Bobby Maxwell
San Francisco at SAN DIEGO +130
West Coast winner on the diamond tonight as we play the Padres at home against the Giants.
These teams have met seven times this season and the home team has won every game, including Wednesday night when the Padres got their second straight 2-1 home win over the Giants. San Francisco just can't get any offense going in Petco Park in San Diego, so we'll play the plus-money on the home-team Padres tonight.
The Giants are 0-5 in San Diego this season and they've scored all of nine runs in those five games, including one in each of the last three.
The Padres have been a streaky team this season, starting the season red-hot and then going through a long dry spell and now they have won five in a row - all at home. Kevin Correia (1-2, 5.06 ERA) is on the hill for San Diego, going up against Giants' ace Tim Lincecum (3-1, 3.75 ERA).
Lincecum's one loss this season came in San Diego back on April 12 when he allowed four runs on 10 hits in 5.1 innings of a 6-1 loss. Correia has pitched pretty well this season, allowing three runs or less in six of his seven starts this season.
Neither one of these teams is going to put up a lot of runs, but San Diego has beaten Lincecum once this year and they can get a few more across than the Giants. Play the plus-money Padres in this one.
3♦ SAN DIEGO
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San Francisco at SAN DIEGO +130
West Coast winner on the diamond tonight as we play the Padres at home against the Giants.
These teams have met seven times this season and the home team has won every game, including Wednesday night when the Padres got their second straight 2-1 home win over the Giants. San Francisco just can't get any offense going in Petco Park in San Diego, so we'll play the plus-money on the home-team Padres tonight.
The Giants are 0-5 in San Diego this season and they've scored all of nine runs in those five games, including one in each of the last three.
The Padres have been a streaky team this season, starting the season red-hot and then going through a long dry spell and now they have won five in a row - all at home. Kevin Correia (1-2, 5.06 ERA) is on the hill for San Diego, going up against Giants' ace Tim Lincecum (3-1, 3.75 ERA).
Lincecum's one loss this season came in San Diego back on April 12 when he allowed four runs on 10 hits in 5.1 innings of a 6-1 loss. Correia has pitched pretty well this season, allowing three runs or less in six of his seven starts this season.
Neither one of these teams is going to put up a lot of runs, but San Diego has beaten Lincecum once this year and they can get a few more across than the Giants. Play the plus-money Padres in this one.
3♦ SAN DIEGO
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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
CAR (+70) vs PIT
What the Hurricanes couldn't prevent the Penguins from doing was winning. Since a team taking a 2-0 series lead goes on to win about 85 percent of the time, the Hurricanes can't realistically expect to win the series if they go back to Raleigh without a split in Pittsburgh. Despite numerous scoring chances by both teams, Game 1 was tighter defensively than any of those during the Penguins-Capitals series, and Pittsburgh coach Dan Bylsma knows Carolina wants Game 2 to be similar. Look for CAROLINA to improve to a perfect 5-0 (+8 units) when trailing in a playoff series!
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CAR (+70) vs PIT
What the Hurricanes couldn't prevent the Penguins from doing was winning. Since a team taking a 2-0 series lead goes on to win about 85 percent of the time, the Hurricanes can't realistically expect to win the series if they go back to Raleigh without a split in Pittsburgh. Despite numerous scoring chances by both teams, Game 1 was tighter defensively than any of those during the Penguins-Capitals series, and Pittsburgh coach Dan Bylsma knows Carolina wants Game 2 to be similar. Look for CAROLINA to improve to a perfect 5-0 (+8 units) when trailing in a playoff series!
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Jrtips
CUBS vs. CARDINALS
After being shut down in the first two games of the series, the Cubs look to avoid being swept by the Cardinals. Chicago (21-17) arrived in St. Louis (23-17) winners of 11 of 15 averaging 5.7 runs in those games but has had no offense against the Cardinals. The Cubs just had three hits in Tuesday's 3-0 and Wednesday' 2-1 loss. The Cubs will have trouble again today getting their offense on track versus Adam Wainwright (3-2, 3.83 ERA). Wainwright is coming off one of the best starts of his career on Saturday when he allowed only one run, two hits and two walks with seven strikeouts. Wainwright is 1-0 with a 3.46 ERA in two starts against Chicago this season, with the Cardinals winning each. Albert Pujols had two hits, but has gone seven games without a homer and five without an RBI. The reigning NL MVP is hitless in five at-bats against today's starting pitcher Sean Marshall (2-2, 4.02). In Marshall's last start, he gave up two runs and five hits in five innings of a 4-2 win over the Brewers.He is 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA in two outings against the Cardinals this season. Both of these teams are having trouble scoring and it won"t help that they are both facing tough pitchers. This series has been low scoring and today wont be any different.
TAKE UNDER 8 1/2 runs
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CUBS vs. CARDINALS
After being shut down in the first two games of the series, the Cubs look to avoid being swept by the Cardinals. Chicago (21-17) arrived in St. Louis (23-17) winners of 11 of 15 averaging 5.7 runs in those games but has had no offense against the Cardinals. The Cubs just had three hits in Tuesday's 3-0 and Wednesday' 2-1 loss. The Cubs will have trouble again today getting their offense on track versus Adam Wainwright (3-2, 3.83 ERA). Wainwright is coming off one of the best starts of his career on Saturday when he allowed only one run, two hits and two walks with seven strikeouts. Wainwright is 1-0 with a 3.46 ERA in two starts against Chicago this season, with the Cardinals winning each. Albert Pujols had two hits, but has gone seven games without a homer and five without an RBI. The reigning NL MVP is hitless in five at-bats against today's starting pitcher Sean Marshall (2-2, 4.02). In Marshall's last start, he gave up two runs and five hits in five innings of a 4-2 win over the Brewers.He is 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA in two outings against the Cardinals this season. Both of these teams are having trouble scoring and it won"t help that they are both facing tough pitchers. This series has been low scoring and today wont be any different.
TAKE UNDER 8 1/2 runs
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Scott Rickenbach
Colorado Rockies @ Atlanta Braves
PICK: Under 9
We believe that Kris Medlen will prove to be the “real deal”. The rookie right-hander makes his debut today and he was mowing down hitters at the AAA level. He’s got great stuff, great location, and he’s got a well-rested bullpen backing him up. All the key Braves arms in the pen are ready for this one if needed. However, don’t be surprised if Medlen pitches deep into this one. It will be tough for the Rockies to adjust to him on a “first look” and Medlen has good velocity as well as solid command. He struck out 44 in 37.2 innings of work at the AAA level and he’ll be missing plenty of bats up here in the bigs as well. The Rockies annual road struggles have continued as they are just 8-14 away from home. That means another tough evening here for the bats but the reason we’re looking at the under, rather than the Braves, here is because we also expect a very strong start from Colorado’s Aaron Cook!
The sinkerballer Cook shows a lofty 5.71 ERA in the books so far this season but his numbers have been greatly impacted by a few poor outings. Note that he has produced five quality starts in his eight outings and it’s the “other three” that have jacked his numbers up. We have every reason to believe that this will be a strong outing for Cook. He’s coming off of a rough outing and he hasn’t gone back to back starts without a quality performance this entire season. Also, his career numbers against the Braves may not be that impressive but he held them to a .170 batting average last season in two starts against them! It will be very humid at Turner Field tonight. In fact, unfortunately there is a 50% chance of showers. But, the humidity can help Cook to get the good sinking action he desires as he relies so heavily on his sinkerball to get key outs. Yes, the Braves had scored well in their last two games but, prior to this, they had scored a total of just five runs in their last three games! Cook can bring them right back down to reality here! Consider a small play on UNDER the total in Atlanta on Thursday night!
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Colorado Rockies @ Atlanta Braves
PICK: Under 9
We believe that Kris Medlen will prove to be the “real deal”. The rookie right-hander makes his debut today and he was mowing down hitters at the AAA level. He’s got great stuff, great location, and he’s got a well-rested bullpen backing him up. All the key Braves arms in the pen are ready for this one if needed. However, don’t be surprised if Medlen pitches deep into this one. It will be tough for the Rockies to adjust to him on a “first look” and Medlen has good velocity as well as solid command. He struck out 44 in 37.2 innings of work at the AAA level and he’ll be missing plenty of bats up here in the bigs as well. The Rockies annual road struggles have continued as they are just 8-14 away from home. That means another tough evening here for the bats but the reason we’re looking at the under, rather than the Braves, here is because we also expect a very strong start from Colorado’s Aaron Cook!
The sinkerballer Cook shows a lofty 5.71 ERA in the books so far this season but his numbers have been greatly impacted by a few poor outings. Note that he has produced five quality starts in his eight outings and it’s the “other three” that have jacked his numbers up. We have every reason to believe that this will be a strong outing for Cook. He’s coming off of a rough outing and he hasn’t gone back to back starts without a quality performance this entire season. Also, his career numbers against the Braves may not be that impressive but he held them to a .170 batting average last season in two starts against them! It will be very humid at Turner Field tonight. In fact, unfortunately there is a 50% chance of showers. But, the humidity can help Cook to get the good sinking action he desires as he relies so heavily on his sinkerball to get key outs. Yes, the Braves had scored well in their last two games but, prior to this, they had scored a total of just five runs in their last three games! Cook can bring them right back down to reality here! Consider a small play on UNDER the total in Atlanta on Thursday night!
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EZWINNER'S FREE SELECTION
(966) Detroit Tigers -$129
(Listing Jackson and Millwood)
The Tigers cashed in yet another free winner for us yesterday
and I'm going to ride them again today. Edwin Jackson has
been pitching well and the Rangers bats have gone cold. I look
for the Tigers to get to Millwood in this game.
Lay the juice with Detroit.
2009 Free Selections Record 75-62 (54.7%)
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(966) Detroit Tigers -$129
(Listing Jackson and Millwood)
The Tigers cashed in yet another free winner for us yesterday
and I'm going to ride them again today. Edwin Jackson has
been pitching well and the Rangers bats have gone cold. I look
for the Tigers to get to Millwood in this game.
Lay the juice with Detroit.
2009 Free Selections Record 75-62 (54.7%)
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Rocky Atkinson
MLB | May 21
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals -133
Chicago Cubs @ St Louis 8:15 PM EST
Play On: St Louis (Marshall/Wainwright) Listed
Chicago Cubs are 21-17 on the season while St Louis comes in with a 23-17 record this year. St Louis is 6-0 this year when playing on Thursday. Cubs have lost 3 in a row heading into tonight's game. Chicago Cubs bullpen has been awful this year with a 5.33 ERA overall and a 6.33 ERA on the road. Wainwright has a nice 3.16 ERA at home this year. St Louis is 4-1 at home this year against the Chicago Cubs. We'll recommend a small play on St Louis tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
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MLB | May 21
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals -133
Chicago Cubs @ St Louis 8:15 PM EST
Play On: St Louis (Marshall/Wainwright) Listed
Chicago Cubs are 21-17 on the season while St Louis comes in with a 23-17 record this year. St Louis is 6-0 this year when playing on Thursday. Cubs have lost 3 in a row heading into tonight's game. Chicago Cubs bullpen has been awful this year with a 5.33 ERA overall and a 6.33 ERA on the road. Wainwright has a nice 3.16 ERA at home this year. St Louis is 4-1 at home this year against the Chicago Cubs. We'll recommend a small play on St Louis tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
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Rob Vinciletti
MLB | May 21
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Total
10½ ov-115 at BOOKM > 4h.
On Thursday the Bonus Play is on the over in the NY.Yankees-Baltimore Orioles game.Rotation numbers 973/4 at 7;05 eastern.This has been an over series the last few years as 12 of the 18 games have gone over when the O/s come to town.Digging deeper into the numbers we see that the O/S are 9-1 over as a road dog of +225 to +250,13-4 on the road this year and 4-1 over after allowing 10 or more runs.The Yankees are 6-2 over off 3+ wins and have been an over team at home this year.The pitching matcup points to an over as weel.For Baltmore its righty A.Eaton and he has gone over in 6 of his 7 starts this year.The Yankees have J.Chamberlin going and he has a 6.06 home era.Look for the Yanks to move to 4-0 to the over as a home fav of -250 or higher.
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MLB | May 21
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Total
10½ ov-115 at BOOKM > 4h.
On Thursday the Bonus Play is on the over in the NY.Yankees-Baltimore Orioles game.Rotation numbers 973/4 at 7;05 eastern.This has been an over series the last few years as 12 of the 18 games have gone over when the O/s come to town.Digging deeper into the numbers we see that the O/S are 9-1 over as a road dog of +225 to +250,13-4 on the road this year and 4-1 over after allowing 10 or more runs.The Yankees are 6-2 over off 3+ wins and have been an over team at home this year.The pitching matcup points to an over as weel.For Baltmore its righty A.Eaton and he has gone over in 6 of his 7 starts this year.The Yankees have J.Chamberlin going and he has a 6.06 home era.Look for the Yanks to move to 4-0 to the over as a home fav of -250 or higher.
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Jimmy Boyd
MLB | May 21
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Florida Marlins Florida Marlins +105
Bonus Play
1 Unit on Florida Marlins +105
I'll back the Marlins at home at a great price tonight behind the lefty Miller. Miller was solid in his only home start of the season, picking up the win and posting a respectable 3.60 ERA. He's been effective against Arizona in his career, posting an ERA of 2.13 and a WHIP of 1.105. This success comes as no surprise as the weak-hitting D-backs, who average only 3.1 runs per game on the road, struggle like crazy against lefty starters. In fact, the Snakes are only 4-9 against southpaw starters this season and 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Diamondbacks are only 3-7 in the last 10 meetings and I like Florida's chances at the plate against Scherzer as the Diamondbacks are just 3-11 in his last 14 starts and 1-7 in his last 8 road starts. Bet the Fish.
MLB | May 21
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Florida Marlins Florida Marlins +105
Bonus Play
1 Unit on Florida Marlins +105
I'll back the Marlins at home at a great price tonight behind the lefty Miller. Miller was solid in his only home start of the season, picking up the win and posting a respectable 3.60 ERA. He's been effective against Arizona in his career, posting an ERA of 2.13 and a WHIP of 1.105. This success comes as no surprise as the weak-hitting D-backs, who average only 3.1 runs per game on the road, struggle like crazy against lefty starters. In fact, the Snakes are only 4-9 against southpaw starters this season and 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Diamondbacks are only 3-7 in the last 10 meetings and I like Florida's chances at the plate against Scherzer as the Diamondbacks are just 3-11 in his last 14 starts and 1-7 in his last 8 road starts. Bet the Fish.
John Ryan
MLB | May 21
Oakland Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays -200
Ryan is grinding out profits in ALL SPORTS and nailed his 5* Parlay w/Orlando + OVER and he told you to do it w/ the MONEY LINE that paid off $940 for $100 wager. He has a 7* SIDE and TOTAL for you tonight - Another Optional PARLAY
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Tampa Bay as the host Oakland slated to start at 4:05 EST. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has posted a 58-5 mark for 92% winners since 2003. Play against all dogs with a money line of +175 to +250 and is a cold hitting team batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games facing an opponent with a hot starting pitcher posting a WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 5 starts. Impressive to say the least, but still just a system that REINFORCES the grading from the AiS on TB. Oakland is just 3-17 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in road games versus an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better over the last 2 seasons; 7-24 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 2 seasons. TB Manager knows how to get his team ready to defeat weaker opponents. Note that he is 52-9 (+35.7 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more in all games he has coached at TB. Oakland starter Bradon is still having trouble applying pressure to the ball with his middle finger. The inability of have different amounts of pressure on a ball causes the ball to have far less movement on it. Less movement means balls hit more often and a lot harder. Take TB.
MLB | May 21
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Baltimore Orioles +260
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Baltimore as they face the NYY slated to start at - Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has posted a 80-62 mark making 42.6 units since 2003. Play against all favorites with a money line of -110 or higher with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season and with poor defensive catchers allowing 0.85 + SB's/game on the season. Yanks, more times than not, take for granted a win against an inferior opponent before the game even starts. Note that they are 11-17 (-19.4 Units) against the money line versus an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse over the last 3 seasons. They are also 22-30 (-21.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 10 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Take Baltimore.
MLB | May 21
Oakland Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays -200
Ryan is grinding out profits in ALL SPORTS and nailed his 5* Parlay w/Orlando + OVER and he told you to do it w/ the MONEY LINE that paid off $940 for $100 wager. He has a 7* SIDE and TOTAL for you tonight - Another Optional PARLAY
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Tampa Bay as the host Oakland slated to start at 4:05 EST. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has posted a 58-5 mark for 92% winners since 2003. Play against all dogs with a money line of +175 to +250 and is a cold hitting team batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games facing an opponent with a hot starting pitcher posting a WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 5 starts. Impressive to say the least, but still just a system that REINFORCES the grading from the AiS on TB. Oakland is just 3-17 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in road games versus an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better over the last 2 seasons; 7-24 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 2 seasons. TB Manager knows how to get his team ready to defeat weaker opponents. Note that he is 52-9 (+35.7 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more in all games he has coached at TB. Oakland starter Bradon is still having trouble applying pressure to the ball with his middle finger. The inability of have different amounts of pressure on a ball causes the ball to have far less movement on it. Less movement means balls hit more often and a lot harder. Take TB.
MLB | May 21
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Baltimore Orioles +260
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Baltimore as they face the NYY slated to start at - Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has posted a 80-62 mark making 42.6 units since 2003. Play against all favorites with a money line of -110 or higher with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season and with poor defensive catchers allowing 0.85 + SB's/game on the season. Yanks, more times than not, take for granted a win against an inferior opponent before the game even starts. Note that they are 11-17 (-19.4 Units) against the money line versus an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse over the last 3 seasons. They are also 22-30 (-21.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 10 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Take Baltimore.
LT Profits Sports Group - 05/21/2009
The Cardinals and Cubs have combined to score a total of six runs in the first two games of this series, and Wainwright and Marshall should continue to keep the offenses quiet.
The St. Louis Cardinals have taken the first two games of this series with the Chicago Cubs by scored of 3-0 and 2-1, and we see a similarly low scoring game here tonight.
Cards starter Adam Wainwright has pitched much better at home this season than his 1-2 home mark would indicate, as he had a spiffy 3.16 ERA in this ballpark with a nice 1.24 WHIP in five starts. He tossed a gem in his last start, limiting the Milwaukee Brewers to only one run and two hits with seven strikeouts in eight innings, albeit to no avail in a tough-luck 1-0 loss. He also owns four Quality Starts in his last five starts vs. the Cubs over the last two years.
The Cubs counter with Sean Marshall, who has allowed three runs or less in four of his five starts this year including one vs. St. Louis. In fact, he has now allowed three runs or less in each of his last six career starts against the Cardinals. The southpaw should take advantage of a Redbirds lineup that is hitting just .222 vs. left-handed pitchers this season, including a pathetic .185 over the last 10 games!
The Under is now 13-3-1 in the last 17 road starts made by Marshall, and when we factor in the sharp home form of Wainwright, look for that to continue.
Free Pick: Cubs, Cardinals Under 8½ (+110)
The Cardinals and Cubs have combined to score a total of six runs in the first two games of this series, and Wainwright and Marshall should continue to keep the offenses quiet.
The St. Louis Cardinals have taken the first two games of this series with the Chicago Cubs by scored of 3-0 and 2-1, and we see a similarly low scoring game here tonight.
Cards starter Adam Wainwright has pitched much better at home this season than his 1-2 home mark would indicate, as he had a spiffy 3.16 ERA in this ballpark with a nice 1.24 WHIP in five starts. He tossed a gem in his last start, limiting the Milwaukee Brewers to only one run and two hits with seven strikeouts in eight innings, albeit to no avail in a tough-luck 1-0 loss. He also owns four Quality Starts in his last five starts vs. the Cubs over the last two years.
The Cubs counter with Sean Marshall, who has allowed three runs or less in four of his five starts this year including one vs. St. Louis. In fact, he has now allowed three runs or less in each of his last six career starts against the Cardinals. The southpaw should take advantage of a Redbirds lineup that is hitting just .222 vs. left-handed pitchers this season, including a pathetic .185 over the last 10 games!
The Under is now 13-3-1 in the last 17 road starts made by Marshall, and when we factor in the sharp home form of Wainwright, look for that to continue.
Free Pick: Cubs, Cardinals Under 8½ (+110)
05-21-2009, 10:46 AM #14
kjcolby1978
RX Junior
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: CT
Posts: 43
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Demarco has a play today, on a great run if someone wants to grab it, I posted Valentino already
WHERE WAS VALENTINO POSTED?
kjcolby1978
RX Junior
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: CT
Posts: 43
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Demarco has a play today, on a great run if someone wants to grab it, I posted Valentino already
WHERE WAS VALENTINO POSTED?
