Thursday 05/28/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

[jordan17]

dr baseball got 1 today............@)

 

[ChipHilton]

Bingo

I don't know where to put this but maybe here .
I am wondering why nobody seems to use ROI as an indicator for a capper.
Win-percentage doesn't tell anything about the odds so 100W-20L isn't necessarily any good if the odds is very low.

Units is also very diffuse because some touts use 1-10 units and others use 100-2500 units so +14,2 units might be a lot better than +2680 units.

ROI is a simple way to show how you are performing when you take the odds into calculation. Good cappers will have a ROI around 103-110% and a couple of touts I follow (not from USA) have a ROI of about 120% but they are not recommending plays from big leagues like NBA, NFL ect.

What is your opinion and why don't cappers use ROI? Because they would have a ROI of less than 100%?

Of course that would be the better way of stating your record, especially in baseball, but you answered your own question with your very last statement.

Most of these touts give out all favorites because many of their calls are guaranteed so they don't really care if YOU profit, rather than if THEY can profit. Therefore, rather than search the picks for value to profit, they take the easy way out and release favorites, who are more likely to win to guarantee their pick but in the long run, probably don't profit on a ROI basis.

 

[brady1983]

Budin does NOT have a play yet despite what some guy said in the non-clutter service play forum, or at least what it's supposed to be.

 

[ace911]

Bob Valentino

Bob Valentino has a play today and he is ever bit as good as Budin. He just doesn't release plays as often. He's very selective. In my opinion Budin and Valentino are the two best cappers. If someone could post Valentino's pick, that would be great. Thanks guys.

 

[jordan17]

my bad...its a budin update from last nite then...:lol:

 

[Frankiee]

Teddy Covers

6 Cavs (Big Ticket)
3 Balt
2 Cubs

great job appreciate all of your good work!

 

[ChipHilton]

Still don't get it?

dr baseball got 1 today............@)

You still don't get it or you just don't care that you cause CPAW extra work with this crap announcement. You know it belongs in the request thread or even deleted as the people buying know what's out there.

However , I guess you don't mind being ignorant to CPAW and others on the forum.

 

[Kalmerandy20]

Anyone got John Morrison daily picks?

anyone have john morrisons daily selections?

 

[fly73]

--------------

 

[CarolinaJ.E.D]

Howie Feiner's
NBA Godfather
2009 Playoff
Game Of The Year
Orlando Magic
@
Cleveland Cavaliers
8:30, ET
30-7 with Godfather picks in 2009 Anyone seen this play ? or the Fat guys ! He also has another 10,000 unit play i think (<)< I just would like 2 see what side hes on I hope Its Magic@) lve got my bet in already for this game !

 

[jblonghorn]

Dr Baseball Guaranteed Selections
Date: Thursday, May 28, 2009
$35.00 Guaranteed: Last year we 120-65 for +$4140 playing $100 per game and our GRAND SLAM Selections are now 412-184 the past FOUR COMBINED! We were also 24-7 in the Playoffs last year. Today we are featuring another GRAND SLAM BASEBALL WINNER and you can get this GUARANTEED WINNER for just $35 and PAY ONLY AFTER YOU WIN!! 21-4 RUN!! 5/28/2009

GRAND SLAM BASEBALL WINNER
Boston w/Beckett -130 1:10 EST

Thank you MJ, thank you. Thanks to all that purchase and are kind enough to share these plays with everyone. We're all in it to take the man's money!!! BOL today all.

 

[bigboi808]

Who's this?

 

[Donkwin47]

Who's this?

Looks like Benton

 

[spartandude]

anyone see charlies 500* yet today??

 

[ace911]

Looks like Benton

Can anyone confirm if this is in fact Benton?

 

[Tiznow214]

anyone have Dr. Bond ? he won again last night

 

[smallunits]

come join the group and you can have him everyday for a month

http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=685358

 

[jnc750]

does anyone have burns or ness

 

[OpW]

Thursday's winner ...
30 Dime: CAVALIERS in the First Half ONLY (minus the points vs. Magic)



SPECIAL NOTE: This is a first-half play on Cleveland ONLY! Again, you're to play Cleveland minust the points in the first half!





Cavaliers (First Half ONLY)



Surprised? Surprised after riding the Magic four straight times and cashing four straight winners in this series that I would jump off Orlando tonight in Game 5 despite the fact it has all the momentum while the Cavaliers have all the pressure. Despite the fact the Magic have OWNED Cleveland? Despite the fact I’ve been telling you for more than a week now that Orlando is a terrible matchup for the Cavaliers? Allow me to explain.



First off, even though they’ve had major problems with the Magic for the last two-plus seasons, I have no doubt that the Cavaliers are going to win this game tonight and force a Game 6. Not to go all Oliver Stone on you, but you can be sure that the NBA has sent word to its officiating crew tonight to, well, let’s just say protect the home team, much the same way that the Lakers were protected versus the Nuggets last night. I am not, however, 100 percent confident that Cleveland can cover this big number for the entire game, because, A) they haven’t shown all season they can cash against Orlando, and B) they’ve been prone to second-half collapses in this series.



On the other hand, the Cavs have been an outstanding first-half team in this series. Get this: In Games 1 and 2 at home, Cleveland led Orlando 63-48 and 56-44 at the break, easily cashing the first-half ticket in both games. Then in Game 3 in Orlando, the Cavs trailed just 42-41 after two periods, but they came back in Game 4 on Tuesday and had a 58-50 halftime advantage.



In fact, if you check out Cleveland’s boxscores in their six playoff home games so far, you’ll see they led at halftime in every contest by the following margins: 12, 14, 5, 24, 15 and 12 points. And they covered the spread in five of those six games, and with one more bucket in Game 1 against Atlanta, the Cavs would be 6-for-6 in first halves at home.



Bottom line: If there’s one thing I’m absolutely certain of tonight it’s that the Cavs are going to come out like a team possessed, and nobody more so than LeBron James. At the same time, the Magic have come out flat in the first half in every game of this series so far, getting outscored by an average margin of 54.5 to 46. Now, up 3-1 in this series, it would only be natural for Orlando to lack focus and intensity in this contest, at least early on. If that happens, there’s a very good chance the Cavaliers will go into the locker room at the half up 20-plus points.



Simply put, without question the best value on the board tonight is the first half of this Game 5 showdown in Cleveland. Look for the Cavaliers to make an early statement and pounce on Orlando from the opening tip and cash easily.

who is this?...

 

[Donkwin47]

Can anyone confirm if this is in fact Benton?

Hah, it could actually be delaney, too.. Both have 30 dimers on that game..