The PoliticoPundit MLB Angles thread hosted by Scott and Bar

[barman]

A little humor in my statement since I just hit 6 in a row.


Ps I'm not really betting one to five dollar amounts.

Well yeah...I kinda figured none of us were trying to make this work with "1.0" equalling a buck

I'm actually using a $16 base for the moment...up from $12 last week thanks to the recent run. Will likely stay with this size for another 20 or so wagers and see if I can get a bit fatter

 

[barman]

THURSDAY, July 23

2TeamParlays

JAYS -147 vs Tribe
TWINS +138 at Halo

Lay 1.0
Pays 3.00
-------------

JAYS -1.5 (+140)
RAYS -105 at Hose

Lay 0.5
Pays 1.84

*CLEVELAND remains most hapless club in baseball, riding the Poop Train with Nats and Royals. And here they go and score 6 yesterday in Toronto

Tribe this season have played 25 Away games After Scoring 5+ in an Away game. Their record in this role is a not-so-mighty 4-21 and just 10-15 at +1.5

*Jays have had their woes this season, but their pitching remains midstream. When playing at Home After Allowing 6+ in a Home game, they're 10-4 with nine of those wins by more than 1.5
-------
*RAYS suffering some on offense since the Break, but their pitching remains rock solid. And with four decent starts under his belt since returning from DL, including allowing only one run in six IP last time out, Scott Kazmir should put them in a good spot to compete with Mark Buehrle and the Chisox this afternoon.

Also liking this one to stay Under 9

TB/CHW Undah 9 (+105) 1.0
*Buerhle Home starts this season are 4-7 vs "9"
*14 of past 20 H2H between these two teams Under "9"
*Sox 21 Home games vs teams currently at least two games above .500 have seen just six top "9" (6-13-2)
*Rays past 24 overall Away games have seen just six top "9" (6-18)

 

[roadreeler57]

Would these help any?

[SIZE=+1]2009 Baseball Page
[/SIZE]Every day during baseball season, www.armadillosports.com analyzes daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends.
Hot Pitchers
-- Kawakami is 2-1, 3.46 in his last five starts.
-- Haren is 7-1, 1.68 in his last ten starts. Morton is 2-1, 2.65 in his last three starts.
-- Correia is 5-3, 3.52 in his last nine starts. Phillies won Hamels' last three starts (1-0, 3.50) scoring 36 runs.
-- Wainwright is 2-1, 1.39 in his last four starts.
-- Rzepzynkski is 1-1, 2.50 in his three major league starts.
-- Washburn is 3-0, 0.79 in his last three starts. French is 1-0, 2.76 in three starts for the Tigers.
-- Buehrle is 2-0, 2.57 in his last two home starts; White Sox won six of his last seven starts overall.
-- Baker is 4-1, 4.76 in his last five starts.
-- Sabathia is 2-1, 2.62 in his last three starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Giants lost four of last five Zito starts (1-3, 5.90).
-- Balestar was 7-9, 4.35 in 19 AAA starts; he was 3-7, 5.51 in 15 starts for the Nationals LY.
-- Huff is 1-2, 9.78 in his last four starts.
-- Kazmir is 0-2, 8.10 in his last six starts.
-- Weaver has an 8.18 RA in his last four starts.
-- Oakland lost last seven Mazzaro starts (0-6, 6.81).
Hot Teams.
-- Braves won ten of their last eleven home games.
-- Phillies won 14 of their last 16 games.
-- Mariners won six of their last eight games.
-- Bronx Bombers won 11 of last 13 home games.
-- White Sox are 10-4 in their last 14 home games. Rays won eight of their last twelve games overall.
-- Angels won 13 of their last 17 games.
Cold Teams
-- Nationals lost 12 of their last 15 games, but won last two. Cardinals lost five of their last six road games.
-- Pirates lost 10 of their last 15 games. Diamondbacks lost five of their last seven games.
-- Giants lost seven of their last eight road games.
-- Padres lost 16 of their last 19 games.

-- Indians lost 10 of their last 14 road games. Blue Jays are 3-8 in their last 11 games overall.
-- Oakland is 3-12 in the first game of a home series.
-- Tigers lost five of their last seven games.
-- Twins lost three of their last four games.

Totals
-- Six of last nine Giant games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in Pittsburgh's last eight road games.
-- Six of last eight Hamels starts went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Washington home games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Cleveland games.
-- Seven of last nine Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 14-3 in Tampa Bay's last 17 road games.
-- 10 of last 12 Minnesota road games stayed under the total, but last six Weaver starts all went over.
-- Six of last eight Oakland road games stayed under the total.

Log on every day, enjoy the baseball season-- good luck!!!!
​

 

[roadreeler57]

Today +12.35 ytd +27.99


remember kids dont try this at home. parlays are sucker bets/

Not nesessarily

 

[BASEHEAD]

Not nesessarily

Dont play them much in bases,but Ive never been one to denounce them as sucker bets. Now reverses on the other hand...lol

Good job in here with the thread and picks guys.

 

[punter]

7/23/early

Parlay: Jays,Angels,Cardinals,Yankees,D-backs under 4 1st 5 $1 to win $10.14

 

[barman]

Good news...Actually got the Rays/CHW Under "9.5" (-110) instead of the aforementioned "9" (+105)

ADDING

SF/ATL Under 8.5 (-101) 1.2

 

[ScottL]

SL in Freefall in this thread, riding the Poop Train with the Nats/Pads/Royals/Injuns. If LAA would have lost last night.....

22-32, -11.85 U for the thread after yesterday's 4.1 Unit pummeling.

Day Play = SF +165. Same shit as yesterday and day before. It's amazing how I find all these Angles from previous results on the day before they lose. More fade-bait later!

 

[barman]

GOOD NEWS for PoopTrain riders!

I'm going to close out this thread after tonight and create a fresh one for the next ten days. We can thus post "new block" records along with YTD to get a better look at who is doing well (or not) and when.

 

[ScottL]

Barman instead of closing this thread.....

How about deleting it? LOL

 

[punter]

add:

7/23

parlay: Cardinals,Angels,D-backs under 4 1st 5 $2 to win $8.22

 

[barman]

With the Toronto loss, we'll repackage the Minnesota ml selection with PUNTER-approved:

PIT/ARZ 1H Undah 4 (-101)
MIN +137

2TeamParlay

Lay 1.0
Pays 3.72

 

[ScottL]

Well I'm taking at least a small profit today as SF +165 turned my frown upside down. One more Dog for tonight on SL's Card:

MIN TWINS + 140

Twins spent yesterday getting shelled in OAK and made the short trip to ANA. Meanwhile ANA, a statistical LOCK yesterday had to struggle and come back from a 4 Run deficit to overtake the KC railcar of the PoopTrain and complete a 4 Game Sweep in 3 days, playing late into the night and flying Home. This sets up well as ANA has reversed results in 15 of its last 19 when going from a Road Game to opening a Homestand, including a shabby 2-8 in their last 10 at Home after a Road Win. I also like the fact that the Angels are overweighted here [interesting, because they were undervalued the entire KC Series] as in their previous Home Series they broomed the Bronx Bombers. Letdown? Hope So!

 

[barman]

Total Trifecta

SD/PHI Over 8.5 (-110)
STL/WAS Under 8.5 (+109)
PIT/ARZ Over 8 (+100)

Lay .5
Pays 3.50



San Diego 31-10 in Game1 Aways...though this is technically an isolated one gamer to make up early season rainout

Washington After last 16 Wins has seen only two games top 8.5. Redbird Wainwright in 11 night game starts this season has a 2.49 era

Pittsburgh is 11-5 Over in this year's Game1Aways
Arizona is 11-5 Over in this year's Game1Homes

Line has bumped to "8" from opening 7.5...I think we're getting the slighly lower line due to Buc trade of LaRoche....and we figure that gives us one night of spurt from the new lineup, Haren be damned.

This last one a slight contradiction to my tailjob of Punter's Under 4(first 5), but it can still work out if the load gets spewed in final four innings vs respective relief pens.

 

[ScottL]

Really getting sick and tired of these fucking closers who can't get 3 outs without blowing a game the one time I need them. Die, Nathan.

 

[punter]

yesterday -$3 yts +$24.99


7/24

parlay: Cubs, 1H Mets $2 to win $3.80

 

[barman]

July 23 summary

4-6 (+1.16)

31-21 (+15.40)
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