Rocketman
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Play: Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia is 37-32 this year while Tampa Bay comes in with a 38-35 record on the season. Philadelphia is 6-1 this year as a road underdog of +125 to +150. Philadelphia is 24-10 on the road this season. Philadelphia is scoring 5.3 runs per game overall this year and 6 runs per game on the road this season. Philadelphia bullpen has a 3.27 ERA on the road this year. Antonio Bastardo is 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA on the road this year. Andy Sonnanstine is 5-7 with a 6.60 ERA overall this year. Philadelphia is 5-2 overall vs Tampa Bay last 3 years. Sonnanstine is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA overall vs Philadelphia since 1997. We'll recommend a small play on Philadelphia tonight!
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Play: Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia is 37-32 this year while Tampa Bay comes in with a 38-35 record on the season. Philadelphia is 6-1 this year as a road underdog of +125 to +150. Philadelphia is 24-10 on the road this season. Philadelphia is scoring 5.3 runs per game overall this year and 6 runs per game on the road this season. Philadelphia bullpen has a 3.27 ERA on the road this year. Antonio Bastardo is 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA on the road this year. Andy Sonnanstine is 5-7 with a 6.60 ERA overall this year. Philadelphia is 5-2 overall vs Tampa Bay last 3 years. Sonnanstine is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA overall vs Philadelphia since 1997. We'll recommend a small play on Philadelphia tonight!
Tom Freese
Philadelphia Phillies at Tampa Bay Rays
Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay is 45-17 their last 62 home games vs. teams with a winning and they are 80-33 their last 113 home games. The Rays are 6-1 in the last 7 starts made by Andy Sonnanstine as home favorites. Philadelphia is 16-35 their last 51 Interleague games vs. righty starters and they are they are 1-7 their last 8 games overall. The Philies are 1-7 their last 8 games vs. AL East teams and they are 0-6 after allowing 5 or more runs in their last game. PLAY ON TAMPA BAY w/Sonnanstine
Philadelphia Phillies at Tampa Bay Rays
Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay is 45-17 their last 62 home games vs. teams with a winning and they are 80-33 their last 113 home games. The Rays are 6-1 in the last 7 starts made by Andy Sonnanstine as home favorites. Philadelphia is 16-35 their last 51 Interleague games vs. righty starters and they are they are 1-7 their last 8 games overall. The Philies are 1-7 their last 8 games vs. AL East teams and they are 0-6 after allowing 5 or more runs in their last game. PLAY ON TAMPA BAY w/Sonnanstine
Ben Burns
Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee Brewers
Prediction: Minnesota Twins
Mike Burns will be making his first-ever major league start in this one. Burns is already 30 years old but he has pitched in just 46 games (0 starts) in his MLB career. Burns has a 5.46 ERA in his career and opponents have hit .313 against him. He was called up from the Triple-A Nashville Sound to make this start. Even though Burns is 7-2 with a 2.55 ERA this season with Nashville, it's always a big jump going from the minors to the big leagues and Burns' career numbers at the MLB level prove that point. The only reason that Burns is getting this start is because Dave Bush just went on the 15-day disabled list with a triceps tear in his throwing arm. A bit of bad news for Burns here is that this is a home start and it's a day game. In his MLB career, Burns has an 8.71 ERA at home and an 8.18 ERA in day games.
Unlike the uncertainty that comes with starting a pitcher for the first time (like the Brewers are here), the Twins get to turn to a pitcher who has been very consistent for them this season. Scott Baker comes into this outing looking for his fourth straight quality start. Baker already faced the Brewers this season, delivering a solid start in late May. Baker's career numbers against the Brewers include a 5.01 ERA but that is misleading. Baker has held the Brewers to a .258 BAA and he has a 1.14 WHIP against Milwaukee in his five career starts versus the Brewers. Overall, some of Baker's numbers this season are also misleading as they are not reflective of how well he has pitched. Baker is 4-6 this season with a 5.22 ERA but he has a 1.12 WHIP and has held opponents to a .249 BAA. Baker also has 68 strikeouts versus just 13 walks on the season. This has included a run of 39 strikeouts and just three walks over his last six starts. Consider Minnesota
Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee Brewers
Prediction: Minnesota Twins
Mike Burns will be making his first-ever major league start in this one. Burns is already 30 years old but he has pitched in just 46 games (0 starts) in his MLB career. Burns has a 5.46 ERA in his career and opponents have hit .313 against him. He was called up from the Triple-A Nashville Sound to make this start. Even though Burns is 7-2 with a 2.55 ERA this season with Nashville, it's always a big jump going from the minors to the big leagues and Burns' career numbers at the MLB level prove that point. The only reason that Burns is getting this start is because Dave Bush just went on the 15-day disabled list with a triceps tear in his throwing arm. A bit of bad news for Burns here is that this is a home start and it's a day game. In his MLB career, Burns has an 8.71 ERA at home and an 8.18 ERA in day games.
Unlike the uncertainty that comes with starting a pitcher for the first time (like the Brewers are here), the Twins get to turn to a pitcher who has been very consistent for them this season. Scott Baker comes into this outing looking for his fourth straight quality start. Baker already faced the Brewers this season, delivering a solid start in late May. Baker's career numbers against the Brewers include a 5.01 ERA but that is misleading. Baker has held the Brewers to a .258 BAA and he has a 1.14 WHIP against Milwaukee in his five career starts versus the Brewers. Overall, some of Baker's numbers this season are also misleading as they are not reflective of how well he has pitched. Baker is 4-6 this season with a 5.22 ERA but he has a 1.12 WHIP and has held opponents to a .249 BAA. Baker also has 68 strikeouts versus just 13 walks on the season. This has included a run of 39 strikeouts and just three walks over his last six starts. Consider Minnesota
Freddy Wills
Chicago Cubs vs. Detroit Tigers
Play: Under 9
Tigers go for the sweep against the Cubs in Detroit here today. The Cubs have scored just 7 runs in their last 3 games of a 10 game road trip that started. They have left a total of 31 runners on base here.
The line opened at -120 in favor of the Cubs and Ted Lilly and with 58% of the betting public riding with the road chalk the line has fallen to -115 in most places. I think Vegas might be expecting a solid bounce back start from Galarraga who has struggled mightily here as of late.
A couple things going for Galarraga that sets him up for a solid pitching performance in my opinion. The Cubs are struggling particularly against RHP .269 and 3.05 R/9 innings in their last 5 games. Galarraga will also have the liberty of pitching during the day where he has had his most success this year with a 3.38ERA. Most importantly the Cubs have never faced Galarraga before which means they are going to struggle early to adjust to the RHP.
On the other side of the mound we have Ted Lilly who has just been pitching and pitching. He has to be a bit frustrated that in his last three starts he has 1 win despite a 0.98 WHIP and a 2.21 ERA. He also throws well during the day 2.59ERA vs. 3.42 at night. He is pitching his best baseball right now and owns a 5-2 record with a 2.78ERA over his last 10 starts. The Tigers are hitting just .211 off LHP in their last 10 games and they have a .180 average vs. Lilly in 89AB.
Worth Noting:
Under is 10-1 in Lilly's last 11 vs. a team with a winning record
Under is 9-3 in Barret's last 12 behind home plate vs. CHC.
Take Under 9
Chicago Cubs vs. Detroit Tigers
Play: Under 9
Tigers go for the sweep against the Cubs in Detroit here today. The Cubs have scored just 7 runs in their last 3 games of a 10 game road trip that started. They have left a total of 31 runners on base here.
The line opened at -120 in favor of the Cubs and Ted Lilly and with 58% of the betting public riding with the road chalk the line has fallen to -115 in most places. I think Vegas might be expecting a solid bounce back start from Galarraga who has struggled mightily here as of late.
A couple things going for Galarraga that sets him up for a solid pitching performance in my opinion. The Cubs are struggling particularly against RHP .269 and 3.05 R/9 innings in their last 5 games. Galarraga will also have the liberty of pitching during the day where he has had his most success this year with a 3.38ERA. Most importantly the Cubs have never faced Galarraga before which means they are going to struggle early to adjust to the RHP.
On the other side of the mound we have Ted Lilly who has just been pitching and pitching. He has to be a bit frustrated that in his last three starts he has 1 win despite a 0.98 WHIP and a 2.21 ERA. He also throws well during the day 2.59ERA vs. 3.42 at night. He is pitching his best baseball right now and owns a 5-2 record with a 2.78ERA over his last 10 starts. The Tigers are hitting just .211 off LHP in their last 10 games and they have a .180 average vs. Lilly in 89AB.
Worth Noting:
Under is 10-1 in Lilly's last 11 vs. a team with a winning record
Under is 9-3 in Barret's last 12 behind home plate vs. CHC.
Take Under 9
Gc mlb comp play -thursday
On Thursday the Bonus Play is on the NY.Yankees.Game 921 at 7:10 eastern.The Yanks are coming off a solid win last night and have Lefty A.Pettite going tonight knowing he is 10-1 in team starts vs the Braves.More impressive is his 5-1 road record and 2.35 road era.His counterpart D.Lowe has struggled bs the Yankees with a 6.11 career era.In his last 3 starts Lowe has really struggled with a 7.47 era.The Braves are also 2-7 at home this year when they are a home favorite from -100 to -125.Ill go with the Yanks tonight to build off Wednesdays big win.Take the Yankees as the Bonus Play bol GC-
On Thursday the Bonus Play is on the NY.Yankees.Game 921 at 7:10 eastern.The Yanks are coming off a solid win last night and have Lefty A.Pettite going tonight knowing he is 10-1 in team starts vs the Braves.More impressive is his 5-1 road record and 2.35 road era.His counterpart D.Lowe has struggled bs the Yankees with a 6.11 career era.In his last 3 starts Lowe has really struggled with a 7.47 era.The Braves are also 2-7 at home this year when they are a home favorite from -100 to -125.Ill go with the Yanks tonight to build off Wednesdays big win.Take the Yankees as the Bonus Play bol GC-
GREG SHAKER
San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners
Play: Under 9
This is a very Trendy Play as these two teams have played UNDER the Total 8 of the last 10 times they have played. In addition to that, Seattle is UNDER at 8-2 the last 10 Interleague Games they have played. And Seattle is 24-6-1 UNDER the Total last 31 regardless of where they have played. We can look at Trends all day but what do they mean? Sometimes not doodly squat. Sometimes they do mean something. They mean something today I think. The Mariners are not a prolific scoring team, but they do have two things going for them. They have relatively good starting pitching, and they have a VERY GOOD BULLPEN. In fact they are ranked #4 ERA-Wise in Major League Baseball. That Pen is performing better here at this park than on the road, allowing a full run less when they throw here. They are also doing quite spiffily of late with an ERA right at the 2.2 mark over the last 10 played. Washburn has been magic at this park with 5 of his last 6 going UNDER the Total and he will be facing a team that does not hit lefties very well. Actually both squads are in their worst hitting posture for this one facing Southpaws. LeBlanc has good stuff and nobody doubts that. He does have control issues from time to time but perhaps not as much today with Home Plate Ump Hudson working the game. Hudson has a larger than usual strikezone and a K/BB Ratio of over 2-1 this year. It is no surprise that his 15 chances behind the plate have resulted in just 7.4 Runs Per Game. I don't think that it is going to be often that we see more than 9 runs in this affair and it will take 10 to beat us. I am game.
San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners
Play: Under 9
This is a very Trendy Play as these two teams have played UNDER the Total 8 of the last 10 times they have played. In addition to that, Seattle is UNDER at 8-2 the last 10 Interleague Games they have played. And Seattle is 24-6-1 UNDER the Total last 31 regardless of where they have played. We can look at Trends all day but what do they mean? Sometimes not doodly squat. Sometimes they do mean something. They mean something today I think. The Mariners are not a prolific scoring team, but they do have two things going for them. They have relatively good starting pitching, and they have a VERY GOOD BULLPEN. In fact they are ranked #4 ERA-Wise in Major League Baseball. That Pen is performing better here at this park than on the road, allowing a full run less when they throw here. They are also doing quite spiffily of late with an ERA right at the 2.2 mark over the last 10 played. Washburn has been magic at this park with 5 of his last 6 going UNDER the Total and he will be facing a team that does not hit lefties very well. Actually both squads are in their worst hitting posture for this one facing Southpaws. LeBlanc has good stuff and nobody doubts that. He does have control issues from time to time but perhaps not as much today with Home Plate Ump Hudson working the game. Hudson has a larger than usual strikezone and a K/BB Ratio of over 2-1 this year. It is no surprise that his 15 chances behind the plate have resulted in just 7.4 Runs Per Game. I don't think that it is going to be often that we see more than 9 runs in this affair and it will take 10 to beat us. I am game.
Mike Rose
Los Angeles Dodgers -150
The Dodgers ace failed to become the first 10-game winner in the National League his last time out against the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim. His wildness was the main culprit as he walked five while only striking out three during his 112-pitch six innings effort. That said; the fireballer has been dominant throughout his 15 starts this year compiling a 9-3 record with a 2.83 ERA and K/BB ratio of 96/44. The kids nearly untouchable when hes able to limit his walk total. The Dodgers are 5-2 in his seven road starts this season, and this will be his first look at a White Sox offense.
Lefty Clayton Richard failed to pick-up a decision in his third straight start his last time out against the Cincinnati Reds. He only managed to go three innings giving up six hits and five runs (3 ER), but the White Sox offense bailed him out with a huge comeback to rip him off the losing hook. Richard has failed to go six innings in each of his L/3 starts, and hes almost walked as many as hes Kd (9/11). Chicago is 1-2 in his three US Cellular Field starts this season, and this will be his first career start versus the Dodgers.
With the Dodgers losing last night and the fact that there a tremendous 17-7 (+$1000) after doing so, I like their chances of winning their third straight three-game series with their ace on the mound. LA has feasted upon lefties all year (16-7, +$840), and Clayton Richard has been real shoddy in each of his L/3 starts. Chicagos been unable to protect its house in 09 the way it did a year ago, so back the best team in baseball with its ace on the mound in the finale of this baseball betting series.
Los Angeles Dodgers -150
The Dodgers ace failed to become the first 10-game winner in the National League his last time out against the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim. His wildness was the main culprit as he walked five while only striking out three during his 112-pitch six innings effort. That said; the fireballer has been dominant throughout his 15 starts this year compiling a 9-3 record with a 2.83 ERA and K/BB ratio of 96/44. The kids nearly untouchable when hes able to limit his walk total. The Dodgers are 5-2 in his seven road starts this season, and this will be his first look at a White Sox offense.
Lefty Clayton Richard failed to pick-up a decision in his third straight start his last time out against the Cincinnati Reds. He only managed to go three innings giving up six hits and five runs (3 ER), but the White Sox offense bailed him out with a huge comeback to rip him off the losing hook. Richard has failed to go six innings in each of his L/3 starts, and hes almost walked as many as hes Kd (9/11). Chicago is 1-2 in his three US Cellular Field starts this season, and this will be his first career start versus the Dodgers.
With the Dodgers losing last night and the fact that there a tremendous 17-7 (+$1000) after doing so, I like their chances of winning their third straight three-game series with their ace on the mound. LA has feasted upon lefties all year (16-7, +$840), and Clayton Richard has been real shoddy in each of his L/3 starts. Chicagos been unable to protect its house in 09 the way it did a year ago, so back the best team in baseball with its ace on the mound in the finale of this baseball betting series.
Tony George
New York Yankees vs. Atlanta Braves
Play: New York Yankees
Andy Pettittie on the hill with a solid ERA, as the ageless wonder continues to win games and pitch deep into games. He is 7-3 on the year and apparently the inconsistent Yanks are heating up at the plate which is bad news for opponents. Yanks off a big win last night, where the score was much higher than I thought (I had the Under last night) with only 1 run in the top of the 6th. I expect more of the same tonight if the Braves bullpen fails them again and Pettittie is 4-1 on the road this season. The Braves just hitting a paltry .217 as a team against southpaws their last 10 games, not a good sign for them against a very good leftie tonight. NY owns an 11-5 edge in this series the last 16.
New York Yankees vs. Atlanta Braves
Play: New York Yankees
Andy Pettittie on the hill with a solid ERA, as the ageless wonder continues to win games and pitch deep into games. He is 7-3 on the year and apparently the inconsistent Yanks are heating up at the plate which is bad news for opponents. Yanks off a big win last night, where the score was much higher than I thought (I had the Under last night) with only 1 run in the top of the 6th. I expect more of the same tonight if the Braves bullpen fails them again and Pettittie is 4-1 on the road this season. The Braves just hitting a paltry .217 as a team against southpaws their last 10 games, not a good sign for them against a very good leftie tonight. NY owns an 11-5 edge in this series the last 16.
Lenny Del Genio
Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays
Prediction: Cincinnati Reds
Nice price on Reds ace Johnny Cueto, who leads a team that is 8-0 following a loss by 6+ runs or this season alone. With a 1.53 ERA in eight road starts, Cueto should have little difficulty outpitching Brett Cecil, who has a 7.13 ERA over his last three outings. Take Cincinnati.
Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays
Prediction: Cincinnati Reds
Nice price on Reds ace Johnny Cueto, who leads a team that is 8-0 following a loss by 6+ runs or this season alone. With a 1.53 ERA in eight road starts, Cueto should have little difficulty outpitching Brett Cecil, who has a 7.13 ERA over his last three outings. Take Cincinnati.
Karl Garrett
San Diego at SEATTLE
Now on a 7-2 comp play run the last 9 days!
Another total late this afternoon from Safeco Field as the Padres and Mariners stay LOW once again.
These teams played UNDER the total last night, and Diego has now played UNDER in 2 of their last 3, and 6 of their last 10, while the M's have played LOW in 8 of their last 10 contests.
Seattle starter Jarrod Washburn has a season ERA just over 3, and 5 of his 7 home starts this year, and 9 of his 13 overall starts have ended up staying UNDER the posted total.
4 of the 5 interleague meetings played between the clubs have played UNDER the total, and this one will as well.
Take the Padres and Mariners UNDER today at Safeco.
2♦ UNDER
San Diego at SEATTLE
Now on a 7-2 comp play run the last 9 days!
Another total late this afternoon from Safeco Field as the Padres and Mariners stay LOW once again.
These teams played UNDER the total last night, and Diego has now played UNDER in 2 of their last 3, and 6 of their last 10, while the M's have played LOW in 8 of their last 10 contests.
Seattle starter Jarrod Washburn has a season ERA just over 3, and 5 of his 7 home starts this year, and 9 of his 13 overall starts have ended up staying UNDER the posted total.
4 of the 5 interleague meetings played between the clubs have played UNDER the total, and this one will as well.
Take the Padres and Mariners UNDER today at Safeco.
2♦ UNDER
Chris Jordan
Boston -130 at WASHINGTON
While the Yankees take on his former team tonight, I’m going to side with John Smoltz makes his long-awaited Red Sox debut. He spent the first 20 seasons of his Major League career in Atlanta, and after undergoing a deliberate rehabilitation program with Boston following shoulder surgery last June, the career 210-game winner will take on a franchise he’s very familiar with.
Smoltz is 21-12 lifetime with a 2.55 ERA in 68 appearances against the Montreal/Washington franchise, and since Boston put an abrupt end to Washington’s mini-run, and has found some offensive prowess the last two nights, I’ll side with the BoSox in this one and bank on Smoltz to pitch a gem.
1♦ RED SOX
Boston -130 at WASHINGTON
While the Yankees take on his former team tonight, I’m going to side with John Smoltz makes his long-awaited Red Sox debut. He spent the first 20 seasons of his Major League career in Atlanta, and after undergoing a deliberate rehabilitation program with Boston following shoulder surgery last June, the career 210-game winner will take on a franchise he’s very familiar with.
Smoltz is 21-12 lifetime with a 2.55 ERA in 68 appearances against the Montreal/Washington franchise, and since Boston put an abrupt end to Washington’s mini-run, and has found some offensive prowess the last two nights, I’ll side with the BoSox in this one and bank on Smoltz to pitch a gem.
1♦ RED SOX
