TCU vs New Mexico 11/27/2010

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TCU is a heavy favorite winning 99% of simulations over New Mexico. Andy Dalton is averaging 249 passing yards and 3.25 TDs per simulation and Ed Wesley is projected for 120 rushing yards and a 85% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 1% of simulations where New Mexico wins, B.R. Holbrook averages 1.31 TD passes vs 0.85 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.35 TDs to 1.33 interceptions. Kasey Carrier averages 62 rushing yards and 0.38 rushing TDs when New Mexico wins and 35 yards and 0.07 TDs in losses. TCU has a 53% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 100% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NMEX +43.5

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