I love the following big chalk plays and can see no reason to play the other sides. If a majority of these lose I can think of only two possible reasons 1) it is simply the "books year" and the players are doomed to lose whenever a book is one-sided 2) point-shaving.
Pitt -30
Akron -19
Mia -40
Boise -21.5
Oreg St. -20.5
Pitt -30
Akron -19
Mia -40
Boise -21.5
Oreg St. -20.5