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Mr. Vegas

FREE Mr Vegas Play for Thursday, October 16, 2014 7:05 PM NHL

(3) DALLAS STARS VS (4) PITTSBURGH PENGUINS

Take: Over

Reason: A pair of fast skating uptempo offensive teams clash here. Tyler Seguin scored three goals to lift the Stars to a 4-2 victory over the Columbus Blue Jackets on Tuesday night for their first win. The over is 4-1 in the Stars last 5 vs. a team with a winning record, plus 7-2 over the total in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. They take on an attacking Pittsburgh offense that is tops in goals scored and on the power play. The over is 9-1-1 in the Penguins last 11 games following a win, off a 5-2 victory. Play Dallas/Pittsburgh over the total.
 
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Jim Feist

Comp NBA Pick for Thursday, October 16, 2014: 8:05 PM EST NBA

(607) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS (608) NEW ORLEANS PELICANS

Take: (608) NEW ORLEANS PELICANS

Reason: Your free pick for Thursday, October 15th comes in the NBA preseason as Oklahoma City heads to New Orleans to play the Pelicans. New Orleans is a young team that has more to prove during the preseason, with a pair of wins over Miami and Houston. Anthony Davis had 26 points, eight rebounds and four blocked shots as the New Orleans Pelicans beat the Houston Rockets 117-98 on Tuesday night. Pelicans center Omer Asik finished with 10 rebounds and eight points in his first game against his former team. Guard Eric Gordon contributed 15 points and four assists for New Orleans. The Pelicans never trailed after taking a 2-0 lead on the opening possession. This will be the third straight home game for New Orleans and they face a banged up Oklahoma City team with nothing to prove. They are without star Kevin Durant and playing its 3rd road game in 4 contests. This defense is not focused, allowing 114, 109 and 107 in three games. Other Thunder players who sat out with injuries the last game include Nick Collison (ankle sprain), Serge Ibaka (ankle sprain), Reggie Jackson (wrist contusion), Grant Jerrett (ankle), Mitch McGary (foot fracture) and Perkins (quad strain). Westbrook was the only regular from last season's starting lineup who played. Play New Orleans!
 
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Joe Gavazzi

Virginia Tech at Pittsburgh (-1-) 7:30 ET ESPN

4* Virginia Tech +1-

It has been a roller coaster season for each of these teams. Pitt broke from the gate at 3-0 with an improved defense and the running of RB Connor. But, their creampuff schedule caught up with them in losses to Iowa, Akron and Virginia. Now, they must face another team of that ilk, who has likewise been up and down this season. Good enough to win at Ohio St., Tech was also bad enough to lose the following 2 weeks to E. Carolina and Georgia Tech. But, they have righted the ship with victories of 17 and 18 points of late, have the coaching of Beamer, the tradition of success, and the benefit of current momentum. There has been more than a 3 point move in this line since its inception, a solid indicator of success when fading the public team.
 
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'Jets at Patriots'

So far this season, backing the midweek home favorite has been the right choice as they're 4-1 SU/ATS. This Thursday, New England Patriots (-10) tries to improve the record when they host New York Jet. Playing with three days rest can be extremely difficult on a visiting squad. Over the past 5 years Thursday road teams have won just 23 of 59 regular season games played. Spread wise, the travelling troops held their own posting a 27-32 mark against the betting line including 16-20 ATS as underdogs. Going with Jets might be considered a little nuts. But, Jets showed spunk against Broncos Sunday and Patriots did loose both Mayo, Ridley to injury this past week. Now, Jets aren't likely to win in Patriots back yard. However, were not about to toss the 10 point spot knowing Patriots are on a 2-8 ATS slide as DD faves, Jets covered both games vs Patriots last year and have a 3-1 ATS stretch last four trips to Gillette Stadium.
 
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At the Gate - Thursday
By Mike Dempsey

Horse racing lost a promising up and coming jockey on Tuesday, with 17-year-old apprentice Juan Saez succumbing to injuries involved in a spill at Indiana Grand.

The incident happened in the eighth race on Tuesday night. Saez was aboard Montezuma Express, who appeared to clip the heels with Paddy’s Note. Saez hit the ground hard, as did his mount, and it looked as if he may have been struck by trailing horses.

Saez, the younger brother of jockey Luis Saez, won the jockey title at the Ellis Park summer meeting and appeared to have a bright future. He won 89 races from 440 mounts with earnings of $2,053,219.

"Juan Saez possessed an immense gift for riding horses, and there is no telling how bright his future as a jockey would have been," Alex Waldrop, president and chief executive of the National Thoroughbred Racing Association, said in a statement.

It was the third jockey to die recently in riding accidents. Caitlin Forrest, just 19 years old and with 51 winners in her career died after a four horse spill at Murray Bridge in Australia.

Jockey Carly-Mae Pye died from the injuries sustained in a fall during a barrier trial at Callaghan Park in Queensland on Monday morning. She was 26.

It’s a reminder that we are gambling our money, but the jockeys are gambling with their lives each and every time the gate opens.

Here is today’s opening race from Belmont Park to get the day off to a good start:

BEL Race 1 Clm $50,000N3L (12:50 ET)
2 Indian Nobility 2-1
3 Jigsaw 10-1
7 Successful Brothers 7-2
9 Bigger Picture 8-1

Analysis: Indian Nobility beat $50,000 non-winners of two last out in a game effort going seven furlongs at the Spa and stretches out another furlong here. The gelding makes his first start for the Jacobson barn that is 26% winners first off the claim. He is bred for a wet track and has a couple of seconds in two trips over off going, which we seem likely to see today.

Jigsaw came up short last out on turf against $75,000 optional claimers and finds a better spot here tagged for $50,000 and facing non-winners of three. Two back this guy beat $50,000 starter allowance foes over a muddy track at the Spa. The Contessa trainee has a strong off track pedigree and I am assuming we are going to be off the turf today.

Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 8-5 or better.
EX: 2,3 / 2,3,7,9
TRI: 2,3 / 2,3,7,9 / 2,3,7,8,9

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Belmont Park:

BEL Race 7 Clm $32,000 (3:56 ET)
4 Bernie the Maestro 4-1
8 Royal Currier 5-2
5 Joan's Choice 7-2
6 Regulus 9-2

Analysis: Bernie the Maestro tracked the early pace toward the outside and came up empty in the stretch, weakening to finish seventh against $50,000 claimers. The third place finisher Wealth to Me came back to beat $35,000 starter allowance foes with a 908 Beyer in his next outing. Two back our top pick won for a $50,000 tag in his first go off the claim by former Levine assistant Cannizzo. The gelding drops into a better spot here tagged for $32,000 and he loves the wet stuff, winning 4 of 9 over off tracks.

Royal Currier drops in class after coming up short in the Tale of the Cat, a race that produced three next out winners. The winner Bern Identity came back to win the Dave's Friend in his next outing on Sept. 6 and then ran third in the Phoenix (G3) at Keeneland. The Jacobson trainee fits better here tagged for $32,000 and the gelding has run well over the main track here but sports a 0 for 6 record with a couple of seconds on wet tracks.

Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 4,8 / 4,5,6,8
TRI: 4,8 / 4,5,6,8 / 2,4,5,6,8

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Belmont Park
R1: #3 Jigsaw 10-1
R1: #9 Bigger Picture 8-1
R2: #6 We Fly Private 8-1
R3: #7 Zimbabwe Lady 8-1
R4: #11 St. Louie 8-1
R4: #3 World Appeal 8-1
R5: #8 Built in a Day 8-1
R9: #5 Pink Freud Live 8-1

Good luck today!
 
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Woodbine Harness: Thursday 10/16 analysis
By Greg Gangle

DRF HARNESS

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: MAJOR AARIES (9th)

Spot Play: HIGHLAND BORAS (4th)


Race 1

(6) MACH SOME NOISE finished a strong second last week in her second start off the shelf and closed off her mile very well. (3) CANT STOP caught my attention last week as she exploded in deep stretch to finish second. (10) AHEAD HANOVER has missed the board once from five career starts, coming into tonight's contest with a pair of victories.

Race 2

(7) DIONYSUS LINDY disappointed last week at low odds for Zeron and will look to rebound on this occasion. (4) CLIMB HIGHER raced very well in his latest pari-mutuel start with a third-place finish and appears to be a top threat in this classification. (2) COOL CREEK VALLEY put forth a much better effort in his latest, as the daughter of Windsong Espoir trotted the fastest mile of her career

Race 3

(4) BLOCKING THE WAY has been scratched twice, which is certainly a concern, but I'm going to hope for a price and pick him on top. (6) APRIL BREEZE ON BY raced very well from a post nine start to finish third and appears ready for this dash. (7) STUARTS DYNASTY recently finished second in his latest qualifier and will look to drop more time in tonight's dash.

Race 4

(3) HIGHLAND BOREAS draws inside and moves into the Marty Fine barn, which should lower his odds. (4) CIONA BROMACH was a winner last week in this classification as the gelding enjoyed his second victory of the season. (9) OAKMONT offered a low price last week in his debut on this circuit and produced a sub-par effort. The back-class veteran holds a solid record this season while racing in the Maritimes and will aim for a better result this evening.

Race 5

(4) BODY TALK has been a proven threat in this classification for many weeks and will likely offer a short price when the gates unfold. (6) WARRAWEE PRINCE has scored back-to-back wins for trainer Mark Steacy, including last week on this circuit. (2) KEN KAN WIN is carrying a three race win streak coming into tonight's contest for trainer Rhonda Markle.

Race 6

(2) SHHH ITS A SECRET comes from the Dean Nixon barn, draws inside and just missed last week. (5) BELLA MASTER also has a solid record this season and has hit the board in five of her last six starts. (6) OK GODIVA finished a game third last week for trainer Mark Steacy as the sophomore pacer was only defeated less than a length for the win.

Race 7

(8) ROLLTIDEROLL was a winner last week in this class for high percentage trainer Marty Fine. (7) OCEANVIEW BINDI will enter a new barn for the first time since the summer of 2012 and trainer Carmen Auciello has an excellent reputation with first time starters.(3) BEST RISQUE draws inside and finished second behind Rolltideroll last week.

Race 8

(3) WHEELING N DEALIN was largely overbet last week and had to settle for third. I'll back him this week and hope for a better price. (6) MEGO MOSS posted the 5-1 upset last week over Wheeling N Dealin and is quite capable of doing it again. (7) CHARLIE IS A JOKER has quickly risen to this class over the past few starts since arriving in the Baillargeon barn.

Race 9

(8) MAJOR AARIES will make just his third career start, but has been brought along nicely which has resulted in a first and second-place finish to date. (1) KINDOFABIGDEAL comes from the Moreau barn and the gelding will make just his third career start. (10) BLISSFUL RIVER raced very well last week in this class considering he got interfered with down the stretch.

Race 10

(6) SWAN IN A MILLION made an uncharacteristic break last week for trainer/driver Jones as the favorite in this Preferred event and will look to rebound. (5) CALIPARI was a winner last week in this Preferred class and the six-year-old gelding has the momentum in his corner with wins in his last two starts. (1) TAKE MY PICTURE moves onto this circuit once again for Drennan and finally draws an inside post.

Race 11

(7) FRANKIES FIRST LUV has won four of his five career starts, including last week on this circuit for trainer James Marsden. (3) BADLANDS LOVE has put together a solid string of races in her last three starts for trainer Corey Johnson. The pacing miss has been a top threat in this classification over the past few weeks. (4) NARCIAN JEWEL doesn't have the best performances leading up to tonight's dash, but the brown filly shows 1:53 2/5 speed just four lines down her page.
 
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Yonkers: Thursday 10/16 Analysis
By Brewster Smith

DRF HARNESS


MEET STATS: 312 - 1177 / $2,084.00 BEST BETS: 25 - 98 / $126.60

Best Bet: BRENT MONTANA (3rd)

Spot Play: PUTNAMS ATTACK (7th)


Race 1

This could be a perfect spot for (2) ROLLEM UP to grab his first score of the year. (7) BAY FISHEN DOC has good speed and will be the main danger in here. (3) EAGLE NOW gets post relief.

Race 2

(3) BAMBINO HALL moves down in class and draws the 3-hole; worth a play. (6) RINGSIDE MUSCLE rallied strongly last out for the place spot. (1) GRAIN OF TRUTH retains the rail slot; not out of this.

Race 3

(3) BRENT MONTANA is a very sharp pacer that should keep on his winning ways. (6) VODKA IS TERROR got the job done in his most recent trip. (1) LILSHARKSHOOTER could contend with these.

Race 4

(4) UP FRONT CRUISER was very game in her last try and this pacing miss can boss these at her best. (3) NUTMEGS DESIRE has fine speed and will be right square in the mix. (1) BELLS ARE RINGING should fare well from her rail slot.

Race 5

Tough trip for (2) COCOTIER last out when he was used up in the early stages. Should be ready to roll over this group; down the road. (4) IMPERIAL PHOTO just got up for win honors last time around. (1) JAILHOUSE FUNK could have a say in the outcome.

Race 6

Will try (5) SUSIES DELIGHT to get back on the winning grove; very capable. (3) CAMPHOR HANOVER moves to the 3-hole and that might help her cause. (4) ZINDERELLA was caught at the wire to just miss the score last time out.

Race 7

(1) PUTNAMS ATTACK returns to the fence where this gelding got the job done in early August. He can top these with Brennan at the helm. (2) FLYING INSTRUCTOR flahsed good speed and should contend in here. (3) ER ROOM closed well last out for the show spot.

Race 8

(2) PUTNAMS GLORY was quite sharp for the win last time out. Pacing mare should be ready to take these down for his second straight score. (4) GROUNDED seems to be knocking at the door based on her last two trips to the post. (3) TEXAS CAVIAR could land a share of the purse.

Race 9

(1) GIVEITTOEMSTAIGHT is on a roll, scoring her second in a row. She is ready for the hat trick tonight. (2) GODDESSS ROSA was second best in her last try. (6) SEA CRUISE HANOVER gets class relief; watch out.

Race 10

(1) BO TOX HANOVER is game and very consistent; should keep on her winning ways. (2) MACH THIS WAY posted an easy victory in her previous outing. (3) KNOW IT ALL could make some noise.

Race 11

(1) HASTY PROFFITT took the pocket route home to glory last time out. Gelding is very capable of getting the job done once again. (3) TOSS CARTWRIGHT just got up for win honors recently. (2) GENIUS AT WORK will be right in the thick of it.

Race 12

Will give (5) THISTHATNTHEOTHER a shot to get back on the winning track. The drop surely can help her cause. (1) ITS DE LOVELY is also on the drop-down and draws the fence; threat. (2) SADIES PLACE could have a say with these.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Harrington Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 12 - Post: 8:37 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 63 - Purse:$4500 - F & M NW 1 PM RACE OR $5,001 LIFETIME 4 YEAR OLDS & UNDER


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 5 TERROR AINT EASY 5/1


# 4 OFFICIAL VERSION 5/2


# 3 LOTACLASSNALILSASS 3/1

Look no further than TERROR AINT EASY as the wager in this race. Appears that this entrant's running style fits well in this competition. More than likely will be there at the finish. If performance in the most recent competition is representative, this horse will have a very great shot this time. High last race TrackMaster speed fig. This solid standardbred will be greatly helped with Stafford taking the reins. 20 percent winners over the last 30 days. OFFICIAL VERSION - A competitive win percentage has been earned by horses beginning from the 4 hole. That 58 speed figure clocked in the most recent competition puts this solid standardbred in the mix for this one. LOTACLASSNALILSASS - With a 72 average class ranking, this race horse has one of the best class advantages in the race. Has to be given a look based on the formidable TrackMaster Speed Rating earned in the most recent gathering.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Hoosier Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 11 - Post: 8:35 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 86 - Purse:$8000 - FILLIES AND MARES CLAIMING PRICE $12,000


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 2 ALWAYS AS FAST 7/2


# 5 RIDE A COWBOY 6/1


# 3 AHLBBACK YANKEE 5/2

The consensus for this race is that ALWAYS AS FAST is the one to beat. Worth a close look here looking at the ratings in the speed rating department alone. Has a very compelling shot in this event, if she can repeat her back class. RIDE A COWBOY - Chances are greatly increased for solid standardbreds starting from the 5 position at Hoosier Park. Her 87 avg has this mare among the most favorable speed ratings here. AHLBBACK YANKEE - The knowledge group gives this solid standardbred a formidable chance to come home a winner, class figures are tops in the group. The panel of smart guys noted a very strong performance out of this entrant last time. Looking for a repeat of that to end up in the winner's circle.
 

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