The Sports Cruncher's 2015 CFB Week 01 Market Plays

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Chomping at the bits
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Nothing tonight, except the need to resist impulse 2nd half plays, lol. Honestly, though, I'd make all the same plays again. Literally every turnover in the end zone or return for touchdown went against 1, if not 2 working plays. Overall my lines were pretty solid, but bad luck made the day a loser. Sounds too familiar, lol.

But hey, if I like something at half, I'll probably still play it.
 

Chomping at the bits
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SMU playin' em pretty tough right now, and they start the 2nd half with the ball.

Adding for 1/2 unit: SMU +14.5 (-105) 2nd half vs Baylor
 

Chomping at the bits
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Yeah - r.a. - I thought another return TD and then OT were sink another good 2nd half play. Finally caught a break and got off the 2nd half snide.

Toasted - I'll look at the lines tomorrow morning and see if any steam has made some things playable. I won't be adding much, if any. My lines on sides have been really good, though so far -- they had Boise winning by just 6 tonight.

I'll probably have some 2nd half plays, the gambler in me can't resist, and lifetime they've been so profitable for me (most of that in the NFL, though...).
 

Chomping at the bits
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Well, here's one I'll add...

ADDING FOR 1/2 UNIT: PSU @ TEM UNDER 44

I already have PSU -6.5, with a PSU 27-13 projected victory. If this game goes Over, I think it's more than likely PSU is covering. So far the teams that struggled to run the ball last year have struggled to run in their first game this year, from what I've seen. If that's at all the case in this game, this one shouldn't break out of the 30's.
 

Chomping at the bits
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ADDING FOR 1/2 UNIT: BGSU @ TENN UNDER 69 (-105 5D)

Got that last one reduced juice at 5D as well. Good stuff.

BGSU of course likes to play fast, and they rate to play better this year, the second with their HC and system. I ranked them dead even on offense and defense last year at 99th. Using 20 seconds a play could be suicide against TENN, though, as they run the risk of getting their defense completely gassed if they can't sustain any drives. I'm sure they'll start off fast...but I'll be curious to see if they die by their own sword of speed eventually. One area of concern, of course, is that BGSU returns almost all of their offense but less than half of their defense. I'll just take the chance that their offense isn't hugely better than their defense this year when it's all said and done. Hopefully that defense can slow down the Vols running game which figures to be on autopilot late in this game with a comfortable TENN lead. 69 is just a lot of points.
 

Chomping at the bits
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One last degenerate special before bedtime, lol...

ADDING FOR 1/2 UNIT EACH

UGA -21 1ST HALF VS ULM (-115)
UGA VS ULM OVER 28 1ST HALF (-115)

28-3 Georgia up at the half sounds so, so right to me.
 

Chomping at the bits
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Penn State down to -5.5 @ BOL now? I'll have to oblige the steam with another 1/2 unit on them at that #, in addition to the 1/2 unit @ -6.5.
 

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class act and a hell of a gambler. good luck, crunch. i'll be following intently!
 

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Good luck this year Cruncher....I love seeing a complete objective view of lines to compare with my technical angles that I use.

I am a Gopher homer and their game one versus TCU played according to what they do against top teams...severely outyarded, can't pass, shorten the game, play fundamental D, cover the big number.

You done any work on the NFL week 1? If so, will you be posting anything on that? Think the Eagles will be the best team in the NFC this year.
 

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Good luck this year Cruncher....I love seeing a complete objective view of lines to compare with my technical angles that I use.

I am a Gopher homer and their game one versus TCU played according to what they do against top teams...severely outyarded, can't pass, shorten the game, play fundamental D, cover the big number.

You done any work on the NFL week 1? If so, will you be posting anything on that? Think the Eagles will be the best team in the NFC this year.

Noooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooope.
 

Chomping at the bits
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Hey ZJP, good to see you around, and thank you.

Thanks, Jup. My numbers liked Minny to keep it within the number and yup.

I really only have time and family sanity to cap one sport right now, so I haven't done NFL in a few seasons, in spite of doing far, far better at it historically than I have at NCAA so far, lol.
 

Chomping at the bits
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Betting that Stanford will win the game? I can't pass that up, lol.

ADDING FOR 1/2 UNIT: STAN -6 2ND HALF +100
 
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One last degenerate special before bedtime, lol...

ADDING FOR 1/2 UNIT EACH

UGA -21 1ST HALF VS ULM (-115)
UGA VS ULM OVER 28 1ST HALF (-115)

28-3 Georgia up at the half sounds so, so right to me.

Nice job on the FH side and total!
 

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