Texas vs Kansas 10/27/2012

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Texas is a heavy favorite winning 91% of simulations over Kansas. David Ash is averaging 303 passing yards and 2.77 TDs per simulation and Malcolm Brown is projected for 68 rushing yards and a 60% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 9% of simulations where Kansas wins, Dayne Crist averages 1.28 TD passes vs 0.85 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.59 TDs to 1.06 interceptions. James Sims averages 96 rushing yards and 1.16 rushing TDs when Kansas wins and 81 yards and 0.56 TDs in losses. Texas has a 52% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 95% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is KAN +23
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