It's all good....I got the feeling I can finangle at least one decent terrace seat at the Temple in Arlington from Punter next time I come in town.
Third base side about in line with the far end of the visitor dugout....second level a couple rows up....catbird seat...In spring 2007 when Barman Jr and I last attended, they were only like $26
Third base side about in line with the far end of the visitor dugout....second level a couple rows up....catbird seat...In spring 2007 when Barman Jr and I last attended, they were only like $26
Friday:
MIN -125
LAA +115
Twins 6-0 Hm off 3+ Losses since 9/17/07. Twins 11-1 last 3 Home games before ASB last 4 years. Csox 1-16 combined in their two Houses of Horror, Rogers Center and Metrodomo, scoring 3 runs or less 13 of those 17.
LAA 28-9 Home Fridays. LAA 45-10 off 2+ Losses. LAA 17-2 Home if Lost previous 2 Home Games.
MIN -125
LAA +115
Twins 6-0 Hm off 3+ Losses since 9/17/07. Twins 11-1 last 3 Home games before ASB last 4 years. Csox 1-16 combined in their two Houses of Horror, Rogers Center and Metrodomo, scoring 3 runs or less 13 of those 17.
LAA 28-9 Home Fridays. LAA 45-10 off 2+ Losses. LAA 17-2 Home if Lost previous 2 Home Games.
Tough crowd around here......
Saturday:
MIL +100
NYM -135
SD +220
MIN -110
SEA -110
Plays #1,2,4 already discussed in previous posts. Mets are in same spot inj which they beat LAD, who is also in the same angle as that game. MIN reasons were posted yesterday.
SF in letdown spot off the No-No. And 1-8 since 8/06 after tallying 8+ runs in consecutive games. If SD has a pulse we'll see it today.
SEA 9-1 at Home this year if 1-3 or 0-4 last 4 games. TEX 7-23 Away run since last season if 3-1 or 4-0 last 4 games. Washburn stingy at Home, allowing just 6 earned runs last 35 innings. Visitor on 5-17 run since last year when Millwood throws.
Saturday:
MIL +100
NYM -135
SD +220
MIN -110
SEA -110
Plays #1,2,4 already discussed in previous posts. Mets are in same spot inj which they beat LAD, who is also in the same angle as that game. MIN reasons were posted yesterday.
SF in letdown spot off the No-No. And 1-8 since 8/06 after tallying 8+ runs in consecutive games. If SD has a pulse we'll see it today.
SEA 9-1 at Home this year if 1-3 or 0-4 last 4 games. TEX 7-23 Away run since last season if 3-1 or 4-0 last 4 games. Washburn stingy at Home, allowing just 6 earned runs last 35 innings. Visitor on 5-17 run since last year when Millwood throws.
Saturday, July 11
I've got three.....and fwiw, I have just paid my long-suffering CR sports agent and am back into Real Play
1) Washington Nats playing Away After Scoring 5+ in previous (any) game are a meager 3-13, with just four of those 16 beating the +1.5
Nats playing Away this season vs LH starters have only won three times in 13 tries, with five of those 13 beating the +1.5
Houston has played an almost exact 2x1 ratio of games finishing with margins of more than one run. But since eight of past nine have been non-1run finishes, we'll play it safe and use Astros on moneyline -148
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2) Los Angeles Dodgers this season when playing After Allowing 5+ runs in previous (any) game are a lusty 22-7, including 16 of their past 18 in this role. When the target game is a road tilt, they've won 11 of past 12, with nine of those 12 by 2+ runs. Using LAD on moneyline -109
1&2a) For those more daring, a 2TeamParlay of HOU -1.5 (+144) and LAD -1.5 (+150) pays 5.1x1
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3) Arizona Snakes when facing a LH starter are 6-16-1 this season when their TeamTotal is "5"
Also this year, in all games where Zona has scored MoreThan5 in previous two, they're 1-5-1 vs TeamTotal of "5"
Include last season in that latter angle (2-6-2) and they're 3-11-3 vs "5" After Scoring MoreThan5 in previous two games.
Using Zona TeamTotal Under 5 (-110)
I've got three.....and fwiw, I have just paid my long-suffering CR sports agent and am back into Real Play
1) Washington Nats playing Away After Scoring 5+ in previous (any) game are a meager 3-13, with just four of those 16 beating the +1.5
Nats playing Away this season vs LH starters have only won three times in 13 tries, with five of those 13 beating the +1.5
Houston has played an almost exact 2x1 ratio of games finishing with margins of more than one run. But since eight of past nine have been non-1run finishes, we'll play it safe and use Astros on moneyline -148
--------
2) Los Angeles Dodgers this season when playing After Allowing 5+ runs in previous (any) game are a lusty 22-7, including 16 of their past 18 in this role. When the target game is a road tilt, they've won 11 of past 12, with nine of those 12 by 2+ runs. Using LAD on moneyline -109
1&2a) For those more daring, a 2TeamParlay of HOU -1.5 (+144) and LAD -1.5 (+150) pays 5.1x1
----
3) Arizona Snakes when facing a LH starter are 6-16-1 this season when their TeamTotal is "5"
Also this year, in all games where Zona has scored MoreThan5 in previous two, they're 1-5-1 vs TeamTotal of "5"
Include last season in that latter angle (2-6-2) and they're 3-11-3 vs "5" After Scoring MoreThan5 in previous two games.
Using Zona TeamTotal Under 5 (-110)
BONUS ....I don't have the precise numbers on following two Angles, but they're becoming increasingly interesting
1) TB Rays, when playing in a Saturday home game preceding one of their postgame "Summer Concerts" are undefeated following last time out when they won prior to the Pat Benatar concert. Following tonight's game, Grammy winning Smashmouth (I know, I know....comedy gold quality) performs. I believe I heard them say last time out it's now a 13-0 run
2) TB Rays, when playing at Home with attendance of 30K+ last year were about 25-3 and this year it's been pretty much the same, though I can't quantify it. I'd make a confident guess they're at about a 35-5 record over past season+ when playing in front of the large crowds in their yard where the capacity is about 37K.
The moneyline here is way too tall to lay, so we're using TB -1.5 (+120)
That happens to tie into another strong angle which I don't have time to quantify (gotta do lawn/garden $$ now) wherein the Rays playing at Home After Allowing 3orless pretty much crush....with a .800+ win percentage and well over half of those beat the -1.5 runline
1) TB Rays, when playing in a Saturday home game preceding one of their postgame "Summer Concerts" are undefeated following last time out when they won prior to the Pat Benatar concert. Following tonight's game, Grammy winning Smashmouth (I know, I know....comedy gold quality) performs. I believe I heard them say last time out it's now a 13-0 run
2) TB Rays, when playing at Home with attendance of 30K+ last year were about 25-3 and this year it's been pretty much the same, though I can't quantify it. I'd make a confident guess they're at about a 35-5 record over past season+ when playing in front of the large crowds in their yard where the capacity is about 37K.
The moneyline here is way too tall to lay, so we're using TB -1.5 (+120)
That happens to tie into another strong angle which I don't have time to quantify (gotta do lawn/garden $$ now) wherein the Rays playing at Home After Allowing 3orless pretty much crush....with a .800+ win percentage and well over half of those beat the -1.5 runline
friendly pregame feedback
* MIL -- I'm on Dodgers per my analysis in above posts
* NYM, SD --Investing Rule - If info points to a bad team, that doesn't mean play that team, it means Pass the whole deal
SanFran has a lot of very, very strong Home numbers, but the price precludes using them here, especially after having scored so much past few games with their low-grade offense
* MIN -- No opinion...didn't have time to give this one an in-house look
* SEA -- Totally concur and have included the Seamen in my Saturday load as noted in the Bar n Grill Great Game thread
Heading out for few hours of lawn/garden...will be able to check in for a moment after, and then we're off to local sports pub to watch Rays and drink the ol' whiskey.
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This thread is for those who worship on Saturdays, Sundays, or not at all. What this thread is NOT for are for people to drop a couple of picks without supporting them with a few reasons. In other words, this thread is not to be used to in a fashion similar to calling someone a Ratwanger and then clicking 'Submit.' ~~:<<
