THE MASTERS....odds,info,discussion

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Nothing Can Stop What is Coming!!!
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Here’s a look at the full slate of odds as of April 1 for the 2023 Masters, which tees off Thursday, April 6.

2023 Masters Odds April 1​



GolferWinnerTop 5Top 10
Scottie Scheffler+700+165−140
Rory McIlroy+700+165−140
Jon Rahm+850+190−110
Jordan Spieth+1600+350+165
Patrick Cantlay+1800+360+175
Jason Day+2000+450+200
Cameron Smith+2000+400+190
Xander Schauffele+2200+450+210
Tony Finau+2200+500+220
Justin Thomas+2200+450+210
Collin Morikawa+2200+450+210
Dustin Johnson+2500+500+240
Max Homa+2800+550+250
Cameron Young+2800+550+260
Will Zalatoris+3500+700+300
Viktor Hovland+3500+650+280
Sung-Jae Im+3500+750+320
Sam Burns+3500+800+330
Hideki Matsuyama+4000+800+330
Matthew Fitzpatrick+4500+900+360
Corey Conners+4500+900+360
Brooks Koepka+4500+900+400
Tyrrell Hatton+5000+1000+400
Shane Lowry+5500+1100+450
Joaquin Niemann+5500+1100+450
Tommy Fleetwood+6000+1200+450
Tiger Woods+6000+1200+500
Justin Rose+6000+1100+450
Min Woo Lee+6500+1200+550
Patrick Reed+7000+1200+550
Joohyung Kim+7000+1200+500
Si Woo Kim+8000+1400+550
Adam Scott+8000+1600+600
Louis Oosthuizen+9000+1600+650
Bryson DeChambeau+10000+2000+800
Kurt Kitayama+10000+1800+750
Tom Hoge+11000+2000+800
Talor Gooch+11000+2000+800
Sergio Garcia+11000+2000+750
Abraham Ancer+11000+2000+750
Sahith Theegala+11000+2000+800
Keegan Bradley+11000+2200+800
Keith Mitchell+11000+2000+750
Seamus Power+13000+2500+900
Danny Willett+13000+2500+900
Brian Harman+13000+2200+850
Mito Pereira+13000+2200+850
Thomas Pieters+15000+2800+1000
Russell Henley+15000+2500+1000
Billy Horschel+15000+3000+1100
Chris Kirk+15000+2800+1000
Phil Mickelson+18000+3500+1200
Mackenzie Hughes+18000+3500+1200
Ryan Fox+18000+3000+1100
Alex Noren+18000+3500+1200
Gary Woodland+20000+3500+1200
Bubba Watson+20000+3500+1200
J.T. Poston+20000+3500+1200
Jason Kokrak+25000+4000+1400
Harris English+25000+4000+1400
Harold Varner III+25000+4000+1400
Francesco Molinari+25000+4000+1400
Cameron Champ+25000+4500+1600
Adam Svensson+25000+4000+1400
Taylor Moore+25000+4500+1400
Kevin Na+30000+4500+1600
K.H.Lee+30000+5500+1800
Adrian Meronk+30000+5000+1800
Sepp Straka+35000+6000+2000
Kevin Kisner+35000+6000+2000
Charl Schwartzel+35000+6000+2000
Scott Stallings+35000+6000+2000
Kazuki Higa+40000+7500+2500
Zach Johnson+50000+9000+2800
Bernhard Langer+80000+13000+4000
Gordon Sargent+80000+13000+3500
Mike Weir+200000+30000+9000
Fred Couples+200000+35000+9000
Aldrich Potgieter+200000+30000+8000
Vijay Singh+250000+40000+18000
Sam Bennett+250000+40000+18000
Harrison Crowe+250000+40000+15000
Ben Carr+250000+40000+15000
Mateo Fernandez de Oliveira+250000+40000+18000
Matthew McClean+250000+40000+15000
Sandy Lyle+500000+50000+30000
Larry Mize+500000+50000+30000
Jose Maria Olazabal+500000+50000+30000



 

Nothing Can Stop What is Coming!!!
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LIV and The Masters

The Masters tees off from Augusta National on April 6 for the 87th beginning of A Tradition Unlike Any Other. Amidst the continuing controversy surrounding LIV Golf and the PGA TOUR, so far all four major tournaments have elected to continue to allow LIV golfers to compete and participate.
However they have not changed the qualifications for getting an invitation, many of which hinge on participation in the PGA TOUR — for instance, winning a PGA TOUR event in the past year or finishing in the top 50 of the Official World Golf Rankings will also get you an invitation, but the OWGR has declined to grant points at LIV events.
So who will actually qualify? Golfers who have won the Masters before, who finished top 12 last year, or who have recently won THE PLAYERS or another major championship will be invited. In total, 18 golfers in the Masters field are now a part of LIV Golf.
Here is the complete list of LIV golfers playing in the 2023 Masters, and how they qualified for the event.
  • Abraham Ancer (OWGR Top 50 2022)
  • Bryson DeChambeau (US Open Champion)
  • Sergio Garcia (Masters Champion)
  • Talor Gooch (PGA TOUR Top 30 2022, OWGR Top 50)
  • Dustin Johnson (Masters Champion)
  • Brooks Koepka (US Open Champion, PGA Champion)
  • Jason Kokrak (OWGR Top 50 2022)
  • Phil Mickelson (Masters Champion, PGA Champion)
  • Kevin Na (OWGR Top 50 2022)
  • Joaquin Niemann (PGA TOUR Top 30 2022, OWGR Top 50)
  • Louis Oosthuizen (OWGR Top 50 2022)
  • Mito Peirera (Top 4 2022 PGA Championship)
  • Thomas Pieters (OWGR Top 50 2022)
  • Patrick Reed (Masters Champion)
  • Charl Schwartzel (Masters Champion, Top 12 2022 Masters)
  • Cameron Smith (Open Champion, TPC Champion, Top 12 2022 Masters, PGA TOUR Top 30 2022, OWGR Top 50 2022)
  • Harold Varner III (OWGR Top 50 2022)
  • Bubba Watson (Masters Champion)
 

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Taking Brooks Kopeka for shits and giggles.
 

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Giving a look at Cameron Smith, Xander Shauffelle, Will Zalatoris and Min Woo Lee.
 

Nothing Can Stop What is Coming!!!
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Giving a look at Cameron Smith, Xander Shauffelle, Will Zalatoris and Min Woo Lee.
Not keen on Will...not sure he is physically there.....

Min Woo worth a little bet
 

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1st time major winners do well here.

Top 30 ranked golfer sweet spot is inside top 12 Average is about 5th-6th ranked OWGR.

Driving distance plays big here.

Good form heading in. Guys with T10's in 2 of last 3 tournaments

Guys who did well on Florida swing.

Odds 16-1 to 30-1 sweet spot

Faves have been awful

Previous year winner has not done well

Experience at Augusta around guys with 4-5 starts or more

Top 20 finish year before

Guys who can go low 67 or better rounds at any time at Augusta

Top 5-10 Major finish in past two years is a must

SG Approach top 20
SG Around Green top 20
GIR top 20

Guys who check a bunch of these boxes spit out the winner over the past 15 years.

Last year I went through digging up the most boxes and it landed on 3 golfers who were something like 11 or 12 out 13 boxes and..

Cam Smith
Vic Hovland
Scottie Scheffler

led the way. Scottie won and Cam led till Sunday finished 3rd or 4th. Not sure where Hovland landed but I do know his two big knocks were only 2nd start and short game.
 

Nothing Can Stop What is Coming!!!
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Let us know what boxes you check off this year.....
 

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If you play the 1st time major winner angle along with some of the other trends etc...

Max Homa stands out big time. Personally, I just haven't viewed him as a good course fit guy here. But stats and Trends say otherwise

Xander is right there with Homa also.

Will Z hard to figure out his form and switched clubs up. He has crushed his only two starts here. Great lag putter but god awful short putter. Fast greens here help crappy short putters though. Will Z is not a guy you want to back in birdie fest. But if you feel his form and back are good to go and the winning score in the -8 to -11 range he is in play.

Hovland imo lacks the short game and experience for this course

Young fits a bunch of boxes but just his second start I believe

I'd probably rank rate Xander best bet option.
 

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No 1st time winner angle and trends and stats or form etc etc. These guys rank up there as best bets to win..

Nast Yams ( Maybe top 10's at best imo)

Scottie (Previous winner is not too good following year)

Rahm (Is crushing this year and destroys this course)

Im (Just not sure Fat Panda is there yet)

Thomas (Just don't trust him here. Always a stat darling every year)

Morikawa (Bit sloppy short game at times)

Xander (Great finishes here and due a major win)

Rory (Has the curse probably never wins the grand slam. Dude is notorious for shooting a68 75 to open first two rounds here and just grind and fall into some top 5 almost but never really a factor to win)

Spieth ( looks to check the most boxes and obviously has some magic here. Could walk away with 5 shot win but always finds some bonehead fuck ups yet makes up for it with miracle shit.)

Rahm
Spieth
Xander
Rory

best 4 imo to win eliminating never won a major and past winner year before. Otherwise Scottie is all over the board on boxes checked.

Rahm and Rory best fits for T5 and Win equity but they are up there with Scottie as favorites which never win.

So SPieth 16-1 and Xander 22-1 look good so far for win only options. But T5 or T10 less likely.

Havent done every stat or trend but quite a few. Biggest wrinkle is these LIV guys no idea true form of these guys but they are some course fits big time here. Just hard to gauge form and stats since they are seperate and also in these shorter fileds.
 

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Going to be a lot a rain. Very disruptive Masters week. With wet greens you can take a lot more chances. Thursday 85 humid with rain and possible thunderstorms. Temperature drops to 69 with scattered showers on Friday and 62 with scattered rain on Saturday. Cold front coming in on Thursday. Not exactly the best weather in Augusta. I was there for a Monday practice round in 2016. It was easily one of nicest days at Augusta. Perfect weather in the 70's with not a cloud in the sky. I won a ticket in the lottery. It's a real disaster when you pay for airfare, car rental and motel and the practice round gets rained out or shortened. I got incredibly lucky. If it's rained out you get a practice ticket for the following year. That would have been little solace when you are out of pocket $1000.
 

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Going to be a lot a rain. Very disruptive Masters week. With wet greens you can take a lot more chances. Thursday 85 humid with rain and possible thunderstorms. Temperature drops to 69 with scattered showers on Friday and 62 with scattered rain on Saturday. Cold front coming in on Thursday. Not exactly the best weather in Augusta. I was there for a Monday practice round in 2016. It was easily one of nicest days at Augusta. Perfect weather in the 70's with not a cloud in the sky. I won a ticket in the lottery. It's a real disaster when you pay for airfare, car rental and motel and the practice round gets rained out or shortened. I got incredibly lucky. If it's rained out you get a practice ticket for the following year. That would have been little solace when you are out of pocket $1000.
Fire up some mudders!

may have to see if there are some weather splits worth any advantages

If wet and slow distance guys will get a bump and ball strikers who can pin seek approach.
 

Nirvana Shill
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Picked up Schauflee at +2654 earlier today at Bookmaker.
 

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Looking at the odds you posted it could be worth betting on some longshots.
 

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To make the cut….but my biggest wagers are on Cameron Young to win and make the top 20…
(y)

Young looked so good at the Match play and crazy long AND hits it very high (a good thing on these slick, smallish greens)

Connors plays a draw (the favorable ball flight at Augusta) is in form , great driver of the ball -- top 20 might b worth a look. HIs short game is so so

Scottie in great form, hard to see him laying an egg
 

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Koepka a great bet at these odds . He is healthy .

I bought some +8550 before he won the LIV event .
Now he’s down to +4200 . I still think that’s a great bet
 

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