The Vikings are a good story, but Minnesota isn't as good as their record indicates

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

This coming Sunday will mark the biggest game of the season to date for the Minnesota Vikings +7 1/2 as they head to western New York to take on one of the Super Bowl favorites in the AFC, the Buffalo Bills -7 1/2.

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Vikings team has needed 4 come from behind 4th quarter drives against below .500 teams, including last week against a Washington team with a backup quarterback. Minnesota's defense is ranked at the bottom of the league because of issues on the back end. Harrison Smith is 33 now, and Patrick Petersen has struggled. The Vikings are a good team, but their record is misleading, as Cousins hasn't been the same quarterback on the road, as the Vikings blowout loss to the Eagles again showed. Buffalo will be focused off a disappointing loss to the Jets against a Minnesota team with one of the best records in the league.

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The Bills still have the best record in the AFC (Kansas City is also 6-2 but the Bills own the head-to-head tiebreaker). But they are in a massive fight in the AFC East with the Jets and Dolphins (both 6-3) just a half-game behind and each holding a head-to-head tiebreaker over Buffalo. And the Patriots are lurking at 5-4. There is no room for error right now for the Bills. Cousins has struggled at times on grass when teams stop Cook and the Vikings running game, and the Bill's run defense is strong. Allen should be able to find holes in an inconsistent Viking secondary, and the Bills defense should be able to limit Jefferson and Cook. Betting Buffalo early - 6 1/2 Buying a full point & Hedging the money line press -$350

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Opening lines> Money Line MINNESOTA (+275) | BUFFALO (-350) Spread: MIN +7.5 (-110) | BUF -7.5 (-110) Total: 46.5 – Over (-118) | Under (-110)

 

[t_hawk]

Allen looking like he has a nerve injury in his throwing arm. Tommy John nerve
Am curious to see how this plays out

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

This coming Sunday will mark the biggest game of the season to date for the Minnesota Vikings +7 1/2 as they head to western New York to take on one of the Super Bowl favorites in the AFC, the Buffalo Bills -7 1/2.

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Vikings team has needed 4 come from behind 4th quarter drives against below .500 teams, including last week against a Washington team with a backup quarterback. Minnesota's defense is ranked at the bottom of the league because of issues on the back end. Harrison Smith is 33 now, and Patrick Petersen has struggled. The Vikings are a good team, but their record is misleading, as Cousins hasn't been the same quarterback on the road, as the Vikings blowout loss to the Eagles again showed. Buffalo will be focused off a disappointing loss to the Jets against a Minnesota team with one of the best records in the league.

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The Bills still have the best record in the AFC (Kansas City is also 6-2 but the Bills own the head-to-head tiebreaker). But they are in a massive fight in the AFC East with the Jets and Dolphins (both 6-3) just a half-game behind and each holding a head-to-head tiebreaker over Buffalo. And the Patriots are lurking at 5-4. There is no room for error right now for the Bills. Cousins has struggled at times on grass when teams stop Cook and the Vikings running game, and the Bill's run defense is strong. Allen should be able to find holes in an inconsistent Viking secondary, and the Bills defense should be able to limit Jefferson and Cook. Betting Buffalo early - 6 1/2 Buying a full point & Hedging the money line press -$350

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Opening lines> Money Line MINNESOTA (+275) | BUFFALO (-350) Spread: MIN +7.5 (-110) | BUF -7.5 (-110) Total: 46.5 – Over (-118) | Under (-110)

**** Handicapping information taken from Internet Sports Media. Bleacher Report, Inc.,USA Today Sports Media Group, Pro Football Weekly's & NFL Weather.com, Football Stats and History, and other sources connected with NFL Sports. * *****Stats taken from Power Ratings Danny Sheridan power rating, Dunkel Index power, B&Rs Expert Consensus rating, with DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders ~[Cleveland OH] Jerry Nyles NFL Capper, Mike Stewart NFL Capper, Sports Analyst Robert Vinaltti, Harold Johnson NFL Analyst, Kyle Davis NFL Capper, Sam Trever NFL Capper, Steve Davis NFL Analyst, Sal Siciliano Harry Danerian NFL Capper ,NFL Capper, Harvey DeCarlo NFL Capper Bobby Lancer NFL Analyst Handicapper, There Exclusive Ratings & There Calculated Point Spreads With Trends...​

 

[ShortBusDriver7]

Josh is going to be less than 100% or not playing at all.

Vikings are ridiculously lucky this year. Their point differential indicates they should be 5-3

 

[ca$hmoney]

Weather could be a factor. Which side has the better running game?

 

[cigar]

Weather could be a factor. Which side has the better running game?

Allen has been the Bills' running game.

 

[t_hawk]

If they actually give Singletary some real carries, 15-20 he can carry the load and be productive
They hardly ever due though. When the weather turns bad they have last year, late in the season.

Agree Vikings are over rated and their record should not be 7-1
They have gotten very lucky this year so far, am looking to be fading them

 

[Selectrick]

The Vikes have played a pretty soft schedule so far this season and they will be exposed this week. Buffalo minus 6.5 and ML sounds very solid. Good luck Harry, I only see that line moving up.
Btw, what is the price for Buff at 6.5? They're not even on the board at Pinnacle for some reason. Allen's health I guess.

 

[t_hawk]

The Vikes have played a pretty soft schedule so far this season and they will be exposed this week. Buffalo minus 6.5 and ML sounds very solid. Good luck Harry, I only see that line moving up.
Btw, what is the price for Buff at 6.5? They're not even on the board at Pinnacle for some reason. Allen's health I guess.

Game has been pulled in many places due to unknown status of Allen

 

[MAGAking1]

Bills QB Allen's status uncertain with throwing elbow injury

 

[ShortBusDriver7]

Take the +7 -125 and buy it off if Allen is playing. If he doesnt this game is -2.5 or -1.5

 

[Selectrick]

Take the +7 -125 and buy it off if Allen is playing. If he doesnt this game is -2.5 or -1.5

I don't think I've ever seen the absence of a starting QB move a line as much as 5 points. Seems a bit much.

 

[Cheddar]

The Vikes have played a pretty soft schedule so far this season and they will be exposed this week. Buffalo minus 6.5 and ML sounds very solid. Good luck Harry, I only see that line moving up.
Btw, what is the price for Buff at 6.5? They're not even on the board at Pinnacle for some reason. Allen's health I guess.

Why do you see the line moving up if you acknowledge Allen’s health is questionable?

 

[Loves2kickass]

You may want to check injury report ole Harry.

 

[exploited17]

I don't think I've ever seen the absence of a starting QB move a line as much as 5 points. Seems a bit much.

It already moved 3.5 to 6
Line originally was 9.5
before the injury news
My guess it if it is official Keenum plays it will got down a little more but based on betting
Just a guess

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

It already moved 3.5 to 6
Line originally was 9.5
before the injury news
My guess it if it is official Keenum plays it will got down a little more but based on betting
Just a guess

Line opened at -8 1/2 in most Vegas sports book and then went to -6 to -6 1/2

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

Even if Allen can't play!!!! After having Allen as the only active quarterback on the roster at the beginning of the offseason, the Bills showed clear intent on getting a trustworthy backup when they traded a 2022 seventh-round pick to the Cleveland Browns in March to acquire Case Keenum, a nine-year vet that appeared in five games last season and went 2-0 in both of his starts. Don't count the Bills out in this matchup.

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

Buffalo added speed to the backfield in Round 2 pick James Cook. While he never posted true breakout numbers at Georgia, Cook’s tape showed an excellent athlete with clear receiving ability. He exits college with 67 catches for 730 yards across 4 seasons. Cook also tallied a career-best 728 yards in 2021 while playing alongside Vegas’ Round 4 pick Zamir White.​

Cook will form a 1-2 punch with Devin Singletary, who’s coming off a career-best season. Singletary’s 2021 turned up 188 carries, 870 yards and 7 scores. He added 40 receptions for 228 yards and another score. For the second straight season, the 25-year-old appeared in each game. He’s scheduled for free agency next spring.

Buffalo moved on from WRs Cole Beasley and Emmanuel Sanders over the offseason. That duo accounted for 184 targets last season. Veteran Jamison Crowder and rookie Round 5 pick Khalil Shakir arrived as reinforcements, with Crowder more likely to make a 2022 impact. He’ll compete with Isaiah McKenzie for the primary slot role a year after making only 12 appearances with the Jets. The Duke product tallied 51 catches at a career-low 8.8 yards per reception. Shakir was widely regarded as a draft-night steal, but he’s more likely to make a 2023 impact. Neither newcomer projects for a significant target share with Stefon Diggs and up-and-comer Gabriel Davis returning.

At TE, Buffalo took a low-risk, 1-year flier on former Buccaneer O.J. Howard. Only 27, Howard pairs with Dawson Knox to form one of the league’s most enticing TE duos. The question is just how much Howard has left in the tank following a series of injuries, most notably a 2020 Achilles tear. Last year with the Bucs, Howard managed only 14 catches in 17 games while backing up Rob Gronkowski and Cameron Brate.

​

 

[Loves2kickass]

Buffalo added speed to the backfield in Round 2 pick James Cook. While he never posted true breakout numbers at Georgia, Cook’s tape showed an excellent athlete with clear receiving ability. He exits college with 67 catches for 730 yards across 4 seasons. Cook also tallied a career-best 728 yards in 2021 while playing alongside Vegas’ Round 4 pick Zamir White.​

Cook will form a 1-2 punch with Devin Singletary, who’s coming off a career-best season. Singletary’s 2021 turned up 188 carries, 870 yards and 7 scores. He added 40 receptions for 228 yards and another score. For the second straight season, the 25-year-old appeared in each game. He’s scheduled for free agency next spring.

Buffalo moved on from WRs Cole Beasley and Emmanuel Sanders over the offseason. That duo accounted for 184 targets last season. Veteran Jamison Crowder and rookie Round 5 pick Khalil Shakir arrived as reinforcements, with Crowder more likely to make a 2022 impact. He’ll compete with Isaiah McKenzie for the primary slot role a year after making only 12 appearances with the Jets. The Duke product tallied 51 catches at a career-low 8.8 yards per reception. Shakir was widely regarded as a draft-night steal, but he’s more likely to make a 2023 impact. Neither newcomer projects for a significant target share with Stefon Diggs and up-and-comer Gabriel Davis returning.

At TE, Buffalo took a low-risk, 1-year flier on former Buccaneer O.J. Howard. Only 27, Howard pairs with Dawson Knox to form one of the league’s most enticing TE duos. The question is just how much Howard has left in the tank following a series of injuries, most notably a 2020 Achilles tear. Last year with the Bucs, Howard managed only 14 catches in 17 games while backing up Rob Gronkowski and Cameron Brate.

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Nice info. Did you write that?

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

Nice info. Did you write that?

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