Thursday 05/21/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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cork ill throw u 10 bucks in paypal if you wanna get demarco, i already bought valentino today
 
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GAMEHUNTER

2009 Record: 159-143, +49.9049 Davalillos
Wednesday: 5-3, +3.435 units


OVER PHIL/CINCY 10 RUNS (-102) (1.25 UNITS)

CUBS +129 (2 UNITS)

ATLANTA -120 (1.5 UNITS)

OVER PITT/WASH 10 RUNS (-110) (1.5 UNITS)

TEXAS +116 (1.75 UNITS)

MINNESOTA +102 (1.75 UNITS)

TAMPA BAY -1.5 RUNS (+119) (1.5 UNITS)

OVER TOR/BOS 10 RUNS (-114) (1.5 UNITS)
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Tom Freese

MLB | May 21
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres San Francisco Giants -140

San Francisco is 9-3 their last 12 games as favorites and they are 4-1 their last 5 games as road favorites. The Giants are 7-1 with Tim Lincecum in Game 3 of a series and they are 6-1 with Lincecum in his last 7 starts vs. the Padres. San Diego is 4-10 their last 14 games vs. NL West foes and they are 4-12 their last 16 games as underdogs. The Padres are 4-9 their last 13 games vs. a pitcher with a WHIP of over 1.30. PLAY ON SAN FRANCISCO - (Lincecum vs. Correia)
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Matt Fargo

MLB | May 21
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Toronto Blue Jays +155

I will take another shot with the Blue Jays who have dropped the first two games of this series against Boston. The offense has carried Toronto all season long but it is the pitching that has been dominant of late as the ERA is a blistering 2.43 over its last 10 games and it has allowed 3.0 rpg over this span. The Red Sox have been almost unbeatable at home recently, winning 14 of their last 16 games and this line reflects that as opposed to the short line last night. I always say that big lines are meant for either teams that are dominant over the other or starting pitchers that are dominant also and neither is the case here. Toronto is still in first place in the American League East by a half-game and it is above .500 on the road still so winning away from home is no issue. The Blue Jays send Robert Ray to the hill and he is coming off his best performance of his young career as he held the White Sox to just three hits and one unearned run over eight innings. In his opener, he was a third of an inning short of a quality start so two of his three outings have been solid with the one game against the Angels being his only bad performance. This is his first start against the Red Sox whose offense has been anything but potent as they had scored four runs or fewer in seven of their previous eight games prior to last night. Boston counters with Jon Lester who is having a tough season. He has a 6.51 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in his first eight starts including a 6.04 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in four home outings. He has allowed five runs or more in five of his eight starts including the last two and he now faces a lineup that is hitting lefties at a .306 clip, third best in the Majors. The Blue Jays are 39-12 in their last 51 games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game so this is a great spot for the recently excellent pitching to bounce back and help salvage one game from this series before Interleague play gets underway over the holiday weekend. 3* Toronto Blue Jays
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Scott Spreitzer

Arizona Diamondbacks at Florida Marlins

I'm playing the Under between the D'backs and Marlins on Thursday. Arizona starter Max Scherzer has been nothing short of outstanding away from Phoenix this season. He's made four road starts and has allowed just 3 earned runs and 26 base runners in 23 IP. That's a 1.17 ERA and 1.13 WHIP, to go along with a .195 BAA. He'll face a Florida lineup that averages just 3.6 rpg in home night tilts this season. I also expect Andrew Miller to continue to dominate the "Snakes" like he did in his first two meetings with them. Arizona is scoring just 2.3 rpg in road night games against southpaws. Look for this contest to stay Under the Total on Thursday night.

Play on: UNDER
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Jeff Benton

I’ve hit back-to-back Bonus Plays after the Pirates pulled it out in the ninth inning at Washington on Wednesday. For Thursday, we’ll head to the NBA Western Conference finals and play the Lakers-Nuggets game OVER the total.

I know I scored a 5 Dime winner with the “under” in Game 1 of this series, but to be honest, it was a lucky winner. The teams were on pace for an “over” after halftime and only a low-scoring third quarter (41 total points) and some poor free-throw shooting by Denver kept the score down. Even with those two factors, the squads still combined for 208 points – this despite going 73-for-164 from the field (44.5 percent).

You have to believe that both teams will shoot a higher percentage tonight and you also have to figure that Denver will improve from the foul line and at least match its season free-throw average of 76 percent. What’s more, aside from Kobe Bryant (40 points) and Carmelo Anthony (39 points), no other player had a real big scoring night. That’s likely to change tonight, too, while Kobe and ‘Melo aren’t about to be slowed down.

Finally, going back to last year, the under is 7-1 in the last eight meetings. However, that’s mostly because the posted totals have been through the roof. Fact is, these squads have gone way over 200 points in seven of the last 10 meetings with combined totals of 215, 242, 229, 208, 201, 218 and 208. Also, the last six battles in Los Angeles have had an average combined total of 217.7 ppg. This has shootout written all over it, folks. Play it OVER the posted price.

3? Nuggets-Lakers OVER the total
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Red Dog Sports

Texas at Detroit
Play Detroit

Edwin Jackson has an ERA of 2.70 in his last 3 while Kevin Millwood's ERA is 4.43 in that same span. The Tigers are 13-5 at home while Texas is 9-10 on the road and the Rangers are just 1-11 in their last 12 at Detroit. Play the Tigers at home.
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Karl Garrett

Arizona -125 at FLORIDA

Tonight on the diamond, going to lay a little road wood with Max Scherzer and his Diamonback-mates.

Scherzer finally notched his first big league win, and I have a feeling this kid is about to take off now that the pressure of getting that win is a thing of the past.

Scherzer is fresh off 6 scoreless innings in Atlanta, and over 4 road starts this season, he has kept his ERA a slender 1.17.

His counterpart Andrew Miller is also coming into tonight's start off a win, but his ERA for the year is still over 6. I expect Arizona to get something cooking off of Miller before too long.

Arizona has actually won 3 of their last 4 games, while Florida is just 8-22 since their 11-0 start to the season, losing 8 of their last 10 games.

G-Man going with the snakes.

2♦ ARIZONA
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By Sports Gambling Hotline, Featured Handicapper
Antother comp play winner last night as Pittsburgh comes through on the diamond. Now 6 in a row, the last 6 days, and 34-19-3 overall with our comp plays.

For Thursday night, take the UNDER once again in the Nuggets-Lakers series.

Game One on Tuesday stayed LOW to make it 7 of the last 8 meetings between the team having gone UNDER.

Denver also sports UNDER numbers of 12-4 their last 16 times installed as an underdog, and 8-3 their last 11 when playing on the road.

Meanwhile, Los Angeles has played 5 straight playoff UNDERS, and have held LOW in 8 of their last 10 this postseason.

Finally, the Lakers are on a 25-9 UNDER the total clip their last 34 when installed as the favorite.

Those numbers cannot be overlooked.

Play on the UNDER in Game Two of the West Finals.
5♦ UNDER
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