Brain tells me to keep my distance from horses in short distance races that haven't hit the board in short distance races recently. This racer hasn't shown too much in the last couple events. TERRY BLOSSOM - In this situation, this less than sharp equine's inability to make up any ground in the last race is a troubling signal. I can't play this perpetual non-winner. Gets the assignment finished occasionally.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#5 PEG'S OLYMPIC ZOIE is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

RACE #1 - AQUEDUCT RACE TRACK - 12:50 PM EASTERN POST

8.0 FURLONGS WINTERIZED INNER DIRT TRACK FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STARTER ALLOWANCE $58,000.00 PURSE

#3 NATALIE VICTORIA
#4 PUSHME PULLYOU
#1 MAGSAMELIA
#5 MORE THAN RAINBOWS

#3 NATALIE VICTORIA has won 8 times in her career to date racing at today's distance of a mile on the dirt, will enjoy a speed advantage on this allowance field this afternoon, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in three of her last five outings, including a 5-length, "POWER RUN WIN" last month here at "The Big-A." Jockey Irad Ortiz Jr. and Trainer Rudy Rodriguez send her to the post for the "Thursday Opener" ... they've hit the board with an impressive 63% of more than 175 entries saddled as a team to date. #4 PUSHME PULLYOU has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in four of her last five starts, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her 5th race back.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Woodbine Harness: Thursday 2/18 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF HARNESS

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 6,8/3,4,5/3,8,9/2,4,8/2,4 = $21.60

EARLY PICK 4: 2,4,8/2,5/2,4,9/2,4 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 2,4/4,6/2,3,4,5,7/2,8 = $40

MEET STATS: 248 - 778 / $1319.00 BEST BETS: 41 - 72 / $146.80

SPOT PLAYS: 17 - 72 / $191.30

Best Bet: AMBROSIA SEELSTER (10th)

Spot Play: CROWN ISLE (7th)


Race 1

(6) LADY SANTANA was a strong winner here two back then went a big uncovered trip out of town. She looks best here in the opener. (8) FROSTY DELIGHT won last week despite losing several positions on the final turn when bumpy-gaited. She is dangerous at this level but also erratic. (7) RHONDAS EXAMPLE set the pace vs. the choice last out and hung on reasonably well. She should get a slice here.

Race 2

(5) INEXPLICABLE RUBY has been finishing off her miles quickly but has been just too far back to make an impact. The short field plays into her hand here; top call. (4) BLUEBERRY WILL showed a bit of promise last year and this isn't the toughest group to meet for her sophomore debut. She's in the mix here. (3) I C YOUR SHADOW always seems to threaten but can't seem to get there. Once again - on paper - she figures.

Race 3

(9) MAGICAL PUMPKIN adds Lasix here for trainer Auciello which has been a winning recipe on occasion; angle play. (8) HERECOMESTHEBRIDE makes her third start for Moreau and this is a weak group; using. (3) DOMITIAN HALL will take them coast-to-coast one of these times; maybe tonight?

Race 4

(4) WINDSUN FALLS drops out of the Count B series and should find this group much easier. Notice his last try vs. maidens was pretty good. (2) DREAMFAIR MESA is a homebred that debuts for connections that have had a few good ones over the years; using. (8) CATCH TWENTY TWO closed quickly vs. a very good winner last time. A similar effort puts him right there vs. these.

Race 5

(5) P H KENNY went a big trip last time but was edged by one that could be very good. He should be tough vs. this group. (2) SCARY HARRY was too far back in the same race but the improved post should help here. He is likely the one the choice will need to fend off late. (1) ROLLING ROCK was third in the same dash but seems a bit win-shy; minor award predicted.

Race 6

(9) SECRET MISSY has raced well twice in a row and should be right there if she is put into this race from the outset. (7) ERJA took herself out of the race entering the backstretch last time. The price will climb and she still rates highly if she can stay flat throughout. (10) KADDY continues to grind out checks but needs to overcome the worst post here.

Race 7

(4) CROWN ISLE was a no go from the outside last week but finished well despite being well-beaten. Drury should be sending him early here. (2) PRINCE ADAM finished well last time now gets Zeron back for a second drive. He might get moving earlier here which would give him a much better chance. (9) ROLANDALE BUSTER was a decent third in his first start over Woodbine and he merits inclusion here.

Race 8

(4) DOCS DIVA was unhurried until the stretch last time then closed well for 2nd. She should get involved earlier here with that clean line behind her. (6) PONDER THE DREAM had a long trip from the worst post and still managed to keep coming for 4th in the same dash. She should get aggressive early here; using. (7) FEISTYS LEGACY showed improvement last time and isn't out of this.

Race 9

(4) YOURE MY HERO debuts for trainer Weller who does well with limited stock. He could win at first asking here. (2) H P BLACK SHADOW provided perfect cover for the chalk last week and couldn't repel him late. He might be closing in on his second win now. (7) STONEHOUSE PETEY should improve here going first time for Montini off the claim.

Race 10

(8) AMBROSIA SEELSTER was short last time after missing four weeks. She should be much tougher here. (2) MADDYS CREDIT suffered interference near the wire which cost her a couple of lengths last time. She should be dangerous from close range here. (7) IN THE SHADOWS could improve right away with Moiseyev as trainer/driver. (9) SODWANA BAY was a sharp maiden winner but benefitted from a soft trip; minor share is likely here. (1) QUEENOFTHEJUNGLE could better this placing with the post relief she enjoys here.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Thursday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Aqueduct (2nd) Afleet Martini, 7-2
(7th) Easy Comparison, 8-1


Charles Town (2nd) Lemon Kay, 5-1
(8th) Creative Mist, 3-1


Delta Downs (3rd) Reckless Ransom, 7-2
(8th) Miss Nala, 6-1


Fair Grounds (1st) Jobay, 9-2
(5th) Lacie's Quest, 4-1


Gulfstream Park (7th) Mill Creek, 4-1
(8th) Quite the Issue, 3-1


Oaklawn Park (6th) Steel Cut, 3-1
(8th) My Pal Paul, 8-1


Penn National (2nd) Dr. Anesthesia, 6-1
(8th) Paytoplay, 9-2


Tampa Bay Downs (3rd) Pio's Passion, 4-1
(8th) Jockey Jills Dream, 7-2


Turfway Park (6th) Car Fifty Four, 7-2
(9th) Battle On, 7-2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Thursday's six-pack

Six of the best minor league prospects of the Detroit Tigers......

1) Michael Fulmer, P-- Acquired from Mets in the Cespedes trade.

4) Christin Stewart, OF-- Chosen with pick they got when Max Scherzer bolted.

5) JaCoby Jones, SS-- LSU alum acquired from Pirates for Joakim Soria.

7) Joe Jimenez, P-- 126 strikeouts in 88 innings in relief in three seasons.

8) Dixon Machado, SS-- Got 68 ABs with the big club last season.

12) Buck Farmer, P-- 0-5, 8.15 in 50 major league innings so far.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Thursday

543 SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI at 544 UTEP 9:00 PM

Take: 544 UTEP -10.5

It might have taken longer than anticipated, but Tim Floyd’s UTEP Miners are starting to warm up. UTEP figured to suffer some growing pains during the early portion of the campaign, having to replace four starters from last year’s squad. But I never expected the Miners to be stumbling along at 3-6 in CUSA action while winning only half of their 22 games.

Things have changed of late for this team. UTEP heads into tonight’s game having won and covered four straight, and I think they loom as a somewhat under the radar go with team right now.

The offense is suddenly the story for the Miners. Over these last four games, they’re shooting with great accuracy, particularly from beyond the arc. UTEP has canned their threes at just a hair under 50% in the 4-0 run.

Southern Mississippi is going to try and turn this game into a crawl. The game plan for the Golden Eagles is milk the clock, shoot a three and try to stay in the game by lulling the other guys to sleep. That’s really all Doc Sadler can do with this team, as there just isn’t much talent available.

The high point for Southern Miss this season was in late January when they upset this UTEP squad. That was impressive, but it also came against a Miners entry that was scuffling back then. Different story now and I can’t see UTEP taking this game for granted with that revenge factor coming into play.

UTEP is playing at a breakneck pace right now and if Southern Mississippi cannot slow then down, there’s a good chance this gets pretty lopsided. Maybe the Golden Eagles can hang around, but I will bet against that being the case. UTEP minus the points to stay hot for at least one more night.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp NBB Pick, Thurday, Feb 18, 2016 11:00 PM EST

(567) CALIFORNIA VS (568) WASHINGTON

Take: Over the total

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Thursday, February 18, 2016 is in the Pac 12 scheduled contest between California and the Huskies in Washington. Cal has plenty of offensive punch, on a 7-2 run over the total. The over is 11-5 in the Golden Bears last 16 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. They head to uptempo Washington, a team that loves to run, scoring 82 and 80 the last two games. Unfortunately they lost both on the road, allowing 90 and 81 points. Wesley Gordon scored a career-high 17 points and grabbed a critical rebound in the final seconds to help Colorado overcome fatigue and a furious Washington rally for an 81-80 win on Saturday. Coming home will help and Washington is on a 15-2 run over the total, including 8-2 over at home. The over is also 20-6 when the Huskies face the Pac-12 and 6-0 over following a straight up loss. And when these teams meet the over is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings. Play Cal/Washington Over the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Bonus Play: THURS James Madison -6

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawrence

Southern Miss vs UTEP

Play - UTEP

Edges - Miners: 6–1-1 ATS home with revenge in this series. Golden Eagles: the visiting team is 4-13-1 ATS in this series. With El Paso 5-0 ATS when seeking revenge this season, we recommend a 1* play on UTEP. Thank you and good luck as always.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mike Lundin

Jazz vs Wizards

5* NBA Free Pick Washington Wizards ML

The Washington Wizards are in for a rough return from the All Star break. They'll be forced to play three games in three nights due to rescheduling of previously postponed games, and I think they'll put a lot of emphasis on this first game back. The Wizards entered the break off a 99-92 loss at Milwaukee last Thursday, but they're 6-2 ATS in their last eight games playing on three or more days rest and 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up loss. The Jazz have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 14 on the road and they're 2-5 ATS as a road underdog of three points or fewer this season. The Wizards have held the Jazz to an average of 86.3 points while taking down the last three in the series, and this looks like a good spot to back the Wizards to book another win as a short favorite.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Will Rogers

Bulls vs Cavs

1* Bonus Play Cleveland Cavs....

The Chicago Bulls are in shambles coming out of the All Star break. They've lost four straight, and six of their last seven, and the injuries are piling up. They won't have leading scorer Jimmy Butler for at least three weeks, and they are rumored to be shopping Pau Gasol. I think they are going to get clobbered in Cleveland.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Home Cookin' - The Cavs own the Eastern Conference's best home record (22-4), and they've scored an average of 114 points in their last six home wins. Kyrie Irving was hot heading into the break, averaging 27 points on 55.8 percent shooting over his last eight games.

2. Coaching Philosophy - The Cavs were one of the slowest teams in the league under David Blatt, but they have been a different team with Tyronn Lue at the helm. They've won eight of 10, going over the total in seven of those games.

3. X-Factor - The Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.

Selection: This is a play on the Cleveland Cavaliers (Free)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Heath Mac

BYU vs San Diego

Free Pick BYU -12.5

BYU are the far superior team here and play well on the road. We’ve backed BYU several times this season as although their defense isn’t flash (allowing 73.4 ppg, ranked 220th) they tend to beat up on the lesser teams as they put the foot down and simply outscore them.

San Diego has one of the worst offenses in D1 ball, averaging just 60.6 ppg (ranked 346th) so BYU’s allowing defense shouldn’t be an issue here. Meanwhile, BYU’s white hot offense (84.3 ppg, ranked 9th) should be able to put up enough points to cover here.

BYU is coming off blow out wins over Santa Clara (34 points) and San Francisco (25 points). San Diego is coming off back to back losses to San Francisco (17 point loss) and Santa Clara (3 point loss) so the form line here is strong.

San Diego is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home and 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing BYU.

For our Free Pick, take BYU -12.5 points here

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Red Dog Sports

SPORTING BRAGA vs FC SION

Bonus Play Draw +210

I think it ends 0-0 or 1-1.

Scion 1

Braga 1