st bernadines sports advisors - 10/29
<TABLE class=tborder id=post7179231 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=6 width="100%" align=center border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD class=alt1 id=td_post_7179231 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #fdde82 1px solid">john keelan(abats computer simulator)(no write ups)
1* No. Car +17
lillefty -
2* San Antonio spurs -2.5 over Chicago bulls.
This a game that is dropping fast so keep your eye on it. I will keep my # at 2.5 for record keeping purposes but you can probably get better if you monitor it. I don't see any reason why the # is falling like a rock . I looked for word that maybe Tony Parker wasn't playing or that rose was going to be full strength but nothing. So I will go full speed ahead with this pick.
The spurs are a deep team with the addition of Richard Jefferson to the mix. This is the 1st time they have spent well beyond the luxury cap to field their team. They know they are strong and this is the year to make a run and I am glad to see that they are going for it. It is too early in the season to worry about back to back game scenarios like last year with Duncan. With the blowout last night, the spurs rested their starters the whole 4Th quarter anyways.
The Bulls are learning to cope w/out Ben Gordon and even Vinny Del negro admitted that this year may not be the strongest of years for the Bulls as they prepare for the big free agent class next summer. W/out Gordon that much more of the offense will have to flow through Rose and he will be hampered by his ankle injury. He hasn't played in 3 weeks so his conditioning has to be off somewhat. I would be surprised if he went full minutes at full speed tonight.
The Spurs are a top tier Western conf team looking for a nice early win vs a good Eastern conf opponent and I think talent pulls them through this one comfortably.
if randy posts a play I will put it here otherwise good luck to all tonight!!
let's cash!!
ZAGS
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<TABLE class=tborder id=post7179231 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=6 width="100%" align=center border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD class=alt1 id=td_post_7179231 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #fdde82 1px solid">john keelan(abats computer simulator)(no write ups)
1* No. Car +17
lillefty -
2* San Antonio spurs -2.5 over Chicago bulls.
This a game that is dropping fast so keep your eye on it. I will keep my # at 2.5 for record keeping purposes but you can probably get better if you monitor it. I don't see any reason why the # is falling like a rock . I looked for word that maybe Tony Parker wasn't playing or that rose was going to be full strength but nothing. So I will go full speed ahead with this pick.
The spurs are a deep team with the addition of Richard Jefferson to the mix. This is the 1st time they have spent well beyond the luxury cap to field their team. They know they are strong and this is the year to make a run and I am glad to see that they are going for it. It is too early in the season to worry about back to back game scenarios like last year with Duncan. With the blowout last night, the spurs rested their starters the whole 4Th quarter anyways.
The Bulls are learning to cope w/out Ben Gordon and even Vinny Del negro admitted that this year may not be the strongest of years for the Bulls as they prepare for the big free agent class next summer. W/out Gordon that much more of the offense will have to flow through Rose and he will be hampered by his ankle injury. He hasn't played in 3 weeks so his conditioning has to be off somewhat. I would be surprised if he went full minutes at full speed tonight.
The Spurs are a top tier Western conf team looking for a nice early win vs a good Eastern conf opponent and I think talent pulls them through this one comfortably.
if randy posts a play I will put it here otherwise good luck to all tonight!!
let's cash!!
ZAGS
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Here we go LANG
Thursday's Selections ...
NOTE:
You don't want to be against my world series pick.
The Yankees were supposed to be the best team in this decade. They were the hottest team all year. They were unbeatable.
Did anyone see the Phillies stopping this freight train last night? I DID!!!!
When the stage is this big, history reveals I don't lose. From Super Bowls to World Series to NCAA Football Championship Games. I have come through more times than naught.
Now off that big 15 dime big dog winner on the Phillies, and the 20 dime series play looking good, it's time to get to why North Carolina will hang around and cover this number tonight.
15 DIME - NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS - (if the line is 16 1/2, you buy to +17, never get beat by the hook!) - A lot of wood for Virginia Tech to cover tonight facing the 3rd best defense in the country.
Everyone is going to look at this game as a match up of the horrible North Carolina offense versus this great Virginia Tech defense but my friends, it's the wrong way to look at it.
If you are going to cover a number like this you are going to need your offense to score you some points, and if you think Virginia Tech is going to just go up and down the field on this Tar Heels defense, well let's just say I don't think so.
Virginia Tech offensively is not Florida State. In fact, just throw out anything that happened in the Florida State game because unlike Virginia Tech, who ranks near the bottom in offense in the ACC, the Seminoles brought the best offense into Chapel Hill.
Against a similiar fast defense earlier this year against Nebraska, the Hokies struggled to a 16-15 win and we all see just how good Nebraska turned out to be. The Cornhuskers held V'tech to 270 yards total offense.
I believe North Carolina's defense will keep them in this football game. I believe their offense, which has been improving each week and faces a Virginia Tech run defense ranked 79th in the country, will make enough plays to stay within this very generous number and if the Tar Heels don't turn it over, they might just shock the world.
The bottom line is I will gladly take +17 points with the 3rd best defense in the country versus the 67th best offense in college football including just 102nd in the passing game.
The Tar Heels have the corners and safeties to shut down anything Virginia Tech wants to do in the air and I believe that is exactly what Butch Davis will do here. Put 8 in the box, man up on the outside and say to Frank Beamer, "Beat me throwing the ball buddy."
The dog is the play here. The dog is the play and the dog is the way I am going here tonight.
15 Dime TAR HEELS
5 DIME - PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES - Just like last night, I can't pass up this kind of value with the Phillies in game two.
In case you didn't watch last night's game, the Phillies showed you why they will repeat as world champions on many different levels.
Great starting pitching. Great defense. Timely hitting. Their whole lineup can come through on you any time as you saw last night.
Tonight I love the way they match up with A.J. Burnett. He is capable of making mistakes out over the plate and this is a home run hitting Philly team that will make you pay for those mistakes.
As for Pedro, nobody is as familiar with this Yankees lineup as he is. Simple as that.
He was as dominant as anybody this entire post season in his only playoff start versus the Dodgers going 7 shutout innings of 2-hit ball before being lifted for a pitch hitter in the 8th. Charlie Manuel probably should have left him in but no worries.
I love Pedro at this price just as I liked Cliff Lee at that great price last night.
As for Burnett, this could get ugly early as evidenced by his struggles over his career versus these Phillies.
He is 5-8 with a 4.85 ERA in 16 career starts including a 7-3 loss at Yankee Stadium on May 22, when he allowed five runs in six innings. Sounds familiar doesn't it? Like didn't Sabathia have those same kind of numbers versus the Phillies in a playoff start last year?
I am rolling with the Phillies to make it 2 straight in this series and take complete control tonight.
FREE SELECTION - SAN ANTONIO SPURS
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Thursday's Selections ...
NOTE:
You don't want to be against my world series pick.
The Yankees were supposed to be the best team in this decade. They were the hottest team all year. They were unbeatable.
Did anyone see the Phillies stopping this freight train last night? I DID!!!!
When the stage is this big, history reveals I don't lose. From Super Bowls to World Series to NCAA Football Championship Games. I have come through more times than naught.
Now off that big 15 dime big dog winner on the Phillies, and the 20 dime series play looking good, it's time to get to why North Carolina will hang around and cover this number tonight.
15 DIME - NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS - (if the line is 16 1/2, you buy to +17, never get beat by the hook!) - A lot of wood for Virginia Tech to cover tonight facing the 3rd best defense in the country.
Everyone is going to look at this game as a match up of the horrible North Carolina offense versus this great Virginia Tech defense but my friends, it's the wrong way to look at it.
If you are going to cover a number like this you are going to need your offense to score you some points, and if you think Virginia Tech is going to just go up and down the field on this Tar Heels defense, well let's just say I don't think so.
Virginia Tech offensively is not Florida State. In fact, just throw out anything that happened in the Florida State game because unlike Virginia Tech, who ranks near the bottom in offense in the ACC, the Seminoles brought the best offense into Chapel Hill.
Against a similiar fast defense earlier this year against Nebraska, the Hokies struggled to a 16-15 win and we all see just how good Nebraska turned out to be. The Cornhuskers held V'tech to 270 yards total offense.
I believe North Carolina's defense will keep them in this football game. I believe their offense, which has been improving each week and faces a Virginia Tech run defense ranked 79th in the country, will make enough plays to stay within this very generous number and if the Tar Heels don't turn it over, they might just shock the world.
The bottom line is I will gladly take +17 points with the 3rd best defense in the country versus the 67th best offense in college football including just 102nd in the passing game.
The Tar Heels have the corners and safeties to shut down anything Virginia Tech wants to do in the air and I believe that is exactly what Butch Davis will do here. Put 8 in the box, man up on the outside and say to Frank Beamer, "Beat me throwing the ball buddy."
The dog is the play here. The dog is the play and the dog is the way I am going here tonight.
15 Dime TAR HEELS
5 DIME - PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES - Just like last night, I can't pass up this kind of value with the Phillies in game two.
In case you didn't watch last night's game, the Phillies showed you why they will repeat as world champions on many different levels.
Great starting pitching. Great defense. Timely hitting. Their whole lineup can come through on you any time as you saw last night.
Tonight I love the way they match up with A.J. Burnett. He is capable of making mistakes out over the plate and this is a home run hitting Philly team that will make you pay for those mistakes.
As for Pedro, nobody is as familiar with this Yankees lineup as he is. Simple as that.
He was as dominant as anybody this entire post season in his only playoff start versus the Dodgers going 7 shutout innings of 2-hit ball before being lifted for a pitch hitter in the 8th. Charlie Manuel probably should have left him in but no worries.
I love Pedro at this price just as I liked Cliff Lee at that great price last night.
As for Burnett, this could get ugly early as evidenced by his struggles over his career versus these Phillies.
He is 5-8 with a 4.85 ERA in 16 career starts including a 7-3 loss at Yankee Stadium on May 22, when he allowed five runs in six innings. Sounds familiar doesn't it? Like didn't Sabathia have those same kind of numbers versus the Phillies in a playoff start last year?
I am rolling with the Phillies to make it 2 straight in this series and take complete control tonight.
FREE SELECTION - SAN ANTONIO SPURS
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Anyone see or know about Naturalbornthriller from myhandicapper and prosportsmonitor? I dont know if there is another source for his games, but it dont look like he puts out too many games looking at his stats, but he is over 60% for in everything but college football.
He hit the under on the WS game last night.
He hit the under on the WS game last night.
