The Sports Cruncher's 2015 CFB Week 03 Lines & Market Plays

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Chomping at the bits
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Hmm, looks the market thinks that ND's offense is going to tank without QB Zaire. GT got hit hard and fast, as did the Under. Oh well. I still like the Over.
 

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Mr./C...........appreciate all the info you provide each and every week..........you give me so much more to look at for a informed play, thank you...........indy
 

Chomping at the bits
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Thanks, Indy.

Regretting I missed BALL @ EMU Over before it jumped to 63.5, but still gonna play it at that # for 1/2 a unit. Ball State is really looking like an Over team, and EMU mostly as well.
 

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I would like to know Spurrier's numbers vs UGA

second i I would like to know how they did against UGA vs the run last year
 

Chomping at the bits
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I would like to know Spurrier's numbers vs UGA

second i I would like to know how they did against UGA vs the run last year

Last year 218 rush yards and 5.7 ypc. SCAR won completely because of QB Thompson (and a decent running game, I'll concede they had some success with that, but nothing extraodinary).

I don't know Spurrier's record against UGA, it's not something I ever handicap, for better or worse.
 

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Maybe a dumb question...why do you waste so much forum spac

Jesus...post it without 40 different threads.

You got 10 plays....post them for God's sake. Ain't about "HITS" in a thread.
 

Chomping at the bits
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Jesus Christ, excuse me for trying to post plays for anyone who wants to follow as soon as I possibly can when the lines open up. I make one play, I post it, and move on to the next one. Speed is of the essence. As a matter of fact it would be of much greater convenience to me not try and share the plays as soon as possible, so if you're suggesting I try to help the forum less and post lines that might not be available even a minute or two after, I guess you know what's best. So yeah, dumb question. :)
 

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Forgive me there Crunch....

You are the guy trying to sell plays...pump'em Bud.

Hell, I'm just a long time RX CFB poster who hates the Jesus Christ bullshit.
 

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Chrunch, I have nothing against you....

But if you want to go...I'll go.
 
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Maybe a dumb question...why do you waste so much forum spac

Jesus...post it without 40 different threads.

You got 10 plays....post them for God's sake. Ain't about "HITS" in a thread.

Forgive me there Crunch....

You are the guy trying to sell plays...pump'em Bud.

Hell, I'm just a long time RX CFB poster who hates the Jesus Christ bullshit.

Chrunch, I have nothing against you....

But if you want to go...I'll go.

Trying to figure out what the problem is here Clover ??

I see him posting plays as he likes something .... what's wrong with that ?
He starts a Weekly thread, unlike some that will post a different play in multiple threads.

I mean I will look at the top 10-20 games first, make those wagers then continue to the next group of games and make those wagers. and so on....

So please don't start anything... I don't see anything wrong the way he is posting.

Thanks
 

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I don't know Spurriers exact total record against UGA but I do know that Spurrier hates UGA more than any other team he's faced as a coach and as a player when he was at Florida. I remember reading in one of his books about how much he disliked UGA and his record while at USCe ATS is 7-1 in the last 8 and 4-1 in the last 5 away against UGA. Spurrier may not have the horses to stay on the field with GA but he'll throw everything he has at them in trying to beat them.
 

sdf

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1/2 Unit: SMU @ TCU Under 67

This is one game I couldnt get a feel for. It's a high number for a game SMU could help to keep under...but Patterson will never hesitate to RUTS, especially this year. After getting locked out of the NC.....beating everyone by 70 is all he can do to make waves....
 

sdf

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Jesus Christ, excuse me for trying to post plays for anyone who wants to follow as soon as I possibly can when the lines open up. I make one play, I post it, and move on to the next one. Speed is of the essence. As a matter of fact it would be of much greater convenience to me not try and share the plays as soon as possible, so if you're suggesting I try to help the forum less and post lines that might not be available even a minute or two after, I guess you know what's best. So yeah, dumb question. :)


your methods are perfect.....and for me completely understantable.....even if it eats a few more bytes :) ...it's worth it
 

TUG

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Maybe a dumb question...why do you waste so much forum spac

Jesus...post it without 40 different threads.

You got 10 plays....post them for God's sake. Ain't about "HITS" in a thread.

your first statement was the only one that made sense when his major approach is to take advantage of numbers before they move
 

Chomping at the bits
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Thanks and moving on, lol.

Adding for 1/2 Unit: Ball State -6.5 @ Eastern Michigan

This play is based exclusively on what I've seen of these two teams this year. Ball State has been running the ball very well. They ran for a very nice average last week against TA&M running on 2/3 of their plays. A&M knew what was coming pretty much and didn't stop it particularly well. It was the same scenario except magnified in the EMU @ WYO game last week. Very early in the game WYO was down to their 3rd string QB who I'm not even sure is an actual QB based on his stats in that game. But Wyoming, like Ball, stuck with the run, and even more so, about 75% of the time. And they ran hog wild over EMU in the process, averaging 7.4 ypc. By simple deduction, this tells me that even if EMU knows Ball St. will be running a lot in this game they shouldn't have very good success stopping it. EMU's back up QB did a fine job last week, and he'll probably have a pretty good game against Ball as well. When it comes down to strength versus strength offensively, though, I'm going to back the team that runs the ball better more often than not. I see Ball pulling ahead and then EMU making enough mistakes on offense to keep them from covering as a home dog. But hey, if somehow EMU doesn't screw up, I'm pretty confident the game goes Over then, meaning a split at worst with a play in on the Over already.
 

Chomping at the bits
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+1


BTW, who's ND's backup QB? Is he any good? Know nothing about him. Any insight would be truly appreciated.

I don't know much about him, except that he threw a near 50 yard strike off his back foot to kill a Virginia 2nd half play I had last week, lol. I'm probably going to look at that game more closely in a day or two.
 

Chomping at the bits
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This is one game I couldnt get a feel for. It's a high number for a game SMU could help to keep under...but Patterson will never hesitate to RUTS, especially this year. After getting locked out of the NC.....beating everyone by 70 is all he can do to make waves....

TCU or Baylor RUTS has burned me on Unders in games they're involved with before, it's true. I project SMU to have at least a couple time consuming scoring drives in this game. TCU doesn't play anywhere near as fast as Baylor on offense. So yeah, I'm basically doubling down with SMU and the Under on the hope that SMU holds the ball long enough in this game for those two plays to cover, which of course means not surrendering abnormally quick scores to TCU either.
 

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