thefriedone's "score in first inning" system

[STACKSONDECK]

are those two unit plays

 

[thefriedone]

Welp, things looked much better today with the tightened-up system, as I won both of my dog plays.

TOR/WAS - NO (EVEN) win
BAL/PHI - NO (EVEN) win

2-0 (+2 units) on the night

Overall 26-26 (-1.6 units)

Hopefully this will be a turning point in the system and I will start to build some winnings!

 

[thefriedone]

To clarify, I am tightening the system up as a whole so that most of the regular plays now will be equivalent to the 2-unit plays from before. So everything will now be played for a constant number of units (one unit for tracking purposes).

OAK/SDG - NO (-140)

 

[Betsmart]

I like Pods/A's no score 1st
GL

 

[thefriedone]

OAK/SDG - NO (-140) win

1-0 (+1 unit) on the day

Overall 27-26 (-0.6 units)

 

[thefriedone]

Nothing tonight...

 

[HalfDaySober]

Wish you the best with your experiment. I like to play these once in awhile though the 30 cent juice is hard to overcome.

One angle I like is taking the yes in a game where a pitcher is called up from the minors to make his major league debut. Last week Toronto debuted Mills against Philadelphia to fill the 5th starter spot.

Phils turn at bat started with two men on no outs. Utley on a 3-1 pitch way out of the zone pops up instead of taking the walk to load the bases with no outs. Then the runner on second steals third but the ump called him out even though they missed the tag as the announcers and replay pointed out. Howard then lines out. No runs in the 1st.

Then the teams score in EVERY inning thereon, 2nd thru the 9th! Could only laugh and ask myself why I just didn´t take the over!

 

[thefriedone]

One play tonight:

SFG/OAK - NO (-150)

Willing to lay the big juice on this one since the numbers look so good.

 

[thefriedone]

SFG/OAK - NO (-150) loss

0-1 (-1.5 units) on the night

Overall 27-27 (-2.1 units)

 

[thefriedone]

One play tonight:

BAL/FLA - YES (-135)

 

[thefriedone]

Easy win tonight :toast:

BAL/FLA - YES (-135) win

1-0 (+1 unit) on the night

Overall 28-27 (-1.1 units)

 

[thefriedone]

No plays on the early games today

 

[parlayallday]

These bets just dont look to be profitable

 

[thefriedone]

No plays on the night games either.

I have gone 4-1 since I tightened up the system, so I've got high hopes for this as the season goes on.

 

[thefriedone]

Big play tonight, for 2 units and it's a dog!

WAS/BAL - NO (+110) 2 units

These two pitchers, Detwiler and Bergesen, have only allowed a run in the first inning once in a combined 19 starts. Can't get better numbers than that for this prop. Let's cash this! <><>

 

[thefriedone]

WAS/BAL - NO (+110) 2 units loss

0-1 (-2 units) on the night

Overall 28-28 (-3.1 units)

 

[thefriedone]

Fla/tb - yes (-130)
col/oak - no (-125)

 

[thefriedone]

Fla/tb - yes (-130) win
col/oak - no (-125) loss

1-1 (-0.25 units) on the day

Overall 29-29 (-3.35 units)

 

[thefriedone]

No official plays today. I have a lean on PHI/TOR - YES (-130), but keep in mind the numbers for it aren't strong enough to make it a play.

 

[thefriedone]

One play:

WAS/FLA - YES (-120)