2/14
PHI -7 - L
DET -11 - W
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CHA +6 - W
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WAS -5.5 - L
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Last Night: 2-2
Wtd: 2-2
Ytd: 76-58-2
OMG! I swear I think I'm screwed by more 4th quarter chokes than I am helped. The last few days has really been bad. Damn PHI. Choose, I base my plays on a Power Rating System that I actually developed for NFL and tweaked for NBA. This season is the first run. When a match-up gives me a specific variance from the actual line, I look at trends and past history more closely to gauge how much I want to lay on the game. Obviously, the system can't take into account injuries, long road trips, back-to-backs, etc. That part I have to cap myself. The system just gives me a baseline for those games that mathematically have value and should be looked at more closely. The system actually has a better record than my posted plays reflect. I got away for posting all my system plays because I didn't like them and then added non-system plays that had marginal value cause others respected cappers were also on them. But, the system has been consistently at 59-60% and I'm confident that my posted winning percentage will rise as the season goes on. I bet you're sorry you asked now. LOL. Again, good job tonight.
PHI -7 - L
DET -11 - W
--------
CHA +6 - W
--------
WAS -5.5 - L
-------------
Last Night: 2-2
Wtd: 2-2
Ytd: 76-58-2
OMG! I swear I think I'm screwed by more 4th quarter chokes than I am helped. The last few days has really been bad. Damn PHI. Choose, I base my plays on a Power Rating System that I actually developed for NFL and tweaked for NBA. This season is the first run. When a match-up gives me a specific variance from the actual line, I look at trends and past history more closely to gauge how much I want to lay on the game. Obviously, the system can't take into account injuries, long road trips, back-to-backs, etc. That part I have to cap myself. The system just gives me a baseline for those games that mathematically have value and should be looked at more closely. The system actually has a better record than my posted plays reflect. I got away for posting all my system plays because I didn't like them and then added non-system plays that had marginal value cause others respected cappers were also on them. But, the system has been consistently at 59-60% and I'm confident that my posted winning percentage will rise as the season goes on. I bet you're sorry you asked now. LOL. Again, good job tonight.
These aren't official system plays and won't go on my record, win or lose. But, they are plays that I see some value in and that I added wagers on after I saw that other trusted cappers were on them. Just wanted to post FYI if anyone is on the fence either way. Good luck everyone.
WAS +8
DEN -5.5
WAS +8
DEN -5.5
yes i love that washington game too cant see them winning but i see it 4-5 points also the kings -1 right now looks good as well as the clippers over.have to wait n see.nuggets -5.5 is up in the air i know atlanta sux but denver is the kind of team they can beat if they can keep it in the mid 90's.atlanta +180 is good enough for me to take a shot.
Wow, man large card. No kidding. I like them. Don't worry about the recent struggles. Your doing fine. I was in the exact same boat last two weeks. I was getting killed by 15 point quarters. Just stick it out. If this feels like a bad week take it easy. Good thing is that we have a couple days off. I don't know about you, but I know I could use it.
ASG, man, 4-3 is money in the pocket, but not as great as I know you want. But, winning is winning. It is hard right before the All Star break, so I'm happy you did that well. Good luck on Cavs +3 tonight. I appreciate the effort and stress you put into getting these plays right. Take care. tulsa
