Texas Tech vs Baylor 11/24/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Texas Tech winning 46% of simulations, and Baylor 54% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Texas Tech commits fewer turnovers in 44% of simulations and they go on to win 59% when they take care of the ball. Baylor wins 68% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Seth Doege is averaging 438 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (45% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. Nick Florence is averaging 325 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (42% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BAY -2
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