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Weaver steady in playoff outings
Justin Hartling

Jered Weaver may only have three postseason during his eight year career, but they have been good outings. The rightie has allowed an average of two runs per game while only surrendering 11 hits combined.
 
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Despite losing streak, Vargas gets start for Royals
Justin Hartling

It is no secret that the Kansas City Royals don't have the deepest starting rotation, but the selection of Jason Vargas to start Thursday may seem odd.

The Royals are just 1-6 in the leftie's last seven starts. That seven game span has seen Vargas surrender 50 hits and 24 runs (7 hits, 3.4 runs per game).
 
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Runnin' Royals believe, rested Angels ready
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

ANAHEIM, Calif. -- Power might be in short supply for the Kansas City Royals, who hit a league-low 95 home runs in the regular season.

Speed is another story.

Kansas City led baseball with 153 steals in 162 regular-season games and kept on swiping Tuesday night in their multiple-comeback victory in the America League wild-card game.

The Royals ride of a surge of momentum into an AL Division Series matchup against the Los Angeles Angels after recording a 9-8, 12-inning victory over the Oakland Athletics on Tuesday.

Kansas City trailed Oakland 7-3 heading to the bottom of the eighth inning, and the A's had ace Jon Lester on the mound. The Royals scored three in the eighth and one in the ninth to send the game to extra innings.

Then, after the A's took the lead on a two-out hit in the top of the 12th, Kansas City scored twice in the bottom of the 12th to win the game.

"That's the most incredible game I've ever been part of," Kansas City manager Ned Yost said. "The fans were unbelievable. Our guys never quit. When we fell behind in the sixth inning, they kept battling back. They weren't going to be denied."

Yost admitted to feeling beat after the A's scored five runs in the sixth inning to take a 7-3 lead. His team convinced him otherwise.

"Your mind wants to think it's dire until our guys came into the dugout and they didn't think it was dire," he said. "They were like, 'We got this. Let's go. We can do this.' To a man, it was impressive to hear the confidence they had."

Next up for the Royals are the Angels, whose 98-64 record was the best in the major leagues.

The teams split six games this season, with each team taking two of three in the other team's park. One concern for manager Mike Scioscia's club is finding ways to stop the Royals from swiping bases at will. They finished in the bottom half of the league with 105 steals allowed.

The Angels will pitch right-hander Jered Weaver (18-9, 3.59 ERA) in the series opener Thursday night in Anaheim, Calif. The Royals have not announced a starter.

The candidates to start for Kansas City are Jason Vargas, who last pitched Sept. 24; Jeremy Guthrie, who last pitched Friday; and Danny Duffy, who last pitched Saturday. James Shields was ineffective as the starter in the wild-card game, and the Royals also used starting pitcher Yordano Ventura in relief. Two days after throwing four innings, Ventura allowed two runs on two hits, including a three-run homer by Brandon Moss, while facing three batters Tuesday.

For all the spring the Royals received in Tuesday's win, the Angels are roaring into the postseason. After trailing the Athletics by 3 1/2 games on Aug. 12, the Angels finished 27-15 down the stretch, including a 15-2 stretch. They wound up winning the division by 10 games.

Los Angeles boasts the nearly certain American League MVP, center fielder Mike Trout, and plenty of power around him.

Trout feasting on Royals pitching this season, with seven home runs, .361 batting average and 1.154 OPS.

The Angels scored a major-league-high 773 runs, and they led the American League with 1,464 hits. First baseman Albert Pujols, who grew up in the Kansas City suburbs, had his best season since joining the Angels, finishing with 28 home runs and 105 RBIs.

Weaver and left-hander C.J. Wilson are a talented and experienced one-two pitching punch, though Weaver endured an inconsistent year.

The midseason acquisition of closer Huston Street strengthened the Angels' bullpen.

Rookie right-hander Matt Shoemaker, who emerged as a key starting pitcher for Los Angeles, should be ready to face the Royals after recovering from an oblique injury. Left fielder Josh Hamilton also will be back in action after missing the last two weeks of the season due to a sore ribcage.

"We'll bat him down lower," Scioscia said. "He'll have a chance to swing the bat and contribute. But not too much pressure to where if he's not quite locked in it will make a big difference in our lineup."
 
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MLB

DETROIT (90 - 72) at BALTIMORE (96 - 66) - 5:35 PM

MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. CHRIS TILLMAN (R)

Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 188-147 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 181-141 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 97-66 (+36.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 50-31 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BALTIMORE is 26-12 (+15.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 86-59 (+30.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 72-36 (+41.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 75-47 (+32.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 53-42 (+13.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BALTIMORE is 45-27 (+24.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BALTIMORE is 31-15 (+19.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
TILLMAN is 25-10 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TILLMAN is 38-21 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
TILLMAN is 23-9 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TILLMAN is 19-7 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TILLMAN is 10-4 (+8.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TILLMAN is 25-16 (+17.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
DETROIT is 36-21 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
DETROIT is 35-23 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 29-19 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
SCHERZER is 24-9 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SCHERZER is 15-0 (+15.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
SCHERZER is 23-8 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SCHERZER is 33-11 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SCHERZER is 29-9 (+16.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-1 (+3.6 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

MAX SCHERZER vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
SCHERZER is 3-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.92 and a WHIP of 1.359.
His team's record is 3-3 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-4. (-2.5 units)

CHRIS TILLMAN vs. DETROIT since 1997
TILLMAN is 3-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.58 and a WHIP of 1.221.
His team's record is 4-2 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+2.1 units)


KANSAS CITY (90 - 73) at LA ANGELS (98 - 64) - 9:05 PM

JASON VARGAS (L) vs. JERED WEAVER (R)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 3-3 (+0.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

JASON VARGAS vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
VARGAS is 5-4 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.91 and a WHIP of 1.144.
His team's record is 7-7 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-9. (-4.5 units)

JERED WEAVER vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
WEAVER is 7-4 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.21 and a WHIP of 1.112.
His team's record is 8-4 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-9. (-6.4 units)
 
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At the Gate - Thursday
By Mike Dempsey

Friday through Sunday, there are seven Breeders’ Cup Challenge “Win and You’re In” races at Keeneland, a pair at Belmont Park and one at Santa Anita.

Keeneland opens Friday and the feature is the $400,000 Darley Alcibiades (G1) for two-year-old fillies, with the winner earning an automatic starting spot in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1). The supporting feature is the $200,000 Phoenix (G3) which is a “Win and You’re In” race for the Breeders. Cup Sprint (G1).

I will be providing my selections for those two races right here tomorrow and I will be posting reports for Keeneland each Saturday and Sunday during the meeting.

There are five graded stakes on Saturday’s card including the $1 million Shadwell Turf Mile (G1), which will serve as a final prep for Wise Dan, who figures to be a short price.

The stakes action starts in the fifth race, the $150,000 Woodford Reserve (G3) for turf sprinters. Also on the card are the $200,000 Thoroughbred Club of America (G2) for fillies and mares, $400,000 First Lady (G1) for fillies and mares on turf and the $500,000 Breeders’ Futurity (G1) for two-year-olds.

The Sunday featured races are the the $500,000 Spinster (G1) and the $250,000 Bourbon Stakes (G3), both Breeders’ Cup Challenge races.

At Belmont Park on Saturday, we have the $500,000 Champagne (G1) and Frizette (G1), both juvenile races. Saturday’s $300,000 Santa Anita Sprint Championship (G1) is a Win and You’re In” race for the Breeders’ Cup Sprint.


Here is today’s opening race from Belmont Park to get the day off to a good start:

BEL Race 1 Md $50,000 (12:50 ET)
4 Rachel's Temper 9-2
1 Beauty Surprise 5-2
8 Angel Choir 3-1
7 Reckless Move 6-1

Analysis: Rachel's Temper was bumped coming out of the gate, stalked the early pace and finished up well while no match for the winner in a runner up finish in her first start off a 7 1/2 month layoff. The winner of the race was Costeno, who came back to beat $50,000 starter allowance foes in his next start while the third and fourth place finishers came back to graduate in their next starts. The barn had a good Spa meet and has picked up four winners here form his first 15 starters.

Beauty Surprise made a good late rally to finish in the runner up spot last out for a $40,000 tag as the chalk, beaten a half-length for the top spot. The colt earned the top last out speed fig in the effort and now makes just his third start since May for the Clement barn. She has six sibs that are winners including one turf winner and a pair of stakes winners, top earner Trail This ($189,390).

Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 1,4 / 1,4,7,8
TRI: 1,4 / 1,4,7,8 / 1,4,6,7,8

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Belmont Park:

BEL Race 8 OClm $62,500N2X (4:27 ET)
7 Bakken 8-5
3 Candyman E 8-1
5 Captain Serious 5-2
2 Sam Sparkle 10-1

Analysis: Bakken came back off a 5 1/2 month layoff with a game effort in a runner up finish in the True North (G2) over the main track here. He was beaten just 3/4 of a length by palace, who went on to win a couple of Grade 1 races and was third last out in the Vosburgh (G1) but still is likely to be the favorite for the Breeders' Cup Sprint (G1). Our top pick now comes back off nearly a four month break, which is not a great sign he had to hit the sidelines again after such a good effort, but we have the Chad Brown barn in his corner and the barn is 29% winners (with a +ROI) with runners coming back off a 61-180 day layoff. He comes back here in a modest spot facing Alw-2 foes and in a wide open Sprint division a big performance will set him up to return to the stakes ranks next out.

Candyman E stalked the early pace from the outside and weakened to finish fifth last out against Alw-3 optional claimers. He was claimed away from Jacobson by the Friedman barn that is 13% winners first off the claim. The gelding has won 10 of his 26 career starts and his last win came on the inner track in the Toboggan (G3) back in February. He drops a notch in class here to the Alw-2 level and may end up getting overlooked on the tote.

Wagering
WIN: #7 to win at 8-5 or better.
EX: 3,7 / 2,3,5,7
TRI: 3,7 / 2,3,5,7 / 2,3,5,6,7

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Belmont Park
R3: #2 Deadicated Deal 10-1
R4: #2 Zenstone 10-1
R6: #10 Dr K’eough 8-1
R8: #3 Candyman E 8-1
R8: #2 Sam Sparkle 10-1
R9: #11 Loveisheartandsoul 10-1
R9: #8 Mythical Man 8-1

Good luck today!
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Maywood Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 2 - Post: 7:30 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 65 - Purse:$4400 - NON-WINNERS OF 1 RACE LIFETIME


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 6 JAY Z TAM 2/1


# 4 TEAM COUGAR 4/1


# 1A GO RUN N TELLTHAT 5/2


JAY Z TAM surely figures to be the harness racer to beat here. This fine animal may have some hidden form, a win would be a pleasant surprise. Many expert selectors will recognize the outstanding TrackMaster Speed Rating in the last outing. Stacks up against any horse in this pack. Many harness players favor this gelding on the driver/trainer numbers alone. TEAM COUGAR - He looks great in this outing and should find a way to take advantage of favorable pace ratings. A specialty of the handicapping group is recognizing a trainer with a good ROI statistic when a horse goes down in class. GO RUN N TELLTHAT - If effort in the most recent competition is any indicator, this nice horse will have a very really good shot in this contest. High last race TrackMaster Speed Rating. Don't count out this interesting entrant, especially with Titus as the trainer. In the money percentage is excellent.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Northfield Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 10 - Post: 9:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 77 - Purse:$3500 - NON WINNERS $250 PER START IN 2014. AE: N/W $1500 IN LAST 5 STARTS THAT ARE N/W $25,000 IN 2014. NO. 9 STARTS FROM 2ND TIER NORTHFIELD


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 4 CRY FOR CASH 12/1


# 7 INFORM 9/2


# 6 LEE A BRYANT 4/1


Feel pretty confident putting some profits down on CRY FOR CASH looking ever better at 12/1 on the morning line. Can't forget based on speed figs which have been great (76 avg) most recently. It's sometimes tricky to consider based only on class, but this gelding has among the strongest class ratings of the group of animals. INFORM - With one of the most respectable drivers in terms of crossing the wire first, don't count this gelding out of the race. LEE A BRYANT - This entrant looks strong. Look at the 79 avg speed rating. Seems to have a great class advantage based on the standardbreds he has faced.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 7 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $16000 Class Rating: 95

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 2 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000, IF FOR $8,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 5 FOLOWTHEMONEYTRAIL 5/1


# 9 CHARLIE'S PHANTASY 3/1


# 8 SMART AND TRUE 2/1


FOLOWTHEMONEYTRAIL has a strong shot to take this race. Keep this gelding in your exotics as Jimenez has given backers some double digit dividends. He looks strong in this slot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point. Looks strong for the conditions of this competition today, showing solid figs in dirt route races lately. CHARLIE'S PHANTASY - Handler has strong win rate (19 percent) at this distance and surface. The Equibase speed fig of 81 from his last affair looks quite good in here. SMART AND TRUE - The winning percentage shown by horses entered by McBride running at this distance are the most favorable in this group of animals. With a strong 82 speed rating last time out, will definitely be a factor in this affair.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 1 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $13500 Class Rating: 81

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. OKLAHOMA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 2 SHERIDAN'S BLING 9/2


# 6 K D QUEEN 6/1


# 7 NEVADA DEPUTY 7/2


SHERIDAN'S BLING has a respectable shot to take this race. Had one of the strongest Equibase speed figs of this field in her last contest. K D QUEEN - She has to be given a chance given the decent speed numbers. Had one of the best Speed Figures of this group of horses in this race in her last contest. NEVADA DEPUTY - Her 69 average has this filly with among the best Equibase Speed Figures in this race. No strangers to the winner's circle, Asmussen and Vazquez ought to have this filly breaking away from the field.
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Delaware - Race #7 - Post: 4:03pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,500 Class Rating: 73

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 DELTA DOYENNE (ML=6/1)
#3 S S DESSERT FIRST (ML=10/1)


DELTA DOYENNE - This filly is in first-rate physical condition right now. Ran second in the last race and comes back soon. Changes tracks from last out at Penn National to here. Multiple wins at different racing venues tell me this animal likes to switch it up, so that's a good sign. Ran last time out against much better company at Penn National. The move to a lower class rank should suit her well. That 73 fig this filly notched in her last race tells me she's a major player this time around. S S DESSERT FIRST - True, this horse is coming off a layoff, but this mare runs well fresh. If this mare gets out of the gate cleanly, she'll be tough to catch. Entered a $5,000 Claiming race at Mountaineer in the last race and raced on the soft turf finishing fifth. Expect better in this race. When a horse drops at least 5 lbs (like this one is), you must take notice. It may not seem like much, but could be helpful.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 WITH CLASS (ML=2/1), #6 PENNY'S CHIME (ML=5/2), #2 LADY MARIAN LOUISE (ML=4/1),

WITH CLASS - This morning-line favorite may be out of shape without any recent workouts. This mare garnered a speed figure in her last event which likely isn't good enough today. PENNY'S CHIME - A closer like this one needs a speed battle to set things up and she isn't likely to get one in this one. Doubtful that the speed rating she registered on September 11th will be enough in this race. LADY MARIAN LOUISE - This mare is always in the mix, but just doesn't finish on top. Hard to play her on the front end. Last raced on Sep 18th at Delaware, finishing third. Unlikely to get better off of that effort in today's race. This mare has had many attempts at Delaware and still no wins.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - DELTA DOYENNE - Put a wager on this filly. At the top in earnings per start and has a lot more to offer as well.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#4 DELTA DOYENNE to win at post-time odds of 5/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream - Race #6 - Post: 3:41pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,000 Class Rating: 63

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#5 SCARLETT DEL (ML=5/1)
#4 HONEYBUNNYBOOBOO (ML=3/1)


SCARLETT DEL - Quite frequently, I play a maiden that finished in the place spot easily ahead of the show horse in her last effort. This filly is in good physical condition, having run a nice race on Sep 19th, finishing second. Another way to evaluate class is earnings per race. This mount has the uppermost in the group. I think she'll be close at the finish line. I like the piece of information that this filly's last speed figure, 64, is tops in this field. HONEYBUNNYBOOBOO - Last out, this one was in a race at Penn National in a race with a class figure of 78. Dropping considerably in Equibase class figure in today's event puts her in a solid position in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 COWGIRL MARIANNE (ML=5/2), #8 AMERICAN RAISA (ML=6/1), #7 EILATAN (ML=8/1),

COWGIRL MARIANNE - Finished third in her most recent effort with a disappointing rating. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this field. AMERICAN RAISA - Have to put a question mark next to the last speed fig since it was obtained on a sloppy track. Doubtful that the speed fig she earned on September 20th will be good enough in this race. EILATAN - Hasn't been doing anything at all lately. Hasn't finished in the money in any sprint races of late. Unlikely to see her doing it in today's event either. When looking at today's class rating, she will have to notch a much better fig than in the last race to be competitive in this dirt sprint.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - SCARLETT DEL - After a moderate layoff, has had a few races and today she enters a sprint race. Should be back in form, so I expect this horse to perform well today.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Putting our cash on #5 SCARLETT DEL to win. Have to have odds of at least 6/5 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
 
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Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #8 - BELMONT PARK - 4:34 PM EASTERN POST

6½ FURLONGS DIRT THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD OPTIONAL CLAIMING $80,000.00 PURSE

#7 BAKKEN
#5 CAPTAIN SERIOUS
#2 SAM SPARKLE
#1A DREAM SATURDAY

#7 BAKKEN qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," takes a class drop (-11), and is the overall speed leader in this O.C. field this afternoon sprinting at, or about, today's distance of 6½ furlongs on the dirt, and has been a "POWER RUN PERFORMER" in each of his four career starts to date, hitting the board in three of those efforts, including back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in his first two outings. Jockey Javier Castellano and Trainer Chad Brown send him to the post for the "Thursday Feature" ... they've hit the board with an impressive 63% of nearly 200 entries saddled as a team to date. #5 CAPTAIN SERIOUS has hit the board in four of his last five outings overall, with three of those efforts, including back-to-back wins in his 4th and 5th races back also qualifying as "POWER RUNS."
 
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Handicapped by Rick Needham at Santa Anita Park

RACE #2 - SANTA ANITA PARK - 1:30 PM PACIFIC POST

6.0 FURLONGS DIRT THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $8,000.00 CLAIMING $17,000.00 PURSE

#1 ZIP CAT
#4 VALENTINE BOY
#3 NEXTDOORNEIGHBOR
#6 TRUCO LATINO

#1 ZIP CAT is the overall speed and pace profile leader in this field, and has excellent early speed abilities to compliment for this sprint. He's turned in "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in each of his last five outings, hitting the board in four, including a "POWER RUN WIN" facing better company (+2) in his 5th race back. #4 VALENTINE BOY, takes a class drop (-8), and has turned in a quartet of "POWER RUNS" in his respective last five "adventures," including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his last start.
 
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Northfield: Thursday 10/2 Analysis
By Ken Walters

DRF HARNESS


Best Bet: TAXISDUE (1st)

Spot Play: LEE A BRYANT (10th)


Race 1

(1) TAXISDUE has the rail, speed and a winning attitude. Qualifier was solid two back over this same oval. (2) BUSTED FLAT did just that with a win in sight last time out and should be within striking distance at the end of this one. (7) ANYTIMEANYWHERE has been victimized by his own shortcomings last two but won three back with strong third panel brush.

Race 2

(3) SHOOTFORTHESTARZZZ has been second best in three of last four and really has no excuse this evening. (2) STAR MASTER FOX races second time off the qualifier and would not have to be a world beater. (7) NORTHWEST BOMBER has won a couple of races lifetime including one this year. That separates him from almost all of these.

Race 3

(4) FUTURE PAST was a beaten favorite in last but did have some late foot. Faces similar and should be tighter this time. (9) JEN ROCKES flashed some good late foot in last and can be tough if she gets around early traffic. (7) CONDOR HALL was used hard in last and held decently after being a beaten favorite two back. Do not ignore this one.

Race 4

(5) OH WHATA GUY takes another modest drop in company and gets the call in well matched adventure. (1) SHADY TOWN has the rail and should improve off last few. (7) L H REMACHABLE was tightened in last and should amp it up a bit for this start.

Race 5

(7) LAVECSGIRL won this level two back and closed late in last also this level. (4) TRENTS RINGER was apparently bothered by the post in last. Gets a break in post position and faces a bit weaker to boot. (8) GO HERBIE GO has to overcome the post but has a touch of late speed.

Race 6

(3) INDOMITABLE SPIRIT is sharp now and best puts him in the winner’s circle. (4) STROSKI can battle to the end with the right trip. (1) Q ZILLA was a solid second in lst and draws the rail.

Race 7

(7) UP FRONT CARL has shown enough late speed to cause these trouble with the right trip. (2) LARRY CLARK moves in off some tour the track kinda efforts. (4) ANSWER THE BELL fits with these lackluster battlers.

Race 8

(4) U F SCOOTIN WHOSUR has the winning attitude and that is a good way to start a career. Has won three of four and should take these to the house. (6) PLAYMAKER closed well in last coming uncovered and earns a look. (7) ROYAL STYLE will have cover and might get lucky.

Race 9

(3) ALADY FOR SURE is on a form spree and has been very competitive in all recent races. (2) CHAD ships in and fits very well at this level. (3) LARRY P has the inside post and seems stronger than the rest.

Race 10

(6) LEE A BRYANT fits competitively in here and gets the nod for the upset. (3) MECHANICAL ART draws well second time this level. (8) DIGGERS REST N has late speed and will have to kick it up to got by these but can do it on best.

Race 11

(2) LIMA RITCH races third time off the double qualifiers and draws in inside. (3) SHANNONS BOY SCOUT drops, draws well and faces weak field. Two back was an uncovered effort and last was a tour of the track. If he has anything he can show it tonight. (5) BLUE PUNCH closed well a few back this level, this track for second best. That sets him apart from most of these.

Race 12

(4) NORMAS ROSE faces weak bunch as he drops. (2) JAY JAY REDSKY was decent a few back all this level and should show life this evening. (3) SMS TERMINATOR rallied inside to nail second to trotaway winner in last.

Race 13

(1) PANDAPOCKET was nailed late in last but draws well once more and has no excuse. (9) LUMINOUS LOMBO A was roughed up a bit in last before tiring. Will get away well behind the top one and be the late threat. (3) WINGULL was parked for life in latest and has broken a couple of times in recent races. Needs to stay flat, get a decent trip and can get a payday.

Race 14

(2) STARCRAZY was bet much better that she raced in last. Draws inside and may race better than she is bet this evening? (7) CROWN LADY has been winless a long time but looks to be rounding into form. (4) CARMELITA GIRL was unlucky two back, rallied well but had too far to come. Was even more unlucky in last when she broke before the start. Obviously needs some luck but don't ignore that closing effort two back.

Race 15

(4) EL PUNCHO raced uncovered in last when shipping back in from Delaware where he was parked forever from post 10. Look for a change of luck this evening. (1) TIDBIT draws the rail, should suck along and might get a chance for all the marbles in the shadow of the wire. (3) NO DRAMA faces weaker and showed life two back.
 
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Mohawk: Thursday 10/2 Analysis
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: SOUTHWIND CHAMPANE (3rd)

Spot Play: ROYAL CANVAS (9th)


Race 1

(6) ZORGWIJK ORCHID filly needed her last start and should have more to offer second start back. (2) P L HOUDINI three-year-old gelding comes off an awesome qualifier and is probably the horse to beat if he minds his manners. (10) TAILS nice looking 2-year-old faces older from the worst post but could be the sleeper in the race with some racing luck.

Race 2

(8) VITAL SIGN is a proven winner and should be much closer turning for home in the short field. (2) MINESTRE HANOVER gets sent out for a streaky trainer but his best effort is good enough; threat. (6) J B BOLT raced gamely last out stepping up against better and should offer a good price against similar.

Race 3

(7) SOUTHWIND CHAMPANE has been facing some really tough customers and will win with a trouble free trip. (5) MISCHIEF SMILE appears to be coming along nicely and should be ready for an improved effort. (2) LA BELLA ROSA has some question marks coming off a scratch but has flashed ability.

Race 4

(10) SEAWIND GINGER filly comes off a lifetime mark using two moves. The 3-year-old is versatile and is a threat at a price if she can find a way into the race. (3) DELIRIUM came up empty off the scratch but owns the fastest win in the field on the year by far. (7) SHHH IT'S A SECRET has burned a lot of cash recently but is a player in the race; command a price.

Race 5

(10) SEB well bred gelding owns a big burst of speed but needs to mind his manners from a tough spot. (9) APRIL BREEZE ON BY sophomore filly trotter makes her second lifetime start coming off a solid qualifier. (1) NOBLE POWER two-year-old colt has tons of upside in a wide-open race.

Race 6

(1) EMERALD LEXUS takes a significant drop back down to a level the pacer recently dominated. (9) DOCS HOSS gelding is very consistent always showing good closing ability, however the 6-year-old will be at the mercy of the pace and outer flow. (8) DIANES SHARK has been very competitive at this level.

Race 7

(10) LIGHT OF AVELINE will offer a big price and could get some pace to close into. (9) MAJOR HANGOVER filly is 0 for her career but has been paced faster than most in the field. (1) FANNISH is four for four lifetime but faces much tougher competition; threat.

Race 8

In a very tough race to handicap (8) P L GYRO finds a suspect bunch to do some damage. (4) HISTORIAN has just been racing evenly but has beaten better on the year. (9) BAHAMA BAY gets sent out for a trainer that can really turn one around at any time.

Race 9

(6) ROYAL CANVAS just missed at a huge price last out off a layoff and should have more to offer second start back. (5) MACH STOCKN BARREL takes a significant drop in class and should hit the ticket with a good effort. (2) USEFUL HANOVER three-year-old pacer rarely wins but looks to be in line for a good trip up close.

Race 10

(9) BROOKDALE BUSTER nice-looking pacer just missed against the same bunch last out and will offer a good price. (3) FOUR STACES has shown good improvement in his last few starts but could use a smooth trip from a suspect pilot. (2) WATERSIDE LIGHT has flashed a big burst of speed but has just been even in his last two.

Race 11

(2) PORSCHE SEELSTER has yet to win on the year but has been facing much tougher; big chance. (4) OK GODIVA never got into the mile last out but was racing gamely prior; threat. (3) SAM filly has ability but would need more to get past the top choice.
 
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Yonkers: Thursday 10/2 Analysis
By Brewster Smith

DRF HARNESS


MEET STATS: 291 - 1105 / $1,860.40 BEST BETS: 23 - 92 / $113.90

Best Bet: MISSY GOLDFIRE (5th)

Spot Play: SUSIES DELIGHT (6th)


Race 1

(3) LONG FIGHT HANOVER seems to be ready to get back to his winning form based on his nice recovery from his early break last time out. (5) SEA VENTURE flashed good early zip last time around; main danger. (4) LARAMARS SOUL fits well in here.

Race 2

(5) EXPLOSIVE ACTION closed well for the fourth spot last time around. Trotter can move forward against this group. (1) HASTY PROFFITT retains the rail slot and should be right in the mix. (3) TAG UP AND GO got the job done last out at Pocono.

Race 3

(5) DRIVE EM COWBOY should be ready to fire his best with a fine-timed drive from Holland. (6) ARTS BLAZE is better than his last try. (4) AMERICASGOTTALENT could land a share of the purse.

Race 4

(2) PERFECTLY ROYAL should fare much better from the 2-hole. So with that said, pacing miss could top these at her best. (1) UILLEANN raced evenly in her last try; major player from the fence. (4) PASSION R VIRGINIE gets out of the eight slot; watch out.

Race 5

(1) MISTY GOLDFIRE moves to the 1-hole for this event and that should help her cause; all systems go. (2) IMPERIAL PHOTO has tactical speed; main danger. (5) MEADOWVIEW ARTY was second best in his last start.

Race 6

(4) SUSIES DELIGHT Pacing mare moves down in class. Ready to roll over these. (3) UP FRONT CRUISER should do much better from the inside slot. (1) ZINDERELLA is knocking at the door; not out of this.

Race 7

(3) BLUE FIN put in two sharp efforts and the good news is Brennan stays aboard; threat at his best. (2) ROCKNROLL JEWEL just missed the score in his last start. (6) VIPER HANOVER will be closing in the final strides.

Race 8

(3) HOOSIER CHATTER fits well in this event. Pacing mare could make tonight a winning one with a perfect trip. (6) TEXAS CAVIAR has hit the board in her last three starts; player in here. (1) FRONTIERPAN moves to the rail slot; watch out.

Race 9

(1) I DO IT MYSELF Pacing miss was nailed for win honors last time out. She seems to be ready to get the job done from the rail slot. (2) BO TOX HANOVER has fine speed and will do quite well against this group. (3) INTTOWINAFORTUNE has good speed and can't be counted out.

Race 10

(2) VICTORIA MAY N with a perfect trip, this mare can take these to task for all the cash. (4) ROCK N SOUL was sharp three trips ago. Maybe with Brennan at the helm. (8) CHERRY BLISS Late surge for the victory in her most recent outing.

Race 11

(4) UBETTORBETULIFE gets out of the eight slot and she has a chance to pounce and score; worth a closer look. (1) SPRINGHOUSE STAR moves to the fence and Brennan stays; threat. (3) STAGE IT RIGHT was sent down the road for all the glory last out.

Race 12

(2) DIRT DIAMOND is clearly better than his latest. Pacing mare could top these for her second score of the year. (5) SWINGING BEAUTY gets class relief and she could be a factor in here. (1) SIR LEHIGH Z TAM can be right there from the rail slot.
 
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SPOT PLAYS

For Thursday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Belmont Park (1st) Pure of Spirit, 7-2
(4th) Miss Potenza, 5-1


Belterra Park (1st) Lovely Jane, 7-2
(4th) Pure Treasure, 7-2


Charles Town (2nd) Sir Marion Lewis, 8-1
(8th) Run Lucy, 3-1


Delaware Park (3rd) Lethal Lil Lady, 6-1
(5th) Awesome Arceno, 4-1


Finger Lakes (2nd) Beat the Drum, 7-2
(5th) Lil O's Expression, 3-1


Gulfstream Park (4th) Fabulous Nicole, 6-1
(7th) X Y Jet, 3-1


Indiana Grand (2nd) Kinker, 6-1
(7th) Kodiak Syd, 8-1


Laurel (4th) Seventh Ruler, 9-2
(9th) Cotton Letters, 4-1


Penn National (1st) Nice Surprise, 6-1
(4th) Tastefully Simple, 4-1


Remington Park (2nd) Remember Me, 7-2
(6th) Lookslikeahit, 6-1


Santa Anita (5th) Burns Turn, 3-1
(6th) Aperfectdaytofly, 4-1
 
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MLB 2014 Playoffs

Tigers-Orioles
Scherzer is 3-0, 2.70 in his last four starts; he allowed two runs in four IP vs Baltimore this year. Scherzer is 4-2, 3.42 in nine postseason starts.

Tillman is making his first postseason start; he is 5-1, 2.52 in his last 10 starts. Tillman won his only start vs Detroit this year, allowing one run in 8.1 IP.

Tigers are 10-6 in last 16 road games; they're in playoffs for 4th year in row; they won this round last three years, won World Series in 2012.

Orioles are 20-6 in their last 26 home games; they lost in this round in 2012, their only playoff appearamce since '97.

Scherzer 24-9.....8-33 first inning
Tillman 24-10 (11-1 last 12).........12-34 first inning

Royals-Angels
Vargas is 0-4, 9.00 in his last four starts; he allowed seven runs in 10.1 IP in two starts (0-0) against the Angels this season. This is his first postseason appearance.

Weaver is 4-2, 3.00 in his last six starts; he didn't pitch against the Royals this year, is 2-1, 2.61 in six postseason games (3 starts).

Royals won seven of last nine games, six of last eight on road; this is their first playoff since 1985. Just know that Yost is a sub-par game manager.

Angels jogged to AL West title, lost seven of last ten games; they're in playoffs for first time since 2009- they made playoffs six out of eight years ('02-'09), winning 2002 World Series.

Vargas 14-16.........6-30 first inning (4 of last 7)
Weaver 22-12........6-34 first inning
Two starting pitchers were college teammates at Long Beach State.
 
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Royals, Angels set starters for ALDS
The Sports Xchange

The Kansas City Royals and Los Angeles Angels named their starters Wednesday for the first two games of the American League Division Series that begins Thursday in Anaheim, Calif.

Right-hander Jason Vargas will start the opener for the Royals against Angels right-hander Jared Weaver. In Game 2, the Royals will send 23-year-old right-hander Yordano Ventura against right-hander Matt Shoemaker.

Vargas was with the Angels last year before signing with the Royals as a free agent in the offseason. He posted a 11-10 record with a 3.71 ERA in 30 starts this year.

Ventura pitched in relief Tuesday night in the wild-card game against the Oakland Athletics and surrendered a three-run homer to Brandon Moss before the Royals rallied for a 9-8 victory in 12 innings. He finished the regular season with a 14-10 ERA and a 3.20 ERA.

Weaver went 18-9 with a 3.59 ERA and Shoemaker was 16-4 with a 3.04 ERA.
 

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