Hey Jeresy nice run.. Can I ask what made you like this prop in the first place?
2 things really, Was capping games and was doing ok- until the bullpen comes and Fks me up, LOL. Then switched to the 1st5 Innings line and then the starters would suck but the team would win the game, LOL.
So wanted to try something different looking at the props, and remembered how guys made a killing with this late last year. For the whole 2008 season it was only 91-70 56.1% (brooks85 did the manual stat work, thanks!)
To be profitable :
At the highest odds of -160 we'd have to hit 62%
At -150 average 60%
At -140 average 59%
At -130 average 57%
AT -120 average 55%
(Not counting the units up right now)
Of course, we hope we have more +100 (or better) to the -120 range to keep losses to a minimum.
I like to keep my eyes open for some trends that we might be able to take advantage of. Another one I'm watching now is Boston Red Sox, Score 1st Inning Prop is now 10-1 (Last 11).
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