Thanks and moving on, lol.
Adding for 1/2 Unit: Ball State -6.5 @ Eastern Michigan
This play is based exclusively on what I've seen of these two teams this year. Ball State has been running the ball very well. They ran for a very nice average last week against TA&M running on 2/3 of their plays. A&M knew what was coming pretty much and didn't stop it particularly well. It was the same scenario except magnified in the EMU @ WYO game last week. Very early in the game WYO was down to their 3rd string QB who I'm not even sure is an actual QB based on his stats in that game. But Wyoming, like Ball, stuck with the run, and even more so, about 75% of the time. And they ran hog wild over EMU in the process, averaging 7.4 ypc. By simple deduction, this tells me that even if EMU knows Ball St. will be running a lot in this game they shouldn't have very good success stopping it. EMU's back up QB did a fine job last week, and he'll probably have a pretty good game against Ball as well. When it comes down to strength versus strength offensively, though, I'm going to back the team that runs the ball better more often than not. I see Ball pulling ahead and then EMU making enough mistakes on offense to keep them from covering as a home dog. But hey, if somehow EMU doesn't screw up, I'm pretty confident the game goes Over then, meaning a split at worst with a play in on the Over already.